{"id":120113,"date":"2014-02-16T01:52:19","date_gmt":"2014-02-15T20:22:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?p=120113"},"modified":"2014-02-25T02:02:23","modified_gmt":"2014-02-24T20:32:23","slug":"march-of-folly-or-opportunity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/march-of-folly-or-opportunity\/","title":{"rendered":"March Of Folly Or Opportunity"},"content":{"rendered":"

By\u00a0Malinda Seneviratne<\/a><\/span>\u00a0–<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Malinda<\/a>

Malinda Seneviratne<\/p><\/div>\n

March is about \u2018Geneva<\/span><\/a>\u2019 and has been for the past several years.\u00a0 March is also time for opinions from all quarters about how to handle \u2018Geneva\u2019.\u00a0 Naturally policy decisions and choices will be called \u2018correct\u2019 by some while others would use the word \u2018folly\u2019.\u00a0 The word in the street regarding \u2018Geneva\u2019 (which is, for those who might wonder, about human rights and violations thereof, allegedly, by Sri Lanka, along with candy-words such as reconciliation and accountability) is \u2018negotiation\u2019, i.e. finding a way to work the voting arithmetic in Sri Lanka\u2019s favor.\u00a0 Let\u2019s consider the word.<\/p>\n

Negotiation is only necessitated by recognition that one of two (or more) warring parties believes that comprehensive victory is not possible.\u00a0 That kind of \u2018recognition\u2019 can be manufactured, as we saw for at least two decades vis-\u00e0-vis the LTTE<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0 Easy words and arguments rolled off ready tongues: \u2018invincible\u2019, \u2018cannot be militarily overcome,\u2019 \u2018too costly,\u2019 and \u2018politically injudicious\u2019.\u00a0 On the other hand, just because Sri Lanka un-manufactured or dismantled that lie, it doesn\u2019t mean the principle does not hold elsewhere.<\/p>\n

We are talking about Geneva, the UN Human Rights Commission (UNHRC<\/span><\/a>), and the power of key players such as the USA, European Union and India.\u00a0 In this case, there are two factors that need to be addressed.\u00a0 First, there is the claimed poverty of Sri Lanka to prevail. Secondly, we are not talking about winning a war.\u00a0 We are talking about defending fact over fiction.\u00a0 That makes a difference.<\/p>\n

There are those who argue that appeasement would work; appeasing India that is. The assumption that underlies this argument is that India (or anyone else for that matter) cannot be contained if not brought around to stand with Sri Lanka.\u00a0 Now it goes without saying that one-on-one or head-to-head, Sri Lanka cannot best either India or the USA and as such it is a tall order to take on a \u2018coalition\u2019 made of these two countries, be it in Geneva or the beaches of Colombo or the air over the city.\u00a0 On the other hand, negotiating such issues is not a simple matter of comparing and contrasting military might.<\/p>\n

Sri Lanka proved that there are moments when the composition of the UNHRC voting group makes it possible to turn things around; that and of course effective diplomacy.\u00a0 By and large, however, the odds are stacked against countries such as Sri Lanka whenever big name nations decide that it is in their interests to censure.\u00a0 It is not about right or wrong, not about truth and falsehood.\u00a0 It is about power. Geneva, plain and simple, is not \u2018home turf\u2019. It\u2019s a game where the rules are skewed against Sri Lanka.\u00a0 It is a fight that\u2019s scripted to yield victory to the powerful. Sri Lanka cannot change the venue.\u00a0 Sri Lanka can, however, play with the players in ways that can bring balance (not \u2018fair play\u2019 for that\u2019s a nonsense-term that\u2019s good for diplo-speak but for little else) into the equation.<\/p>\n

In this instance, those \u2018balancing out\u2019 forces are principally Russia and China. Gaddafi played appeasement and lost, let us not forget; Assad has prevailed, so far.\u00a0 It is not whether or not these were \u2018bad\u2019 guys, for no bad guy can hold a candle to the mother of all bad guys, Washington.\u00a0 It is about playing the cards right. The options, whether we like it or not, therefore, are about defence and trade pacts with China and Russia (and perhaps ASEAN) for the simple reason that the mala fides of India and the USA (and it\u2019s European client states) are established beyond a shadow of doubt.<\/p>\n

There are other \u2018soft\u2019 ways of dealing with these \u2018forces beyond our strength\u2019.\u00a0 If \u2018Geneve\u2019 is a theater with the purpose of turning Sri Lanka into audience that takes away a sense of guilt for crimes uncommitted, then the guilt card can be tossed back.\u00a0 In India\u2019s case, there\u2019s a four-letter \u2018word\u2019 that can shut up Manmohan Singh: IPKF.\u00a0 There, we would be talking not of \u2018allegation\u2019 but proven crimes against humanity.<\/p>\n

We can remind India that on Deepavali day, October 21, 1987, soldiers of the Indian Peace Keeping Force went on a killing spree that left over 70 dead, including three leading medical specialists, Dr.A.Sivapathasuntharam, Dr.K.Parimelalahar and Dr.K.Ganesharatnam, as well as nurses, attendants, patients and other civilians.\u00a0 They were shot in cold blood; Dr Sivapathasuntharam was helping an injured worker and was shot even as he pleaded that he was a doctor.\u00a0 The same day the building that housed the OPD was shelled by the IPKF, killing 7 people. The victims were all Tamils.\u00a0 That\u2019s Indian regard and concern for equality, dignity, justice and self-respect for Sri Lankan Tamils, spoken with such fervor by Indian Foreign Secretary Shrimati Sujatha Singh, who seems to be Geographically-challenged and quite myopic considering she doesn\u2019t know what her countrymen in Tamil Nadu think about such sentiments when it comes to Sri Lankan Tamil fisherfolk and their livelihoods.<\/p>\n

Sri Lanka, thanks to meticulous documentation by the LTTE during the \u2018IPKF times\u2019 of such atrocities (note that neither the LTTE nor its apologists abroad came up with anything close to such horrible crimes with respect to the Sri Lankan security forces, giving further credence to the claim of manufacturing such crimes post-2009), is in possession of a massive dossier of Indian brutality in Sri Lanka.\u00a0 That\u2019s \u2018usable\u2019 material in \u2018negotiations\u2019. Anything in any document that India puts her signature on will, potentially, be \u2018usable\u2019 against India herself.\u00a0 Today\u2019s friend can be tomorrow\u2019s enemy. Diplomacy is not a one-day match, history is long and India knows that while it can talk down to Sri Lanka, it cannot do the same to certain other nations.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s also the fact that in the long run, India might not last.\u00a0 It is a country that is made for break-up.\u00a0 India would do well not to provide would-be enemies with extra ammunition.\u00a0 India must take the longer view.<\/p>\n

Then there is the issue, the second one, of fact over fiction.\u00a0 It is important to know the truth.\u00a0 It is important, also, to market the truth.\u00a0 There\u2019s this figure of 40,000 being bandied about by persons, organization and countries with abysmal track records when it comes to political chicanery. \u00a0The circumstantial evidence rebels against any systematic push to kill civilians.\u00a0 The large number (inflated to 75-150,00 by Tamil National Alliance MP M.A. Sumanthiran<\/span><\/a>) of bodies, moreover, would have had to be disposed of.\u00a0 The question \u2018how?\u2019 has not been answered. Instead, there is \u2018evidence\u2019 in the form of testimonies of people who are politically compromised or are plain and simple untrustworthy.\u00a0 The ICRC which was \u2018on the spot\u2019 until very close to the end, tellingly, has not come out in support of these claims.<\/p>\n

The conundrum has been commented on, editorially, in The Nation<\/i>:<\/p>\n

\u201cA \u2018curious\u2019 individual has offered a \u2018solution\u2019 to explain the vexed numbers problem.\u00a0 A simple question has been asked: \u2018Eta katu ko?\u2019 (where are the bones\u2014read, \u2018remains\u2019).\u00a0 The contention is that if indeed 40,000 were massacred by the troops in Mullivaikkal, the remains, if piled up, would make a tower that puts Pisa to shame.\u00a0 No bodies have been found there.\u00a0 Were the remains vaporized, the writer asks.\u00a0 <\/i><\/p>\n

<\/i>\u201cLet\u2019s remember that there\u2019s satellite footage available of the LTTE shooting at Tamil civilians fleeing into Government controlled areas.\u00a0 That place was watched from above.\u00a0 It is also clear that there are many who want to hang this Government over war crimes.\u00a0 As of now their \u2018best\u2019 has been cleverly edited videos that is good as \u2018collage\u2019 but thin if they want to paint \u2018systematic\u2019, never mind the fact that the sources of the sources of the sources cited are hardly reliable given their loyalties.\u00a0 If these people really, really, really, want to get the job done, they\u2019ve had ample time (more than 4 years) to mine the relevant aerial footage.\u00a0\u00a0 It is, after all, a thin strip of land that we are talking about.\u00a0<\/i><\/p>\n

<\/i>\u201cThe fact remains that getting rid of 150,000 corpses is not easy.\u00a0 Not in the 21st<\/sup> Century.\u00a0 Forget 150,000 or even the 40,000 that is being waved these days; \u2018disappearing\u2019 even 100 would be messy.\u00a0 We are told, after all, that soldiers themselves were clicking away on their mobile devices to capture \u2018trophy photos\u2019.\u201d<\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Logic, however, does not have \u2018enough legs\u2019 to see Sri Lanka past the winning post, in Geneva or elsewhere on matters of what is unadulterated harassment by bullies who don\u2019t have the moral authority to ask questions or demand answers.\u00a0 Truth doesn\u2019t purchase in Geneva.\u00a0 This has to be recognized.<\/p>\n

It will boil down to how Sri Lanka builds relations with China and Russian, both countries which, unlike India and the USA, have not back-stabbed.\u00a0 Sri Lanka has walked long enough along the appeasement road to understand that it is going to a place called \u2018Nowhere\u2019, not forgetting that this appeasement business includes a caveat where Sri Lanka is required to confess to crimes uncommitted, with important implications for national dignity and sovereignty.\u00a0 So when some argue \u2018appeasement\u2019 they are either Indian agents, downright cowards or clearly incompetent in analyzing realities.<\/p>\n

Sri Lanka has not played all her cards, that much is true. Diplomacy has not been robust enough, this is also true.\u00a0 It is time that the right choices are made and the right signals sent to both enemy and friend.\u00a0 For starters, Sri Lanka can make a policy decision on coal power plants.\u00a0 Nothing for India and all future plants to be located in the Western part of the island, for security reasons.\u00a0 That might amount to \u2018signal\u2019 enough.<\/p>\n

*Malinda Seneviratne is the Chief Editor of \u2018The Nation\u2019\u00a0and his articles can be found at\u00a0www.malindawords.blogspot.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[…]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":105560,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,46,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-120113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-colombotelegraph","category-constitutional-reforms","category-editorial"],"yoast_head":"\nMarch Of Folly Or Opportunity - Colombo Telegraph<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/march-of-folly-or-opportunity\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"March Of Folly Or Opportunity - Colombo Telegraph\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[…]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/march-of-folly-or-opportunity\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Colombo Telegraph\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-02-15T20:22:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2014-02-24T20:32:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/Malinda-Seneviratne-150x150.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"130\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"135\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"COLOMBO TELEGRAPH\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"COLOMBO TELEGRAPH\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"8 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/march-of-folly-or-opportunity\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/march-of-folly-or-opportunity\/\",\"name\":\"March Of Folly Or Opportunity - 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