11 August, 2022

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Ranil As PM Till 2025, Opposition Disappears, No End In Sight For Queuing Trauma  

By Rajan Philips

Rajan Philips

Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe made yet another statement in parliament last Wednesday (June 22). Apparently, these are biweekly statements he has committed himself to make “since taking over the reins of this government,” as he put it. With cynical self-deprecation he acknowledged the mockeries directed at him for making too many statements with too little action or results. On a serious note, and quite surprisingly, the PM also hinted that ‘his’ interim government would go on until firm economic recovery is achieved and only then elections will be called. The pertinent paragraph towards the end of the statement, shows the Prime Minister shifting his target audience from parliament to the people, and suggesting:

“Once we have established a firm economic foundation you can hand over power to any political party as per your wish at an election and elect 225 suitable representatives to parliament. The responsibility and power to do so lie with you, the citizens of this country. You will be then given the opportunity to reject those you believe were responsible for the predicament Sri Lanka is facing today.  In turn, the new government will be given the mandate to bring those responsible before justice. But all this can only be achieved following the revival of the country.”

One appreciates the enormity of the challenge that the Prime Minister and the government are facing and the extremely limited and constantly diminishing assets available to them. Given this reality, a “firm economic foundation” is not going to be established within the next two to three years, which would mean there will likely be no opportunity for an election sooner than when it will be normally due in 2025. That is full term for the current parliament and near-full term for Wickremesinghe as Prime Minister. The President has already indicated that he will serve out his only term in full. If the Prime Minister wants parliament also to continue for its full term, he must state his intention clearly and categorically to parliament and to the people. It must not be conveyed through hints in a single paragraph in a long statement. Without transparency, there will be no trust.

In addition to transparency, the Prime Minister and the government must also act with purpose and intelligence to end the public trauma of queues that are extending endlessly for supplies that are not only short but may not be even there. People get that supplies are chronically short and they are going to get severely worse. What nobody gets is why cannot the government arrange orderly distributions of limited supplies, and spare the already suffering people the additional trauma of standing in long queues for something they are not going to get in any case. A case in point is the supply of petrol, diesel and cooking gas. They have been in short supply since February, and nothing has been done to regulate their distribution. Those who have little or nothing, stand and suffer to get nothing much, while those who can afford – send proxies to collect more for the purpose of hoarding and potentially reselling.

The young and confused Minister of Power and Energy, Kanchana Wijesekera, has promised to have a quota system in place by July. That is already too late and would be far too little as well. The bigger question is why the PM and the government are not thinking about implementing a system of priorities for procurement and distribution – food, medical supplies, cooking gas, and fertilizer. Fuel should be allocated only to public transport (including three wheelers), for health and emergency services, and for lorries transporting goods. With all the shortages and closures, and with the resources to work from home, it makes no sense continuing with fuel supply for private vehicles and transport.

Absentee Opposition and Political Games

Given that Prime Minister Wickremesinghe is leading a cabinet of old worn-outs, the onus is on the Opposition to constantly raise these matters in parliament and force the Prime Minister and government into taking concrete action. Instead, the BJP and the JVP are running away from parliament apparently intending to force the government to come up with a plan. In deciding to boycott parliament, Sajith Premadasa and Anura Kumara Dissanayake have reached common ground for the first time in the current parliament. Ironically, their agreement is not over some positive intervention but inexplicable abdication in the face of national suffering.

JVP leader Dissanayake who made big splashes in parliament last year and announced that the JVP is ready for national leadership, is now missing in action and missing out on opportunities to demonstrate his and the JVP’s readiness for leadership. Sajith Premadasa has become the occasional Leader of the Opposition. After weeks of silence, he appeared in parliament only to announce his boycott of parliament.

Political opinion is divided, as the Prime Minister himself acknowledges, between those who ridicule his ‘statements,’ and others who welcome his apparent openness and transparency. The problem is that Mr. Wickremesinghe has not been able to dispel the perception that he is still playing his old political games while appearing to provide a new form of leadership.

The Prime Minister and the President are not at all working together. This is the same as what it was during the yahapalana administration, according to former President Maithripala Sirisena. There is a huge difference, of course. Sirisena and Wickremesinghe were elected to work together, but between them they botched a joint venture that began with much promise. On the other hand, Wickremesinghe and Gotabaya Rajapaksa have come together by mutual consent and out of desperation. It makes no sense for them to work at cross purposes now. It only weakens the administration and adds to public cynicism.

There is no politics without gossip, and the going gossip is that the Prime Minister has been trying to get one of his sidekicks to step in as the new Central Bank Governor when the Governor’s current term expires. That would mean the replacement of Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe, who came out of premature retirement from Australia to head the bank in a state of crisis, by a rank outsider and a new Arjuna Mahendran. Why? Why would Mr. Wickremesinghe repeat the same colossal blunder that ended his legitimate political career? Fortunately for the country, and for himself, he may not be having his way around this time. But it only shows that there is no end to playing political games even when the country’s economy is in flames.

Full Term as PM

The Prime Minister’s hint at serving out the full term of this parliament has many implications. The PM cannot be extending his hand for co-operation from the SJB and the JVP ostensibly for an interim administration lasting a single year at most, while seriously thinking of going on for the next three years. Among the people at large the expectation is that the Prime Minister Wickremesinghe will steady the ship of state out of the Rajapaksa chaos, reach agreement with the IMF, implement constitutional reforms as widely understood, and then – in the span of about a year, set the stage for a general election. Beyond Mr. Wickremesinghe’s role, there have also been expectations for President Gotabaya Rajapaksa to resign from office and abolish the system of elected-executive presidency. All of these expectations now seem to be water under the Aragalaya bridge.

President Rajapaksa has announced that he will not resign before his term is over, but he will not contest for a second term. With all the talk about a parliamentary election, the Election Commission has started the process of updating the voter registry and lists. That work is expected to be finalized only in October. So, practically no election till October. In any event, for an election to be called this year, parliament has to pass a resolution for it to be dissolved. This is unlikely given the current dynamic in parliament under the Ranil-Rajapaksa government.

After March 2023, the President will have the power to dissolve parliament and call an election. There has been considerable expectation for an election some time in 2023. That may not happen if what Prime Minister Wickremesinghe suggested in parliament last Wednesday is also shared by the President and their cabinet of Ministers. The Prime Minister may have good reasons for suggesting that a fundamental economic recovery is necessary before there can be a parliamentary election. But his reasons are not an open book unless he shares them with others. And there is more.

It is the Prime Minister who has been consistently saying that there is not only an economic crisis, but also a political crisis, and that the former cannot be addressed in isolation from the latter. If a full term of parliament is needed to address the economic crisis, what is the implication for the political crisis?

Can the present parliament continue as it is for three more years? Wijeyadasa Rajapakshe’s 21st Amendment might be acceptable as a stop-gap measure for a limited period, but can it meet all the constitutional reform expectations over a longer period? How will the government handle the next presidential election that will come up before the parliamentary election, if the mode of electing the Head of State is not changed beforehand?

The Prime Minister, though not a man given to rhetorical flourishes, was exceptionally sweeping in his promise that once a firm economic foundation is established, “you (the people) can hand over power to any political party as per your wish at an election and elect 225 suitable representatives to parliament. The responsibility and power to do so lie with you, the citizens of this country. You will be then given the opportunity to reject those you believe were responsible for the predicament Sri Lanka is facing today.” How so, Mr. Prime Minister? That is the question. How can anybody elect 225 suitable representatives to parliament under the current electoral system? How long are political parties going to be allowed to nominate dregs and criminals to end up as people’s representatives in Parliament?

Specific to the executive presidency, how will Prime Minister Wickremesinghe and President Rajapaksa deal with the question of abolishing the elected-executive presidential system over an extended three year period? The Supreme Court has again stipulated, in its ruling on the SJB’s (ill-advisedly rushed) 21st Amendment Bill, that a referendum will be required to abolish the presidential system or to change the mode of presidential election. This is unfortunate in that the court may not have been sufficiently presented with the benefit of sound legal arguments questioning the appropriateness of extending the referendum requirement to matters that are not specifically included in the referendum provision in the constitution. Prof. Savitri Goonesekere and Dr. Nihal Jayawickrama have both expressed this opinion many times in the public domain, and no less a person than Dr. Colvin R de Silva proffered the same opinion 35 years ago during the forensic debates over the 13th Amendment.

Regardless of the legal position, it would be politically conclusive to decide the future of the executive presidency in a referendum of the people. That is what Prof. Savitri Goonesekere suggested few weeks ago – to bite the bullet and put the question to the people. But government leaders and the current Minister of Justice do not have the courage for it, and are hiding behind the referendum bogey to keep the presidential system going. The question will become a hot potato for the Prime Minister and It will be over a full term that he seems to be fancying now. Not just in the interim as others understand it.

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Latest comments

  • 23
    2

    Ranil.W +NGR are trying to hoodwink the public who do not want the current system of RULE to continue.
    We need to get all Rajapaksas out of all politics and to return the ill gotten assets locally as well as overseas.
    The INTERIM government should have only the uncorrupted MPs

    • 3
      1

      Naman,
      “We need to get all Rajapaksas’ out of all politics and to return the ill-gotten assets locally as well as overseas.
      The INTERIM government should have only the uncorrupted MPs”
      How do you separate the corrupt from the uncorrupted in parliament and governance!!
      We need a presidential commission and from experience it would take years and may not come up with results
      ARCHIVED

  • 5
    18

    “Ranil As PM Till 2025,…”
    —-
    ‘Aragalakarayo’ who enjoyed Buriyani diet established ‘Yahapalana Government 2’. Yahapalana? Government 1 was Ranil and Sirisena. Yahapalana Government 2 is Ranil and Gotabhaya (Puppet controlled by Basil). A guy who was convicted for asking a bribe is a Minister. A guy who neglected his duties as a citizen and allowed terrorists to carry out suicide attacks killing about 250 people and injuring about 500 people is a Minister. Is this the ‘System Change’ that ‘Aragalakarayo’ envisaged?

    Some of the leaders of ‘Aragalaya’ are now enjoying ‘Hira Bath’ instead of Buriyani.

    • 3
      2

      EE,
      It depends on whom do you think is the initiator of the killing of Easter Sunday 2019??!!

  • 10
    8

    Ranil who entered Parliament from the backdoor was appointed by the President as PM to tackle the economic crisis but now he is implementing what he started during ‘Yahapalana Government 1’, e.g. Giving deeds to farmers who use State owned land, giving deeds to occupants of apartments in high rise buildings built using tax payers’ money, handing over State owned land to private sector to grow food by fearmongering of a looming food crisis.
    Based on the past experiences, once they get the deeds some of them will sell those properties to the highest bidder. Who will be the bidders?
    Have people in this country given a mandate to Ranil to do these things?

    • 14
      1

      “That would mean the replacement of Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe, who came out of premature retirement from Australia to head the bank in a state of crisis, by a rank outsider and a new Arjuna Mahendran”
      Not really. The replacement was supposed to be Indrajit Coomaraswamy, who is no outsider, and refused anyway.
      “Sajith Premadasa has become the occasional Leader of the Opposition. ” He knows as well as anyone that recovery will take years. He doesn’t want to become unpopular by lengthening the queues. Ranil has nothing to lose.

    • 2
      1

      EE,
      Given Mandate to Gotabaya Nandasena Rajapaksa -6.9 million of them!! No less??!
      PM is implementing, Presidents; SLPP policies!!

  • 6
    0

    “Once we have established a firm economic foundation
    School Service Health service canont wait till to establish an unseen form ecomoc foundation every thing is taken from loan , logicians think more clearly than the no one from 225 is an expert who will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn’t happen today no one has that knowledge. in 2025 most will not be living.Ranil Rajapashe all are overage there thought has made this situation front of the world.

  • 5
    9

    The One-seat PM who is also the Minister of Finance is yet to formulate an economic recovery plan. Foreign high level delegations have already visited Sri Lanka and some others are scheduled to arrive. Some delegates seem to have been interested in tying Sri Lanka’s public service and education to the economic crisis. Therefore, any attempt to privatize those two sectors should be thwarted.

    • 2
      1

      Privatise the Parliament, not the government departments and public service!!
      Only the rotten eggs in Parliament!!
      Save 3.6 billion rupees a year!!! (Leader of the house claimed sometime ago, that opposition waste of parliament process, by protests, causes 10 million rupees loss to the treasury)

  • 8
    4

    The government is not interested in buying crude oil from Russia. Therefore, there is no point in talking about it. A former Sri Lankan Ambassador to Russia has revealed that a few years ago, Mr. Vladimir Putin has offered $800 million worth projects to Sri Lanka. But, the previous slave government hasn’t utilized a single dollar. Over 40 countries are against Russia due to its military operation in Ukraine, but it is not Sri Lanka’s problem. As far as I know, there is no international law that prohibits any country invading another country. There are a large number of examples of the US and NATO (in seperate instances) mercilessly bombing, invading, occupying and destroying sovereign states such as Indonesia, Cuba, Guatemala, Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia, Lebanon, Libya, Nicaragua, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Somalia, Sudan, Yemen, Afghanistan, Pakistan & Syria killing at least 3 million people! The difference in the number of people killed by US/NATO and Russia tells that the latter had no intention of killing civilians. The Kiev government has decided to withdraw its forces from Severodonetsk, presumably after receiving HIMARS. Where would they attack? Crimea? Innocent people are paying for the rivalry between NATO and Russia.

    • 11
      4

      Champa,
      “A former Sri Lankan Ambassador to Russia has revealed that a few years ago, Mr. Vladimir Putin has offered $800 million worth projects”.
      But why didn’t he mention the strings attached, like the rusty frigate and withdrawal of the ban on asbestos?

      • 2
        5

        old codger
        Yes. former Ambassador Mr. Saman Weerasinghe has revealed that Mr. Putin offered US$ 800 million to Sri Lanka.
        Re: Asbestos phobia. Asbestos is a natural mineral found in soil, same as clay. According to researchers, “uncontrolled heavy exposure” to asbestos dust particles may cause Mesothelioma, but there is no proof that asbestos roof-tiles cause cancer to those who are living in such houses.
        In Sri Lanka, close to 2 million houses use asbestos for the roof. However, almost everyone who uses “eco-friendly clay-tiles for the roof” uses painted asbestos for the ceiling! Because, not everyone can afford wood ceilings.
        Exposure to cement for a longer period can also cause lung cancer. That is why it is important to wear protective gear in construction and also use wet or oil soaked asbestos to minimize inhaling airborne asbestos fibre.
        Asbestos can even contaminate clay if found in close proximity. As far as I know, asbestos is not found in our soil. Therefore, our clay is safe.
        A few years ago, the US Public Interest Research Group found traces of asbestos in all major brands of children’s crayons; Disney Mickey Mouse, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles, Clubhouse, Nickelodeon and Playskool Crayons!

        • 3
          3

          Sabotage by Russia?? No!!
          None at all
          Yes, the asbestos issue is a Western Colonial trap!!??
          Just like, Organic fertiliser, until after 3 years and starvation, it dawns on us the emancipated Sri Lankans to the negatives of the issue??!!
          People (Sri Lankans) living overseas are safe, and who cares about those in SL backwaters??!!
          Let them suffer and die??

        • 2
          0

          Dear Champa,
          .
          Please dont mislead the commenters. Developed world is well aware of the facts about Asbestos.
          .-
          You may be good at some topics, but please the topics about which you are just an abcdician.

          In a country where, people are made to believe CATTLE THIEVES are their sun gods, at least today, you the kind of ilk should think back and make every efforts to provide the readership with FACTs, but facts. We dont need to waste our precious time arguing for the facts.
          :

          Please use the link below for your facts. That is publised by NIH.
          .
          https://www.cancer.gov/about-cancer/causes-prevention/risk/substances/asbestos/asbestos-fact-sheet

          To their survivals, they would promote any life threatening products yet today. DDT (also another cancer causing insecticide) was banned in Europe and other developed world, long before the developing countries were asked to do so.

          When was DDT officially banned?
          In 1972, EPA issued a cancellation order for DDT based on its adverse environmental effects, such as those to wildlife, as well as its potential human health risks.-

          Is DDT still used in Asia?
          DDT is still used today in South America, Africa, and Asia for this purpose. Farmers used DDT on a variety of food crops in the United States and worldwide. DDT was also used in buildings for pest control.

        • 3
          0

          Champa,

          Even if most of your comments are out of focus, I consider some of your comments be filled with genuine points (like the ones you added on ” NATO s eastward expansion and Russia’s fears – or against it).

          You sound to be somewhat against to your sungods/ Rajapakshes today. Weerawanse may be no longer sharing his own issues with you today. However it was public secret how you and the ilk were highly linked with Medamulana animals, so as the majority of slave sinhala buddhists have been upto.
          .
          With this being the facts about you, I wish i could be thankful, if I could get some facts from you – regarding most known recent high criminals

          as it is seen to me, nobody but srilanken main stream media destroyed the country. That is the most powerful mafia net work, which was strengthened by Rajapakshes and their business men. Drug mafia in Negombo and under ground colombo are too inferior to media mafia governing in our hell like country.

          Udayanga Weerathunga and his education is one of my focuses these days. . Some russian-europeans questioned me on this man lately. That is the reason why I thought of getting them from you.
          :
          tbc

          • 2
            0

            Do you have any idea about the truths on his education please ? He is said to be a business man, but many call him with his prefix – a Dr ?

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Udayanga_Weeratunga

            Why is that srilanken main press is behaving no different to social media today ?

            We perfectly know any hearsays could become breaking news to social media platforms. But state media and pvt media should be compliant with some media ethics. Unfortunately, so long Rajapakshes have been in power / or live, srilanken media would not care much about public and take the side of them.

            Who is behind that ? Is it not ventriloquism of Rajapakshes ? This is an area people in this country totally let it go.

            What is the clear line between truths of this country and untruths as of today ? People are made to be utter fools for theh life of some criminals.

            I really dreamt of that former media minister, Alahaperuma, could do some good work giving a life to media, but has failed to the manner all his predecessors did. He was a senior journalists according to the facts. If european countries handle their electronic and printed media by introducing them with a code of ethics, why not devleoping countries ?

      • 5
        1

        old codger

        “………………… like the rusty frigate …………”

        That was between Dayan and Sirisena.
        Even Navy didn’t want the rusty floating iron.

        • 3
          2

          Native,
          Currently Lady C is head over heels in love with Putin, as she was a while back with Wimale.

          • 1
            1

            Oc /
            .
            Yes I really dony why Champa sounds to be very close to Putin. For sure , Putin is the terminator in her dreams. As u rightly said cunning woman behaves today as if she did nt know Thunmulle Wimalaya????😶😶😶😶😶😶😶😶😶😶

          • 1
            1

            old codger

            “Currently Lady C is head over heels in love with Putin, as she was a while back with Wimale.”

            She’s partial to naughty boys, earlier it was Mahinda, then Weerawansa, ….. now maybe she is having a secret liaison with Sarath Weerasekera (Prince of Darkness incidentally, his car war stopped by protesters, one protester was sticking one finger at him)

    • 3
      2

      champa

      a week ago the minister for energy kanchana went and met the russian ambassador for some fuel.The ambassador wentbehind to the shed and brought a can of petrol.Kanchana said he wants 50000 MT not for himself,but the country.The ambassador told him russia does not lend to any bankrupt country.However he cushioned this by saying putin can change this if your leaders speak to him.So the ball is now in gota’s court to take up the phone and speak to putin.

  • 7
    1

    IMF, WB & ADB OR ANY OTHER LOAN OR AID GIVERS should NOT grant GoSL,
    without the Human rights of minorities being secured by the NEW constitution.
    It is sickening to see that Sinhala politicians of all kinds do NOT want assure Tamil speaking citizens their rights to live and work peacefully in SL. Gov of India please do your part.

    • 2
      0

      This comment was removed by a moderator because it didn’t abide by our Comment policy.

      For more detail see our Comment policy https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/comments-policy-2

    • 3
      1

      Naman,
      Delaying IMF relief is not good proposition
      However, agree with you that, Human Rights is of utmost importance and pursued to the ultimate to ensure rightful and equal values to all citizens!!
      IMF, should make it a futuristic condition in the first 12-24 months of assistance, as my understanding is that this relief would be in stages and not in bulk and one single tranch, which is good!!

  • 16
    2

    Ranil is not a one seat PM. He was selected by President Gotabaya to implement SLPP Policies instead of Mahinda Rajapaksa. He does not represent UNP or People of Sri Lanka. Now he is a SLPP nominee. That is why he followed the same policy about holding elections until he become a succesful PM and Gotabaya become successful President. Ranil and Gota does not want to go home as failed and still they hope that they can cheat Sinhala people.
    Recently we have seen China, US, EU, UK, Australia and India joining together in support of this new government with along with IMF and World Bank to stop the mood of the people to bring positive changes. They want to keep the problems of the country to continue, dependency on them to continue, racism and fundamentalism to continue, bribe and corruption to continue.

  • 10
    1

    I heard that there is no Gas for the crematoriums, and cremations have been stopped. Our local Hitler has declared that is it the patriotic duty of all citizens to desist from dying and live in the genocidal hell that he and his predecessors have created so that when they are allowed to die, they need not be afraid of hell. Jester and Eagle Thaatha please return from your temporary good life in the west, to have a taste of hell under your beloved Fuhrer and the yellow pets.

    • 5
      1

      PK,
      “I heard that there is no Gas for the crematoriums, and cremations have been stopped”
      is this retribution for cremation of Covid-19 Muslim dead, instead of burial as per their religious doctrine???
      One is mortally scared that, if death occurs in this scenario now, would be buried, for want of Gas, instead of Cremation!!
      Hallucination and dilemma of Muslims and Christians circa 2020 – 2021, may have to be re-lived by Buddhists and Hindus, when the mortuary space runs out???
      KARMA!!

  • 1
    0

    The writer says: “… JVP leadership is missing in action…….. not taking opportunities”. It is easy to say it.

    Can you please tell us WHAT ACTION IS MISSING and WHAT OPPORTUNITIES are not taken?

    In general, can you tell WHAT the Opposition should do? Also, tell us WHAT the Opposition (SJB, NPP, TNA & others) is NOT DOING.

    Thank you.

    • 2
      1

      Simon

      “Can you please tell us WHAT ACTION IS MISSING and WHAT OPPORTUNITIES are not taken?”

      Anura is trying to distance the party from its racist past however he might find himself in a tight corner if he push the party too to the Centre Left. Beware of OLD GUARDS may still be powerful within the party, can organise purge.

      I am not sure Sunil Handunetty is going to reform himself or let Anura shed the party’s anti Hindian anti Tamil past. He never appeared to take an impartial condemnation towards India and China. He has lots of affection for China and lot of condemnation for Hindia. He should join with Champika and continue as nothing has been learned in the past couple of years.

      A few days ago Anura made a passionate speech in Jaffna attended by representatives of Northern Tamil Leadership. I would say he has managed to put his heart and soul into his speech hope it was well received among the audience. Although it came very late in the day nevertheless many would have welcomed it.

      • 1
        0

        NV: Comparatively at the moment “JVP/NPP” is the only political outfit that I have some hope of bringing some sort of a “Discipline” to the political culture of the country. That “Discipline”, could infuse “Responsibility” and “Accountability” in managing the State Functions. I know they (all at the Central Committee) level and “Political Heads” work in an environment of “Discipline” may be on strict rules and guidelines. This was how some “High Flyers” such as Wimal Weerawansa and a few others were “Sacked”.

        Since late, when JVP thought of “Change” (policies, and philosophical aspects) it thought of “Broad Basing” with the formation of “NPP” and perhaps, that step would have led to “Recharter” political, economic, and social policies.

  • 1
    1

    You will be then given the opportunity to reject those you believe were responsible for the predicament Sri Lanka is facing today
    ——————
    Be careful what you wish for.
    Because all the lying freemasons in the media are going to be dealt with also.

  • 0
    0

    lets not talk of ranil being there in 2025 till the general elections are held.Let’s talk about whether ranil can survive the first 3 months o the second half of 2022.Ranil’s eggs are all in one basket,the IMF.

    IMF guys are here now to talk to ranil.Ranil says he hopes that they will provide some rapid relief by the middle of july.Assuming they do ranil is safe for 2022.If they don’t he is buggered.

    To get the relief the first preconditions of the IMF would be a budget that reflects the current condition sri lanka is in.This budget won’t come in july,so i don’t have much hope of the IMF giving loans as ranil expects it to in mid july.If a IMF supervised budget is passed through parliament and implemented then a first trance of the IMF loan is possible in the second qtr of the second half 22.

    so before the author starts talking about ranil being there is 2025,lets be realistic and see whther he will be there in july-sept qtr of 2022 and oct – dec qtr of 2022.If he survives in 2022 it will be because of the IMF.Then we have to see whther he will survive the first half of 23 and the second half 23.

  • 0
    0

    ranil should do a swot appraisal and shit appraisal.We learned about the swot when we did the ICMA which is now known as CIMA.After we became fund managers we also had to do a shit appraisal because we nearly lost our lives when we did a swot and got it wrong and the shit hit the fan.

    so it is important to do what we call in our profession a shit appraisal in conjunction with the swot appraisal which is like butter or shit whichever you prefer complementing the bread.

    In textbooks you don’t find anything about shit appraisal.Only bad experiences teach you this in the university of life.Mahinda already learnt this the hard way when his medamulana house was torced when the shit hit the fan.So ranil must do a shit appraisal in order to save his flower road house,whether when he sits in the PM’s seat will the shit hit the fan again.When we do this appraisal and forecast that the shit will hit the fan probabilty is more than 50%,we abort the project.

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