{"id":70992,"date":"2013-01-31T16:25:50","date_gmt":"2013-01-31T16:25:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/?p=70992"},"modified":"2013-02-05T12:35:42","modified_gmt":"2013-02-05T12:35:42","slug":"wikileaks-prabhakaran-thinks-were-as-monolithic-as-he-is-dhanapala-to-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.colombotelegraph.com\/index.php\/wikileaks-prabhakaran-thinks-were-as-monolithic-as-he-is-dhanapala-to-us\/","title":{"rendered":"WikiLeaks: ‘Prabhakaran Thinks We’re As Monolithic As He Is’ – Dhanapala To US"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Colombo Telegraph<\/a><\/span> – <\/strong><\/p>\n

“In separate meetings with Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapakse and Peace Secretariat head Jayantha Dhanapala on September 15, the Ambassador discussed prospects for resumed negotiations between the Government of Sri Lanka (GSL) and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE). While Rajapakse expressed guarded optimism, Dhanapala offered a bleaker assessment, noting that in the lack of movement tensions between the Tigers and GSL security forces have increased in Trincomalee and Nagarkovil, while the small but vocal ‘anti-peace’ lobby in the South had become more strident. Dhanapala does not expect the visit of Norwegian Special Envoy Erik Solheim to alleviate the situation, since he has returned to Sri Lanka with no new proposals from the LTTE. Dhanapala asked the Embassy to raise LTTE encroachments in Trincomalee with the ceasefire monitors. Both Rajapakse and Dhanapala agreed that the LTTE seems to have dropped the March defection of Eastern military commander Karuna as a pretext for refusing to negotiate.”\u00a0\u00a0the US\u00a0Embassy Colombo informed Washington.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>A Leaked \u2018Confidential\u2019 US diplomatic cable, dated September 15, 2004, updated the Secretary of State regarding and a \u00a0meeting Ambassador\u00a0\u00a0Jeffrey J. Lunstead\u00a0had with the President\u00a0Mahinda Rajapaksa<\/a><\/span>\u00a0and Peace Secretariat head Jayantha Dhanapala<\/a><\/span> .\u00a0The Colombo Telegraph found the related leaked cable from the\u00a0WikiLeaks<\/a><\/span>\u00a0database. The cable is signed by the US Ambassador to Colombo\u00a0Jeffrey J. Lunstead<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n

The ambassador wrote; “In a meeting with the Ambassador the same day, Jayantha Dhanapala, the head of the Peace Secretariat, sounded a more pessimistic note. Dhanapala opened the meeting by thanking the USG for its August 19 statement condemning LTTE violence, as well as for the firm line communicated by Coordinator for Counterterrorism Ambassador Cofer Black in the media coverage of his recent visit (Ref B). The indignant reaction to Ambassador Black’s comments by pro-LTTE TNA MPs and media show that ‘the penny has dropped’ and his words hit home, Dhanapala said. The Ambassador and Dhanapala agreed that the tough messages from the EU and the Japanese have also been helpful (Ref C). Nonetheless, Dhanapala said, the basic situation remains ‘congealed in a stalemate.’ In the impasse, the anti-peace lobby, which Dhanapala believes remains a tiny minority of the general population, is becoming more vocal and strident, appearing to dominate the discourse on this important issue and to overwhelm supporters of the peace process. Although the President is personally committed to recommencing talks, she has not, despite his urging, launched a pro-peace public relations campaign to fill the vacuum and to refocus on the benefits of peace, he said. The Peace Secretariat cannot mobilize public support for the peace process on its own, he observed; that must be done at the political level. ”<\/p>\n

“If the GSL succeeds in getting talks restarted, Dhanapala continued, that will dissipate some of the anti-peace lobby and ‘bring the JVP more earnestly on board’ once they see that negotiations are ‘a going thing.’ The GSL has already spent a good deal of time preparing its negotiating position, he said. Thus, if talks did resume, he believes an agreement on an interim arrangement could be reached quickly and discussion of a final arrangement begun. The window of opportunity is closing quickly, however, he warned. If the LTTE decides not to resume talks until it ‘cleans up’ the East, the JVP might take advantage of the lack of progress to engage with restive Muslim groups in the East, he suggested, and thereby increase pressure for a ‘de-merger’ of the North and East. Tiger supremo Prabhakaran does not understand the domestic political constraints the President is facing, Dhanapala said; ‘he thinks we’re as (politically) monolithic as he is.'” the ambassador further wrote.<\/p>\n

Read the\u00a0relevant\u00a0part of the cable below;<\/p>\n

Related posts to this cable;<\/p>\n

WikiLeaks: Prime Minister Mahinda Described President Chandrika As \u201cVery Confident\u201d<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 04 COLOMBO 001526<\/p>\n

SIPDIS<\/p>\n

STATE FOR SA\/INS<\/p>\n

E.O. 12958: DECL: 09\/13\/2014
\nTAGS: PGOV PTER PREL CE LTTE
\nSUBJECT: SRI LANKA:\u00a0 AMBASSADOR DISCUSSES PEACE PROCESS
\nWITH PRIME MINISTER, PEACE SECRETARIAT<\/p>\n

REF: A. COLOMBO 1521
\n\u00b6B. COLOMBO 1510
\n\u00b6C. COLOMBO 1362<\/p>\n

Classified By: AMB. JEFFREY J. LUNSTEAD.\u00a0 REASON:\u00a0 1.4 (B,D).<\/p>\n

——-
\nSUMMARY
\n——–<\/p>\n

\u00b61.\u00a0 (C)\u00a0 In separate meetings with Prime Minister Mahinda
\nRajapakse and Peace Secretariat head Jayantha Dhanapala on
\nSeptember 15, the Ambassador discussed prospects for resumed
\nnegotiations between the Government of Sri Lanka (GSL) and
\nthe Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE).\u00a0 While Rajapakse
\nexpressed guarded optimism, Dhanapala offered a bleaker
\nassessment, noting that in the lack of movement tensions
\nbetween the Tigers and GSL security forces have increased in
\nTrincomalee and Nagarkovil, while the small but vocal
\n“anti-peace” lobby in the South had become more strident.
\nDhanapala does not expect the visit of Norwegian Special
\nEnvoy Erik Solheim to alleviate the situation, since he has
\nreturned to Sri Lanka with no new proposals from the LTTE.
\nDhanapala asked the Embassy to raise LTTE encroachments in
\nTrincomalee with the ceasefire monitors.\u00a0 Both Rajapakse and
\nDhanapala agreed that the LTTE seems to have dropped the
\nMarch defection of Eastern military commander Karuna as a
\npretext for refusing to negotiate.\u00a0 End summary.<\/p>\n

——————-
\nPM POSITIVE;
\nJVP CAN’T JUMP YET
\n——————-<\/p>\n

\u00b62.\u00a0 (C)\u00a0 In a September 15 meeting with the Ambassador, Prime
\nMinister Mahinda Rajapakse described President Chandrika
\nKumaratunga as “very confident” that she can soon restart
\ntalks with the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE).\u00a0 He
\noffered several reasons for this assessment.\u00a0 The LTTE seems
\nto have stopped raising the March defection of Karuna, its
\nEastern military commander, as a purported obstacle to
\nresumed negotiations, Rajapakse said.\u00a0 In addition, the GSL
\nhas formulated a proposal for a multipartisan Advisory
\nCouncil on the peace process (Ref A).\u00a0 Finally, even the
\nJanatha Vimukti Peramuna (JVP), the left-wing nationalist
\ncoalition partner that has been most vocal in criticizing the
\nLTTE’s proposal for an interim admiinistration, has now said
\nit is ready to discuss it, he noted.\u00a0 The PM thinks the JVP’s
\napparent turnaround is the result of a pragmatic political
\ncalculus, rather than a fundamental change of heart.\u00a0 It is
\ntoo early for the JVP to break ranks with the government,
\nRajapakse said; the party will remain a coalition partner at
\nleast until local council elections in April 2006, he
\npredicted.\u00a0 Moreover, the pro-LTTE Tamil National Alliance
\n(TNA), with its 22 seats in Parliament, has pledged to
\nsupport the government if talks resume, he added.<\/p>\n

\u00b63.\u00a0 (C)\u00a0 For now, the President has shelved her proposal for
\na constituent assembly to abolish the executive presidency,
\nRajapakse indicated.\u00a0 Instead, the government is formulating
\na comprehensive package of proposed constitutional
\nchanges–including an interim arrangement for the north and
\neast–instead of “doing it piece by piece,” the PM said.\u00a0 If
\ntalks resume, the government and LTTE could reach a
\nnegotiated settlement within one year, he predicted
\nconfidently.<\/p>\n

———————————–
\nPEACE SECRETARIAT MORE PESSIMISTIC
\n———————————–<\/p>\n

\u00b64.\u00a0 (C) In a meeting with the Ambassador the same day,
\nJayantha Dhanapala, the head of the Peace Secretariat,
\nsounded a more pessimistic note.\u00a0 Dhanapala opened the
\nmeeting by thanking the USG for its August 19 statement
\ncondemning LTTE violence, as well as for the firm line
\ncommunicated by Coordinator for Counterterrorism Ambassador
\nCofer Black in the media coverage of his recent visit (Ref
\nB).\u00a0 The indignant reaction to Ambassador Black’s comments by
\npro-LTTE TNA MPs and media show that “the penny has dropped”
\nand his words hit home, Dhanapala said.\u00a0 The Ambassador and
\nDhanapala agreed that the tough messages from the EU and the
\nJapanese have also been helpful (Ref C).\u00a0 Nonetheless,
\nDhanapala said, the basic situation remains “congealed in a
\nstalemate.”\u00a0 In the impasse, the anti-peace lobby, which
\nDhanapala believes remains a tiny minority of the general
\npopulation, is becoming more vocal and strident, appearing to
\ndominate the discourse on this important issue and to
\noverwhelm supporters of the peace process.\u00a0 Although the
\nPresident is personally committed to recommencing talks, she
\nhas not, despite his urging, launched a pro-peace public
\nrelations campaign to fill the vacuum and to refocus on the
\nbenefits of peace, he said.\u00a0 The Peace Secretariat cannot
\nmobilize public support for the peace process on its own, he
\nobserved; that must be done at the political level.<\/p>\n

\u00b65.\u00a0 (C) If the GSL succeeds in getting talks restarted,
\nDhanapala continued, that will dissipate some of the
\nanti-peace lobby and “bring the JVP more earnestly on board”
\nonce they see that negotiations are “a going thing.”\u00a0 The GSL
\nhas already spent a good deal of time preparing its
\nnegotiating position, he said.\u00a0 Thus, if talks did resume, he
\nbelieves an agreement on an interim arrangement could be
\nreached quickly and discussion of a final arrangement begun.
\nThe window of opportunity is closing quickly, however, he
\nwarned.\u00a0 If the LTTE decides not to resume talks until it
\n“cleans up” the East, the JVP might take advantage of the
\nlack of progress to engage with restive Muslim groups in the
\nEast, he suggested, and thereby increase pressure for a
\n“de-merger” of the North and East.\u00a0 Tiger supremo Prabhakaran
\ndoes not understand the domestic political constraints the
\nPresident is facing, Dhanapala said; “he thinks we’re as
\n(politically) monolithic as he is.”<\/p>\n

LUNSTEAD<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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