29 July, 2021

Blog

IMF As The State’s Economic Savior?

By Rusiripala Tennakoon –

Rusiripala Tennakoon

Amidst the growing concerns about the sinking economy, the battle at play, between some of the economic wizards from both the opposition and the government on the subject matter, has turned into an interesting stage. The message we get indicates that the conclusions of the debaters are at great variance like the N and S poles. Opposition spokesman categorically state that there is no in between solace for the falling economy other than the assistance from IMF while the State batsmen maintain that we can face up to the situation by inward policy adjustments.

In the context we the innocent spectators, rather the affected and victimized under the circumstances, are compelled to at least console ourselves by referring to the existing realities elsewhere in the planet we live. Hence this concise account of amalgamation of relevant information from authenticate sources.

The facilitations from the IMF are made available in a multi-pronged approach. In addition to the Normal financing arrangements for reforms and development , considered under different criteria, IMF has adopted new strategies to work closely with its member countries to provide emergency financing needs to protect the lives and livelihoods of the people.

The most recent normal financing arrangement was the adoption and introduction in 2018 of  a Framework for Enhanced Engagement on Governance. In its implementation process the IMF has had very intimate and close dealings with the member countries on reforms and issues related to Governance and anti-corruption. The discussions with the member countries take place through;

Article IV consultations, where the IMF country teams analyze governance and corruption issues and provide policy advice to combat any shortcomings revealed.

Lending programs: with conditionality to assist in the achievement of the committed  Governance and anti-corruption and preventing mis-use of funds;

Governance diagnostics: IMF staff making diagnostic analyses that go deep into governance weaknesses and make specific and prioritized reform recommendations to strengthen governance;

Capacity development: for IMF to provide technical assistance and training in the areas of fiscal governance, financial sector oversight, central bank governance and operations, anti-money laundering measures, and anti-corruption frameworks.

Followed by Research and outreach in the areas covered under the programs.

IMF outlook towards the Pandemic Crisis

Let us take a look at the pronounced IMF policy guideline on the Covid-19 Issue.

COVID-19 is causing tragic loss of life and has disrupted economies and societies on a scale that we have not seen in living memory. The IMF is working closely with its members to meet their need for emergency financing, while sustaining its fight against corruption and the misuse of urgently needed resources. In this time of crisis, it is more important than ever to ensure that IMF financing is used to protect lives and livelihoods.”

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the IMF continues to address governance and corruption vulnerabilities in member countries. The IMF is working to balance the need for immediate COVID-19 financing against appropriate accountability and transparency to ensure, as best as possible, that financial help reaches those in need. IMF emergency financing is provided in upfront, outright disbursements. With much relaxed normal conditionality in the context of emergency financing, the IMF ensures its resources are used for their intended purpose by implementing the following:

1. Asking member authorities to commit undertaking to ensuring that emergency assistance is used for the very urgent purpose of resolving the current crisis and not diverted for other purposes. 

2. Identifying public financial management, anti-corruption, and anti-money laundering measures that countries can put in place without unduly delaying urgently-needed disbursements.

3. Ensuring that emergency resources are subject to IMF’s “Safeguards Assessment” policy which involves a review of the central bank’s governance arrangements and legal framework, the audit mechanisms, financial reporting, and control systems. IMF ensures that a central bank’s governance framework is adequate to manage resources, including IMF disbursements.

4. Continuing to include governance and anti-corruption measures in these countries’ with multi-year financing arrangements. 

AS some of the basic pre-requisites  the IMF has asked member countries requesting emergency assistance towards Covid-19 related matters to commit to

1. enhanced reporting of crisis-related spending;

2. undertaking and publishing independent ex-post audits of crisis-related spending;

3. ensuring procurement transparency by, for example, publishing procurement contracts; 

4. preventing conflicts of interest and corruption by publishing the beneficial ownership information of firms awarded procurement contracts.

On the face of it and in the eyes of the public all these appear to be quite normal and easy requirements to comply with. But for some it looks like most of these requirements and conditions are paving the way for exposure of many shortcomings in our governance and accountability and opening the doors of cupboards with skeletons. Many of the things mentioned in the IMF process as matters coming under their purview are often questionable areas for us that have become highly critical with focused public concern.

WE wonder whether these are the reasons to shun the IMF and the government instead resorting to desperate makeshift arrangements for financing the ever-widening gap. On the other hand is it the reason why the opposition is pressing the government to go to IMF so that they could gain political mileage with the possible exposures that would follow and inevitable restrictions that may be imposed.

According to the current facilities available and policy arrangements the IMF is providing financial assistance and debt service relief to member countries facing the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. IMF has approved  from March 2020 under its various lending facilities and debt service relief financed by the Catastrophe Containment and Relief Trust (CCRT). Overall, the IMF is currently making about $250 billion, a quarter of its $1 trillion lending capacity, available to member countries.

Borrowing countries commit to undertake governance measures to promote accountable and transparent use of these resources when they borrow under the Covid19 relief arrangements.

Between the period March 2020 to January 2021, nine (9) low income countries in the Asia and Pacific  have obtained a total of US $ 2226.88 million as assistance under the IMF  Rapid Financing instrument and Rapid Credit facility for Covid-19 relief.

29  lower income countries from different parts of the world  have received in 3 tranches of Debt Service Relief amounting to US$ 726.75million during this same period.

Whatever is the outcome or the objective of the internal political war between parties, Sri Lanka’s worst problem is the debt service burden. Irrespective of who is responsible for allowing it to grow to this magnitude we are today among the few nations of the low-income developing countries  facing a serious financial stability risk.

It is time that we either produce our own plans and program to face this situation or resort to immediate assistance available as debt service relief from possible sources. When we examine the sources we come across the following;

* IMF ,emergency facilities—such as  Rapid Credit Facility (RCF) and Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI) —providing assistance to member counties during the crisis.

* The IMF has extended debt service relief through the Catastrophe Containment and Relief Trust (CCRT) to vulnerable member countries on their IMF obligations, covering  debt falling due to the IMF for the period between April 2020 and mid-October 2021, also project the duration to be extended to up to a two year period, ending April 2022.

* The G20 responded to a call of the IMF  on April 15, 2020, by agreeing to suspend repayment of official bilateral credit from the poorest countries until the end of 2020, was extended until end 2021.

* The IMF has approved the establishment of a Short-term Liquidity Line (SLL) to further strengthen the global financial safety net. The facility is a revolving and renewable backstop for member countries with very strong policies and fundamentals in need of short-term moderate balance of payments support.

* The IMF is augmenting existing lending programs to accommodate urgent new needs arising from the pandemic, thereby enabling existing resources to be channeled to the necessary spending on medical supplies and equipment and for containment of the outbreak.

* In addition to the Financial support IMF is also extending policy advice services to recommend policies needed to overcome the crisis, protect the most vulnerable and set the stage for economic recovery.

All these point towards the need to move forward with the global trends. Countries will have to be open to the global developments. This unprecedented human catastrophe demands unified action and the flexibility to mobilize universal support. Our policies should be more carefully tailored with proper advice.    

As IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva noted ahead of the April 2021 IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings: “The global economy is on firmer footing as millions of people benefit from vaccines. But while the recovery is underway, too many countries are falling behind and economic inequality is worsening. Strong policy action is needed to give everyone a fair shot—a shot in the arm to end the pandemic everywhere, and a shot at a better future for vulnerable people and countries.” 

In this trying time, let us resolve to choose the best suited instead of choosing what is best for some.

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Latest comments

  • 9
    1

    It is quite clear that the Viyathmaga pundits are incapable of running the country. It seems that those at the top have realized that going head-to-head with our biggest markets is counter-productive. So they have started negotiating meekly with the EU. But why is the regime continuing with the idiotic ban on chemical fertilizers? A famine will kill many more people than inorganic fertilizers.
    With the USD hitting 225, the government can swallow its pride and accept IMF conditions or borrow even more at high interest and inevitably default. Even the Chinese have limits to their generosity. They are too smart to throw money down black holes.
    As Sri Lankans, we have to learn to live within our means. If we can’t afford fancy highways or airports, for God’s sake don’t build them! It is far better to be underdeveloped but stable like Bangladesh than wear clean suits like us with empty pockets.

    • 5
      0

      old codger

      ” ……….A famine will kill many more people than inorganic fertilizers.”
      “…… With the USD hitting 225, the government can swallow its pride and accept IMF conditions or borrow even more at high interest and inevitably default.”
      “….It is far better to be underdeveloped but stable like Bangladesh than wear clean suits like us with empty pockets.”

      Are you proposing a merger between Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka?

      • 1
        0

        Native,
        “Are you proposing a merger between Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka?”
        That might be a good idea. At least we would have plenty of parippu , and a rupee that doesn’t evaporate.
        Do you think it’s time for the smarter Sinhalayo to reverse the kallathoni flow? Before the boats fill up?

    • 3
      0

      OC,
      .
      Shortly after that 52-d COUP, USD was not even 190 or something. Howver, the manner then JOINT opposition reacted on it… remember ?
      Today, even if it would turn out to be 250, the very same media would not utter a single word ?
      Who is behind this ? I believe it is POHOTTUWA men… also during previous govt, they were handling local press. Media mafia should be accountable for the mess in this country. Sirasa is exposing a lot today, but the very same SIRASA worked for the comeback of MEDAMULANA men….. all in all, if media reacted in favour of the public, as it should, thing swould have worked better for this nation.

    • 4
      0

      “With the USD hitting 225”

      OC,

      Didn’t I tell you to convert your Rupees into Dollars and to keep them under your pillow? ……… You would already be a Rupee billionaire! ….. Anyway it’s not too late yet. :))


      “Even the Chinese have limits to their generosity. They are too smart to throw money down black holes.”

      Chinese are very smart and shrewd: good on them ……..

      • 3
        0

        Nimal,
        “Didn’t I tell you to convert your Rupees into Dollars and to keep them under your pillow? …”
        I wouldn’t want to fall for fake dollars printed by Cabral. I hear that’s his secret strategy.

        • 0
          0

          Nimal,
          I think the problem is with the voters who elect these crooks who then proceed to pawn the voters’ jewellery to pay for what was promised. Our people have a very unreal image of the country they live in. The Daily Mirror ran an item about the Police getting 2000 three-wheelers. There was a deluge of comments from presumably educated people, on the grounds that these vehicles were bad for the image of the Police. Do these people think they live in Beverly Hills????

  • 5
    0

    When applying for loans the banks will ask for collateral, documents to show the real status of economy
    past tax returns and the ability to pay back loans without defaulting. Same when IMF provide loans with that comes assessing real financial picture and many times austerity measures. It is not giving a blank check and telling to pay when ever possible ??? Either Rajapaksas can take it or leave it but IMF is no fool to lend money to corrupted , criminal Lankan politicians.

  • 7
    0

    Rusiri, the greatest economist other than you in Lanka is Cabraaaal, who already told media Rajapaksas will not approach IMF.

  • 4
    0

    Just to let people know last week I wire transfered $ 1001 paying in addition almost 6000 LKR in fees hoping she would atleast get 200, 000. Only 192, 500 was paid by Commercial bank. It was for an emergency if not as Nimal said I would not cash a single $ in Lanka.

    • 0
      0

      Agnos, once again I thank you for the information.

  • 2
    0

    Basil is coming soon with 15% deal.

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