{"id":167595,"date":"2016-09-14T00:00:18","date_gmt":"2016-09-13T18:30:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?p=167595"},"modified":"2016-09-19T00:57:36","modified_gmt":"2016-09-18T19:27:36","slug":"chances-of-a-unp-breakup-are-0-slfps-more-than-50","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/chances-of-a-unp-breakup-are-0-slfps-more-than-50\/","title":{"rendered":"Chances Of A UNP Breakup Are 0% & SLFP\u2019s More Than 50%"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Vishwamithra1984<\/a><\/span> –<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cThere is no act of treachery or meanness of which a political party is not capable; for in politics there is no honor.<\/em>\u201d\u00a0~ Benjamin Disraeli<\/p>\n

The real and potential fractures that erupted within the United National Party (UNP<\/span><\/a>) are of a totally different texture and character from those of the Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP<\/span><\/a>). The real breakup of the UNP occurred when Bandaranaike left the party in 1951 and formed the SLFP. It engendered drastic national consequences. In a historical context, this breakup was construed as alogical necessity. The UNP was being led by the mercurial Sir John Kotelawala and as far as the UNP was concerned, whatever Kotelawala touched turned into dust.He had lost the trust and confidence of the electorate. The social and political capital that D S Senanayake built, Sir John managed to squander in a couple of years. His excessive subservience to matters that were British and the Colombo-elitehelped further darken the image of the Party and the masses fled it in flocks. The 1956-transformation owed its electoral results to Sir John\u2019s mismanagement of politics as much as to the congregation of the fivefold forces- Sanga, Veda, Guru, Govi, Kamkaru. The 1951-fracture within the UNP fundamentally changed the socio-political profile of Sri Lanka. A great majority of the rural sector left the UNP, some, never to come back.\"ranil-sajith-navin\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Even though the country\u2019s economy was on a stable footing, a profound lack of empathy on the part of the UNP\u2019s leadership towards the commoner was skillfully exploited by Bandaranaike and his Sinhalese-Buddhist coalition. The \u2018Swabhasha\u2019 cry could not have had a more fertile ground to take root in than the time when the UNP was being led by Sir John. It was totally divorced from the general masses. Not a very encouraging prospect for a party that governed the country for nine unbroken years. Despite the electoral collapse of the UNP in \u201956, the party retained its unity thanks to the foresight and strategic approach J R adopted during these years. While being outside parliament after his humiliating defeat at Kelaniya, J R managed to keep the UNP together and later invited Dudley Senanayake, who had already retired from politics, to lead it.<\/p>\n

Voted back into power in 1965, the UNP showed some minor crevices in its unity but held on as one single political party. In the early \u201870s, after the electoral debacle in 1970, the rift between Dudley Senanayake and J R Jayewardene did not burst into a breakup of the party although the left leaders and the SLFP at the time wished it did. With the death of Dudley, the UNP became a different party. Under J R, the succession of the party leadership was decided on a brand new process and J R ensured that the membership and its hierarchical echelons had a decisive say in the process. When, in late 1976, he summoned all party electoral organizers to Sirikotha and asked them to nominate a committee of 10 in their preferential order, they knew what J R had in mind. No other political party or its leader would have had either the guts or the foresight to promote a man of Premadasa\u2019s social credentials as its leader. But the UNP and its leader paved the way for it and the way in which Premadasa conducted the affairs of government and party politics is another matter. Yet the mantle of leadership falling on the shoulders of a real \u2018commoner\u2019 such as R Premadasa was unparalleled in Sri Lanka\u2019s caste-ridden political history.<\/p>\n

The next grave crack in the UNP appeared in 1991 when an unsuccessful Impeachment motion was brought against President Premadasa by a powerful group of Ministers in the then Cabinet.
\nBut the ouster of Gamini, Lalith, Premachandra and other stalwarts who led the impeachment process, signaled a serious splintering in the UNP. It aggravated the instability of the Party further when the breakaways formed the Democratic United National Front (DUNF). Some of the UNP supporters who left the Party and joined the DUNF never came back. One main reason for the UNP to have been rotting in the Opposition benches was this crack in the UNP. Yet in the wake of the assassination of President Premadasa, Gamini came back to the UNP and assumed its de facto leadership in the most unconventional way. And after Gamini\u2019s assassination by the LTTE, the UNP suffered further. Yet under most trying circumstances, Ranil Wickremesinghe kept the Party intact.<\/p>\n

Now the tussle before the UNPers is clear. One day, Premadasa\u2019s son Sajith and Gamini\u2019s son Navin might make an attempt to usurp leadership of the party. One might argue that even Ruwan Wijewardene, the grandson of D R Wijewardene, the media mogul in the first half of the 20th Century might have a fighting chance. This setting of succession has to be taken in a different context. Both Sajith and Navin came into politics after the demise of illustrious fathers; Ruwan entered politics with no \u2018accident-of-birth<\/em>\u2019 tag either. Nor can Sajith and Navin be classified as \u2018accident-of-birth<\/em>\u2019 politicians, for when they entered the arena, their fathers had already passed away and were not nursed or nourished by a power-hungry relative. They were elected to parliament on their own steam. The path that they decide to travel hereafter is entirely theirs. In a very profound sense, their election to office is not owed to their fathers, although that memory might have helped them.<\/p>\n

In this context of succession, the pronouncement made by Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe regarding the leadership of his Party on the need for a second level leadership is significant. Unlike the SLFP, the UNP has had a very decent and democratic way of electing its recent leaders. Both Premadasa and then Gamini assumed de facto leadership of the party via an election held among the parliamentarians or would-be parliamentarians. Even Ranil Wickremesinghe was confirmed as Leader of the UNP after a bitterly fought-out election in 2011. Such steadfast adherence to democratic principles may have gone unnoticed by many but its validity and legitimacy in the current political climate is substantial. Its significance against a backdrop of good governance, transparency, accountability and law and order or lack thereof should be noted by all those who profess to safeguard these democratic values.<\/p>\n

Nevertheless, family-centered rule should be unequivocally condemned because the inherent dangers of such rule were amply illustrated during the last twenty years. Democracy is not only an amazing method of governance, but it also provides the players and spectators, in equal measure, with a sense of balance. Those who are mindful of history, who are willing to forgive the wrongs done unto them by their rivals but not forget the damages such wrongs had caused to them, are invariably more successful in the long run. Both leading parties are now led by two gentlemen who do not have any family members to pass the baton to.<\/p>\n

In this regard, what Navin Dissanayake, Minister of Plantation Industries aired out a couple of weeks ago is noteworthy. His resolute stand not to release the funds, specifically allocated to the Sri Lanka Tea Board by courtesy of Gazette Extraordinary 1677\/14 of October 27, 2010<\/em>, to the Treasury apparently has prevailed. His posture to resign from the Ministry should not be taken frivolously. Whatever Navin\u2019s plusses and minuses are, he is blessed with that rare attribute of ‘strategic recklessness<\/em>‘ of his father, Gamini Dissanayake. In political annals, those who dare display ‘strategic recklessness’, ‘sustained rashness’ <\/em>or ‘controlled aggression<\/em>‘, whatever one calls it, against ‘political correctness’, a posture assumed by run-of-the-mill politicians of today, survive to triumph. Chances are, when one takes such a stance against personal odds would always become triumphant if such recklessness is not a misplaced expression of anger or hatred. Jawaharlal Nehru once said that \u2018the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all\u2019.<\/p>\n

However, there is one cardinal precept that these three young men, Sajith, Navin and Ruwan need to observe: They have to deliver. No delivery, no gain, period. The UNP is in an enviable position with its second level-leadership. Apart from the aforementioned three, any political party would like to boast about the likes of Harrison, Akila Viraj, Ravi Karunanayake, , Kabir Hashim and Sagala Ratnayake in its midst. Both R Premadasa and Gamini Dissanayake delivered on their promises. D R Wijewardene and his son Ranjith were proven business tycoons. They were outstandingly competent and efficient managers of the jobs they had to perform. While Premadasa performed remarkably well as a micro-manager, Gamini was the total opposite, a manager who generated results by consensual covenant and delegation of authority. Both were accepted by the masses as men of superlative capacity and unmatched determination to pursue their respective political goals. Given the above circumstances and in terms of the analysis per my previous column, the chances of a UNP breakup are close to 0% and those of the SLFP are more than 50%.<\/p>\n

*The writer can be contacted at vishwamithra1984@gmail.com<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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