14 December, 2018

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Back To Square One: The Cycle Continues

By Aravinth Kumar –

Aravinth Kumar

1958, 1977, 1983, 1990’s, 2000’s, 2014 and now 2018; a continuing long list of dates with no end in sight. Since gaining independence from the British, Sri Lanka has experienced significant racial violence in every decade expect for the 1960’s. The reason behind this is purely down to the political system that has been in place since independence; multi-party democracy.

I wrote an article which was published in the Colombo Telegraph, “Democracy with Sri Lankan Characteristics”. In it, I explained that Sri Lanka is stuck in a continuous cycle. I have reproduced the cycle which was noted in the article below:

*An election is called. All political parties issue their mandate of what they wish to achieve if given power. Usually, these political parties offer a populist manifesto completely disregarding the impact on the economy (or national unity). During the campaign, political parties provide all thoughts of tangible goodies to entice the citizens to vote for them. As Lee Kuan Yew famously stated, Sri Lanka’s elections are an “auctions of non-existent resources”.

*The people vote in a party which is usually either an UNP or SLFP led alliance. The party forms a government for a period of 5 years.

*Once in power, the UNP/SLFP looks to pay back those who helped with their election win, as well as help family and friends. This is usually through providing jobs in the public sector thus depriving the state of competent individuals. Unaffordable populist measures as stated in their manifesto are enacted, such as public sector pay rises or fuel subsidies, requiring the government to borrow high interest loans creating economic instability e.g. balances of payment crises, increasing inflation and currency collapses.

*In the rare case that a government does attempt meaningful development, be it from a change in law or a physical infrastructure project, the opposition parties will block it just to prevent their “enemy” taking credit for helping the nation to develop. In doing so, the opposition can then claim that the current government has done nothing of benefit and the people should vote them into power.   

*With the economy suffering and the next set of elections around the corner, the government of the day starts scapegoating and trying to turn people’s attention away from their poor mismanagement by stroking nationalistic/ethnic/religious sentiment and/or (further) offering economically damaging policies.

*With the government not having made any meaningful action to improve the country, come the next election, the people usually turn to the opposition (i.e. if it’s an UNP backed government then power shifts to a SLFP backed government and vice versa).

The recent racial incidents experienced in Ampara and Digana have been created and caused by politicians. There’s no denying it. The question we need to ask is which political party started these incidents. This writer believes that while it is difficult to put blame on a particular party for promoting the violence, all of the parties have been complicit in keeping the violence going for their own sick motives.

The Government

The shaky coalition of the UNP and the splintered SLFP, which joined together after the 2015 elections, are soon approaching the next round of parliamentary and presidential elections. The major problems faced by the people such as the rising cost of living and the general poor economic conditions have made people weary and disillusioned. It has not helped that corruption is seen to be at the same level, if not worse, than that of the previous government (which was a major contributor to removing the prior government from power). 

As noted in the 5th bullet point of the cycle, the government needs to divert attention from their poor handling of the country as well as the instability circus that occurred after being humiliated at the local government elections. There are protests in all corners of the country and the political dreaded “hot potato”, Geneva is back on the plate. To save face, the government seems to have fallen down the same path of previous government by creating and/or promoting and/or allowing ethnic violence to rise. It’s a perfect way of turning the masses attention away from the poor governance.

Having the Muslims being attacked is politically less of an issue. The Tamils community is seen as weakened and can’t be scapegoated for economic issues like in the 1950’s by saying they have all the government jobs. It is also a risky issue with the international community already breathing down Sri Lanka’s neck around the Tamil issue. With the Muslims however, they are an easier target. Internationally, the western countries are having their own issues with individuals who practise Islam. Muslims are also highly entrepreneurial and have historically been major business owners in the country. With the cost of living and poor economic environment, it’s easy to blame the Muslims and state they are taking all the money.

The Opposition

The Joint Opposition is also more than happy to see violence boil over. They’re aim is to win power back. The best way is to appeal to the community which holds the largest numerical vote’s i.e. the Sinhala Buddhist.

Promoting the violence puts the government in a tricky situation, especially more so with the Minster of Law and Order being held by the Prime Minster, Ranil Wickremesinghe. If the Prime Minsters brings a heavy hand down on the perpetrators, the Sinhala Buddhist, then he will lose their support and be seen as a pro ethnic-minority leader. If he doesn’t then he’s seen as weak and an incompetent leader who doesn’t care about the Muslim/minorities. More so, allowing the violence to happen at a time when Sri Lanka will once again be discussed in the Geneva Convention puts a further bad light on the country. The government will likely be pushed by foreign countries into a corner and the JO can once again protest loudly and be seen as bastions of protecting the army and defenders of the country. In effect it’s a checkmate. Either way the government moves they are going to lose. As in the cycle of a multi-party democracy, the opposition will most likely win the upcoming parliamentary election as seen by the recent local government elections.

Conclusion

We have been in this situation too many times. We discuss but don’t change the root problem. The Sinhala and Muslim extremists who have set the country on fire are mere puppets. There masters are the multi-party democratic parties. They have been more than happy to allow the violence seen to happen. The recent events are a complete repeat of the violence experienced in 2014 expect for the government and opposition being in the opposite position.

All political parties only loyalty is to winning an election and gaining power and not for the benefit of the country. As I stated in my previous article, multi-party democracy has trapped Sri Lanka. Until Sri Lanka removes this cancer and moves to a political system which takes into account the realities of the country, don’t be surprised to see a date from the next decade (2020) added to the long list of dates mentioned at the start.

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Latest comments

  • 3
    0

    AK. An interesting article. Sadly you have missed to mention the important actor in SL politics who aide and abate the politicians – the “Media”. If the journalists are genuine in their reporting SL will not be in this SH.

    • 1
      1

      Hello Kumar..
      I dont think you are an learned journalist but just throw something which you heard only, like puppet racist media..

      The first Sin KEle terror attack was in 1915.. It was against Muslim community BY those days Budah rowdies who went to give SIL ,listening Bana, like nowadays before attack , then came to attack Muslims by set on fire their properties , raped women and looted all houses , shops as we see these days so that many more Sin Kele yas became rich ….Why you hide this ????????

      Next Buddha Terror attack on Tamils was in 1956 where Selvanayakam had a narrow escape from death. Its called The Gal Oya massacre. If you nee to say the first ethnic riots that targeted the minority Indu Tamils in then Ceylon, then OK.

      You also seem to be an Tamil extremist .

  • 2
    3

    1958, 1977, 1983, 1990’s, 2000’s, 2014, 2018, 2018, 2018, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and so on.

    • 1
      0

      The Lankan Army Einstein ~ “………….2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, ……..and so on”
      The man can actually actually actually count! Not many in the Lankan Army can do that.

      • 0
        0

        Pillai,

        Don’t worry. We have done well for ourselves.

  • 5
    0

    The damage is done to the economy. FDI will not come in with the reputatjonal damage to the countries name and the government will not look to bring any modernisation to the economy for fear of going against the people. The country has no hope!

  • 2
    5

    In that sense, if MR succeeded in his 3rd attempt, this type of diversions would have stopped. Unfortunately Tamils wanted to punish MR ignoring such wisdom.

    • 2
      1

      In a way you are right if Mahinda succeeded in his 3rd attempt, they won’t be any elections in the future and Mahinda will be our king. He will murder or put in jail without trail anyone who opposes him.

      • 0
        0

        Wrong……..MR’s political life depends on popular support. It is the only reason why he is still in politics today (i.e. people want him in politics). It is the same reason why he held elections regularly for popular endorsement.

  • 3
    0

    Bravo you said it and the saga keeps repeating. Take a note DJ and so called intellects.A writer looks like half of your age and experience could predict the future of # RIP LANKA.The so called Lankan media experts write columns of article/analysis/expert comments which are no where close to the simple fact which this writer has put across in very few words.The Lankans will never get over this DENIAL (like a true alcoholic where the whole world including his 5 year old child knows the cause except for the patient, who outright denies even on his death bed). All these other discussions are of the same kind.And then you have people like Lt retarded Perera who was vociferous about the pill contamination, turns out as flour pellets, I believe at last the government is looking out for people like him.

  • 2
    0

    The first one was in 1929…why do you always ignore that?

    • 1
      1

      sach

      What was it?
      Was it when you first started walking?

      • 0
        0

        Sach,

        The first was in 5000 BC and occurred between the two rivers of Euphrates and Tigris.

  • 3
    2

    The main strategists behind the ethnic violence is MR and MS. MS is using his executive power to do politics with MR. It is on MR’s request SF was denied L&O post. BBS is MR’s extension. MS is intentionally shielding all frauds and criminals. People must oust all these criminals from politics.

  • 0
    0

    You said it little brother, the cycle continues, there are only few tricks in the bag and the politicos pull the next one and the next one , and back to the square one. There was that Aluthgama riots, remember that? Why had that not been investigated, arrests made and guilty convicted during the past three years?

    • 0
      0

      Because Aluthgama culprits are now in yahapalana camp……….

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