{"id":5643,"date":"2012-03-14T12:54:30","date_gmt":"2012-03-14T11:54:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/colombotelegraph.com\/?p=5643"},"modified":"2012-03-17T16:52:23","modified_gmt":"2012-03-17T16:52:23","slug":"iran-oil-rajapakses-on-the-run","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/iran-oil-rajapakses-on-the-run\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran \u2013 Oil \u2013 Rajapakses On The Run"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Kumar David-<\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_5644\" style=\"width: 136px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/kumar-david-colombotelegraph.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5644\" class=\"size-full wp-image-5644\" title=\"Kumar David colombotelegraph\" src=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/kumar-david-colombotelegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"126\" height=\"119\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-5644\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Prof.Kumar David<\/p><\/div>\n<p>A hornet\u2019s nest of connected issues is exploding. If Israel attacks Iran what will happen in the Middle\u00a0East and to oil prices? If not what will happen to oil prices? The Rajapakse government is under attack\u00a0on all sides and is crumbling; can we make any sensible predictions even six months ahead? I think this is\u00a0the time to analyze, understand and act.<\/p>\n<p>The US does not want Israel to attack Iran because the consequences in the Middle East cannot be\u00a0foreseen. Israel is determined, whatever the risk, to end Iran\u2019s nuclear programme and maintain its\u00a0nuclear monopoly in the region. The US is bent on ending Iran\u2019s nuclear ambitions by threats, sanctions,\u00a0strangling the Iranian economy, even regime change, but forestalling an Israeli attack. Because of the \u00a0absurd US-Israel relationship and ridiculous American public attitudes, all US presidents and houses of\u00a0congress are terrified of losing elections if they seem to be anti-Israeli.<\/p>\n<p>Iran will not stop its nuclear programme; it is developing a bomb, and irrespective what the Non-\u00a0Proliferation Treaty says, it should not stop. At least one Islamic country in the Middle East must have a\u00a0bomb since Israel has a lethal arsenal of 200; otherwise it is suicide. Iran should end its programme only\u00a0if nuclear weapons are eliminated in the entire Middle East, including Israel. Sure it is better if that\u00a0country is a democracy like Turkey or a future democratic Egypt, but that option is not within anyone\u2019s\u00a0control.<\/p>\n<p>It is not possible to predict the big picture, but for Lanka the oil shock will worsen. Because US sanctions\u00a0can close down our international banking system, we are begging for permission to buy Iranian oil. The\u00a0Sapugaskanda refinery is tuned for Iranian crude and this is 90% of our supply. If the US gives exemption\u00a0it will still insist on reduction of imports over time. World oil price may stay over 100 dollars a barrel or\u00a0even increase.<\/p>\n<p>Oil prices did not increase suddenly; the government suddenly withdrew the subsidy on kerosene and\u00a0diesel. This and rupee devaluation are leading to steep increases of all prices. Public unrest is worsening\u00a0and the popularity of the government plummeting. I told the Sinhalese people over and over again, that\u00a0once the State had finished off the Tamils it will turn its guns on them; at the time they did not care, but\u00a0now see what\u2019s happening! Wimal Warnakulasuriya, brother-in-law of Anthony Fernando who was shot\u00a0dead in Chilaw, wails: \u201cThey (STF and Police) treated us like LTTE cadres; they attacked us with the same\u00a0mindset\u201d. Do I need to say more?<\/p>\n<p>It is clear that the Rajapakse regime has capitulated to the visiting US team lead by Otero and Blake.\u00a0Some say an agreement may be arrived with the TNA, and some LLRC Recommendations implemented.\u00a0Unbelievably, the army has changed its tune and said: \u201cSome civilians may have been shot as they were\u00a0captured or surrendered\u201d. A military court of inquiry has been appointed.<\/p>\n<p>This is all an unbelievable upside-down and inside-out somersault by the government. A comrade asked\u00a0me: \u201cHey, will the government last six months?\u201d I don\u2019t know but it is time for action to strengthen mass\u00a0protest movements, demilitarize the whole country,\u00a0and devolve power to the provinces including the\u00a0North and East.<\/p>\n<p>Article is provided by\u00a0<strong><em><a href=\"http:\/\/colombotelegraph.com\/\/?s=Team+Anik+Pituwa\">Team Anik Pituwa<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":5644,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[49,51,53,54,56,58,63],"tags":[2046,1644,2180,2181,1650,2182],"class_list":["post-5643","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","category-environmental-pollution","category-global-politics","category-good-governance","category-human-rights-2","category-left-platform","category-politics-2","tag-global-oil-prices","tag-llrc-report","tag-nuclear-weapons","tag-oil-price-crisis","tag-transitional-justice-and-reconciliation","tag-us-israel-relationship"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - 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