24 September, 2019

Blog

Sirisena Pushed Up Against The Wall As Ranil Wins Numbers Game 

By Rasika Jayakody – 

Rasika Jayakody

President Maithripala Sirisena, who triggered the political crisis in Sri Lanka by appointing an MP without a parliamentary majority as the Prime Minister on October 26, is now slowly being pushed up against the wall.

Ousted Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe stamped his authority over Parliament today by demonstrating a clear majority in the House: He emerged the winner of the “numbers game” in Parliament, as his rival, former President Mahinda Rajapaksa lost it not once, not twice, but six times in a row.

With 117 MPs from the UNP and the TNA supporting him, Wickremesinghe has become the sole choice of Parliament for the post of Prime Minister.

While the legislature has repeatedly demonstrated “no confidence” in President Maithripala Sirisena’s chosen Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa, it has explicitly supported Wickremesinghe’s appointment to the post.

The outcome of the confidence motion has left Sirisena with limited options. If the President is to accept the will of the House, he has to reappoint Wickremesinghe as the Prime Minister.

Any move to deviate from the will of the legislature will set him on a collision course with Parliament which exercises authority over many aspects of the government, including public finance.

Before the confidence motion was moved in Parliament, Sirisena resorted to desperate measures to drive a wedge between Ranil Wickremesinghe and his second-in-command in the party, Sajith Premadasa.

As a part of this plan, a newspaper owned by a controversial businessman—a supporter of the Sirisena-Rajapaksa alliance, carried a scandalous story that said Wickremesinghe had promised the Finance Ministry and a Deputy Leader post to Ravi Karunanayake, if the party returned to power.

Sources representing Wickremesinghe and Karunanayake categorically denied the story and confirmed that no such assurances had been made. Both parties said it was not the right time to discuss positions with any parliamentarian, as the UNP was entangled in a larger battle over forming a legitimate government.

The objective of this fabricated story was to rattle Sajith Premadasa and frustrate the middle class with the leadership style of Wickremesinghe. The UNP Deputy Leader has played his cards wisely since the outbreak of the political crisis and has thrown his weight behind Wickremesinghe, earning the respect of the party rank and file.

The middle class, which was disillusioned with the Sirisena-Wickremesinghe government’s ineffective administration for three-and-a-half years, started rallying around the UNP Leader after his unlawful dismissal. Wickremesinghe is currently riding a wave of public sympathy and Sirisena’s continuous attempts to undermine the Constitution and democratic processes have boomeranged on him. Karunanayake’s alleged involvement with Arjuna Aloysius, the man at the centre of the Treasury bonds fiasco, does not sit well with the middle class and the news of his reappointment as the Finance Minister was aimed squarely at unsettling them.

Unfortunately for Sirisena, this last-ditch attempt did not yield results and it was Premadasa who moved the confidence motion in support of Wickremesinghe in Parliament earlier today. While presenting the motion, Premadasa unequivocally said Wickremesinghe was the MP commanding majority support of the House and the suitable person to be appointed the Prime Minister.

Sirisena now thinks a referendum will be an easy escape route. However, opting for a referendum on an early General Election, in the face of an unfavourable ruling by the Supreme Country, will plunge him into deeper trouble and unchartered territory. Although the Constitution allows the President to hold a referendum on a matter of national importance, there are diverse views on whether he could hold a referendum on a matter that is deemed unconstitutional by the Supreme Court.

This, needless to say, will land President Sirisena in a fresh legal battle and prolong the current political deadlock. Therefore, going for a referendum under the current circumstances will be a politically suicidal move to make. 

Sirisena, addressing a party leaders meeting of the UNF last week, famously said he would resign from office and go back to farming in Polonnaruwa, if pushed up against the wall.

The confidence motion passed by 117 MPs in the House has in fact pushed the President against the wall and has severely restricted his bargaining power.

He, therefore, has only two options – either to re-appoint Wickremesinghe and work with a UNP government for 12 months until the Constitution warrants a dissolution of Parliament, or reappoint Wickremesinghe as the PM and step down from the presidency, as promised to the UNF party leaders.

Resigning in protest of Wickremesinghe, in my view, will be a face-saving exit for Sirisena, as it will solidify his position in the anti-UNP camp in the long run. It will also increase his chances of running for Presidency in 2020, where Wickremesinghe is slated to be the UNP’s candidate.

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

Latest comments

  • 4
    23

    At least for now stop day dreaming!!! There is no legal battle for referendum or there are no two options MS has to face!! He clearly said he will never appoint RW as PM again even with 225 MPs approved it. RW has no Sri Lankan rural or middle class support base to convince masses to come to streets on his behalf. Only the TNA, JVP & NGO elements will come forward which is less than 5% of the total population. That is why they are so scared of going for an election. Even people in the north never raised their voice against this but the LTTE henchmen. You can write hundreds of articles in this website or the papers overwhelmingly support RW. How many Sri Lankans are reading these? In fact ordinary Sri Lankans are happy that RW is no more governing this country. Average people like us have enough day to day issues to look after not make protests in the streets for RW & his high class gang. Some writers want their Lake House jobs backs perhaps why so much worry about this!!!

  • 3
    14

    At least for now stop day dreaming!!! There is no legal battle for referendum or there are no two options MS has to face!! He clearly said he will never appoint RW as PM again even with 225 MPs approved it. RW has no Sri Lankan rural or middle class support base to convince masses to come forward on streets on his behalf. Only the TNA, JVP & NGO elements will come forward which is less than 5% of the total population. Even the rural JVP members do not want it, but the likes of AKD, BR, SH & few others in the executive committee. That is why they are so scared of going for an election. Even people in the north never raised their voice against this but the LTTE henchmen. You can write hundreds of articles in this website or the papers overwhelmingly support RW. How many Sri Lankans are reading these? In fact ordinary Sri Lankans are happy that RW is no more governing this country. Average people like us have enough day to day issues to look after not make protests in the streets for RW & his high class gang. Does average Sri Lankan whether UNP, SLPP or SLFP want someone back in this prime position as PM of Sri Lanka who used his position helped his friend rob billions of public funds in CB in a day light robbery whether his removal democratic or not?? Does average Sri Lankan want a PM who supports federalism & is willing to give anything with no conditions to TNA which they couldn’t achieve through the war during last 30 years whether his removal democratic or not?? In my view 90% Sri Lankans would say no!!! This is the reality!!! I do not support MR or MS in fact did not vote in 2010/2015 for either of them. However we need a country to live before anything else.

  • 13
    1

    Looking at , Reading, and Listening to the comments made by Sirisena since 26th Oct and even beyond, it is evident that he he needs help. Urgent help with his mental health. All a psychologist needs to do is to draw two columns on a sheet of paper and on one side write down what he said he will do and on the other side what he has done. For instance his statement 10 days ago that he will solve the current situation created by him within 7 days.. The people are tired. Very tired.

  • 12
    1

    In certain situations, instances and scenarios, it can be said “end justifies the means”. Some may attempt to say this in connection with the “coup” on 26th October as well. When it comes to the observance of the Constitution this is a “No No” in “toto”..Never should the provisions of a Constitution of a Country be violated / bypassed / side stepped in order to achieve an outcome, however honourable and acceptable that outcome may be. So let us ALL stand united for the Constitution and Democratic Values at this critical time. There should not be any compromise in this regard.

  • 11
    1

    MPs are representatives of people. But do the MPs in this Parliament really represent the voters who voted for them? It is becoming clear that money plays a role in decisions taken by MPs.

  • 9
    0

    The outcome of the confidence motion has left Sirisena with limited options.

    Continues failure president is the result, not doing things right, Leadership is the art of giving people/parliament a platform for spreading ideas that work, If you always support the correct principles, then you will never get the wrong results. president did all this to put down Ranil is wrong How did his mind work to think MR is right the majority votes 117 shows the Person of national importance

  • 6
    0

    IF MS appoints RW as PM and resigns from office, he will be considered as a mature politician (and will be forgiven for all his child like behavior since Oct 26); and he will have a good chance of winning 2020 presidential election.

  • 10
    0

    Rasika Jayakody

    RE: Sirisena Pushed Up Against The Wall As Ranil Wins Numbers Game

    Q Is Sirisena an Insane Buruwa? Was Sirisena given a D-rope by Mahinda R? Or was it vice-versa?

    Ranil has The confidence of 117 MPs. That leaves 225-117, or 108 MPs who do not have confidence in Ranil W. Simple second grade math tells us that, even if all the 108 have confidence in the FAKE PM, Mahinda R, still 117 is greater than 108, UNLESS you use Wimal Buruwamsa Math, which says, 2/2=0.

    When one subtracts the 6 JVP MPs, wjo will not vore for Mahinda, the most the Fake PM, Mahinda R can get is 108-6 =102 The Faske PM, Mahinda won’t resign, and Sirisena apparently does not want to fire the Fake PM, he himself appointed unconstitutionally and illegally

    Perhaps Sirisena can use Buruwamsa math, 2/2=0, and demonstrate that he is an insane Buruwa, and say 102 is greater than 117.

  • 3
    9

    Bothe Sirisena and Wictamasinghe has to go .Appoint a decent and a educated person from the UNP party

  • 9
    0

    The earliest date of dissolution of Parliament will be end February 2020. Sirisena will not be President then as has to face an election in Jan 2020.

  • 0
    0

    So just in case if Sirisena resigns as the President in protest, then who becomes the President?

    • 0
      0

      Whoever the PM at that time, not automatically but has to be voted by the simple majority in the Parliament, I think.

  • 13
    0

    “…….. said he would resign from office and go back to farming in Polonnaruwa, if pushed up against the wall.”

    It is best that he goes home to Polonnaruwa and wallow in the mud in his paddy fields. Once in a while, when he really feels bored, he could break the tedium by setting fire to a neighbour’s paddy field.

    • 2
      0

      Setting fire to a neighbor’s paddy field is better than setting fire to the whole country for this Sirisena child with a matchstick. Better yet, find a place at Angoda. He will have plenty of good company, unlike the rowdy parliament.

  • 1
    3

    Rasika Jayakody

    Maximum fun time for RW will be an year, till next election

    People will push him up against the wall & those like you will be there too begging for mercy.

    • 3
      0

      It does not matter who is pushed up against the wall as long as due process is followed.

      • 0
        1

        People may have a feeling that some times some people are required to be pushed up against the wall out of due process, earlier than expected though finding provisional loopholes in the constitution may not be easy.

  • 2
    1

    Dear Writer,
    Very soon the people of Sri Lanka will push up the Ranil to wall and count the number of days.

    • 3
      1

      Sunil D. = Till then keep yourself occupied by sniffing and washing Mahinda Rajafucksha’s loincloth!

  • 1
    0

    Punaku and grass eating scoundrel Sanjeewa, this is what all of you thought in 2016, and all gone haywire for MR and cabals. Yes, live in your make to believe dream world, actual ground reality per the common forks is Sira and Mara are doom. Don’t ever think people are fools, they all know well and clearly that not only Sira and Mara are taking themselves to the cleaners but also the whole country and the people too. The consequences of their despicable actions are going to be huge and all going to pay dearly.

  • 2
    0

    Oh Oh If he is pushed up against the wall he will go to the Farm in Pollonaruwa leaving the Presidency as he has told Mano Ganeshan

  • 0
    0

    It will be better for Srisena to go back to farming-provided he will refrain from setting fire to the paddy fields to take revenge on the Country..

  • 1
    1

    This Gamarala has very low uptake,He has listened to brief less Lawyers like Lakthilake, Gunaratne,,& Konngahage who had led him up the Garden Path, Now he gets the final blow from the 7 bench of SC judges,who have educated him regarding the constitution, so it is best that he leaves for Pollonaruwa to look after a farm &cultivate it

  • 0
    0

    Rasika Jayakody points out ~ “Sirisena Pushed Up Against The Wall As Ranil Wins Numbers Game”
    .
    Yes. But the ‘wall’ will not collapse. Behind the ‘wall’ is the SLPP legions arming themselves with the old but effective weapon language/religion-divide.
    .
    By the way, it is being made out by prejudiced media, SLPP and associates ‘…..if not for TNA support……’. TNA support was for Democracy. Important to note that JVP did not support Democracy!
    The Ranil-number had UNFGG who in turn was made up of UNP, JHU, SLMC, Bathuitheen ACMC, Mano Ganesan outfit and others. Some of these have alluded that they are willing to be auctioned.

Leave A Comment

Comments should not exceed 300 words. Embedding external links and writing in capital letters are discouraged. Commenting is automatically shut off on articles after 10 days and approval may take up to 24 hours. Please read our Comments Policy for further details. Your email address will not be published.