By Vipula Wanigasekera –

Dr. Vipula Wanigasekera

In the upcoming presidential election, Sri Lanka finds itself at a crossroads. The contest between Sajith Premadasa and Anura Kumara Dissanayake represents not just a choice between two individuals, but a choice between two distinct visions for the country’s future. With both candidates possessing unique strengths, the decision for voters, particularly the undecided or “floating” voters, is more crucial than ever.

Sajith Premadasa, a seasoned politician, brings with him a wealth of experience. His tenure as a senior minister in the government has provided him with a deep understanding of governmental processes, especially when it comes to implementing projects. This experience is a significant asset, suggesting that he is well-equipped to navigate the complexities of national governance.

Premadasa’s lineage is also noteworthy. As the son of a former president who made significant strides in housing development, he carries a legacy that resonates with many voters. This historical connection could serve as a powerful reminder of his father’s contributions to the nation.

Premadasa’s inherent vote base in Colombo, combined with his energetic campaign style, further bolsters his candidacy. His performance in the last presidential election, where he garnered over 5 million votes despite facing Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s near-landslide victory, showcases his ability to rally significant support even under challenging circumstances.

On the other hand,  Anura Kumara Dissanayake offers a vision of a corruption-free government, a pledge that has struck a chord with many, particularly the youth. His campaign has been marked by a strong stance against corruption, an issue that has plagued Sri Lankan politics for decades. This commitment to integrity is not just rhetoric; Dissanayake has benefited from the public’s growing frustration with corrupt practices, making him a beacon of hope for those disillusioned with the status quo.

Dissanayake’s support base is largely comprised individuals who have been adversely affected by the economic downturn. This demographic, which includes many young people, sees in him a leader who understands their struggles and is committed to addressing them. His clear vision for the country, combined with his educational background and knowledge, positions him as a candidate capable of bringing about meaningful change.

The outcome of this election may well rest in the hands of the floating voters, those who remain undecided and will make their choice on the way to the polling booth. These voters are crucial as they do not have a fixed allegiance and are influenced by campaign dynamics, recent developments, and the candidates’ final pitches.

For Sajith Premadasa, appealing to these voters may hinge on emphasizing his proven track record and his ability to deliver results. His experience in government, coupled with his energetic persona, can be persuasive arguments for those looking for stability and continuity.

Anura Kumara Dissanayake, needs to leverage his message of anti-corruption and renewal. By highlighting his commitment to transparency and his connection with the younger, economically disenfranchised electorate, he can position himself as the candidate of change and integrity which he seems to have achieved as seen through his addresses to Sri Lankans overseas.

In a tightly contested election, the possibility of a second counting cannot be ruled out. This scenario could potentially favor Premadasa, given his established political networks, which may be reflected in voters’ choice.

Additionally, there is a likelihood that parliamentary elections might precede the presidential poll, meaning the scenario described here might not carry as much weight. Nevertheless, there could be an outbreak of public anger over attempts by the government to hold parliamentary elections first to prevent the NPP from gaining ground, and this could be counterproductive for the government.

As Sri Lankans head to the polls in September/October, the choice between Sajith Premadasa and Anura Kumara Dissanayake represents more than a mere preference between two candidates. It reflects a broader decision about the country’s direction, influenced by the last-minute decisions of floating voters which the surveys cannot ascertain  as in the case of “consumer black box” taught in Marketing studies.

*The writer is former Diplomat, Head of Sri Lanka Tourism Authority and Currently a lecturer for ECU and Meditation teacher and Youtuber