By Kumar David –
Quote of the Week: “6.9 million people voted for Gota to save the country from Ranil, Gota gave it back to Ranil who promised to save Gota from the people”
It’s pandemonium, an undeclared uprising. Grasping Mahinda delayed his resignation too long. It will remain unsettled till Gota too, “unwept, unloved, unsung and unhanged”, cuts and runs. Not one Minister, regime MP (hucksters Vasu, Wimal and Udaya included) or government supporter dares to mount an unguarded platform or walk the streets in the heart of his own constituency for fear of public ridicule and rotten eggs. The government’s May Day meeting in Nugegoda was milquetoast. No government, ever, has been so loathed, colonial administrations included. A Daily Mirror opinion poll found that 96% said “President and PM must resign”. The DM is an English paper. I think that even in Sinhalese society the ‘Go Gota Go, Go Mahinda Go’, cry now supplemented by ‘Go Ranil Go’, is ubiquitous; among Tamils and Muslims it is 100%.
A nationwide hartal and general strike is strengthening; organisers coordinate events strategically. Gotabaya imposed a state of emergency for the second time in weeks; people largely ignore it. Strikes continue as and when they wish, the masses on the streets swell. Gota’s gamble has all the markings of another strategic disaster. Will he send the troops to mow down the people? The police force is divided and dispirited, its loyalties mostly with the people. The military, notwithstanding generous recent pay increases and promotions, is not that stupid. If it kills people like dogs on the streets, remember Rajiv Gandhi; Indian muscle did at least on good thing! Sri Lanka is not an island separate unto itself. One-time Rajapaksa cheerleader Sumbrmanium Swamy has tweeted “India must send in the Indian Army to restore constitutional sanity”. This is what Gota has exposed the country to. The military has been ordered to shoot on sight “anyone who plunders public property”. Will the Paksa family be first in the firing-line; it best matches the criterion? Wishful thinking to one side, coldly and rationally I think flat-on-his-backside Gota cannot survive. Odds of even 25 seats for the Plundering Paksa Peramuna at the next election is zilch.
To move on who got rid of Mahinda? Was it my red-hot revolutionary comrades of the JVP-NPP or was it a spontaneous movement of wide-eyed youth and angry middleclass activists? (The use of the term middleclass for the modern working class is methodologically inaccurate). Yes indeed trade unions intervened at the last moment and tilted the scales, but who led in and did it? For months I have been warning my red-hot revolutionary comrades that brewing mass anger was serious and they must integrate with it. I was spurned and ridiculed. The JVP issued a statement warning people to be cautious of the aragalaya – can you believe it? Now the JVP-NPP is powerless, toothless in the dynamic of events; it follows like a tail. The Front Line Socialist Party (FSP) led by Kumar Gunaratnam and Pubudu Jayagoda though smaller has greater influence. It would be wise for the JVP-NPP and the FSP to coordinate social and economic programmes but that calls for suspension of imbecile left-sectarianism. No bloody chance in my lifetime!
It is no surprise that Anura and Sajith were cold-shouldered (hooted according to some reports) by protesters when they visited the scene after all the fighting was over to secure opportunistic benefits. When Gota is kicked out, by whom will it be; by our red-hot revolutionaries? What a laugh! I futilely begged my comrades to learn how Lenin’s party took control of the ‘July Days’ and prevented anarchy; conditions are becoming anarchic. Government nominee Simbalapitiya re-resigned as Deputy Spear within hours of re-election. Ali Sabry, sworn into the Cabinet, resigned within 24 hours, re-sworn-in he was kicked so hard on his spineless backside by the IMF that he won’t be able to re-park his precious re-sworn bum on ministerial cushions for months. Mahinda once a charming rascal is lost in the woods, deaf, blind and ugly. This is the team of cretins, crooks and cripples that Gotabaya Rajapaksa captained till recently.
If this was all I intended to say you will yawn, every column in every media outlet says this ad nauseum. There is a more important subtext I am aiming at. Gotabaya’s removal must lead as quickly as constitutionally feasible to the abolition of the Executive Presidency (EP), root and branch. No humbug repeal of 20A and reverting to 19A except as a stop-gap. The evil system spawned by JR must be eradicated without trace. Even Sajith and the SJB have at last seen the light and demanded abolition of EP. Forget erstwhile chamber-pot carriers now high and dry with full pots on their hands; they will fall in line if or when a presumptive Sajith Administration gets round to handing out sinecures. Ingrained opportunism dies hard.
Another point. What balderdash to say that the minorities did better under EP than the previous parliamentary system. Sure amputation of the citizenship of Upcountry Tamils, Sinhala Only, stuffing Buddhism into the Constitution, “standardisation”, beating up Tamils on Satyagraha etc. are egregious crimes of Sinhala majority parliamentary governments. Compare that with 1983 government-military incited murder, rape and arson, the burning of the Jaffna Public Library, the alleged tens of thousands of civilians murdered in camps with presidential sanction by artillery shells in the closing stages of the Civil War, numerous Tamils and Muslims locked up under PTA, and so on. The kettle and the pot! Neither system provided a shred of protection for the minorities. The cancer of racism is buried elsewhere; a malignant “nationalist” mentality. The “achievement” of Sinhala nationalism, 1983 and the Executive Presidency after all was the consolidation of the LTTE and Prabaharan. The damning case against EP lies elsewhere, it harmed democracy on all sides for 50 years and continues to imperil it now! What a waste if aragalaya limits itself only to throwing out the Plundering Paksas. Must this noble efforts stop short of the golden dream of abolishing EP? Excruciating interruptus!
In respect of an interim administration under Gota even Sajith said before he went back sucking up to Gota: “Why should people make sacrifices only to back another corrupt and inefficient government? Why should people keep the Rajapaksa’s going?” Anura Kumara said the same on behalf of the NPP-JVP but never changed his “Go Gota Go” ultimatum. Both demanded scrapping of EP. Interesting point then, who favours retention of EP? The majority of SLPP MPs don’t care a hoot. They know that this is the last time they will be permitted to crawl into parliament; their only interest (the three con-artists named in my opening para included) is to prolong this their final climax. To do so they must bum the Paksas and dance to every Paksa tune. The only wretches who crave to retain EP are the inhabitants of the Plundering Paksa leper colony. But with such a tiny support base not only Gotabaya, not only the Clan, but the executive presidency too is doomed. Its death rattle jars; let’s hasten its death. Aragalaya must grab this chance by the forelock and not miss a once in a lifetime opportunity.
Lanka’s EP System is not an example of the classic separation of powers between three branches of state – Executive, Legislative and Judicial. Tragically for most of the last 50 years, with brief exceptions the higher judiciary has been a pliant tool in the hands of absolutist or corrupt and self-serving presidents. This limb of the three-legged stool has been as limp as a pathola. In electoral politics in Lanka (USA and France are different) the pendulum of parliamentary majority has swung in synchronism with presidential elections. JR and Mahinda had stool-pigeon parliaments at their service and no constraints in enacting vile constitutional changes. Lanka has always had an authoritarian presidential scheme. On rare occasions when rogue-presidents were sans two-thirds, gross venality solved it; such is the calibre of our parliamentarians.
There is then a legitimate objection. If MPs are morally so paltry why prefer a parliamentary system? There are two answers, an idealist one and a more pragmatic one. The idealist version I have spoken in favour of at times but found no backers. Legislate to recall MPs; a provision now used elsewhere. But our MPs have invested so much at the hustings that they will never agree to let this outlay go down the tubes till they recover investment plus handsome returns (200 to 400% in five years; not bad eh?). More realistically however I need to concede that ‘recall of MPs’ is not a constitutional change that will happen. Hence by second argument. Even if MPs remain corrupt a parliament stuffed with rogues is less expensive and less dangerous than EP. The cost side first: Say each MP on average plunders Rs 10 million during his term of office – the good ones will take nothing, the worst say Rs.20 million. The averaged-out total take of 225 persons is Rs.2.25 billion. What is the alleged take of the Brotherhood? Rumours put it in billions of dollars; a difference of two orders of magnitude!
I do not need to argue the democracy case; 225 headless chickens cannot inflict the Lasantha-Ekneligoda murders, White Vans and Flags, Easter Sunday terrorism cover-ups, human-rights violations that have brought shame on the country, incompetent military brass in key positions, and Muslim doctors locked-up on trumped-up PTA charges. It is really not debatable that EP has been a blight on democracy worse than what we suffered in the previous parliamentary era. Surely it’s an open and shut case than that the parliamentary system has been less-worse than EP on violation of rights.
Under capitalism, democracy is key to protecting the rights of the peeditha panthiya and the minorities. An Interim administration seeking to overcome the current gridlock must be based on (a) the resignation of Gota and selection of an Interim president, (b) a caretaker government (Ranil is not trustworthy as PM; he will kow-tow to Gota before and after the elections, but unfortunately we have to stomach him), (c) elections within four months, and (d) agreement among all who accept the Interim Plan (need not participate in the administration) to repeal the Executive Presidency as soon as constitutionally feasible.
The initial outburst of violence last week was an outpouring of pent up anger. It was understandable, forgivable, therapeutic and spontaneous. Now violence must stop – the Defence Ministry first incited violence anyway. Lanka has to start work on a four-month Interim Plan. The limp Ranil Interim Administration should implement the Bunker Busting economic package I outlined last week but it’s inept and effete. The medium-term economic rescue programme to follow this is the task of the election winner. I have already offered by suggestions. More on the limp-dicks who will run the Gota-Ranil tosh-pot.
Jit / May 15, 2022
“………….The JVP issued a statement warning people to be cautious of the aragalaya – can you believe it? Now the JVP-NPP is powerless, toothless in the dynamic of events; it follows like a tail…….”
Kumar, spot on!! That is the character certificate written on the wall for them!!
Also, you are quite right to identify that it could be a spontaneous movement of wide-eyed youth and angry middle-class activists. It was not initiated by the red clad lefties. To me, JVP/NPP missed the golden opportunity to lead the movement and divert its outcome to a mass change of governance attitudes and then to form a people’s government instead of pathetically watching an absolutely rejected politician getting the second powerful political position of the country ON A PLATTER!!!
Eagle Eye / May 15, 2022
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Jit / May 15, 2022
I saw in media today that AKD has met the US Ambassador….FINALLY…!!!
Well done AKD!! I like it….that is one positive step towards gaining more marks on your political maturity!
Now get an appointment with the HC of India as well…
Because …..You cannot do politics in the Indian Ocean keep bashing INDIA…!!!
leelagemalli / May 15, 2022
Finally, JVPrs have started to see it in the mirror.#-
. I wish more of NPPers joined them. But for some hidden reasons, nothing seem working in that regard. My wish is NOT to see, them all being marginalized again. Surprisingly, many of them have not noticed this yet.
I cant see anyone other than that Dr Harini W is representing the JVP/NPP yet today ? Or am I no right here ? Truth is the JVPrs stay enjoying their crowds (as we lads then enjoyed ourselves by looking at crowds at May day rallies) but when it goes for voting, people would refrain doing the right thing. Not once this was the case again and again for all the previous elections.
This they should finally realize and work on clarifying the issue. Longer they wait, worst it will be. And their speeches on the PUBLILC stage and through TV channels should be in a simple and plain langauge.
chiv / May 16, 2022
KD, what happened last week was pretty much expected. Soon after Mirihana established it self in Galleface, I shared my thoughts few times stating ” it’s a pressure cooker building to explode any time”. Instead of MR being so stupid, I expected police and army to be the usual bad guys. Same with our economic meltdown too.. Initial signs were there to see within years after Mara first came to power. I am not surprised, by the crisis but the time it took to reach to this point. Other than Mara losing election, SC verdict against his constitutional coup and the birth of Aragalaya it self ( not the outcome), rest are according to script.
Jit / May 17, 2022
LM, you are right! JVP has always been hypnotized by their own red T-shirt crowd but when it comes to ballot boxes, they perform the worst, next to Independent candidates. Main reason is they are still clung to Ernesto Che Guevara’s 1960s anti-capitalist theories. In today’s world there are no capitalist or socialist theories working in economies…they all are mixed ones. Even in a so called top capitalist country like USA, there are lots of govt intervention. Economy is not left to business people to run as Neo-liberals advocate!! Instead what actually happens is when capitalists ruin the economy such as the GFC in 2007/8, it is only the US government that stepped in and bailed them out. In that sense USA is very much active in govt intervention so JVP should forgo old fallacies about western economies and embrace the ground realities. Then only the average voters will see some sense in their policies.
nimal fernando / May 15, 2022
What if Elon Musk dies tomorrow?
What if Ranil dies tomorrow?
leelagemalli / May 17, 2022
Nothing will change for sure in srilanka. Having watched the developements the parliament today, I thought it would have been better, if I paid a visit to an piggery. Most of them behave yet today, shortly before a free fall is unchanged. Ballige puthas are back to be present in the Parliament even if their hate speeches persuaded SLAVEs on the 9th … remember ?
If I were president, I would have put them all in a 2 x 2 Room for their rest of life. Youth’s pain continues.
Plato / May 17, 2022
This essay by Prof: Kumar David is a must read, for the arguments put forward to repeal the Executive Presidency Lock,stock,and Barrel, hammer and sickle…………..
Lankas EP System is not an example of the classic separation of Powers between three branches of State——-Executive,Legislative and Judicial argues Prof:David ,quite rightly.
He stopped short of saying that the Executive Presidential system destroyed the Separation of Powers……
I AGREE ; Time and Tide wait for no man.This is the time to go for the kill!
shankar / May 18, 2022
yes,if the executive presidency goes with gota too then this crisis will become a blessing in disguise.