27 July, 2021

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What If There Is A Showdown In Geneva?

By Kumar David

Prof. Kuma David

Within five days of your reading this the UNHRC Sessions will commence in Geneva. It is still not certain how the battle-lines on the Sri Lanka confrontation will unfold. Thinking, at this moment seems to be that the Core Group (UK, Canada, Germany and two small nations) will table a tough resolution on the lines of Commissioner Michelle Bachelet’s damning report and that it will likely have the support of the new US Administration. Without US backing the stance of the Core Group will be a damp squib. In the meantime it is rumoured that there is intense lobbying by Gotabaya’s diplomats to reach a compromise resolution, or if this fails to ensure that any reproving resolution is defeated with robust Chinese support and aided by an Indian abstention. I cannot predict the outcome but if the US and the Core Group denounce Sri Lanka, even if their resolution is not carried, for undermining previous UNHRC decisions and neglecting reconciliation the fallout will be damaging. 

I think however that the SL government is not taking the damage that a standoff with the US and Europe can do to the economy quite lightly and is cavalier in its illusions of the adequacy of Chinese support to annul this. However, its contempt for the political effectiveness of so-called the International Community and UNHRC Resolutions is justified. These worthies are toothless, they have been ineffective for a decade and I don’t see how it can be any different this time. The real threat is the economic issue.

Critics of Sri Lanka will make much of all the following:  In July 2019, 13 members of the security forces accused of killing five students in Trincomalee in 2006 were acquitted. Gota’s Presidential Commission blocked investigation of Prageeth Ekneligoda’s murder, covered up Lasantha’s murder and stopped legal action against naval officers who killed 11 youths in Colombo in 2008-2009. Gota in 2020 pardoned army-sergeant Sunil Ratnayake, convicted of massacring eight Tamil civilians. Trial of five suspects including ex-LTTE cadre Pillayan for the murder of former TNA parliamentarian Joseph Pararajasingham was scuttled by Gota’s government. Gota has promoted thousands of army officers to shore-up the ground for his dictatorial saga. Tamils are marching from Pottuvil to Polykandy to protest the unsavoury policies of the government. Former Human U.N. HR High Commissioner Navi Pillay vexes “the Sri Lankan government has made clear it has no serious intention of pursuing accountability for war crimes and crimes against humanity during the civil war and the U.N. Human Rights Council must act” (Justice and Security website 15 Feb). Ha ha, Gota’s cohorts must be sniggering.

Sri Lankan governments have treated international human rights opinions with contempt and if at all made use of condemnation to shore up its status among Sinhala-Buddhist extremists. It will be no different this time, if at all worse. Gota’s cabal is more fascist, Mahinda’s was a nuanced style. But the real problem is that the country is facing bankruptcy for the first time in history and the hole is too deep for the Chinese alone to fill. Lanka will not be able to withstand an asset freeze, economic sanctions such as withdrawal of EU preferential tariffs and travel bans. Though the Central Bank crows about a $2 billion reduction in the trade deficit in 2020 compared to 2019, the truth is that imports declined from $10 billion to $12 billion and exports from $20 billion to $16 billion, both compared to 2019. Both denote a decline in economic activity. Remittances were $7 billion in 2020, 6% higher than 2019, which is the silver lining among these dark clouds. Letters of Credit issued by SL banks have been rejected by international banks. Poor Prof Lakshman is making rather an ass of himself whistling in the dark about “Alternative” policies, code for Gota’s Vistas. “It’s the economy” that will strangle this government. Lakshman oh Lakshan! One day you will have to return to terra firma and on that day you don’t want people laughing at you, do you?

The exchange rate on 10 Feb 2021 was LKR 197 to the US$.

Against this background the most foolish thing this government can do is to allow itself to be drawn into the China versus India-US-Europe mêlée in the Indian Ocean. Every skilled tart (read poor country) knows the despair of poverty and the tricks of how to keep all clients satisfied. If Sri Lanka wishes to survive without a meltdown within five years here are a few simple things to do.

1. By hook or by crook crush Sinhala-Buddhist extremism (a sine qua non).

2. Replay SWRD’s and Mrs B’s copy-book; the tried and tested Nonalignment Game.

3. Make concessions to the bothersome Tamils and cut a deal with the Muslims (Sorry about the cut).

4. Forget about pulling off some asinine militarist stunt.

Nobody is listening; maybe it’s apt that you get to read it on Ash Wednesday.

 

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Latest comments

  • 8
    22

    Funny recommendations!

    A bad deal for Sinhalas but good deals for Tamils and Muslims! This is totally unacceptable.

    UNHRC is a toothless tiger. Whether SL wins or lose the UNHRC vote, nothing happens. No need to panic and give into extortion.

    If UNHRC wants to execute the resolution it must go to the UN Security Council where it will be defeated mercilessly. Russia and China will not support anything that targets a country.

    The Endia-China great game is here to stay whether SL likes it or not.

    Bandaranaikes’ foreign policy and local policy were disasters. Non-aligned Endia created Tamil terrorist groups in SL!! If SL was aligned to some superpower, SL could have crushed these groups easily and with complete impunity.

    • 4
      18

      All these wills go to the dustbins. What happened to the MCC agreement? It is now inside the dustbin. What happened to the East Colombo Port Terminal What happened to the 13A and what happened to the Vaddukkodai resolution? All now inside the dust bins.Nothing to worry Sinhalese Aryans Country, Heladiva (Sri Lanka)

  • 17
    5

    It is not Geneva, it’s China at your door step, stupid India!

    Will Sinhalese Buddhist Supremacist Sri Lanka follow the “Cuba-US” model , Ukraine, Crimea, North Ukraine-Russia model or Georgia, Abkasia, South Ossetia-Russia model?

    Let’s wait and see. In any case people of Sri Lanka will suffer.

    When Robert Knox said “the Cingalese are a cunning lot who mistake the low-level cunning they possess to be a high level of Intelligence,” he was not wrong by far.

    The “smart” maneuvers of the Sinhalese might misfire.

    • 4
      6

      T
      You talk as if the ‘Sinhalese’ comprise a monolith!
      Politically, they were once far more diverse than the Tamils, and still are in terms of ideology.
      *
      Tamils disagree most when there is an agreed policy– it is all about personalities

      • 4
        1

        SJ,

        Both are the same I would say. They would take few more decades to address the people s issues as it is.
        .
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aBlvoWsq2sQ

        I listened what has this young man been revealing. I thought, Wiggie would have entered to politics with right mind to address the grivances of the tamils. But what has he achieved so far – nothing … right ?

        What about other tamil politicians in the parliament ? Are they better compared to SENIOR sinhala parliamentarians ?

        • 1
          0

          Can someone tell me in SL context the difference between the

          (1)Ceylon Tamil, Indian Tamil, Sinhalese, Muslims, Buddhists, Christians, Hindus, Muslims,,,,Atheist vs Law of the Land please.

          (2) TC, WC, SLFP, SLPP, UNP, FP, TULF………..

          (3) GOSL Soldiers, JVP, TELO, PLOTE, LTTE, EPRLF………

          (4) UN, India, US……..all other Nations and their interest in SL?

          (5) educated vs uneducated? means what?

          (6) Rich vs poor

          (7) high cast vs low casts

          (8) Locals vs Diaspora

    • 5
      2

      Might ??? Lol these modayas think lying to people and changing their word is being smart.
      .
      The world now sees these extremist sinhala buddhists for who they are: cheap lying rabid dogs. The only solution is clear.

  • 9
    1

    Fabulous analysis Prof David! Your list of suggestion for survival, item 1 won’t be able to touch

  • 12
    3

    1. By hook or by crook crush Sinhala-Buddhist extremism (a sine qua non).
    Even that cannot rescue the economy.
    *
    2. Replay SWRD’s and Mrs B’s copy-book; the tried and tested Nonalignment Game.
    The game board is not there to play.
    *
    3. Make concessions to the bothersome Tamils and cut a deal with the Muslims (Sorry about the cut).
    What kind concessions? Some of them want the North to be made part of India.
    *
    4. Forget about pulling off some asinine militarist stunt.
    Why?
    That may be the only option?
    *
    Nobody is listening; maybe it’s apt that you get to read it on Ash Wednesday.
    Very true.
    You too could have waited.

    • 0
      0

      The graph also show the “FP/TULF and the Indian/TamilNadu foreign sponsored terrorism” folly handy works and how our Nation was destroyed ever since by the armed insurrections by the JVP and the FP introducing killer squads/thuggery ever since does it not???????

      • 0
        0

        Prof

        Please superimpose the Indian/Singaporean/Malaysian currencies will show the world what they need to know.

        With this and a seprate graph or the same graph showing the dead ever since FP was formed a s a Party to “communal violences” will be sufficient for the GOSL to discuss matters at the UN.

        No other words are required to support the presentation “why we are where we are” and ask the FP/TULF to be eradicated from the face of the earth please….this is a job for the UN. Meanwhile sent them to Tamil Nadu.

  • 11
    2

    “In July 2019, 13 members of the security forces accused of killing five students in Trincomalee in 2006 were acquitted. Gota’s Presidential Commission blocked investigation of Prageeth Ekneligoda’s murder, covered up Lasantha’s murder and stopped legal action against naval officers who killed 11 youths in Colombo in 2008-2009. Gota in 2020 pardoned army-sergeant Sunil Ratnayake, convicted of massacring eight Tamil civilians. Trial of five suspects including ex-LTTE cadre Pillayan for the murder of former TNA parliamentarian Joseph Pararajasingham was scuttled by Gota’s government.”

    What does all this scream of? No sane or insane person is going to acquit cold blooded murders or protect them unless the cold blooded murders were doing that persons bidding or there there are bigger skeleton’s to hide.

  • 10
    6

    What happened to a community during last days of war is now happening to Lanka in international arena. So many thousands were pushed into few square meters and were reportedly shot from both ends. Now we see Lanka being sidelined by most countries including the west,EU and U.S, now at the mercy of China alone. By doing so they have antagonized their trusted alley India who played for both sides then, but now are forced into opposition, by our pro China moves.( not the same dynamics as before between India and China).

  • 7
    2

    Yes, a showdow6 is more than likely. Be alive to the distortions that Prof. Jayasumana and Rear Admiral Sarath Weerasesekera have been saying on YouTube. Always check whether subtitles have been added. If the English subtitles are gibberish, ask yourself whom they are aimed at.
    .
    To produce what effect? One Internet provider is allowing unlimited Youtube access for Rs150 plus tax (comes to about Rs 200 per month) and lots of young workers in certain sorts of jobs spend as much as 12 hours per day avidly taking in all that is said in Sinhalese. Always consider who else is likely to want to check. Are they prevented from understanding by deliberately planting nonsense in English subtitles? Why?
    .
    Please start THINKING!

    • 10
      2

      My dear SM,

      You may be right – Gota ‘s diplomats would not be able to succeed this time to the very same manner, his men set for ruining the COVID controls within the country.

      Please be cautious whenever using prefix such as ” Prof to the charactors nature of Jayasumana” whose doctorate is believed to be caught by some suspicions.

      The same would be the case with Bandula Gunawardhana. So called Prof. Jayasmumana is a joker so as any other fake Dr Title wearers in Viyath maga. Where on earth anyone who bear some basic knowledge would ever agree with “DHAMMIKA PANIYA” and ” Arsenic God aka Natha Dewiya” while wearing doctorates and degrees in Medicine ?
      .
      Forunately, that ultra sinhala racist NATHA DEWIYA Nalin De Silva is believed to be caught by Myanmar today, not being able to even exchange his daily Emails with so called powerful external affairs men of Gota.

  • 10
    1

    Thank you Prof. KD.
    .
    This time, all is set for a showdown. No doubt about that. Sorry for those who stood against Gota-Mara come back, for all others; a good riddance.

    There is a real big problem right at the moment in the govt, with Wimal Weerawanse (the man to mislead the very same gallery) being somewhat opposed to GOTA-MARA-BP GOTA. So, as if wild park ranger would be obstructed , the emptiness of the WW rhetorics would stand out.

    This happens everywhere media mafia would be dominant and anything and everything being spread targeting easy targets. Dont forget, over 80% of srilankens would guzzle up COWDUNG on one go, if Kaliamma, astrologist, parmists and all other witchery men that are behind GOTA-MARA forces would ask them to do so.

    Not a single country in Europe except estranged Belarus would support the policies of Gotabaya. Belarus is not known to the europeans but to Rajapakshes. Besides, how can we expect the other way around, knowing that Gota led govt has failed to settle even tiny issues of today?#

  • 3
    5

    A point in this article is a bit misleading: “Lanka will not be able to withstand an asset freeze, economic sanctions such as withdrawal of EU preferential tariffs and travel bans”. This almost implies that all Sri Lankans will be faced with the above consequence. As with all other genocide resolutions made by the UNHRC/ICC in the past – Travel bans, asset freezes will likely be imposed on the alleged perpetrators (Shavendra, etc.), this doesn’t necessarily affect the general public. And in the past, sanctions haven’t been placed on a whole country due to the government committing a war crime, it defeats the purpose of trying to resolve an issue by sanctioning a whole country (including Tamils), because it then leads to more animosity between the two ethnic groups.
    Agree with his point re. GSP+ etc maybe, however I think after COVID there will be a push towards tourism related economic growth which could offset a lot of that. The real problem is Sri Lanka’s sovereign wealth management – down to 70 years of Prebisch style policies, the war, debt diplomacy of the IMF/WB, and multinationals exploiting the Sri Lankan labour force. 1/4 problems have been solved and 1 partially solved, as SL is moving more towards Chinese debt now – Which I think is actually safer than WB/IMF.

    • 1
      4

      2 part comment – Part 1

      There’s been plenty of research to prove that this debt trap nonsense is not necessarily true (Eg: https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2021/02/china-debt-trap-diplomacy/617953/).
      Other than that, private businesses in Sri Lanka are quite healthy compared to their overseas counterparts in terms of their balance sheets. Other than the existing economic problems, I don’t see how this war crimes trial would exacerbate any of our problems further.
      Also note the ICC have been toothless in their response to China as well: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/15/world/asia/icc-china-uighur-muslim.html
      The messages that this website and the media in general gives these days are very polarised, not well researched and not very analytical – Best to try and form your own opinions on things.

      A point in this article is a bit misleading: “Lanka will not be able to withstand an asset freeze, economic sanctions such as withdrawal of EU preferential tariffs and travel bans”. This almost implies that all Sri Lankans will be faced with the above consequence. As with all other genocide resolutions made by the UNHRC/ICC in the past – Travel bans, asset freezes will likely be imposed on the alleged perpetrators (Shavendra, etc.), this doesn’t necessarily affect the general public.

      • 1
        3

        2 part comment – Part 2

        And in the past, sanctions haven’t been placed on a whole country due to the government committing a war crime, it defeats the purpose of trying to resolve an issue by sanctioning a whole country (including Tamils), because it then leads to more animosity between the two ethnic groups.
        Agree with his point re. GSP+ etc maybe, however I think after COVID there will be a push towards tourism related economic growth which could offset a lot of that. The real problem is Sri Lanka’s sovereign wealth management – down to 70 years of Prebisch style policies, the war, debt diplomacy of the IMF/WB, and multinationals exploiting the Sri Lankan labour force.

        • 7
          2

          DJ
          You seem to assume that sanctions concern human rights.
          There will be no UN sanctions (certainly against the whole country). There are two permanent members with the Veto who will disallow it.
          List at the countries that face severe economic sanctions by the US and allies, and compare the list with the list of worst violators of human rights.
          *
          There could be economic pressure at worst.

          • 0
            0

            SJ

            There are sanctions on Russia and threatened with more? Sanctions on Iran? and wondering may be some definitions as to what type of sanctions that requires all members to vote??

            normally anyone buying Armes from the same five amigos is the norm (only to kill their own then all else is forgiven historically).

        • 5
          7

          Don’t forget SL can also impose sanctions on its own population! Well, selected populations.

          • 1
            1

            Jihadi,
            You sounds like you want to eat Parripu and rice. Yap; better alternative than Pol Sambol & rice!

  • 8
    0

    UNHRC without beating around the bush must subject the Government of Srilanka to ICC. That is the only way that Accountability, Responsibility and Justice could be achieved. There is not a least doubt that LTTE committed heinous atrocities. But then what you expect when a man is held with his back to the wall. Singhalese cannot be trusted nor believed. The coldblooded murder of Lasantha Wickremetunge, Prageeth Ekneligoda with too many to name plus the daylight robberies and plundering by their very own kind occupying high government posts as guardians of the people and too many of them confirm the dire need for it. It has been over a decade. No serious attempt made yet to find the criminals. A lot of them roaming free and are given sweet perks to enjoy a good life.

    • 4
      0

      UNHRC is a toothless organization that brings some temporary hope to Tamils until the session lasts. They bring all kinds of resolutions (for a decade now) but they are all ineffective. It is just an annual show where nothing is achieved. Just a waste…

      • 2
        0

        LC
        The TNA knows it. CVW knows it. Gajendrakumar knows it,
        They all know that the government also knows it.
        So what is their game?

    • 7
      1

      HP,
      .
      Singhalese cannot be trusted nor believed.

      Unfortunately the truth. They killed innocient men and women, but returned to power fooling the very same voters. This game is repeating. With the announcement of BJP s intention to enter this island – is treated as if LEADERS are blind and deaf. No nothing like state reaction is yet. JVPr s are right…. today country is ruled by ANIMALs. All these we predicted even if we are not ROYAL astrologists.
      .
      What happened to srilanka ? Are u happy ? Those who joined protests for any tiny thing, behave today as if they are FED with Kirimati ? How come… Wimal Buruwasne s made stand still – SIVURU wearing pingutharayas – behaves as if they are all fallen seriously ill…. what happened to so called, SINHALA buddhists ? Sinhale, Bodhubala sena and and ?
      :
      So I have to agree with you – SINHALAs cannot be trusted …. at all

  • 3
    1

    Prof. David,

    These are your recommendation to safe Rajapakse family from escaping justice for the crimes they committed to the country. Rajapakse family is part of Buddhist Sinhala extremism. So, it is impossible to crush Buddhist Sinhala Fundamentalism.

    Non-Alignment game is not going to work because Rajapkse’s have already surrendered to China and there is no way they can come out of China.
    What are you talking about concessions to Tamils and Muslims? You mean the temporary burial rights for Muslims and buying few more Tamil MPs.
    Gota already accepted that he has two faces and agreed that it is he who killed the surrendered LTTE and Lasantha.

    It is possible the Government can more votes in the UNHCR and if not China and Russia stop going to ICC using Veto Power. But the truth is that Sri Lanka will become a permanent enemy of India and Western Nations including USA. Western Capitals are the home for more Buddhist Sinhala extremists and the country becoming like Ethiopia.

  • 0
    3

    Dear Prof

    I always said should this come to that

    – All the armed forces/police/secret services should take some leave and let everyone take care of themselves for few days…they should go on a holiday somewhere with thei family. It matters will settle with a showdown that was never seen before in the world once and for all for sure. Ensure the TNA also will “not” be outside the Country in India on a holiday or something please.

    – We should give the entire island to the Indians/US and leave the land and go and live with Diaspora…21 million…will be a great start….as they have more than enough to share??? I can see them all hosting all the fellow countryman in their homes all around the world for sure.

  • 1
    2

    Sanctions on India for the foreign sponsored terrorism in SL.

    -will affect all the Indian immigrant workers around the world too as they all need to return home.

    – no trade

    until the all the Sri Lankans are compensated and India return all the diaspora from around the world at their expense to do the “menial” work man power requirements in SL for the Nation building activity with their entire families and wealth…shipped immediately.

    Yep this will be before the national Front will go after them but what the heck at least you will saving their life correct????? Toilet washing in the house holds down south would be interesting.

  • 3
    0

    Gothaya,Mahidaya,or Hemadasa need not give powers to north-east tamils.At this rate CHINA AND INDIA Will be in a position before too long as INDIAN LANKA,AND CHINISE LANAKA.HAMBANTHOTA Harbor will be renamed as MACHETHUNG Harbor and port city will be called PEKING CITY.In the mean time palaly air port will be remamed as VAJPAYEE AIRPORT OR M.G.RAMCHANDRAN AIRPORT.TRINCO HARBOUR WILL BE RE-NAMED AS GANDI OR MODI HARBOR.SO CALLED SINGALA MODYAS WILL BE ONLY LEFT WITH KANDY AND THALATHA MALIGAWA FOR THEM TO MAINTAIN LIKE VATICAN CITY IN ROME ITALAY.-JAYAWEWA.

  • 4
    1

    These extremist sinhala buddhists have violated Soo many human rights, including the forced cremations still being carried out.
    .
    There can be NO MERCY in dealing witht these extremist sinhala buddhists. There HAS TO BE sanctions, travel bans, asset freezes, barring from financial institutions against the extremist sinhala buddhists who are responsible for the human rights violations.

  • 3
    0

    Fine piece by Prof; Kumar David. But alas; To crush, hook or by crook Sinhala-Buddhist extremism would amount to a bigger crisis than the Economic crisis.
    The Rice and curry for the Viyath-Maga is sinhala-Buddhist extremism!

    They are now well-poised to tell the gullible srilankans that the Economic crisis that will unfold slowly but surely is due to the new-variant of the Covid-19 but it has nothing to do with the sanctions imposed by UNHRC!
    Robert Knox appears to have seen through all this. Srilanka is a Land Like no other!

    JRJ famously remarked in the 80s that if he starved the Tamils the Sinhalese would be happy. Would the viyath maga implement this in full?

  • 3
    0

    Irrespective of all political and ethnic claims, if SL is a Buddhist country, the first thing the politicians and more than that the Buddhist monks should consider is – are we following Lord Buddha’s teaching!

    I do not think either the so called Sinhala Deshapremi Buddhist MPs or the Buddhist Monks who have become political animals today care what the teachings of Buddha that they are following.

    Its also becoming clear that China with its money has managed to takeover the Govt of Sri Lanka, the Buddhist monks and the Unions. This the Chinese did in South Korea as well.

    When are we going to open our eyes?

  • 0
    0

    Whether UNHRC can do anything to Lankawe Human rights violations is one thing, but Lankawe’s this time’s “unique” or “no strategy” approach to UNHRC sitting is another political and diplomatic subject to explore. Lankawe has been using Aappa Diplomacy to overrun the Pizza Diplomacy and Pan Cake diplomacy in the past. So last 12 years no foe or friendly country was able to outdo Lankawe in Geneva. So all resolutions passed from May 2009, with or without Lankawe’s consent, were in favor of Lankawe. Lankawe had well placed OIC and China against West, and India against China and West. India remains as the major unbridgeable obstacle in UNHRC to take any action against Lankawe. So, other than 2014, all other resolution were 100 % victory to Lankawe in evading a War Crime or Genocide accusation. The unified nature of the UNP & SLFP to work together against Tamils gave a additional hand to the Aanduwa in 2015. So Ranil quickly approached Secretary Kerry and annulled the OISL report which was the result of 2014 resolution. Ranil’s smart Dealing with Secretary Kerry had enabled Aanduwa to manage the UNHRC and IC until now, the March 2021. Now the question is what is next move of Lankawe from here on?

  • 0
    0

    We cannot answer, like many others, because Lankawe’s approach is very secrecy though it purposefully leaked HC’s confidential report. Further if any internal strategy leaks in media, in line with the HC’s report leak, it is always by Aanduwa, to mislead public and political analysts. So we will not engage in the fruitless attempt of answering that question. We, in line with Prof. K, will bring in some wild and strange ideas which are basically “What if”s.
    The overwhelming contributor to Resolution 30/1’s failure to its foundation was Obama’s 2nd Administration’s 100% diplomatic approach with Lankawe. The then State Secretary put Lankawe, Myanmar, Palestine, Hong Kong, Xinjiang all in one basket and held under the running water hoping to get cleaned. The political difference here is Israel is democratically elected Democracy, Lankawe is elected Semi Military –fascist, dictator country, Myanmar though a president is there, unelected Military Junta and Xinjiang is under communism. The new Biden Administration too has Secretary Kerry and Ambassador Samantha Power. When earlier Ambassador Blake noticed Aanduwa was playing out the US’s good faith, he immediately reversed the course and corrected many loopholes. To expect something similar like that, this time, Power and Kerry are not on their earlier seats.

  • 0
    0

    President Biden Administration is in UNHRC and not in UNHRC. So it can use it membership to internally influence members but doesn’t have a vote. America’s interest in Lankawe started, especially from the time American political and military scholars started to warn the deaf Sonia’s Indian government about China’s String of Perl Naval blockade, which China has tactically renamed as BRI as a co-development project between nations. The leading areas America focused on Lankawe are sovereignty, security, Minority Rights and War Crime- especially from the view of Tamils (- not much focus on JVP times). As none of them are solved yet, America is still in the ring. Lankawe preparation for answer to HC must focus on America’s multi prong concerns too. From the time Siri Ma O invited Mrs. Gandhi to send her army to save Siri Mao, from then India’s attention on Lankawe security is amplified. It is worried about the chance of anti- Indian elements taking over the Lankan government by various methods. This was explicitly dealt in India – Sri Lanka accord. That is the reason it trained rebels and it was the reason it defeated LTTE. Britain and Canada are highly informed about the Tamils problems. So in regard to human rights and Tamils concerns they two and their friend Germany are in this.

  • 0
    0

    Though in UNHRC the HC going to put forward only war crime and human rights as the issues, the countries we mentioned above are going to look for replay in many dimensions. All agree that those countries want to know that where Lankawe is standing on the Indian Ocean issue. On that issue Lankawe is pointing at China. It is no longer a sign of warning, but clear evidence that Lankawe is not able to get out the cocoon it wove to escape the War crime. Lankawe thought it was playing a futuristic game, which is if it were referred to UN SC, it had protected long ago with the Chinese Veto. The problem of here is that China is behaving like the boy who got a hold of his girlfriend’s private photos and using it to milk from her limitlessly. So the million dollar question here is if the boy and the girl’s ailing relationship can last until UNHRC referrer it to UN SC and if UN SC start to act on that will China go ahead and veto it. Lankawe ignored the immediate need that is how to deal with the consented Resolution 30/1; it fell into the China’s trap to veto that something it never came to UNSC so far.

  • 0
    0

    It is not the war, which Lankawe won with 32 nations’ voluntary support, but the strategy Lankawe undertook to escape from accusation of the crime committed in that war, that is Lankawe hiding in China’s pocket, has reduced Lankawe as an International Pariah.
    Ceylon, at birth, was a Westernized nation. First Switzerland and later Singapore were compared to it. That time Ceylon’s dominant religions, Buddhism and Hinduism paved way for this quick change in less than a century after Kandy lost, Old World Country to New World country, without resistant. This would not be possible in Islamic or Christianity lands. Then Sinhala leaders quickly converted their citizens as extremists and brought Muslims political leaders into that chess too, after 1948. This is why when this time Lankawe give out its answers, within that nations will be looking for answers to:
    Indian Ocean Security,
    Demonstration of its ability to maintain its sovereignty,
    Ways to improve its liquidity to borrow and settle loans, so other nations can get involved into its developments,
    Openings to honest Trade, equality among countries, and competition i.e. import/Exports without 40% commission,
    Law Order inside, establishment of expedited equal justice system for all,
    Control of contraband & drug trade, Arms trade with underworld, Money laundering & exchange control…….
    Constitutional Human Right & Minority Rights. (no Excuse of “We are an Independent nation” will not be sufficed.)

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    Prof. Kum prescribes the formula for success to ward off International “compulsions” and he rightly sees that without the US backing the pressure of such “compulsions” are useless. What about Domestic “compulsions”? It is not a surprise for the International “community” to evaluate that the man who calls the shots is “Percy Uncle”, asserting authority using his own “abracadabra” particularly after the ECT saga. Clearly the western nations do not want Sri Lanka, the “center” of the Indian Ocean, be a full-blown Chinese “colony” which may be the result if its own mavericks would accelerate the movement of Sri Lanka towards a hermit state. Would, say India, want a Chinese “naval base” in a Northern or North Western City of Sri Lanka which in theory could be fisheries harbor? Clearly not. The west cum India uses this UNHCR to exert that amount of pressure to keep Sri Lanka within some of its influence and not completely lose it. The instruments of pressure are the UNHCR Commissioners reports and local incidents but, the west does not care about the dignity of “minorities” here when Asians are troublesome to them in their own localities.

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    After I start finished the above comments, I see news media reporting there may not be a new Resolution with the Lankawe’s sponsoring. This is given to understand by Sumanthiran PC. Then the question is whether there was a hope of bringing the forth resolution with Lankawe sponsoring. Absolutely there was nothing in Tamils mind like that. Other than Resolution 30/1 the other two were only extensions for Resolution 30/1. That is because Lankawe stayed away from implementing Resolution 30/1 with in its time limit hoping it to expire and go. Unwilling to take other action, UNHRC, with an explanation of “Engaging Lankawe” extended the resolution, while Lankawe was not willing to implement. So Yahapalanaya sponsored the subsequent resolutions only to pass it to next government. In addition, for long, Yahapalanaya government was looking for ways to exit out of Resolution 30/1. Internally it fired Ministers associated with that resolution. New King denied he approving signing that. Minister Tilak went to UNHRC to pull out of it but returned back short of it. New King went to New York, UNGA and came back without doing it. But Communist Dinesh went to Geneva last year and informed that Lankawe was getting out of 30/1.

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      Denesh said Lankawe wanted to do all what was in the resolution, but he was not willing to receive as an order on Lankawe from UNHRC. What is that is, in reality, Lankawe was not ready to accept its true and rotten status in Human rights and Justice nor willing to receive the rewards for the genocide it has been committing. Then a local PCoI was formed by King to review if any of the Older Commission reports were not taken care on Human Rights violation. HC said it was not a dependable Commission.

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    So there was no hope existed Lankawe accepting of UNHRC telling to Lankawe in the form of a resolution. Lankawe believes when a resolution comes, accepting that and making it binding is foolishness because UNHRC cannot enforce anything on its members. Lankawe doesn’t like UNHRC telling anything that is supporting or oppressing, it. It doesn’t want willingly got obligated unnecessarily. Now, UNHRC should understand that its explanation of engaging Lankawe with sponsored resolutions is not working. So only one left for UNHRC to ensure Tamil Human rights respected by Lankawe, not just now, but even in future, is in finding out a way to leaving Tamils alone so they can ensure their fundamental rights.

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    Sri lanka has been trapped into a precarious position of promising impossibles to both India and China such as Colombo Eastern port terminal and three Islands in the north and had received funds
    from both countries because of their bankrupt economy. This will not only lead to internal problems but also tensions between the two lending countries.

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      PL
      Eastern Port Terminal was a deal worked out between the former government, an Indian company and a Japanese investor I think.
      The Indian company has a dubious reputation even within India.
      India has overplayed its hand by exerting pressure on behalf of a private business interest.
      *
      The project in the islands was a properly advertised project with ADB funding, for which tenders were called and assessed and the best offer accepted. What is India objecting to?
      Will it be all right if it is anyone but not a Chine company?
      If proximity to India is the issue, then India has to be offered all development tasks in the North. That simply will not do.
      *
      By its conduct, India is challenging the sovereignty of the country.
      China is only a bogeyman for India to to advance its expansionist interests in the North.

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