24 September, 2021

Blog

A Tough Road Ahead For Military Regimes

By Kumar David

Prof. Kumar David

This may appear to be a bold title just two months after the 1 February a coup in Burma but it’s true. For starters the Burmese junta is in a tight spot – the army opened fire in 40 locations on Saturday; Rangoon saw dozens of deaths and killings were recorded from Kachin in the north to the far south; more than 400 protesters have been killed by army since the coup and there is no sign that the surge of public anger will subside. There is no question that the junta has to be overthrown and foreign assistance is needed for that. If China pulls the rug from under the killer generals it will be curtains for the junta, but Beijing is in no hurry; its geopolitical objectives and the B&R Initiative take priority. Across the world military dictatorships are becoming scarce; there are none in the Americas – even Venezuela is a political party regime which makes use of the military. There are three in Africa, the egregious despot Sisi in Egypt, Mali and Sudan. In Asia only Thailand and Burma. In China and Vietnam the Party is constitutionally supreme and the repository of state power. The military is subservient to the Party. How to classify North Korea is a challenge not within my ability.

The last bone-crushers of the 21st Century

What I am leading to is a bold assertion. The prospect of outright Presidential-despotism or a naked military takeover in Lanka has suffered setbacks for many reasons. You are hearing this from one who has been obsessed with militarisation since November 2019! Is this reassuring? Well yes and no. Yes, a military takeover with or without connection to the President is remote. No, militarisation of the civilian administration will not be dismantled. I am obliged to explain my adjusted perspective. The backlash against militarisation in the liberal middle class, non-government political parties, the media, the Tamils and Muslims, and eventually even the subaltern social classes (in step with ruinous increases in living costs) has been stark. This recoil is sturdier than I anticipated 15 months ago. Only Gota himself, the Viyathmaga coots and a few Gota-devotees among my friends approve of the pernicious expansion of the military’s role into civil administration.

Four other factors have also the pushed back. Obvious but most recent is the Geneva result. The quixotic Executive and its sycophantic retired Generals, Admirals and Air Marshals now know that the militarism cock won’t fight any longer. No one in that motley cabal I am sure thinks that they can fight the whole world with one and a half hands tied behind their backs. So I am hypothesising that a military takeover, with or without a role for the Executive is out of the question. Not only world opinion but specifically India will respond firmly. The three other reasons making a hare-brained adventure unlikely are: (i) Muslim and Tamil minorities, in the context of the anti-minority stance of the Executive-cum-military will not accept it and will petition India, South India, the diaspora and the Islamic world. (ii) If a there is a military regime for a protracted period the birth of LTTE-Mark 2 cannot be aborted; I don’t know about ISIS-Lanka Mark 1. (iii) The economic debacle makes the military unpopular – unfairly, because it has not been involved in economic policy making, but the point is that in the public mind the Gotabaya Executive and its officers cabal, albeit retired, are interwoven. The Global Tamil Forum, a diaspora Tamil entity which prefers a united, free, democratic and plural Sri Lanka sums it up well. In a statement on the HRC Resolution it says the government should “listen to the coherent voice of the international community, and accept the parameters of this Resolution for the betterment of the country and people. By rejecting it, it is isolating itself from the international community”. I need add isolating itself from progressive Sinhalese opinion as well.

This brings me to another assertion that readers may like to reflect upon. I opine that the active military, that is the serving officer corps of lieutenants, captains and above, and a majority of soldiers, sailors and airmen, do not want involvement in a coup or a military government, and thereafter inevitable clashes with civilians. It is not the active military but some retired top rung officers (former commanders and deputy or third or fourth level commanders) who are ambitious. And for every one that satiates himself a dozen retirees are left out in the cold. No one has done a statistical survey but I will wager that a majority of serving officers and men in the forces prefer to wash their hands off any notion of a military regime. It is different in Egypt and Burma where the serving military is the principal beneficiary of the dictatorship and the top officer corps rakes in perks and the dollars. Goodies are spread across the two juntas as was the case with the Gorilla Regimes of South and Central America in the Twentieth Century. The proclivity to militarise the state in Lanka therefore issues from the Executive and a few buddies. There too there is a problem. Unlike Mahinda, Gota lacks a deep, proven and long-matured mass base. Therefore he is reinforcing an alternative footing among retired officers who served during his time as Defence Secretary with many of whom he may be well acquainted, and with the shallow semi-educated petty-bourgeoisie of Viyathmaga.   

It is said true Gota polled an overwhelming 72% of Sinhala-Buddhist votes and extremist and non-extremist monks rallied to his cause as did opportunists Weerawansa, Gammanpila and Vasudeva. But I would treat this, if taken as proof that Gotha has a powerful Sinhala-Buddhist foundation of mass support, with much caution. Imagine this scenario: Imagine a rift between the executive branch and political branch (Mahinda and SLPP) of state. I have little doubt that at the base – that is in the mass – the great majority of pro-government Sinhala-Buddhists will support the latter. The point is that Gota does not have a deep SB mass following, not even among the saffron clad – key word “deep”. As time passes he will not be able to lean on SBism against political rivals competing for the same base. This is a weakness and it makes him look for others such as the military (pensioners as it turns out) and intellectual trivia like Viyathmaga. Gota was not a politician till 2019 and it was a fortuitous concourse of events that brought the Sinhala-Buddhist mass and the war time Defence Secretary into alignment, but it is not deep enough to weather the storm gathering on the horizon. In a struggle between Sinhala-Buddhism and militarism for moral hegemony over the nation the former ideology will win hands down. Thus weakened, if the regime thwarts accountability, reconciliation and anti-militarism demanded by international opinion it is setting course for shipwreck.

Some of the theses I have canvassed today are novel and controversial but the way things unfold in the next 12 months may bear them out. To summarise my case in a paragraph. I have argued that military regimes are globally out of flavour in this epoch; the thrust to militarisation in Lanka that I feared a year ago has been delayed or arrested; the Lankan Executive does not enjoy the confidence of the Sinhala-Buddhist masses as it did a year ago (Covid, the economy, sugared allegations of corruption have undermined it); the serving military is not power hungry (the same cannot be said of retired brass); and any adventure will be crushed by domestic opposition with international support (the Chinese can’t save a dictatorship in Lanka – Beijing is busy saving its butt from a savaging by the two Bs, Biden and Blinken). The sun seems to be peeping through the clouds. The crushing defeats GoSL has countenanced have turned out to be good for democracy in the country.

A video in English and Sinhala by Mangala Samarweera on our fall into disrepute:

English:

Sinhala:

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

Latest comments

  • 37
    2

    The mood of the military regimes were clearly shown this week when Myanmar military regime sent Sri Lankan 12 fishermen who strayed into their waters for 3 to 5 years in prison. This too when Dinesh Gunewardena invited Myanmar Govt to participate in a conference when the entire world other than Russia and China boycotted them. This action of the Myanmar courts was a slap right across Dinesh’s face and a kick on Sri Lankan butt.

    Unfortunately Sri Lankan Govt is in love with Dictators and Military Juntas. This is after the UNCHR resolution. When is this Government of Sri Lanka going to learn?

    • 9
      0

      In the end it’s gonna be “It’s the economy, stupid.”

      How well is Gota’s military men in various positions going to help the economy?

      Any military is a trained killing machine ……. what training have they to help/run an economy?

      There is ideological production/economy and productive production/economy ……….. ideologically rice can be grown on the moon – but at a price. How does one fits in cost effective production?

      At one time Zimbabwe/Rhodesia was the breadbasket of Africa – very efficient farms run by white farmers. Based on ideology a grave injustice was righted by taking over the farms from the white farmers and handing them over to blacks. The ideology stopped there and the blacks ran the farms to the ground. Zimbabwe economy was buggered …… Zimbabweans were foraging for food and trying to enter neighbouring countries (especially South Africa) for employment.

      A friend of mine – a very good swimmer who once swam for SL but had no training in lifesaving – tried to save a drowning man who tried to commit suicide by jumping into the sea. When he swam up to the man and grabbed him the man climbed on top and the rescuer was submerged and couldn’t breath ….. so he started walking on the seabed ….. luckily the direction he chose to walk brought him towards the shore.

      • 5
        0

        Continued (this part got cut off)

        6.9 million voted for this. You can’t vote for something bad and expect something good to come out. It defies laws of nature.

        You can’t save people in spite of themselves.

        If Native Vedda wants to commit suicide I’ll throw him a heavy rock to help him. It’ll be suicidal to swim out to save him!


        It doesn’t matter if Gota appoints the military, the LTTE, Africans, Martians, Extra Terrestrials ………. if it brings results.

        Has it brought the desired results? The proof of the pudding is in the eating.

        You get what you vote for. So cop it.

        • 1
          9

          Nimal F

          You are nothing but a F slave to the white European ideology.

          When Sirima nationalized the tea estates every naysayer said there will be no tea industry. Surprise surprise .. there still is. Don’t believe everything in the press. it is not only the white Europeans who have the elixir for life. we used to hold that before the European gun took over you shameless slave.

          • 7
            0

            “You are nothing but a F slave to the white European ideology.”

            Thank you most kindly. That’s the highest compliment you can pay me!

            At least you can’t accuse me of being a hypocrite! :))

            You’re very perceptive! …… thought no one would ever catch on. :))

            Has anyone ever invited you to join Mensa? You might be the next Einstein in the making!


            Who are you trying to kid buddy? Yourself? We are all ” F slaves to the white European ideology” ……. including you! If not why would Mahinda send his kids to STC and not Ananda? …….and Weerawnasa to international schools? …….. Gota, Basil, Fonseka migrate to the West?

            Is it any wonder with Einstiens like you that Lanka is Lanka? :)))

            • 6
              0

              Nimal f,
              Would you be surprised to learn that some people who accuse others of slavery prefer to live in slave-houses themselves?

              • 4
                0

                OC,

                I think now the poor Rajapakses are scraping the bottom of the barrel for their propaganda talent.

                If these clowns can’t get their acts together ……. out of pity, I would write their propaganda for them.

        • 4
          0

          nimal fernando

          “If Native Vedda wants to commit suicide I’ll throw him a heavy rock to help him. It’ll be suicidal to swim out to save him!”

          Thanks.
          I never knew you believed in Mercy Killing!!
          There is only one way I could repay you for your charitable act is to embrace/hug/cuddle/hold you warmly.

          • 2
            0

            Aw, c’mon Native! …….. I was just speaking “metaphorically.” :))

      • 6
        4

        n,.f.
        “At one time Zimbabwe/Rhodesia was the breadbasket of Africa – very efficient farms run by white farmers. Based on ideology a grave injustice was righted by taking over the farms from the white farmers and handing them over to blacks.”
        *
        It is not as simple as that.
        After Zimbabwe rehabilitated stolen land to the people, it was hit by all manner of economic weapons including sanctions.
        The old masters and their allies cleverly make it a case of “Efficient White v. Incompetent Black”.
        And we suckers buy it.

        • 7
          2

          SJ,

          Strangely enough ……. I suspected that would entice you!

          When a professor with a reputation for brilliance embraces an ideology with a reputation for bad economics, it’s the reputation of the ideology that remains intact. – With apologies to Warren buffett :))

          “After Zimbabwe rehabilitated stolen land to the people” ……… I acknowledge that here ……. “a grave injustice was righted”

          Sure, there are all sorts of reasons but what matters in the end is the end result (sad but true.) ……… Idi Amin chased away the Indians and handed over their businesses to the locals and they ran them to the ground ……. and once Amin was gotten rid of they were begging the Indians to come back. At one time the white farmers were also asked to return.

          Would (or are you prepared to say) you say that the reasons for failure was that the black farmers or the local Ugandans simply didn’t have the knowhow? i.e. If they were not bombarded with external economic measures they would have succeeded?

          In all these there is always a tendency to blame “external forces” or “cultural messages” ………. why is that some fall victim and not others?

          What “external force,” forced planes to take off from Katunayake and land in Mattala 5 minutes later?

          Are we adult enough to take responsibility? :)) ………. Or always remain children to wallow in “Bad Faith?”

          • 4
            1

            continued


            btw I watch Kenyan small scale black avocado farmers on YouTube to gain knowhow to plant my avocados.

            It’s not a black/white thang but simply about knowhow.

            • 1
              1

              NF
              You show potential to be among later day prophets. I salute thee.
              *
              Is not applying economic embargo selectively a matter of hitting politically?
              Iran is not performing poorly for lack of competence. Nor are several others.
              Zimbabwe suffered because the embargo was far worse than when a White minority ruled S. Rhodesia, whose sanctions were cunningly busted by Britain itself.
              *
              For long we thought that tea will not grow without a white PD in charge. But it did, and thrived (despite a few mishaps). They could not strangle the tea industry as the Middle East and Russia bought plenty.
              *
              Have you not seen the variety of avocados — skin colour ranging from yellowish green to red and purplish black — in different sizes, shape and skin roughness, let alone texture and taste of the flesh, thrive in Kandy– Peradeniya especially? I have seen almost as many varieties as mangoes in Lanka.
              You can get some of them in Colombo as well.
              There was no YouTube in my time to watch how people plant avocado but I grew superb tasting high yielding fruit trees in my little back garden.
              *
              If you think socialism means bad economics, you need to learn how it pulled many countries out of their backwardness.

              • 2
                0

                SJ,

                “Is not applying economic embargo selectively a matter of hitting politically?”

                That’s avoiding the question ………. you are better than this, SJ!

                Can you say with your hand on your heart that the Zimbabwean black farmers had the knowhow to run the farms?

                It’s not like Sirima taking over the tea-estates ………. she still left the “administrations” that were in place running the estates intact. What happened in Zimbabwe and Lanka is chalk and cheese :))


                We may not always agree but I respect your opinion …….. so I want to pick your brains on something I’ve been grappling with ……… there is a prevalent opinion among the Sinhalese that the Tamils were favoured by the colonial rulers. What is your opinion/take on that?

          • 8
            1

            nimal fernando

            If you are attempting to teach SJ simple economics, forget it.
            If you want to entice him for one sided discussion make it bit complicated and bizarre, ……

      • 11
        1

        Zimbabwe has some interesting parallels to sri lanka.
        Both lands were once british colonies.
        And after they left there was communal hatred, violence and rampant corruption.
        Zimbabwe is ruled by the shona majority tribe and the ndebele are the main minority group.
        Shonas hate ndebele because they accuse the latter of being invaders into their land some time in the past.
        During the 1980s ndebele suffered genocide at the hands of the shona led government.
        Ndebele accuse shonas to this day of economically sabotaging their area of the country (matabeleland) and sublte shona colonisation.
        Zimbabwe is a military dictatorship.

        • 2
          4

          H
          You forgot to say how ”Southern Rhodesia” won independence for the Whites, and how that independence was secretly protected by the British and that it took an armed struggle and bogus transfer of power to obliging Black leaders; and how transfer of power was subject to racist restrictions.
          There was no DS Senanayake there to be conveniently gifted “independence” and state power to keep out the infidels.
          *
          There is a difference between a military dominated society and a military dictatorship.

    • 4
      22

      Buddhist1,
      “When is this Government of Sri Lanka going to learn?”

      The Government of Sri Lanka has learnt lot of lessons out of what ‘Paradeshi’ people who settled down in Sinhale did after Sinhalayo gained Independence using ‘Wal Booru Nidahasa’ given under the rotten democratic system imposed on Sinhalayo by British.
      Based on those lessons, the Government of Sri Lanka will take measures not to allow ‘Paradeshi’ people to play hell and ruin Sinhale/Ceylon/Sri Lanka.

      • 4
        0

        EE
        …..the Government of Sri Lanka will take measures not to allow ‘Paradeshi’ people to play hell and ruin Sinhale/Ceylon/Sri Lanka.”

        With the current set-up, the present Regime, with the EC assistance or not, will have
        the next so-called Democratic vote very conveniently tuned electronically in their favour, without any doubt. So the UNCHR etc can go to hell……!
        (Reminds me – where in heaven is the one time EC Dissanayake?)

    • 13
      2

      Millitary leadership has not brought much to the country yet today. Those former millitary men appointed as their front men in any ministry have proved it well as of today.
      :
      Srilanka ‘s minster of foreign affairs and his counter parts in Myanmar and Philiphines have much in common. All these three would not have independent voices. They are made servile by the bunch criminals in the leadership.
      :
      Look at the man appointed for HARBOUR, behaved like a caricature/or a defeated dog who tried to hide the tail behind the rear legs.

      What about the man appointed for MINISTRY of health – evena grama sevaka or PHI would have done the job better. With first dose of Astrazenecca being injected to their hand picked groups, now they are in a dillemal sitution, not being able to provide them with the second dose ? Funny as no comparable to the levels of far poor African state affairs ?

      Not even tiny issues such as imports of non-contaminated food items which is the basics of basics ina country with a proper governance. However, one behind the other, they the governing MERCY COWs, make every effort to kill the public/consumers with anxities of unknown nature.

    • 9
      1

      Mahinda Rajapakshes should be an idiot. Please listen to the audio below.
      .
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LiDcIl1wgwU

      Wimal buruwanse should be beheaded by dragging to Galle face green.
      :
      But the saddest reality is, people in this country would not differentiate it for some reasons.

    • 3
      12

      Another frantic attempt by Mr David out of frustration. Firstly the Sinhala Buddhists love the military & its ex officers playing important roles. Shavendra will be probably one of the most popular guys . Then Geneva result has not made SB to get annoyed with Gota but rather the opposite, hating the West & its colonial attitude. The mass murderers Colonial bosses now working hypocritically to be the best HR masters! In my opinion SB mass follow Gota rather than Mahinda if any splits happen even with a remote chance. People know Mahinda is not the person who he was but still the most loved.Buddhists don’t see Burma’s military rule as brutal as the West & Americans want us to believe.For any Buddhist country they want civil unrest by hook or crook.What HR they show to Blacks? Where did Black Lives Matter start? Not in Burma.

    • 3
      0

      Dear FRIENDs,
      .
      My information say that only a number of a half million (500 000 ) was gifted to srilanka by India.
      :
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-35WiWtLtYM

      But srilanken news telecast keep on saying that over 9 00 000 have already been injected with first dose.
      :
      How can this be ? Has the state purchased it again ?

      Please help me getting the facts in this regard.

      Why have so called powerful govt failed whatever they touch ?

  • 8
    5

    There’s no doubt that all decent humans the world over are shedding a few tears for the unfortunate people of Burma the moment they get acquainted with the horrors being perpetrated by the Myanmar military.
    .
    However, Kumar’s optimism for decencies to prevail in Sri Lanka makes pleasant reading. King Henry IV was made, by the Bard, who was nowhere around, to say something like “the wish is father to the thought” regarding what he thought, wrongly, was Prince Hal’s desire to get crowned in express time.
    .
    True, I’d like to believe all this. However, apart even from that, I feel that the arguments being put forward in this article are sound and cogent.
    .
    And isn’t it nice that (apart from Mangala Samaraweera) we have these assertions from another Sinhalese who is a Buddhist?
    .
    https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/what-is-the-patriotic-path-sri-lanka-should-take-after-the-geneva-resolution/comment-page-1/#comment-2386839
    .
    The perceptive will realise that I’m committed to going back to an incomplete comment there. Harsha may not have the same wonderful command of English that Kumar has, but he makes up for it through his absolute sincerity; and for good measure, the article is in Sinhalese as well.
    .
    I’m sure that some readers don’t even know that CT has a Sinhalese Section!
    .
    https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/harsha-gunasena-1-april-2021/

  • 4
    35

    This should not even require GCR OL to understand

    Sri Lanka does not have a military regime. It has a regime that uses the military as it should.

    • 6
      17

      a14455,
      But there are highly educated dumbos who cannot understand the difference.

      • 5
        3

        Eagle Eye

        ….. & vice versa

      • 11
        3

        Eagle Blind Eye

        “But there are highly educated dumbos who cannot understand the difference.”

        I know what you mean. You mean G L Peiris, Wijeyadasa Rajapakshe, Dayan, …..
        Dr Mervyn Silva PhD, Jayasumana, ….. + Millions.

      • 2
        4

        Yes they need reeducation or may be they are going senile

        and all the blah blah and he forgets to mention Saudi Arabia , Jordan , all the middle east . who the west will support no matter what. and There is no way Egypt will be let to devolve into that spring of whatever nonsense , The US will keep on supporting .

        Biden is no knight in shining armor. I am fairly sure he will sonn be rendered a lame duck by the midterms.

    • 9
      2

      I thought it is GCE Olevel.

      It is time you to go to kindergarten and let you learned something. Dont you think so ? your brother who is said to be an internist could help you with pieces of adivce. In Japan elderly women start their Uni education even if they are septagenarians. But our stupid people of your nature would never see it right.

      Srilanka #current rule is totally millitarised to anyone with some sanity, but to the eyes of the slaves, it is a so called democray. Look at how BP Gota cried before the villagers yesterday.
      .Just got information from a passenger who travelled to SL last week longing to see her elderly mother. But bitch s sons did not her humanly… it is all because millitary dogs set for quarentining procedures they dont have the education to have the ” fingerspitzegefühle -sure instinct” that is where Rajapakshes are fallen today. This is going to be ended up them being sent to real jails sooner than later. I thought, any srilanken living out of the country is a sound and favourable messenger to country’s tourism industry. But if srilanken expatriates would be hurt this way, how would they ever think of support to their home country ?

  • 5
    1

    Despots and despotism arise and pass away within that locality and hardly and outside intervention can make changes. The rare instances of changes due to outside pressure is through a full-blown war as it happened in WW II and more recently in Iraq. Outsiders could be catalysts and helpers to insiders who want to make the change. Despotism is not synonymous with militarism. There are enough of civilian despots and even in Sri Lanka we record of leaders whose untimely death was a sigh of relief to some amounting lighting of crackers. There is a significant number of retired military personnel in Singapore taken to politics, notably its current Prime Minister Brigadier General Lee Hsien Loong. Do we call the leadership of the BSc Mathematica and MSc Computer Science from Cambridge a military man even if he was one? NO. WHY? It is not the military background that matters but what is significant is whether the leader can listen to another point of view and come to a mature conclusion. As I have said before many times the two main contenders of the Presidential elections of 2019 have the common weakness to have their own way regardless of others.

  • 5
    3

    “The sun seems to be peeping through the clouds. The crushing defeats GoSL has countenanced have turned out to be good for democracy in the country.“
    =============
    Thank god for that Prof. I can now enjoy my Karutha kolambaan maamambalam honey dripping pilapalam and sweet toddy in the palmyra pilla and enjoy odaikarai appam and dosa from point Pedro without looking over my soldier for white van

    • 4
      13

      Rajash,
      I wonder whether you managed to do the things that you mentioned during the time megalomaniac dictator Prabhakaran ruled North East of the country without having to worry that you will be dragged by LTTE to be recruited as one of their cadres, give an AK47 and hang a cyanide capsule around the neck.

      • 8
        2

        Of course I was

      • 6
        1

        EE,
        .
        Why to attack ONLY Prabakaran ?
        :
        Was JVP leader who killed over 60k in 89 insurgency ?

        And Rajapakshes rascals, also in the post war episode, hurt not only notherners but also southerners and all other innocient people.
        :
        And who mobilizesed SAHARAN ?
        Who brought BBS or any other mlechcha sinhala buddhist movements ?
        :
        Today, Rajakshases are caught in the act, not being able to prove their abilities. Gotabaya the multi murderer of all times, make every effort to surivive him as the president today. He can only please gawky villagers, since urban dwellers would throw ASUCHI if the buggers would meet them face to face.

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W4qD2mxx4k0

        This man as a president does not know the basics of what should long have been aware. Srilankens have imported coconut oil again and again. But since the current men came to power, only, they were not strict enough against illegal business men and their container loads.

  • 9
    1

    I don’t for the moment think that “Gota” and his “Viyathmaga” cohorts would plan for a “Military Take Over”. Remember, a few months back, there was a “Virtual Dialogue” with the “Communist Party” of China followed with a “VISIT” of some of the “TOP” leadership from China. Then a few days back, there were “TWO” invitations to “GR” to a “VISIT” to China by Xi Jinping – the President of the “Regime”. As I see, this is some sort of an “INKLING” to “Copy & Paste” a “Regime” like that of China, solely in the hands of “ONE” political party (Communist) constituted of “Higher Archival” command of “Central” and “Territorial” Institutions. “GR” has his political outfit – SLPP with the “Backing” of “Academics” of Viyathmaga placed in Parliament, Provincial Councils, Government Ministries, Departments, and Corporations. The next layer is the newest establishment named “Task Force” operational in a variety of assigned “Tasks” determined by “GR”. He has already placed an “Ex-Armed Force” personnel in each of the Districts covering and “Overseeing” civilian functions that are been presently handled by “Divisional Secretaries” and other Civil Service Officials. The next vital element is “Religion” and that is looked after by the “Buddhist Advisory Council”. Now he needs the “Acceptance” and “Honor” by the PEOPLE. To achieve that he has embarked on the project “Gama Samaga Pilisandara” (Dialogue with the village).

    • 7
      2

      Simon,
      .
      if anyone would like to see the progress of so called ” viyathmaga- interllectuls according to MEDAMULANA criminals”, please look at the manner how Dr Godahewa and his behaviours in the discussion where our iron lady Dewani Jayathilaka fought it with rascals. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tqaq70M3wbQ
      :
      As for me, what should have gone wrong with a PhDer to fall that deep ?
      :
      The kind of educated criminals only wanted to get exonerated from their ongoing crime investigations. That was the reason them to join hand with CRIMINAL Pohottuwa men.

    • 2
      2

      Never! Why should they? Rajapaksas are winning all national elections. No need for military takeovers. If they are likely to lose, they only have to kill some “terrorists” just to be popular again. Don’t mix up with 2015 which was a set-up like Putin-Medvedev, Medvedev-Putin.

  • 9
    1

    The critical factor is Mahinds, who, along with Shiranthi, are dead set on making Namal President. Militarization will prevent that.
    *
    Mahinda is said to be on dialysis and also had a knee replacement recently (not life threatening, but shows his health is failing). Mahinda is all that stands between a military dictatorship and the pathetic “democracy” that we have now. So, if he goes, we’re finished.
    *
    Britain is full of retired majors, and Sri Lanka, retired generals.

  • 3
    9

    SL’s first class democracy also has enemies! Since 1931 SL is a democracy. Asia’s oldest democracy. SL had 2 insurrections, 1 war and multiple terrorist groups tried without success to derail SL’s five star democracy. The military saved SL’s democracy.

    On the other hand Tamil Elam was a military regime which was defeated in 2009 for good.

    Singapore is a military regime with sham elections like SL. Family rule backed by a strong military. Everyone must join the military. But Singapore does exceptionally well thanks to China.

    President Joe Biden’s son Beau was a military man!

    • 6
      1

      Gatam:

      “……..multiple terrorist groups tried without success to derail SL’s five-star democracy.”

      Are you high on cocaine and vodka or heroin and whiskey?

      • 1
        0

        Captain Morgan,
        Gatam is a strange character.
        Sometimes i see him promote separatism on the island.
        And at other times he goes to the other extreme and says tamils should be ruled by sinhalese.

    • 1
      0

      GATAM
      SL’s first class democracy also has enemies!
      ———
      First class democracy? Is that your idea of sarcastic humour?

  • 3
    5

    What for military take overs when you are already in power and you can achieve all what you desire under democracy, the best cover for nepotism and corruption.
    Rajapakses are not as mad as this nutty professor whose pastime is scare mongering. and we are not as dumb as he imagines us to be.
    .
    Blinded by anti majority feeling these imbeciles fail to see the fabric of this society.

    .

    • 3
      5

      Free and fair elections usually under international supervision are held as per Constitution.
      These idiots don’t understand the difference between fooling the mases with false promises when elections approach and rigging the elections.
      Professor KDs level of understanding of this society was displayed when he believed that JVP could get 51%!

      Soma

    • 3
      0

      soman

      Please read the following and let us have your considered opinion:

      “””I strongly believe that this country belongs to the Sinhalese but there are minority
      communities and we treat them like our people . . . We being the majority of the
      country, 75%, we will never give in and we have the right to protect this country.
      . . . They can live in this country with us. But they must not try to, under the
      pretext of being a minority, demand undue things.
      General Sarath Fonseka, the Commander of the Sri Lanka Army (December 2005
      – July 2009) cited in National Post, 23 September 2008.”

      Remember this man on several occasions conceded “WAR CRIMES” were committed during the war. Why does not Gota take him to task?

      • 4
        0

        soman

        I didn’t mean to distress you.
        I want you to speak both from your heart and head.

      • 0
        3

        NV
        Didn’t Tamils vote for this man to make him President?
        Answer the question.

        Soma

        • 4
          0

          soman

          “Didn’t Tamils vote for this man to make him President?”

          I was told it was a tactical voting, which was considered a cunning idea of Ranil. Any how those were UNP votes, UNP is Tamils’ natural party.

          Don’t forget it was Tamil votes that were used to elect Mahinda in 2005.
          It was deemed Tamil tactical voting. In return Tiran Alles passed bundles of notes to VP.

          If you are living in this island you shouldn’t be asking such stupid questions. By the way if you got a few minutes watch this clip, very educational: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=flK1bZqtn7w

          • 0
            0

            Aandawane, your giding light, your great tactician was this Twentieth Century Fox?.
            .
            Native, how much was the ‘will to freedom’ worth in 2005 SL rupees?

            Soma

  • 8
    11

    Some dong keys can brag Sri Lanka is Asia’s oldest democracy but still it is a Third World poor country despite the fact that the country is located in a strategic place in the world and have plenty of resources.

    Democracy is a curse for Sinhale. This country failed because of democracy.
    If Hon. D.S.Senanayake acted like the autocrat Lee Kuan Yew and deported racist separatist SJV Chelvanayakam to Malaya from where he came and entered Sinhale illegally during British rule and formed the Federal Party in 1949, deported other racist separatist Tamils to Hindusthan from where their ancestors came and locked up Marxist politicians who used the slogans ‘Dhanapatheen Sunkaraw’ (eliminate rich people), ‘Weda Adu Karaw, Padi Wedi Karaw’ (Reduce the work load and increase pay) and persuaded workers to resort to ‘Strikes’ even for minor issues, Sinhale could have become the number one country in Asia.
    Because of the rotten democratic system imposed on Sinhalayo by British, this country could not have political stability which is a prerequisite to promote entrepreneurs and attract foreign investors. Even now the hidden aim of the promoters of democracy and human rights is to create political instability, retard economic development and produce a ‘Beggar Country’.

    • 4
      1

      Eagle Blind Eye

      How long you are going to continue to blame others for all self made misfortunes.

      Like D.S.Senanayake was Lee Kuan Yew charged for perpetrating race riots against Muslims? Did Lee Kuan Yew deport hundreds of thousands of hard working people simply for racist reasons? ………………….. Don’t even start comparing your nasty little leaders with Singaporean leaders.

      As a basic rule you could only compare like with like.
      Don’t waste your time arguing about your rotten apples.
      Is HLDM still sitting on your head?

  • 6
    1

    Military regimes may be on the wane but populist regimes, despite the decline of Trump, are very much a feature of international life. There are many of them in Eastern Europe and Latin America (Venezuela, Brazil). Sinhala-Buddhism is populist politics which we have not moved out of. It is the Bandaranaike curse that will continue to pull us down. The “rear admirals” have proved to be massive clowns as have our many generals. It is remarkable that we have so many of them. But, as long as Gota is there, we are saddled with them. Idle talk about the resurgence of the LTTE which Tamils do not have the remotest energy to pursue or the ISIS will merely provide justification for keeping the Gota cronies going there the fear psychology it creates. We have to wait to see this episode run out of steam leaving the country further debilitated. Another bout of sinhala-buddhist madness is guaranteed to take over and we will waddle in the Mahavamsa mud for many long years to come.

  • 3
    0

    “…… and with the shallow semi-educated petty-bourgeoisie of Viyathmaga.”
    “…… and intellectual trivia like Viyathmaga.”
    I think Prof. Kumar David is making rather disparaging comments about Viyathmaga.
    I am just wondering if the intellectuals of Viyathmaga conduct their proceedings in English or Sinhala.
    Knowing the answer to that question will help us decide better if the Professor is justified in casting those aspersions about Viyathmaga.
    P.S. That reasoning applies equally to Tamil.

  • 4
    0

    Below is a comment I made elsewhere. I was very eager to count both Thumbs UP/Downs. Instead it is 0/0. It puzzles me. My honest belief is that who ever seizes power in Srilanka it sure would be as they say back to square one.

    Simon; I quote you ” That is why I always remind “JVP” MPs to “Identify” themselves as “NPP” Parliamentarians and not “JVP”. I really admire Ms. Harini. We need very many of such Parliamentarians and that is my ONLY HOPE.” I think you are pretty naive. They all are typical Singhalese, meaning; what they say they do not mean it and what they mean they never say it. Ms. Harini is certainly not an exception. What ever is the reason behind all of them collect their fat pay checks and other benefits as MPs adding burden to already suffering masses. They have no principles. It is like “lets pray at Dambulla Temple and afterwards slaughter a wild boar for dinner” is how they think. Giving power to AKD and his cohorts would be a greater mistake than giving the Presidency to Sirisena. By nature the Singhalese are all hypocrites. If not for the influence of the Western Civilization it would be the law of the jungle. We had two Singhalese Chief Justices: Sarath N. Silva and Mohan Pieris who is presently the Srilankan Permanent Representative to UN. Need I say more?

  • 4
    2

    As a long-term measure, he said that the Government will yet again take steps to explain the true facts about the situation in Sri Lanka to other countries.

    Gothas answer to UNHCR decision is to Dowse Nallur temple the most sacred for Tamils in Sri Lana with oil in defince. There is more to come.

  • 4
    1

    Part I
    ~
    Kumar David you say: “….the thrust to militarisation in Lanka that I feared a year ago has been delayed or arrested….”
    ~
    Yes, delayed maybe, but I am not sure whether it has been arrested as I have slightly different take, dependent upon two things happening:
    1. The Rajapaksa regime becomes electorally seriously unpopular.
    2. As a result of credible and solid evidence collected by the UNHRC, the noose tightens around the war criminals and human rights violators in Sri Lanka, namely senior military personnel and their political masters.
    ~
    If these two outcomes were to befall simultaneously, I would expect the Rajapaksas to hold on to power come what may (using whatever excuses), with the backing of the military internally and China externally (Phase I). This to be then followed by the military ditching the Rajapaksas and replacing the administration with a military junta to run the country with the blessing of China (Phase II).
    ~
    However, I doubt very much Phase II would ever be allowed to happen as India would almost certainly step in to neutralise such an outcome.

  • 3
    1

    Part II
    ~
    With reference to Myanmar (formerly Burma) you say: “If China pulls the rug from under the killer generals it will be curtains for the junta, but Beijing is in no hurry; its geopolitical objectives and the B&R Initiative take priority.”
    ~
    I agree the BRI is a strategic priority for China, so I think it will do whatever it takes to try and achieve this goal which means the Rajapaksas can count on China’s support as long as they are willing to dance to Chinese music.

  • 3
    1

    Part III
    ~
    The US is deeply concerned over the rising power of China so it will take whatever action necessary to try and stem this rise. One recent initiative is the formation of the QUAD, an alliance of the US, Japan, India and Australia to counter China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific. The other imminent initiative is to use the G7. The Daily Telegraph of yesterday here in the UK reported that the UK is set to use its G7 presidency to join the US in seeking ways to combat China’s multi-trillion dollar infrastructure spending spree across the globe, potentially setting up an alternative system for democracies to seize the initiative. President Biden proposed the idea on a phone call with Prime Minister Boris Johnson last month, calling for a “similar initiative, pulling from the democratic states, helping those communities around the world, in fact, need help.”

  • 3
    1

    Part IV
    ~
    It also means pushing back against the BRI that China has used to spread its influence through Asia, Africa and parts of Europe. A concern is Beijing is using the BRI not simply to bring foreign infrastructure and assets into Chinese ownership, in some cases for potential military use as port facilities, but to export its authoritarian norms.
    ~
    It’s understood that the UK will take up the call, using its G7 presidency to discuss the idea behind the scenes.
    ~
    Although not a member of the G7, India has been invited to attended the meeting as a guest. The meeting will take place in June this year in the coastal town of Carbis Bay, Cornwall, UK.

    • 0
      4

      KP
      You have written at length in four instalments.
      Now can you enlighten the readers further on the following.
      1) What is the trade volume between India and China.
      2) From which country does India buy Telecommunication networks.
      3) Does India manufacture mobile phones.
      3) From which country India imports necessary semi processed input to her gigantic pharmaceutical industry.

      Soma

      • 4
        0

        soman

        Do you know as to why Wellawatte Police sealed a store containing 15,000 copies of imported Qurans?

        Are you familiar with Chapter II of the constitution?

        • 0
          1

          NV
          To be distributed among our cops to study and keep as their handbook.

          Soma

          • 1
            0

            soman

            “To be distributed among our cops to study and keep as their handbook.”

            Quran is written in Arabic, a foreign language not in Sinhala, similar to Theravada Buddhist Pāli Canon is in Pali language, a foreign language not in Sinhala, or to Hindu Veddas in Sanskrit, a foreign language, neither in Tamil nor in Sinhala, ……. What good is there for illiterate policeman to carry/own a Quran?

            Why are so irrational all the time?
            Why do you always think 1 + 1 = 3 or more?

      • 4
        0

        Soma,
        “Does India manufacture mobile phones.”
        To put your mind at rest, yes.
        Micromax is an Indian brand. Then there is Nokia, Samsung, and the rest, Chinese included ,with Indian factories. Do your research in Pettah.

        • 0
          2

          Ok Thambi, what about Networks? Aren’t they all Huawei and ZTE. And to replace them with non Chinese stuff you need their assistance for smooth transition, don’t you?
          .
          Now remember recent commotion about wind power generators in Jaffna?
          Do you know who supplies power generators to India?
          Just Google the words “Chinese power plants in India” see what you get and to what length hypocrisy and false pride can go.
          .
          https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/from-thermal-to-solar-units-china-dominates-india-s-power-sector-120061701894_1.html

          Soma

          • 1
            0

            Soma,
            “Ok Thambi, what about Networks? Aren’t they all Huawei and ZTE”
            Are you talking to me?
            It’s simply business sense. Ericsson or Motorola can make networks, but not at a Chinese price. If it comes to a real Cold War, they will. In the same way, there are things the Chinese ( like the Indians) can’t produce, like decent car engines, automatic gearboxes, or jet engines. It might interest you that USHA fans are Chinese made nowadays, but some Redmi phones are Indian made.

            • 0
              1

              O c
              That is precisely the point I want to make.
              They are mutually entangled.
              If it is good for India why not for Sri Lanka.
              Tamil Nadu thermal power plants are Chinese made. India has a border with China – Chinese companies are fixing military radars one meter away from India. We can’t get a Chinese made wind turbine 40km away from Indian border!
              TNA supporters should refuse to switch on their lights.

              Soma

              • 1
                0

                soman

                “Chinese companies are fixing military radars one meter away from India. We can’t get a Chinese made wind turbine 40km away from Indian border! “

                You got everything wrong.
                If China installs it in its own territory or in the middle of International waters its fine. However it is not acceptable building it on its soil, not on Hndia’s state, Sinhala state of Hindia or on its extended Akhand Tamil Nadu.

                Please stop asking silly questions or making silly comments.

  • 4
    6

    This country has some way to go before military rule, although it has its occasional rehearsals since the last serious bid in 1962.
    When the public is sick of its corrupt and incompetent politicians, the military may seem an attractive option.
    But, more than during the war, since the end of the war the military has been drawn into public life in a big way. Its withdrawal is not easy even after a change of government (from within the family or without).
    *
    As for tough roads, it will require a climate of mass political activity or, worse, getting into the bad books of US imperialism.
    Where imperialism induces a military takeover, as in Honduras, it is not easy to overturn it; and there is always a way to have military rule with a democratic face.

    • 0
      6

      SJ
      The people who talk about a military take are the same imbeciles who believed that JVP could get 51%..
      Such is their level of understanding of the society they live in.

      Soma

      • 5
        0

        soman

        “Such is their level of understanding of the society they live in.”

        Is this the same society that Voted in Gota and his old crooks who seems to be completely lost in ….. ?

        • 0
          3

          ..and chose Sun god and his band of cyanide wearing walking bombs as their sole representatives.

          Soma

          • 1
            0

            soman

            I can safely say Tamils have already forgotten your Sun God at the same time you seem to moan and groan almost every second of the day. There is a lack of real Psychoanalysis about those who profited during the war. Now the stream of income stopped coming after the end of the war.

            You too must be suffering from (income) withdrawal syndrome.

            The problem is that just before the end of the war you should have diversified your investments. Worse come to worst, you should have prepared for a 1983.

          • 2
            0

            somoooooooo, why are you so dumb and blind? The cyanide wearing killers are working for the Rajapaksas now. Also the supplier of cyanide vials is also working for Ali Baba. You can meet them in Colombo.

            • 0
              3

              Tamil f
              They were killers under your command. See the difference now.

              Soma

              • 1
                0

                Somooooooo you are a cracker bugger. Maybe some treatment at the Angoda might clear your illness. Idiot Somoooo, look around the killers of the LTTE are all working for Ali Baba, your master. I left in the early eighties, hence I couldn’t have commanded the LTTE and I was still a kid when I left.

                • 0
                  1

                  Tamil f
                  Did you hand over the Cyanide capsule back.?

                  Soma

                  • 1
                    0

                    Somoooo, dumb twat yes I gave it to Nandesena and asked him to give it to his slave by the name Somoooooooooooooo so he can help himself to that easy transition to the other side. But Nandesena stupid just like you did not understand my comment.

  • 0
    2

    Though has the answer of “yes Mangala, you and Ranil are ones”, the greatest liar of the World Mangala’s question of who the real patriots of the Sinhala Buddhists are, fortunately, not firs being t asked by Mangala, who is dreaming to replay the same old Yahapalanaya record and tours the world sitting on top seat of Lankawe and he be walked towards by world leaders like Biden, Johnson, Modi, Trudeau, Xin……. Yes Mangala and Ranil fooled the nations of the World to save the Royals from the UN Chairs of Electricity. The history stands witnessed, i.e. during Yahapalanaya time, when Tilak missed to pull back from UNHRC in 2017, America went ahead and did it. Lankawe celebrated that as the resolution bearer America had gone, it was not binding any longer, thus decided hang in the UNHRC. Then, leaving that story behind, Mangala, the liar who is in top most height of his glory’s, when he said it was he, Ranil and New King drafted the resolution 30/1 and collected the support of America, UK and others. With this one master lie alone, a typical Lankawe leader Mangala wants to get the power back. Mind you, this is the horse earlier two Chakadathars mounted, fell down & ran away saying these grapes are sour. Old King conducted election two early and ran away leaving one foot slipper behind.

  • 2
    0

    Ranil resigned one year early and advised Vaalaiththodam Jr, not to try to topple the government hoping to take the power because the atmosphere around the Diyawanna Lake was foul. Mangala & Ranil, both are the reason for the new resolution and they both are trying to put the blame on other’s court. Mangala and Ranil did nothing on Resolution 30/1 for four years which a resolution he claims his government drafted and had approved by US & UK. But while their term’s one year was left, they thought they handing over UNHRC problem and Economic problem to Royals and they resigned. While Mangala, in case he managed to come next time, is bettering one more time the West by speaking in English, Ranil is not sitting and idling. But unlike Mangala, Ranil is a master in West bashing too, so he doesn’t want to take political problems to UN, but want to take to UNESCO the Sinharajah forest problem. It was when Uma Oya failed to deliver water to Hangbangtota Industrial Zone (which too was finalized by Ranil with water, electricity and 1M Visas for China, it was decided to use Sinharajah reserve to use Gin-Nilwala Gaga project. Now he leaving Mangala home and is going to UN. These are nothing new in the 75 years history of Lankawe.

  • 2
    0

    What Mangala and Ranil are thinking now is “Why God this UNHRC debacle didn’t come in an election time; then we would the new Kings”. In their vision, this is a master opportunity to hijack the power one more time.
    But the problem is Buddhist Sinhalese need a leader, not to manage this resolution, but to take the opportunity of this resolution and lead Lankawe to a new path.
    The leader needed to Lankawe is one who can take the Buddhists Sinhalese to a new path but not the Don Stephen’s democracy, which, Ranil repeatedly says as the path he follows. The leader should be willing to bring change based on this resolution. The safety mechanism for them here is it is not brought by any Lankawe party. The resolution came because Yahapalanaya and Chitanta governments absconding to change from their criminal culture. So the new leader never needs to answer to locals for the effect of this resolution on them, whether it is biennial malignant. It came here because, mainly of Old Royals’ carrying out war crimes Mangala –Ranil team cheating West on investigating the war but trying to steal favors from West.

    • 6
      0

      Kumar, it is kind of well thought out assumption. I pretty much feared the same. GR cannot survive as a politician. He gets mad, ends up admitting to killings, torturing and kidnapping.. Not like MR who is deceptive, lying and cunning., all with a ever smiling face. So GR, s only option is to survive as a junta where most around the world are on wane. Who ever ruling currently too are having a tough time. There are junta and then political thugs who are ex military turned politician / racist supported by fanatic majority and military pretending to be democratically elected leaders.(Venezuela, phillipines). Most juntas are established over years whereas it will be difficult to survive as a newly formed outfit. I hear after Wimal now Gomman pillay has started resenting .

  • 0
    0

    Putin just announced he will be in power for coming 15 years. Long live democrazy.

Leave A Comment

Comments should not exceed 200 words. Embedding external links and writing in capital letters are discouraged. Commenting is automatically disabled after 7 days and approval may take up to 24 hours. Please read our Comments Policy for further details. Your email address will not be published.