{"id":63539,"date":"2012-12-07T14:33:54","date_gmt":"2012-12-07T14:33:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?p=63539"},"modified":"2012-12-08T18:45:22","modified_gmt":"2012-12-08T18:45:22","slug":"the-colombo-centric-new-silk-road","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/the-colombo-centric-new-silk-road\/","title":{"rendered":"The Colombo-Centric New Silk Road"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<p><strong>By\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.patrickmendis.com\/commercial\/index.php\">Patrick Mendis<\/a><\/span> &#8211;<\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_63540\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/the-colombo-centric-new-silk-road\/patrick-mendis\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-63540\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-63540\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-63540\" title=\"Patrick Mendis\" src=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/Patrick-Mendis-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/Patrick-Mendis-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/Patrick-Mendis-50x50.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-63540\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Dr Patrick Mendis<\/p><\/div>\n<p><em>Since the end of the 25-year-old Eelam civil war, Sri Lanka has entered into another increasingly treacherous confl ict &#8211; an as-yet subtle but emerging one between the United States and China to secure the fl ow of Persian Gulf energy resources and free trade in the Indian Ocean. The 21st century forces of global realities are not purely geopolitics but surely geoeconomics. When Sri Lanka drifted towards Beijing as China&#8217;s &#8220;string of pearls&#8221; naval strategy gained momentum, challenges to American hegemony in south Asia escalated as if Washington and Beijing were in direct competition with each other under the shadow of New Delhi. The new American &#8220;re-charting&#8221; strategy tries to prevent further deterioration of US security interests in the island and to secure the balance of power in south Asia.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Like the old Silk Road that stretched from the ancient Chinese capital of Xian all the way to ancient Rome, modern China\u2019s strategic and commercial supply line extends over the Indian Ocean and the South China Sea to include the focal transit port of Sri Lanka at the southern tip of India. With rapidly growing military, diplomatic, and economic ties with China since the brutal 25-year civil war between the Government of Sri Lanka and the Liberation T\u00adigers of Tamil Eelam (<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=LTTE&amp;x=8&amp;y=5\">LTTE<\/a><\/span>) ended in May 2009, the war-shattered island nation desperately needed foreign assistance to support post-conflict reconstruction, protect war refugees, avoid further crises, and guarantee overall economic development for its highly literate and industrious people.<sup>1<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>To finance rebuilding efforts, Sri Lanka returned to Washington and borrowed $2.6 billion from the International Monetary Fund (<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=IMF&amp;x=11&amp;y=4\">IMF<\/a><\/span>) in July 2009.<sup>2<\/sup>\u00a0Sri Lanka has been under the guidance of the World Bank and IMF (both undergirded by the influence of United States (US) foreign policy) over the past three decades, which has included the austerity measures and conditionality of these two Bretton Woods Institutions\u2019 (BWIs) structural adjustment programmes. It has been a painful experience for islanders whose social welfare in education, health, and agriculture was reduced by structural changes and budget reductions. The conditionality of Washington\u2019s policy prescription has primarily been influenced by American-style trade liberalisation and economic growth stra\u00adtegy, as well as democratic system of governance and transparency.<\/p>\n<p>With the spectacular rise of Chinese economic success, which had opposed the conditionality of the so-called Washington Consensus, Beijing has begun to challenge the trinity of Washington institutions (the World Bank, IMF, and the US department of treasury) by offering concessional financial assistance and commercial loans to other countries, and quietly developing a \u201cstring of pearls\u201d naval network in the Indian Ocean. In Colombo, the\u00a0<em>Sunday Times<\/em>reported that China\u2019s Export-Import Bank provided more than $6.1 billion loans in 2009 for post-war development projects \u2013 including the <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Hambantota&amp;x=11&amp;y=2\">Hambantota<\/a><\/span> deepwater seaport \u2013 in Sri Lanka; this was more than the loans provided by traditional donors (the US, I\u00adndia and Japan) combined.<sup>3<\/sup>\u00a0Unlike the BWIs in Washington, Beijing has no conditions \u2013 structural adjustments, policy reforms, competitive biddings, or transparency \u2013 attached to their loans (with the exception of employment for 25,000 Chinese workers in Sri Lanka) (ibid). The Sri Lankan ambassador to the US told the\u00a0<em>New York Times<\/em>\u00a0in 2010 that his country \u201clooked for investors in America and around the world, but C\u00adhina offered the best terms\u201d, and \u201cwe don\u2019t have f\u00adavorites\u201d.<sup>4<\/sup>\u00a0Indeed, the C\u00adhinese policy of non-interference in domestic affairs and respect for national sovereignty and l\u00adocal politics is one of the \u201cbest terms\u201d for the Sri Lankan government.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Geopolitics vs Geoeconomics<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In a comparative analysis, the Beijing o\u00adffer of $6.1 billion without conditionality over the Washington loan of a strings-attached $2.6 billion was certainly more attractive for President <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Mahinda+Rajapaksa&amp;x=6&amp;y=6\">Mahinda Raja\u00adpaksa<\/a><\/span> of Sri Lanka. Since the war ended, his leadership has been under heavy criticism for alleged war crimes, human rights violations, nepotism, and corruption by the United Nations, the US, and other western donor countries. For Raja\u00adpaksa, according to the British Broadcasting Corporation, there were other reasons to break away from the west: \u201cWhen money from the west looked as if it may dry up because of concerns over human rights abuses towards the end of the civil war, the president tried to offset this by making overtures to China\u201d.<sup>5<\/sup>\u00a0I\u00adndeed, the i\u00adnitial assessment of Sri Lanka\u2019s final phase of the war and associated human rights violations was a priority concern for Washington, London, and Geneva. Since the release of the new American \u201cre-charting\u201d strategy for Sri Lanka outlined by the US Senate Foreign Relations Report (also known as the Kerry-Lugar Report) in 2009, the White House, the Pentagon, and the state department began to \u201creset\u201d the geopolitical priority button: \u201cWe cannot afford to \u2018lose\u2019 Sri Lanka\u201d<sup>6<\/sup>\u00a0and the US needs to use the island to advance its national security interests in the Indian Ocean.<\/p>\n<p>With the Kerry-Lugar Report, the policy orientation in Washington towards Sri Lanka has changed. According to US State Department, Secretary Hillary Clinton told visiting Sri Lankan External Affairs Minister Gamini Lakshman Peiris in May 2010: \u201cI think that the steps that have been taken by the Sri Lankan government are commendable, and we are supporting that effort. The minister and I talked about the continuing role of the United Nations.\u201d<sup>7<\/sup>\u00a0Clinton reminded the former Rhodes Scholar, \u201cThe United States has long been a friend of Sri Lanka. Our countries share a history of democratic institutions, and we have an active USAID programme that has invested more than $1.9 billion in Sri Lanka since 1956\u201d (ibid).<sup>\u00a0<\/sup>Compared to the accumulated amount of less than $2 billion worth of US foreign assistance over the past 50 years, the current Chinese investment of over $6 billion speaks louder for the Rajapaksa administration.<\/p>\n<p>In the midst of competition between Washington and Beijing over Colombo, the Indian perception of a Chinese threat in south Asia has grown highly sensitive; however, New Delhi\u2019s influence over Sri Lanka has been limited and even reluctant to intervene (since the 1989 withdrawal of the Indian peacekeeping troops after a Vietnam-like American debacle).<sup>8<\/sup>\u00a0With the 2008 US-India civil nuclear pact, the two strongest and largest democracies elevated their bilateral trade relations to new heights through unprecedented military and nuclear cooperation.<sup>9<\/sup>\u00a0When the Sri Lankan parliament led by President Rajapaksa\u2019s elder brother and Speaker <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Chamal+Rajapaksa&amp;x=12&amp;y=7\">Chamal<\/a><\/span> amended the constitution in September 2010 to r\u00ademove the presidential term limit and gave the executive extraordinary powers and freedoms over legislative, judi\u00adciary and electoral appointments, democratic partners in Washington and Delhi expressed grave concerns over the power concentration in the dictatorial presidency. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Tisaranee+Gunasekara&amp;x=12&amp;y=7\">Tisaranee Gunasekara<\/a><\/span>, a res\u00adpected Sri Lankan journalist, characterised the paradox by noting that<strong>\u00a0\u201c<\/strong>more freedom for the Raja\u00adpaksas [to make appointments in every branch of government] means less freedom for the Sri Lankan people\u201d.<sup>10<\/sup>\u00a0Another Colombo com\u00admentator in\u00a0<em>The Island\u00a0<\/em>newspaper des\u00adcribed the constitutional amendment as creating \u201can imperial President\u201d.<sup>11<\/sup>\u00a0Des\u00adpite such criticism, the speaker of par\u00adliament proudly reminded the world through his official webpage that it is the Rajapaksa family \u2013 with nine members in parliament alone \u2013 that governs the island of 21 million people.<sup>12<\/sup>\u00a0Apart from Sri Lankans, the family-led, authoritarian-type political and economic power structure in the island is an especially worrisome development for over 60 million Tamil neighbours in the Tamil Nadu state and the large Hindu population in the rest of India.<\/p>\n<p>The gamut of these dynamic relationships and developments is not new to Asia. For the greater part of the cold war period, India ironically maintained friendly relations with the former Soviet Union while Sri Lanka aligned more with the US. These mutually beneficial relations in both economic and military affairs were seemingly contradictory to their (India and Sri Lanka) political pledges to the Non-Aligned Movement, their nominal membership as former British colonies in the Commonwealth of Nations, and their roles as protagonists within the concept of an Indian Ocean Zone of Peace.<sup>13<\/sup>\u00a0When the British Empire was eclipsed as a dominant world power, the US gained global supremacy in the post-\u00adsecond world war era. Sino-American as well as Indo-American relations have reached a critical juncture, particularly after al-Qaida attacked the US in 2001. In the meantime, the US is burdened with the current state of the national debt and the expansive focus of US military involvement in both international maritime security and the global war on terrorism waged within a growing list of countries (Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, Yemen, and elsewhere). As a creditor nation to the US and other countries, China has gained enough econo\u00admic ascendance to command a new d\u00adirection in global relations and I\u00adndian Ocean affairs.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Crown Jewel of the String of Pearls<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The strategically-located Sri Lanka is advantageously positioned within the international east-west shipping route in the Indian Ocean. Over 85% of China\u2019s energy imports from west Asia and mineral resources from Africa transit through Sri Lanka and other \u201cstring of pearls\u201d ports. As part of its new Silk Road network, Beijing seeks to protect them as strategic economic arteries anchored all the way from Persian Gulf and African waters to the South China Sea. Colonel Christopher Pehrson at the US Army War College described this elaborate network as<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>the manifestation of China\u2019s rising geo\u00adpolitical influence through efforts to increase access to ports and airfields, develop special diplomatic relationships, and modernize military forces that extend from the South China Sea through the Strait of Malacca, across the Indian Ocean, and on to the Arabian Gulf.<sup>14<\/sup><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>To meet increasing demand for resources and to secure their maritime trade routes through the Indian Ocean, China has either built or reportedly planned to construct vital facilities in Bangladesh, Cambodia, Maldives, Myanmar, Pakistan, Seychelles, Sri Lanka and Thailand. China\u2019s comprehensive \u201cstring of pearls\u201d<sup>\u00a0<\/sup>naval strategy includes:<sup>15<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>\u2022\u2002A planned oil refinery terminal at Chittagong in Bangladesh, the northern Bay of Bengal located just east of India;<\/p>\n<p>\u2022\u2002The reported establishment of a naval base and intelligence surveillance station at Sittwe in Myanmar and in nearby<br \/>\nislands on the Bay of Bengal;<\/p>\n<p>\u2022\u2002The reported building of a surveillance base on Marao Island in the Maldives, just north of the British military base leased to US armed forces on the i\u00adsland of Diego Garcia;<\/p>\n<p>\u2022\u2002The construction of a billion-dollar deepwater port at Gwadar in Baluchistan province of Pakistan on the Arabian Sea coast close to Iran and the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf, which will be used as a pipeline terminal to transport crude oil and natural gas from the Persian Gulf to China\u2019s western hinterland and Xingjian; and<\/p>\n<p>\u2022\u2002The present construction of a billion dollar all-inclusive deepwater sea port at Hambantota in Sri Lanka.<sup>16<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>In addition to these projects, China has reportedly been exploring the expansion and establishment of other facilities at eastern and western maritime choking ports of the Indian Ocean \u2013 the Gulf of Aden and the Arabian Sea as well as the Strait of Malacca \u2013 to address growing piracy issues, especially around Somalia, Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines.<sup>17<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>The construction of the massive sea port at Hambantota \u2013 a small fishing village of 21,000 people on the south\u00adeastern coast of Sri Lanka \u2013 is understandably a cause for serious concern in Delhi and Washington. In May 2009,<em>China National News<\/em>\u00a0reported that Sri Lanka resorted to generous financial, military, and diplomatic support from China after India and the US declined to assist the Colombo government in defeating the separatist Tamil Tigers.<sup>18<\/sup>\u00a0In exchange, China has now begun to reap the benefits of its strategic investment on the island by using the seaport as a refuelling and docking station for the Chinese Navy and commercial shipment. Hambantota is also one of President Rajapaksa\u2019s constituencies and is represented by his 23-year-old son Namal in parliament \u2013 an implicit but solid strategy to continue the political dynasty in Sri Lanka.<sup>19<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>As a deliberate example of family connections, the Rajapaksa administration is globally portrayed as pursuing a dual-edged covert family enrichment and overt national development strategy for Sri Lanka. Besides the Hambantota port, critics argue that China has fin\u00adanced nearly the entire array of Sri Lanka\u2019s other main infrastructure projects \u2013 including an oil-storage facility, a new a\u00adirport, a coal-fired power plant, an e\u00adxpressway, and many more. In an internationally-noted article on \u201cThe C\u00adolombo Consensus\u201d in\u00a0<em>The Economist<\/em>, the editorial revealed that all of these projects are negotiated and managed by the Raja\u00adpaksa family.<sup>20<\/sup>\u00a0With cheap commercial credit and imported Chinese labour, Beijing also builds main roads in war-damaged northern Jaffna and eastern Trincomalee and Batticaloa regions, and constructs a modern performance arts centre in Colombo. China has not only sold diesel railway engines and earthmoving equipment in the name of post-conflict reconstruction, but Chinese com\u00adpanies have also invested in electronic and garment-making industries for which the Government of Sri Lanka established a special free-trade zone e\u00adxclusively for China (ibid).<\/p>\n<p>Unlike China, New Delhi leaders have long restrained themselves from direct involvement on the internal affairs of Sri Lanka, especially after Indian Premier Rajiv Gandhi was assassinated by a dimi\u00adnutive Tamil Tiger female suicide bomber in May 1991.<sup>21<\/sup>\u00a0At the same time, Sri Lankan Buddhist and Sinhalese leaders are sensitive to the fact that the island\u2019s northern neighbour Tamil Nadu state \u2013 home to more than 60 million Tamils \u2013 has a historic kinship with their ethnic and religious counterparts in northern Sri Lanka. More importantly, however, a complex disposition of global geopolitics (e g, the Nobel laureate Dalai Lama and Buddhist followers of his exile Tibetan parliament reside in Dharmasala, near New Delhi) has been a major concern for India \u2013 as well as for China.<\/p>\n<p>Given its military and friendship treaty with Russia, for example, India has been preoccupied with balance-of-power politics between the United Kingdom and the United States. India continues to be vigilant about becoming the traditional nexus between London and Washington, whereas the British Navy used Sri Lanka\u2019s natural harbour at China Bay in Trincomalee as a regional naval base until 1957 and it is still being used by visiting US Navy ships for refuelling. In addition, their military outpost on the island of Diego Garcia (leased by London to Washington until 2036)<sup>22<\/sup>\u00a0is also in close proximity to India and Sri Lanka, and a constant irritant to these Indian Ocean Zone of Peace advocates. As the dominant regional power in south Asia, India is faced with a glut of complex historical issues (like Tibet and Pakistan) and emerging realities (like terrorism and separatism) as China expands its economic and maritime networks in the Indian Ocean and the South China Sea.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Complex Chindian and Chimerican Relations<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As the most powerful and largest demo\u00adcracies in the world, the US and India pursue a mutually-reinforcing and beneficial strategy to advance their shared political philosophy. Despite India\u2019s refusal to sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT),<sup>23<\/sup>\u00a0the US, for example, agreed anyway to the US-Indian civil nuclear cooperation pact in 2008 and has expanded trade and economic relations between the two countries. As American firms begin to invest in India, Japanese companies have also agreed to invest $10 billion on an \u201cindustrial corridor\u201d that extends 1,500 km between New Delhi and Mumbai. With these open economic and trade policies, India has moved away from its historically lethargic \u201c\u00adHindu rate of growth\u201d and Non-Aligned Movement foreign policy to a more western-oriented and robust economic, diplomatic, and military force on the world stage.<\/p>\n<p>The Beijing leadership has perceived these actions as a sign that the US and its allies (like Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan) are deliberately using India not only as a huge consumer market for their products and services but also as a counterweight to China in south Asia. China has simultaneously agreed to build two nuclear power plants for its traditional ally, Pakistan \u2013 the Indian arch-rival. Prevailing criticism of the US-India nuclear agreement has been somewhat muted by the growing nexus of the Sino-Pakistan civilian and military nuclear power program\u00admes.<sup>24<\/sup>\u00a0With heavy financial investment in both sectors, China has now become Pakistan\u2019s second-largest economic and trading partner after the US. There are now over 60 Chinese companies with more than 10,000 Chinese workers e\u00admployed on 122 major deve\u00adlopment projects in Pakistan, including the Gwadar port and Saindak copper mine site in Baluchistan as well as the Gomal Zam dam project in Pakistan\u2019s federally administered tribal areas.<sup>25<\/sup>\u00a0With a range of massive development and deepwater seaports in Pakistan, Bangladesh, Myan\u00admar and Sri Lanka, China has actively put forward counterpoised strategies to discourage or limit the American presence in the region.<\/p>\n<p>The US has viewed China\u2019s \u201cstring of pearls\u201d strategy not only as a balance of power issue but also as a show of force in the Indian Ocean. Perceived threats made India and Sri Lanka equally ner\u00advous. With Delhi\u2019s leadership, Indian ships and nuclear-powered US ships participated in a naval exercise alongside Australian, Japanese, and Singaporean ships in the Bay of Bengal in 2007. Moreover, America\u2019s involvement in Afghanistan (and increasingly in Pakistan) and the central Asian republics as well as s\u00adecurity and military ties to south-east Asian countries (like Indonesia, Singapore and Vietnam) and north-east Asian countries (South Korea, Japan and Taiwan) is more than an emblematic challenge to China\u2019s pronounced \u201cPeaceful Rising\u201d foreign policy. Chinese leaders \u2013 especially military officials \u2013 feel that the US has encircled them geostrategically with US military bases and is selling advanced weapons to countries like Taiwan (a renegade republic in the Chinese perspective). The construction of a nuclear submarine base on the southern Chinese island of Hainan (where an American spy-plane was forced to land in 2002) is another tactical response to project its growing power and protecting the sea routes.<\/p>\n<p>Adhering to the path of \u201cPeaceful Rising\u201d, China has negotiated a number of settlements of territorial disputes with Russia, Vietnam, and even India. These unprecedented diplomatic acts by Chinese leadership point to a different v\u00adision of power in international negotiation and diplomacy. At the UN Climate Summit in Copenhagen in December 2009, for example, both China and India \u2013 the world\u2019s largest and fourth-largest emitters of greenhouse gases respectively \u2013 joined forces to oppose American-led demands for supporting strong anti-global warming measures. At the Cancun climate change meeting in Mexico in 2010, China took a leading role to move forward the global process for a final agreement.<sup>26<\/sup>\u00a0Such diplomatic triumphs made the evolving scope of international relations more complex and complicated between and amongst the US, China, and India.<\/p>\n<p>For Chindian (Chinese and Indian) leaders, the common problem is job creation for younger populations, which could easily become a source of internal tension and violence. With the growing importance of geoeconomics as oppo-sed to the traditional mindset of geopoliti\u00adcal calculations, Chindia and Chimerica (China and America) seem to now share a common sense of economic progress as a primary requirement of political survival in Beijing, Delhi and Washington. This has been more pronounced in the US since the economic crisis left high un\u00ademployment and political frustration (which saw the rise of the Tea Party and the Occupy Wall Street movements) with the Obama administration in its wake. Rapid economic growth rates in Chindia are a positive sign for global development as Chimerica has mutually benefited from a symbiotic economic relationship as the two leading world economies.<\/p>\n<p>China\u2019s advances in manufacturing sectors and India\u2019s progress in information techn\u00adlogy will soon be equalised as both countries engage in more trading of goods and services, as if working towards the \u201cTrade for Peace\u201d.<sup>27<\/sup>\u00a0China\u2019s investment in a \u201cstring of pearls\u201d appears to primarily address basic human development concerns and national interests through economic growth followed by human security in the Asian region. The optimism experienced by China, in which more than 250 million people have been lifted out of poverty, is justified not only in Confucian countries like the Asian Tigers (Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, and South Korea) but also in south Asian nations whose economies have opened up to Chinese investment and commerce.<\/p>\n<p>The leading trio \u2013 America, China, and India \u2013 also shared a common enemy: terrorism both at home and abroad. Having global trade interests and investment opportunities \u2013 whether competitive or com\u00adplementary \u2013 each nation continuously searches for greater security and stabi\u00adlity in the Indian Ocean r\u00adegion as a prime necessity for their own national progress. President Barack Obama\u2019s visit to China, soon followed by Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh\u2019s trip to Washington in November 2009, clearly signified the importance of the Chindian role in south Asian security.<sup>28<\/sup>\u00a0Some commentators viewed the trajectory of political, military, and economic interdependence as the new pragmatism of cooperation and competition.<sup>29<\/sup>\u00a0As political alliances have changed vividly with evolving post-9\/11 global realities, each nation is presented with new opportunities and challenges. The Obama administration \u2013 under pressure from the US Congress \u2013 has now begun to recalculate and \u201creset\u201d its Sri Lanka strategy as a response to Chinese inroads into the Indian Ocean passageway.<\/p>\n<p><strong>US Geostrategic Response to China<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Since the terrorist attacks, the Bush administration focused more on \u201cdemocratic India\u201d and advocated the creation of an \u201cArc of Democracies\u201d, while justifying and waging two wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.<sup>30<\/sup>\u00a0Recognising China\u2019s \u201cstring of pearls\u201d strategy, President Raja\u00adpaksa portrayed Sri Lanka\u2019s ethnic conflict as part of a global war on terrorism. Following victory over the Eelam War facilitated by unconditional military assistance and diplomatic support from China, Rajapaksa cheerfully pointed out that Sri Lanka is \u201ca model for anti-insurgency military campaigns elsewhere\u201d.<sup>31<\/sup>\u00a0When the US criticised the way the Sri Lankan government handled the f\u00adinal phase of the brutal war, Rajapaksa defended his actions, saying: \u201cThey are trying to preach to us about civilians. I tell them to go and see what they are d\u00adoing in Iraq and Afghanistan.\u201d<sup>32<\/sup>\u00a0As a result, the US not only restric\u00adted its military assistance to Colombo due to concerns over human rights abuses in the bloody war against the most lethal terrorist group in the world (the state department listed the Tamil Tigers \u2013 inventors of the suicide bomber \u2013 as a terrorist group in 1997), but also protested by dec\u00adlining to vote at the IMF on a $2.6 billion loan to Colombo in July 2009.<sup>33<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>With the support of UN Secretary General <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Ban+Ki-moon&amp;x=13&amp;y=7\">Ban Ki-moon<\/a><\/span>, the Obama admini\u00adstration initially followed a Bush-like foreign policy of isolating Sri Lanka on the grounds of human rights violations and alleged war-crimes committed by both the military and the LTTE. Overriding America\u2019s geopolitical interests in Sri Lanka, the US administration pushed the UN secretary general to appoint an independent panel to investigate the atro\u00adcities committed by each party; C\u00adolombo successfully thwarted Ban K\u00adi-moon\u2019s initiative (with Indian backing and Chinese support) at the UN Human Rights Council in 2009. Despite every diplomatic effort by the Colombo ad\u00administration to prevent further UN actions, the <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=UNHRC&amp;x=8&amp;y=7\">UN Human Rights Council<\/a><\/span> in 2012 effectively passed the US-sponsored r\u00adesolution against the Rajapaksa government to inquire into possible war crimes against humanity \u2013 with the surprised vote for the resolution by India, and voted against by Russia and China.<sup>34<\/sup><\/p>\n<p><strong>Softer View<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Following continued pressure from the US, the European Union and the United Nations, the Government of Sri Lanka did establish the <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=LLRC&amp;x=10&amp;y=6\">Lessons Learned and Reconciliation Commission<\/a><\/span> (LLRC) with members appointed by President Rajapaksa himself. As the media publicised human rights violations along\u00adside horrible images from Afghanistan and Iraq, the Obama administration took a softer view on Sri Lanka and its challenges.<\/p>\n<p>Acknowledging the uneasy challenges of war situations and geostrategic interests, the US subsequently lent implicit l\u00adegitimacy to LLRC. When the Sri Lankan external affairs minister met with Secretary Clinton on her invitation at the state department on 28 May 2010, the secretary said: \u201cI want to thank Minister Peiris for our productive discussion today and commend him for his commitment to the reconciliation process. The United States pledges our continued support to Sri Lanka.\u201d<sup>35<\/sup>\u00a0The minister also promised Clinton that detainees would be resettled within three months, but more importantly, he called for \u201ca multidimensional relationship with the United States\u201d, (ibid) suggesting movement b\u00adeyond the human rights issues that had previously captivated the state department and the White House. After learning about the <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/wikileaks-files-mahinada-rajapaksa-is-a-christian-says-archbishop\/\">2 October 2009 WikiLeaks cable<\/a><\/span>, which was written by US Ambassador <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Patricia+Butenis&amp;x=8&amp;y=4\">Patricia Butenis<\/a><\/span> in Colombo, it was assumed that the soft tone in Washington was related to the lobbying effort by Roman Catholic Archbishop <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Malcolm+Ranjith&amp;x=8&amp;y=5\">Malcolm Ranjith<\/a><\/span>, who reportedly told the am\u00adbassador that \u201cpushing the GSL [Govern\u00adment of Sri Lanka] too hard on the war crimes accountability issue now could destabilise Sri Lankan democracy and would set back the cause of human rights.\u201d<sup>36<\/sup>\u00a0The ambassador further ela\u00adborated, \u201cHe\u00a0[the archbishop] reasoned that weakening the Rajapaksas \u2013 who despite their\u00a0public image were relative moderates in the Sri Lankan polity \u2013 could backfire. \u2026Sri Lanka could\u00a0suffer revolution from the right or a coup by the military\u201d (ibid)<sup>.<\/sup>\u00a0The Archbishop\u2019s office denied the contents of the WikiLeaks cable.<sup>37<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>The primary rationale for rapid policy change was triggered by a bipartisan congressional report,\u00a0<em>Re-charting\u00a0<\/em>US\u00a0<em>Strategy on Sri Lanka<\/em>, authored by Senators John Kerry (Democrat) and Richard Lugar (Republican) in December 2009.<sup>38<\/sup>\u00a0The senators bluntly declared:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>As Western countries became increasingly critical of the Sri Lankan Government\u2019s handling of the war and human rights record, the Rajapaksa leadership cultivated ties with such countries as Burma, China, Iran, and Libya. The Chinese have invested billions of dollars in Sri Lanka through military loans, infrastructure loans, and port development, with none of the strings attached by Western nations. While the United States shares with the Indians and the Chinese a common interest in securing maritime trade routes through the Indian Ocean, the US Government has invested relatively little in the economy or security sector in Sri Lanka, instead focusing more on IDPs [Internally Displaced Persons] and civil society. As a result, Sri Lanka has grown politically and economically isolated from the West (ibid: 2-3).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>With greater awareness of China\u2019s strategic and long-term geoeconomic foundation in Sri Lanka, the Kerry-Lugar Report made a cautionary note on America\u2019s geopolitical interest and strategy:<\/p>\n<p>President Rajapaksa was forced to reach out to other countries because the West refused to help Sri Lanka finish the war against the LTTE. These calculations \u2013 if left unchecked \u2013 threaten long-term US strategic interests in the Indian Ocean (ibid: 13).<\/p>\n<p>The two senators concluded: \u201cWith the end of the war, the US needs to re-evaluate its relationship with Sri Lanka to reflect new political and economic r\u00adealities\u201d (ibid: 16)<sup>.<\/sup>\u00a0Then, they added: \u201cWhile humanitarian concerns remain important, US policy toward Sri Lanka cannot be dominated by a single agenda. It is not effective at delivering real reform, and it shortchanges US geostrategic interests in the region\u201d (ibid). In the aftermath of the Indian Ocean tsunami in December 2004, it was the American military that quickly reached out to the island and provided much-needed, rapid multi\u00adnational relief, humanitarian assist\u00adance, and rebuilding efforts through the Operation United Assistance coordi\u00adnated by the US Department of Defence.<sup>39<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>Understanding Sri Lanka\u2019s strategic importance to the US, Foreign Minister <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=G.L.+Peiris&amp;x=9&amp;y=8\">Peiris<\/a><\/span> reinforced a similar vision outlined by the leading two Democrat and Republican senators. Thus, the minister carefully used the word \u201cmultidimensional\u201d<sup>40<\/sup>\u00a0to describe the nature of a new Great Game of larger geopolitical and geoeconomic dynamics in the region i\u00adnvolving China and India.<sup>41<\/sup>\u00a0While these countries share strategic interests in s\u00adecuring the east-west maritime trade route and air navigation (for refuelling and landing rights), the US has invested relatively fewer economic and military resources in Sri Lanka than China. Instead, the US has preferred to focus on political freedom and democracy promotion. Consequently, Sri Lanka\u2019s geo\u00adstrategic importance to American security interests \u2013 both economic and military \u2013 has been undermined. Senators Kerry and Lugar said,<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>This strategic drift will have consequences for US interests in the region. Along with our legitimate humanitarian and political concerns, US policymakers have tended to underestimate Sri Lanka\u2019s geostrategic importance for American interests.<sup>42<\/sup><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>They then pointed out that \u201cSri Lanka is located at the nexus of crucial maritime trading routes in the Indian Ocean connecting Europe and the Middle East to C\u00adhina and the rest of Asia\u201d (ibid).<sup>\u00a0<\/sup>The two senators reflectively added a shared global interest for greater benefit: \u201cThe United States, India, and China all share an interest in deterring terrorist activity and curbing piracy that could disrupt maritime trade\u201d (ibid).<sup>\u00a0<\/sup>American\u2019s global and commercial interests trace back to its founding as well as throughout contemporary affairs.<\/p>\n<p>The Kerry-Lugar Report acknowledges:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Sri Lanka has been a friend and democratic partner of the United States since gaining independence in 1948 and has supported US military operations overseas such as during the first Gulf War. Commercial contacts go back to 1787, when New England sailors first anchored in Sri Lanka\u2019s harbors to engage in trade. Sri Lanka is strategically located at the nexus of maritime trading routes connecting Europe and the Middle East to China and the rest of Asia. It is directly in the middle of the \u2018Old World\u2019, where an estimated half of the world\u2019s container ships transit the Indian Ocean (ibid).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>New realities intersect with America\u2019s historical trade relations with Sri Lanka more than ever. As an island nation, Sri Lanka\u2019s long-term survival is equally dependent on continuous connection to the \u201cOld World\u201d and old friends. The R\u00adeport highlights that<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>American interests in the region include securing energy resources from the Persian Gulf and maintaining the free flow of trade in the Indian Ocean. These interests are also important to one of America\u2019s strategic partners, Japan, who is almost totally dependent on energy supplies transiting the Indian Ocean. The three major threats in the I\u00adndian Ocean come from terrorism, interstate conflict, and piracy. There have been some reports of pirate activity in the atoll islands near Sri Lanka (ibid: 12).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The shift in US foreign policy towards Sri Lanka is a clear reflection of the nature of the swinging pendulum between Jeffersonian and Hamiltonian policy orientations as highlighted in this author\u2019s book,\u00a0<em>Trade for Peace<\/em>.<sup>43<\/sup>\u00a0With President Obama, the US regained its Jeffersonian image of global leadership through d\u00ademocracy and multilateralism \u2013 as opposed to President Bush\u2019s conflicted message of democracy promotion in west Asia and a unilateral approach to global conflict resolution. A realist like Alex\u00adander Hamilton, Obama has come to r\u00adealise that the US must advocate its time-honoured Hamiltonian tradition in p\u00adrotecting American ships (both military and commercial) in the Indian Ocean. More importantly, however, the world recognises that America\u2019s founding conviction of \u201cthe superiority of democracy over other forms of government\u201d<sup>44<\/sup>\u00a0has almost always shaped its foreign policy. The Kerry-Lugar Report seems to clarify this delicate yet evolving balancing act within the US role in Sri Lanka.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Tragedy of Economic Success<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As a maritime nation throughout its over 2,500-year recorded history (compared to roughly 250 years of US history), Sri Lanka has enjoyed friendly relations with powerful nations and rulers, and conducted trade relations with colonial America, the Middle Kingdom of China, the ancient Indian kingdoms, Japanese emperors, and Arab traders. In recent years, Sri Lanka\u2019s close allies (i e, Iran, Iraq, and Syria in west Asia) moved away from the US due in large part to changes in national security interests and dynamics of the geopolitical and geoeconomic environment. During the Eelam War in Sri Lanka and the recent Wall Street collapse, Beijing entered into the vacuum of America\u2019s global leadership and provided unconditional economic, military, and diplomatic assistance to the Government of Sri L\u00adanka \u2013 winning unprecedented goodwill in C\u00adolombo. Until then, the last gesture of goodwill from Beijing had come during Sirimavo Bandaranaike\u2019s socialist regime in the 1970s, during which China built the Bandaranaike Memorial International Conference Hall (BMICH) in preparation for the Non-Aligned Summit of 1976.<\/p>\n<p>During his nascent administration, President Rajapaksa visited China five times (three times before even assuming office), and Sri Lanka recently gained significant progress when both countries signed as many as six major agreements over the renovation of the BMICH, the development of highways, the enhancement of cooperation in information technology and communication, and the restoration of maritime ports in addition to the next phase of the Hambantota deep water seaport.<sup>45<\/sup>\u00a0In June 2010, the president than\u00adked the 30-member Chinese delegation led by vice premier Zhang Dejiang, who was in Colombo for a three-day o\u00adfficial visit.<sup>46<\/sup>\u00a0The state-owned\u00a0<em>Sunday Obser\u00adver<\/em>\u00a0in Colombo characterised the visit as emblematic of a \u201csilky relationship\u201d that reached new heights under the Raja\u00adpaksa administration.<sup>47<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>In the past, India\u2019s foreign policy towards Sri Lanka consisted of military intervention and peace negotiation while engaging constructively with its southern neighbour. With greater focus on trade and commerce, both countries now look to job creation, infrastructure development, and investment in businesses. In January 2010, India funded over $67 million to upgrade the Southern Railway Line from Colombo to Matara (to double the average operating speed to 80 km per hour, connecting the two cities within two hours). This complemented the previous $100 million line of credit agreement signed in 2008 by the Export-Import Bank of India. The two countries agreed to institute an annual d\u00adefence dialogue and promote the use of space technology for a number of social services. India also offered to extend the bandwidth to build satellite-\u00adinteractive terminals in the island in addition to assist in rebuilding the Palai a\u00adirport, the Kankesanturai harbour, the Duraippah sport stadium, and a cultural centre in Jaffna.<sup>48<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>With the American Chamber of Commerce of Sri Lanka (an association of approximately 100 Sri Lankan and US companies), the two countries have developed an atmosphere of cordiality and a harmonious trade relationship.<sup>49<\/sup>Until recently, the main American investors in Sri Lanka were Pfizer Pharmaceutical, Union Carbide, and I\u00adnter-Continental Hotels. Currently, there are over 85 US-based companies operating in Sri Lanka. The web of these relationships i\u00adllustrates the complexity of balancing a variety of competing interests among China, India, and the US, which has always been a challenge for Sri Lanka.<\/p>\n<p>Despite these trade relationships and financial assistance for economic development, the island\u2019s political leadership and infamous nepotism lie at the centre of criticism, which intensified with Sri Lanka\u2019s constitutional amendment in September 2010 giving the president s\u00adupreme power over executive, legislative, and judiciary matters. A poisonous calculus \u2013 combining the autocratic presidency, nepotism, corruption, and arrogance of triumphalism \u2013 gave birth to what\u00a0<em>The Economist<\/em>\u00a0called the \u201cColombo Consensus\u201d.<sup>50<\/sup><\/p>\n<p><strong>Conclusions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The family political dynasty or dictatorship is not new to Asia or elsewhere in the world. It is true that this is no different from the Gandhis in India, the Bhuttos in Pakistan, or the Kennedys and the Bushes in the US. Referring to the unprecedented concentration of political and economic power in Rajapaksa\u2019s extended family, the London-based\u00a0<em>Sunday Times\u00a0<\/em>calculates that \u201cwith dozens more relatives in prominent positions, the net result is that the Rajapaksas control an estimated 70% of the national budget\u201d.<sup>51<\/sup>\u00a0Further\u00admore,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Times\u00a0<\/em>confirms that pre\u00adsident\u2019s 23-year-old son, who \u201conly achie\u00adved a third class law degree when he graduated from London\u2019s City University in September [2009]\u201d (ibid)<sup>\u00a0<\/sup>is being groo\u00admed as the eventual successor. It also reports that \u201cthere\u2019s always been cor\u00adruption, but businessmen in Colombo now complain it\u2019s got to the point where you have to know a Rajapaksa to get something done. That\u2019s unprecedented\u201d, when Pre\u00adsident Mahinda Rajapaksa him\u00adself \u201cheads four ministries. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Gotabaya+Rajapaksa&amp;x=7&amp;y=8\">Gota\u00adbaya<\/a><\/span>, his younger brother, is defence sec\u00adretary. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Basil+Rajapaksa&amp;x=12&amp;y=5\">Basil<\/a><\/span>, another younger br\u00adother, is a member of parlia\u00adment and presidential advisor. Chamal, the oldest brother, heads two ministries\u201d (ibid)<sup>.<\/sup><\/p>\n<p>According to WikiLeaks cables re\u00adported in the Colombo-based\u00a0<em>Sunday Leader<\/em>, the mentor to Mahinda Raja\u00adpaksa and previous Sri Lankan president <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?s=Chandrika+Kumaratunga&amp;x=12&amp;y=7\">Chandrika Kumaratunga<\/a><\/span> said that with \u201cRajapaksa\u2019s abuse of power\u201d i\u00adnter\u00adnat\u00adional relations \u201cspiralled down reaching a new low in the country\u2019s history\u201d. The former president then added that \u201c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/wikileaks-rajapaksas-are-uneducated-and-uncultured-rascals-cbk\/\">Rajapaksas are uneducated and uncultured rascals<\/a><\/span>\u201d. She then concluded that the corruption is \u201cappallingly bad\u201d and the political climate is \u201cvindictive and threatening\u201d.<sup>52<\/sup>\u00a0Such a powerful charac\u00adterisation added more legitimacy to the notoriety of the Rajapaksa family, which is now firmly synonymous with the so-called Colombo Consensus.<\/p>\n<p>With the Colombo Consensus depicted by Rajapaksa Family Inc, Sri Lanka has departed from its long-cherished trademark of western-style of parliamentary democracy and its open market and liberalised trade policies. Despite the widely-reported corruption and nepotism, the Rajapaksa dynasty appears to pursue a unique development strategy within a complex environment of global realities and domestic needs \u2013 mostly appealing to the Buddhist clergy and nationalistic sentiments. All develop\u00adment projects must be channelled or approved by the president himself or his brother Basil who is in charge of the Ministry of Economic Development. The president\u2019s other brother and defence secretary Gotabaya has integrated the Ministry of Urban Development under his command to employ military per\u00adsonnel in the public works programmes.<\/p>\n<p>The confluence of the militarised economic development, the alleged war crimes, the concentration of all powers in the executive presidency, and family members getting elected to parliament \u2013 with the jubilant aftermath of the Eelam War \u2013 has presented a negative inter\u00adnational image of the once-Buddhist and democratic nation. With such worldwide reputation, the success of the Colombo Consensus and Sri Lanka\u2019s human progress will now be defined by the d\u00adegree of freedom that the government would allow for its people \u2013 not the absolute freedom enjoyed by those combative leaders and their families who govern the island in the name of national interest for personal aggrandisement and profiting from international projects as Basil is notoriously known as \u201cMr Ten Percent\u201d for demanding a 10% commission over every project.<sup>53<\/sup>\u00a0If their professed faith in Buddhism would work, the doctrine of karma shall self-correct the journey that the i\u00adsland has embarked on with the forces of great powers.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Notes<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1 Claire Innes, \u201cUS Rules Out IMF Loan Program for Sri Lanka as Humanitarian Crisis Deepens\u201d,\u00a0<em>Global Insight<\/em>, 15 May 2009.<\/p>\n<p>2 IMF, \u201cSri Lanka to Use IMF Loan to Reform Economy after Conflict\u201d,\u00a0<em>IMF Survey Magazin<\/em>e, 29 July 2009,<a title=\"http:\/\/imf.org\/external\/pubs\/ft\/survey\/so\/2009\/int073009a.htm\" href=\"http:\/\/imf.org\/external\/pubs\/ft\/survey\/so\/2009\/int073009a.htm\">http:\/\/imf.org\/external\/pubs\/ft\/survey\/so\/2009\/int073009a.htm<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>3 Economic affairs correspondent, \u201cChina Gets Dragon\u2019s Share of Post-war Projects in Lanka\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Times<\/em>(Colombo), 6 December 2009. See\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/sundaytimes.lk\/091206\/News\/nws_02.html\">http:\/\/sundaytimes.lk\/091206\/News\/ nws_02.html<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>4 Vikas Bajaj, \u201cIndia Worries as China Builds Ports in South Asia\u201d,\u00a0<em>The New York Times<\/em>, 15 February 2010,<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2010\/02\/16\/business\/global\/16port.html?_r=1\">http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2010\/ 02\/16\/business\/global\/16port.html?_r=1<\/a>, accessed on 8 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>5 See \u201cProfile: Mahinda Rajapaksa\u201d, BBC South Asia, 8 September 2010,<a title=\"http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/2\/hi\/south_asia\/3602101.stm\" href=\"http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/2\/hi\/south_asia\/3602101.stm\">http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/2\/hi\/south_asia\/3602101.stm<\/a>, accessed on 21 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>6 The United States Senate Committee on Foreign Relations,\u00a0<em>Sri Lanka: Re-charting US Strategy after the War<\/em>, 7 December 2009 (Washington DC: US Government Printing O\u00adffice), 3.<\/p>\n<p>7 Clinton and Sri Lankan Minister of External Affairs Peiris at the US Department of State on 28 May 2010:<a href=\"http:\/\/www.america.gov\/st\/texttrans-english\/2010\/May\/20100528153614ptellivremos0.5893976.html?CP.rss=true\">http:\/\/www.america.gov\/st\/texttrans-english\/2010\/May\/20100528153614ptellivremos0.5893976.html?CP.rss=true<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>8 Sujan Dutta, \u201cUSA: India Engaging with Sri Lanka amid Growing China Role\u201d, BBC News, 11 March 2009.<\/p>\n<p>9 Patrick Mendis and Leah Green,\u00a0<em>US-India Civil Nuclear Cooperation Agreement<\/em>, a case study prepared for the US Project on National Security Reform (PNSR), 16 July 2008, Washington DC.<\/p>\n<p>10 Tisaranee Gunasekara, \u201cMore Freedom for the Rajapaksas Mean Less Freedom for the Sri Lankan People\u201d,<em>Transcurrents<\/em>, 2 October 2010,\u00a0<a title=\"http:\/\/transcurrents.com\/tc\/2010\/10\/more_freedom_for_the_rajapaksa.html\" href=\"http:\/\/transcurrents.com\/tc\/2010\/10\/more_freedom_for_the_rajapaksa.html\">http:\/\/transcurrents.com\/tc\/2010\/10\/more_freedom_for_the_rajapaksa.html<\/a>, accessed on 6 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>11 G Usvatte-Aratchi, \u201cEighteenth Amendment:<br \/>\nA Rush to Elected Tyranny\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Island<\/em>, 6 September 2010,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.island.lk\/index.php?page_cat=article-details&amp;page=article-details&amp;code_title=6063\">http:\/\/www.island.lk\/index.php?page_cat=article-details&amp;page=article-details&amp;code_title=6063<\/a>, accessed on 8 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>12 See the posted biography of Speaker Chamal Jayantha Rajapaksa of the seventh Parliament of the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka in\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.parliament.lk\/handbook_of_parliament\/speaker_bio_data.jsp\">http:\/\/www.parliament.lk\/handbook_of_ parliament\/speaker_bio_data.jsp<\/a>, accessed on 12 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>13 Patrick Mendis, \u201cPassage to Indian Ocean\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Minnesota Daily<\/em>, 16 February 1986, 9.<\/p>\n<p>14 Christopher Pehrson,\u00a0<em>String of Pearls: Meeting the Challenge of China\u2019s Rising Power across the Asian Littoral<\/em>(Carlisle, PA: United States Army War College, 2006), V.<\/p>\n<p>15 K Alan Kronstadt and Bruce Vaughn,\u00a0<em>Sri Lanka: Background and U<\/em><em>S<\/em><em>\u00a0Relations<\/em>, US Congressional Research Service, 4 June 2009, Washington DC.<\/p>\n<p>16 \u201cChinese Billions Helping Lanka Ward Off Western Peace Efforts, Fight LTTE\u201d,\u00a0<em>China N\u00adational News<\/em>, 2 May 2009. See\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/story.chinanationalnews.com\/index.php\/ct\/9\/cid\/9366300fc9319e9b\/id\/496746\/cs\/1\/\">http:\/\/story.chinanationalnews.com\/index.php\/ct\/9\/cid\/ 9366300fc9319e9b\/id\/496746\/cs\/1\/<\/a>, accessed on 16 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>17 Gamini Weerakoon, \u201cHambantota in the Great Game of the Indian Ocean\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Leader<\/em>, 7 February 2010. See\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thesundayleader.lk\/?p=7211\">http:\/\/www.thesunday\u00adleader.lk\/?p=7211<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>18\u00a0<em>China National News<\/em>, 2 May 2009 (as in note 16).<\/p>\n<p>19 Jeremy Page, \u201cRise of Sri Lankan President\u2019s Son Namal Rajapaksa Sparks Concern,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Times<\/em>(London), 22 February 2010,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.timesonline.co.uk\/tol\/news\/world\/asia\/article7035564.ece\">http:\/\/www.timesonline.co.uk\/tol\/news\/world\/ asia\/article7035564.ece<\/a>, accessed on 22 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>20 \u201cThe Colombo Consensus: Brotherly Love, Massive Aid and No Questions Asked\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Economist,\u00a0<\/em>8<em>\u00a0<\/em>July 2010, see<em><\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/node\/16542629\">http:\/\/www.economist.com\/node\/16542629<\/a><em>,\u00a0<\/em>accessed on 21 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>21 Preeti Bhattacharji, \u201cLiberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (aka Tamil Tigers)\u201d, Council on Foreign Relations, New York, 20 May 2009,<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cfr.org\/publication\/9242\/liberation_tigers_of_tamil_eelam_aka_tamil_tigers_sri_lanka_separatists.html\">http:\/\/www.cfr.org\/publication\/9242\/liberation_tigers_of_tamil_eelam_aka_tamil_tigers_sri_lanka_separatists.html<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>22 Richard Beeston, \u201cAnalysis: Beautiful Diego Garcia Makes Forces Blush\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Times<\/em>, 21 February 2008. See\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.timesonline.co.uk\/tol\/news\/politics\/article3412423.ece\">http:\/\/www.timesonline.co.uk\/tol\/news\/politics\/article3412423.ece<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>23 Patrick Mendis and Leah Green,\u00a0<em>US-India Civil Nuclear Cooperation Agreement<\/em>\u00a0(as in note 9).<\/p>\n<p>24 Stephen Blank, \u201cThe China-Pakistan Reactor Deal and Asia\u2019s Nuclear Energy Race\u201d,<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><em>China Brief,<\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>Volume 10, Issue 12, 11 June 2010.<\/p>\n<p>25 Ziad Haider, \u201cPakistan: The China Factor in Pakistan\u201d,\u00a0<em>Far Eastern Economic Review<\/em>, 2 October 2009, 2.<\/p>\n<p>26 Editorial, \u201cIndia and China: A Himalayan Rivalry\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Economist<\/em>, 19 August 2010. See\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/node\/16843717?story_id=16843717\">http:\/\/<\/a><a title=\"www.economist.com\/node\/16843717?story_id=\" href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/node\/16843717?story_id=\">www.economist.com\/node\/16843717?story_id=<\/a>\u00a016843717, accessed on 22 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>27 Patrick Mendis,\u00a0<em>Trade for Peace\u00a0<\/em>(Bloomington, IN: iUniverse Press, 2009).<\/p>\n<p>28 Nirmala Ganapathy, \u201cUS\u2019 Super Cop Role for China Gets India\u2019s Goat\u201d,\u00a0<em>Times of India<\/em>, 19 Nov\u00adember 2009, 4.<\/p>\n<p>29 Chidanand Rajghatta, \u201cUS More at Ease with India\u2019s Rise than China\u2019s Ascent\u201d,\u00a0<em>Times of I\u00adndia<\/em>, 3 February 2010 and M K Bhardrakumar, \u201c<strong>China Breaks the Himalayan Barrier<\/strong>\u201d,<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><em>Asia Times,<\/em>\u00a01 May 2010.<\/p>\n<p>30 Tanja Vestergaard, \u201cMan at Work: Rudd Walks Asian Tightrope\u201d,\u00a0<em>Asia Times<\/em>, 17 April 2008. See<a href=\"http:\/\/www.atimes.com\/atimes\/China\/JD17Ad01.html\">http:\/\/www.atimes.com\/atimes\/China\/JD17Ad01.html<\/a>, accessed on 20 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>31 Lydia Polgreen, \u201cUS Report on Sri Lanka Urges New Approach\u201d,\u00a0<em>The New York Times<\/em>, 6 December 2009. See<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/12\/07\/world\/asia\/07lanka.html\">http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/ 12\/07\/world\/asia\/07lanka.html<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>32 Nicolas Revise, \u201cBitter with West, Sri Lanka Turns East for Cash and Support\u201d,\u00a0<em>Agence France Presse<\/em>, 3 May 2009.<\/p>\n<p>33 Lydia Polgreen, \u201cIMF Approves $2.6 Billion Sri Lanka Loan\u201d,\u00a0<em>The New York Times<\/em>, 26 July 2009. See<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/07\/27\/world\/asia\/27lanka.html?_r=2\">http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/07\/27\/world\/asia\/27lanka.html?_r=2<\/a>, accessed on 19 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>34\u00a0<em>The Economist<\/em>, \u201cUnslayable Ghosts: Sri Lanka and the West Head for a Showdown over Human Rights\u201d, 25 February 2012,\u00a0<em>http:\/\/www.economist.com\/node\/21548283,\u00a0<\/em>accessed on 24 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>35 Remarks by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Sri Lankan Minister of External Affairs G L Peiris on 28 May 2010,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.america.gov\/st\/texttrans-english\/2010\/May\/20100528153614ptellivremos0.5893976.html?CP.rss=true\">http:\/\/www.america.gov\/st\/texttrans-english\/2010\/May\/20100528153614ptellivremos0.5893976.html? CP.rss=true<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>36\u00a0<em>Colombo Telegraph<\/em>, \u201cWikiLeaks: Mahinda Rajapaksa Is a \u2018Christian\u2019 \u2013 Says Archbishop\u201d, 21 September 2011, 1 Read the full cable here:\u00a0<a title=\"http:\/\/www.lankanewstoday.com\/wikileaks-mahinda-rajapaksa-is-a-%E2%80%9Cchristian\" href=\"http:\/\/www.lankanewstoday.com\/wikileaks-mahinda-rajapaksa-is-a-%E2%80%9Cchristian\">http:\/\/www.lankanewstoday.com\/wikileaks-mahinda-rajapaksa-is-a-%E2%80%9C&#8230;<\/a>%E2%80%9D-%E2%80%93-says-archbishop, accessed on 24 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>37 Jamila Najmuddin, \u201cArchbishop\u2019s Office Slams US Cable\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Leader<\/em>, 25 September 2011,<a title=\"http:\/\/www.thesundayleader.lk\/2011\/09\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thesundayleader.lk\/2011\/09\">http:\/\/www.thesundayleader.lk\/2011\/09<\/a>\u00a0\/ 25\/archbishop%E2%80%99s-office-slams-us-cable\/, accessed on 23 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>38 The United States Senate Committee on Foreign Relations,\u00a0<em>Sri Lanka: Re-charting U<\/em><em>S<\/em><em>\u00a0Strategy after the War<\/em>, 7 December 2009 (Washington DC: US Government Printing O\u00adffice).<\/p>\n<p>39 Jaime Alvarado and Patrick Mendis, \u201cNew Multilateralism in Action for Peace: A Case Study of the US-led Operation Unified Assistance in the Asian Tsunami Disaster\u201d,\u00a0<em>Global Economic Review<\/em>, Vol 36, No 2, June 2007, 183-92.<\/p>\n<p>40 Remarks by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Sri Lankan Minister of External Affairs G L Peiris on 28 May 2010 (as in note 35).<\/p>\n<p>41 See a detailed analysis in Sergei DeSilva-\u00adRanasinghe, \u201cSri Lanka: The New Great Game\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Observer<\/em>, 31 October 2009. See\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thesundayleader.lk\/?p=796\">http:\/\/www.thesundayleader.lk\/?p=796<\/a>, accessed on 22 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>42 The United States Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, 3.<\/p>\n<p>43 Patrick Mendis,\u00a0<em>Trade for Peace<\/em>\u00a0(as in note 27).<\/p>\n<p>44 Robert Kagan, \u201cObama\u2019s Phase Two: Leadership\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Washington Post<\/em>, 1 October 2010, A19.<\/p>\n<p>45 China and Sri Lanka have a deep bilateral relationship that goes back to the Rubber-Rice Agreement in 1952 and the Maritime Agreements in 1963. See Swaran Singh,\u00a0<em>China-Sri Lanka Limited Access in South Asia: Issues, Equations, Policy<\/em>\u00a0(New Delhi: Lancer Book), 2003.<\/p>\n<p>46 B Muralidhar Reddy, \u201cCommitted to Sri Lanka\u2019s Development: China\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Hindu,<\/em>\u00a012 June 2010. See<a href=\"http:\/\/beta.thehindu.com\/news\/international\/article454063.ece\">http:\/\/beta.thehindu.com\/news\/<br \/>\ninternational\/article454063.ece<\/a>, accessed on 20 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>47 Special correspondent (Beijing), \u201cBilateral Relations at a New High: China \u2013 Sri Lanka\u2019s Top Lender in 2009\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Observer<\/em>\u00a0(Colombo), 10 April 2010,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.sundayobserver.lk\/2010\/04\/18\/fea01.asp\">http:\/\/www.sundayobserver.lk\/2010\/04\/18\/fea01.asp<\/a>, accessed on 19 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>48 Special correspondent (New Delhi), \u201cIndia, Sri Lanka Consider Energy Cooperation\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Hindu<\/em>, 10 June 2010,<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thehindu.com\/news\/national\/article451315.ece\">http:\/\/www.thehindu.com\/news\/national\/article451315.ece<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>49 Feizal Samath, \u201c\u2018America Is the Land of the Freedom\u2019, Says Prof Mendis\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Times<\/em>, 18 January 2012,<a title=\"http:\/\/sundaytimes.lk\/120115\/BusinessTimes\/bt17.html\" href=\"http:\/\/sundaytimes.lk\/120115\/BusinessTimes\/bt17.html\">http:\/\/sundaytimes.lk\/120115\/BusinessTimes\/bt17.html<\/a>, accessed on 18 February 2012.<\/p>\n<p>50 \u201cThe Colombo Consensus\u201d in\u00a0<em>The Economist\u00a0<\/em>(as in note 20).<\/p>\n<p>51 Jeremy Page (as in note 19).<\/p>\n<p>52 See the WikiLeaks cable reported in \u201c\u2018Raja\u00adpaksas Are Uneducated and Uncultured Rascals\u2019 \u2013 Chandrika Kumaratunga\u201d,\u00a0<em>The Sunday Leader<\/em>, 16 October 2011\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thesundayleader.lk\/2011\/10\/16\/wikileaks-%E2%80%93-\">,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thesundayleader.lk\/2011\/10\/16\/wikileaks-%E2%80%93-\">http:\/\/www.thesundayleader.lk\/2011\/10\/16\/wikileaks-%E2%80%93-% E2% 80%9Crajapaksas-are-uneducated-and-uncultured- rascals%E2%80% 9D-%E2%80%93-cbk,<\/a>\u00a0accessed on 17 March 2012.\u00a0,http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/wikileaks-rajapaksas-are-uneducated-and-uncultured-rascals-cbk\/<\/p>\n<p>53\u00a0<em>Colombo Telegraph<\/em>, \u201cWikiLeaks: Basil Is Corrupt, Limited Educated and Expelled from School\u201d, 5 January 2012,<a href=\"http:\/\/colombotelegraph.com\/2012\/01\/05\/wikileaks-basil-is-corrupt-limited-educated-and-expelled-from-school\/\">http:\/\/colombotelegraph.com\/2012\/01\/05\/wikileaks-basil-is-corrupt-limited-educated-and-expelled-from-school\/<\/a>, accessed on 12 March 2012.<\/p>\n<div>*<em>Patrick Mendis (<a href=\"mailto:patrickmendis@verizon.net\">patrickmendis@verizon.net<\/a>) served as an American Diplomat and Military Professor during the Clinton and Bush administrations, and now teaches public and international affairs as well as geography and geoinformation science at George Mason University in Virginia, United States.<\/em><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":63540,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,46,8],"tags":[6839,6840,2308,3152,6838],"class_list":["post-63539","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-colombotelegraph","category-constitutional-reforms","category-editorial","tag-articles-on-rajapaksa-family","tag-articles-on-rajapaksa-family-dynasty","tag-china-and-sri-lanka","tag-economic-affaires-sri-lanka","tag-what-is-us-strategy-on-sri-lanka"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - 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