21 November, 2019

Blog

After The Landslide: The Bigger Picture

By Dayan Jayatilleka

Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka

It was the well-established, UNP and West-friendly website ECONOMYNEXT that broke the story using the ‘L’ Word—Landslide:

“Former President Mahinda Rajapaksa’s proxy was set for an unexpected landslide victory in Saturday’s local council elections…Unofficial results showed that the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) was leading in almost all the districts outside the north and the east and was on its way to secure an unassailable 51 percent of the total votes polled. Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe’s United National Party (UNP) was being pushed to a humiliating second place…” (‘Rajapaksa proxy heads for landslide in Sri Lanka vote’- Feb 10th)

“Landslide” certainly, “unexpected landslide”—er, not entirely. I was probably one of the very few (to put it exceedingly charitably) in the mainstream media who called it right, quite unambiguously, and on the record: “…or whether (as I think) the Pohottuwa will wind up quite simply, the largest single party, displacing the UNP from that historical role and status.” (‘Feb 10th and the Electoral Gamble that Failed’, The Island, Wednesday, Feb 7th 2018)

The fact that I predicted this result proves that the result was predictable—all it needed was not to be blinded by the veils of Maya. Not only didn’t MR’s Pohottuwa come a “close second” to the UNP, the UNP didn’t come a “close second” to MR’s Pohottuwa! My personal favorite piece of pre-election punditry was Sunanda Deshapriya’s firm prediction of MR’s crushing defeat, in a signed column in the Ravaya, saying that “Mahinda’s Pohottuwa won’t succeed in getting even 51% of the Sinhala majority”. Political columnist CA Chandraprema and I cannot be faulted if we were the only ones to take serious note, repeatedly and in print (in my case, also on my fortnightly TV show on Sirasa), of the results of the Multi-Purpose Cooperative Society (MPCS) elections of last year in which the pro-Mahinda camp swept the board against all comers and all combinations of all comers. They were the precursor of what has now arrived.

Thus my initial response is not to write at length on the why and wherefore of the result, because my political writings in these forums have consistently given the reasons why this should and would happen.

What I am more concerned about are the larger strategic picture and what I had defined in the title of my first book (Vikas, New Delhi 1995) as Sri Lanka’s “Protracted Crisis”.

Sri Lankan politics is determined by the dynamics on two axes: the horizontal and the vertical. The horizontal axis pertains to the contestation for political power at the center between parties or blocs. This is the dimension of South-South competition. The vertical axis of Sri Lankan politics is the North-South one, dealing with the dynamics of the Northeastern and the South, as well as what I termed in my Deshamanya Nandadasa Kodagoda Lecture of 2013 as the Greater North or the Far North, i.e. the world. This horizontal dimension is that of Center-Periphery politics in which Colombo is the center and Jaffna the periphery , but this gets inverted the further away we move, and Colombo is the periphery while the developed world’s capitals are the center.

On the day of the election, the news broke that the TNA had joined 10 Tamil diaspora organizations to demand that Brigadier Priyanka Fernando be declared persona non grata.

What does this mean and portend? Let’s start with the ten Tamil Diaspora organizations which cover the entire politico-ideological spectrum in the UK: Tamil Conservatives, Tamils for Labour and Tamil Lib-Dems. They’ve written a lengthy petition to the British authorities in support of their demand.

These Tamil groups in the UK have petitioned Home Secretary Amber Rudd and Secretary of State for Foreign & Commonwealth Affairs, Boris Johnson, requesting that the British government to “declare the Sri Lankan Military Attaché Brigadier Priyanka Fernando a Persona non Grata for committing a serious offence under British law, abusing diplomatic immunity in the UK and committing war crimes and crimes against humanity in Sri Lanka and therefore, to curtail his leave to remain in the UK.”

The Tamil Diaspora groups that have made this request are the British Tamil Conservatives (BTC), British Tamils Forum (BTF), Global Tamil Forum (GTF), International Centre for the Prevention and Prosecution of Genocide (ICPPG), Tamils Coordinating Committee (TCC-UK),  Tamils for Labour, Tamil Friends of the Liberal Democrats, Tamil Information Centre (TIC), Tamil National Alliance – UK (TNA-UK),  Transnational Government of Tamil Eelam (TGTE), Tamil Solidarity (TS), Tamil Youth Organization (TYO), and World Tamils Historical Society (WTHS). 

Very significantly the petition is not merely against Brigadier Fernando but is a 14 page long diatribe against the waging of the war, and the Sri Lankan state and government. The critique of Brigadier Fernando does not pertain merely to his hand gesture but to his role as a combat officer in our war of liberation from terrorism.

Not once in the petition do the signatories condemn or even refer to the incontrovertible fact that the demonstration by ‘Tamil Solidarity’ was replete with Tiger banners, sundry regalia and pro-terrorist slogans (‘Our Leader-Prabhakaran’). 

The fact that they have not tried to put any distance between themselves and the LTTE driven nature of the mobilization shows they have no problem whatsoever with that Tiger/pro-Prabhakaran character. This in turn logically means that these ten Tamil Diaspora organizations are pro-separatist, pro-terrorist and pro-totalitarian. This is not democratic dissent.

It is also noteworthy that there has not been a Tamil political voice which is critical of both the Brigadier and the Tiger demonstrators. This means that the Tamil diaspora political space is either pro-separatist terrorist or lacks a strong and bold enough alternative within it; an alternative that could be anti-government and even anti-state, but is anti-LTTE.

What is striking is that this pro-Tiger militancy was demonstrated on Sri Lanka’s 70th Independence Day, with no Tamil cautionary note against it, precisely while there is a liberal Sri Lankan government in place, not a militantly majoritarian nationalist one.

If this how the Tamil Diaspora treats the liberal reformist Sirisena government, we can clearly understand the true nature of that Diaspora and the underlying community.

If push comes to shove, the Tamil Diaspora is pro-Tiger or too scared to be otherwise, then it cannot be a legitimate partner for dialogue on the part of Sri Lankan democrats, progressives, liberals or the democratic Sri Lankan state.

But these are the UNP’s partners and allies! What is most striking and strikingly dangerous, is that these organizations are partners of the UNP in government. These are organizations that were unbanned by Mangala Samaraweera as Foreign Minister.

These are organizations which accompanied Samaraweera to Singapore before the election of January 2015. These are organizations which Samaraweera met officially in London when he was Foreign Minister. These are organizations which were received over the past three dismal years at the offices of the Sri Lankan Government and State in Colombo, including the Foreign Ministry.

Just several weeks ago, the GTF/BTF posted photographs and a statement announcing the discussion at the Sri Lankan Foreign Ministry in Colombo, between the GTF-BTF’s Fr. Emmanuel and the Secretary to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and his closest comrade-in-arms.

Now we come to the Tamil National Alliance (TNA) whose logo accompanies the statement of the ten Tamil Diaspora organizations. The TNA is supposed to be the “moderate” Tamil nationalist party. If this is Tamil moderation, one can well imagine what Tamil radicalism is like.

Whether or not the TNA logo at the bottom of the letter refers only to its UK branch (it does not say so), the results of the election and the TNA’s political behavior including the boycott by Mr. Sampanthan of our 70th Independence celebrations, show a yawning and growing gap which is perhaps unbridgeable.    

The TNA is the Yahapalana government’s chosen Opposition. The Government chose the TNA with its 16 seats over Mahinda Rajapaksa and Dinesh Gunawardena’s Joint Opposition with its 50 plus seats, as the official Parliamentary Opposition.

The TNA chose to reciprocate this unwarranted and illegitimate generosity by pushing the government and the country for a new constitution instead of greater autonomy within the existing one, adding insult to injury by pushing for Geneva–driven accountability with an international aspect or component. The results of the Local Government election show the complete rejection of the Government’s West-backed or designed political experiment.

The Government’s pro-Western elitist minoritarianism has been decisively rejected at this election. On the one hand, the election result is a massive populist protest vote; a majoritarian backlash against liberal elitist cosmopolitanism. On the other hand, the mood of the largest minority, the Tamils living in and outside Sri Lanka, has become less accommodating and pragmatic, more unrealistic, militant and obdurate.

The nonsensical attempt at a new Constitution, killing off the unitary state, is itself now dead in the water. The Ranil-Mangala-Chandrika-Sumanthiran project, backed by the West, has been decisively defeated. The West’s allies have been crushed, leaving it with its traditional clients, the Tamils.

The Tamil nationalists’ allies, the UNP and Chandrika’s SLFP have lost. Even more so, the apt responses of UNP ‘Young Turks’ Navin Dissanayake and Ruwan Wijewardene to the issue of Brigadier Fernando show that not only have the Tamil nationalists’ Southern allies lost but that the Tamil nationalists have lost the support of their Southern allies. Similarly, the Southern liberals are no longer in any position to negotiate with the Tamils. They need to first renegotiate their political viability with the Sinhalese, including their own voters.

The 70th Independence Day behavior and the London affair show that Tamil sentiment is so far out on a limb that no deal seems possible with any Southern partner, be it the incoming SLPP, the struggling Government or the JVP. Having damaged their UNP-SLFP partners by putting them out of reach of their own Sinhala voters, and with a rather more nationalist-populist SLPP on the march, the Tamil nationalists no longer have any Southern partner. There are no Southern takers for the new Constitution, still less a new Constitution and the implementation of the Geneva resolution on accountability. There is no deal on the table, except perhaps for the one that was always there: a modest rectification and upgrade of really existing devolution. That too may be off the table at the moment and for the moment, i.e. not because of substance but timing. The time for a deal even on adjusting existing autonomy arrangements may have passed.    

Reason dictates that the Tamil mainstream regards as its Southern partner or prospective partner, that political entity and personality most likely to form the next administration, in 2019-2020. That would mean entering serious negotiations on a basis that won’t be laughed out of court by the incoming national political formation and resisted by its vote base. The problem is that logic and reason have vacated the Tamil nationalist political space quite some time ago.

The vast majority of the country’s citizens, living in the bulk of the island and decisive in the matter of state power at the center, have gone one way; Tamil nationalist politics the other. One movement is clockwise, the other, counter-clockwise. The election is over, but Sri Lanka’s Long Crisis continues.   

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Latest comments

  • 26
    11

    This looks how opportunists the SL general voting public and their anger for MS+MR lethargic administration and sadly the megamoronic Rajapaksas are very close to control the power that is.

    Will this help the average Sri Lankans ? the answer is NOPE !

    Uneducated thieves of Rajapaksas and their co-horts will make the country backwards and it will be very interesting how things will go from now on.

    Thanks godness we are not living in Sri Lanka anymore and God Bless for the poor masses.

    • 12
      19

      Matilda Ellepola
      Uneducated thief, hey? I see you like educated thieves like Ranil and his UNP gang who abused the High Office and their education, talents and expertise to rob the Central Bank. I am surprised as to how Ranil, the biggest rogue in Sri Lanka’s history managed to receive such a high number of votes. It seems almost over 30% of the people who cast votes love educated rogues!!! May God Bless poor masses who are starving while wealthy rogues deprived them from even having one meal a day.

    • 14
      4

      Dr. Dayan Rajapaksa,

      RE: “Landslide” “Victory” for SLPP and Mahinda Rajapaksa?

      SLPP got 45% of the votes in the local govt. elections, and Mahinda Rajapaksa got 47.5% on the votes in 2005. So, Mahinda Rajapaksa lost 5% of his base, because those Sri Lankan whose average IQ is 79, got somewhat wiser, (due to evolution?), despite the fumbling and bumbling by Ranil and Sirisena.

      Even if SLPP got 51% of the Sinhala South vote, this is 0.80×0.51 =40.8%, the best Mahinda can expect . So, he is just a nuisance, to get the fumbling and bumbling Yahapalanayas to do it right, despite inheriting Mahinda Rajapaksa’s corruption.

      There is a large component of protest vote because of the fumbling and bumbling by Ranil and Sirisena, not prosecuting the corrupt, and adding to the corruption.

      The IQ of the idiots, average IQ 79, majority comprising Para-Sinhala and other Paras do not change much in 3 years, as shown by the results. Evolution takes time.

      May be CBK should take over the leadership of SLFP and replace the fumbling and bumbling Gamarala, and save the land from the corrupt Rajapaksas and their cronies

      • 0
        1

        Amarasiri HAve written the muslims version of result analysis ?

      • 1
        0

        amarasiri

        you are forgetting though it is 45% now it is a 60% first past the post system,which is a grave mistake made by the government.When every percentage counts to keep the rajapakshes away they go and give them this advantage,the bloody fools.Sirisena advisers are actually working for the rajapakshes.he should sack all of them.

  • 17
    2

    “It was the well-established, UNP and West-friendly website ECONOMYNEXT that broke the story using the ‘L’ Word—Landslide:”

    Dayan, buddy what crap are you talking? I used “landslide” days ago …………. check below ………….

    You had doubts…………you may be a analyst living in SL and I know bugger all about Lankan politics ………..but from thousands of miles away I know the Lankans more than you ……I know them like my own people!

    So what’s now? Paradise here we come, eh? :)))


    February 7, 2018
    “Dr D,

    Why ……the mighty rush? You have waited 60 years hoping for what, I don’t know ……….except for a few months in Geneva and a year in Paris, nothing much has come your way is 60 years; it seems luck is not on your side ……………

    So what is 4 more days …………we’ll all find out.

    I have change sides and am rooting for Mahinda now……………it’s going to be a landslide for him. The great man is still popular with the masses. You don’t need a weatherman to tell ye which way the wind is blowing.

    I’ve already applied for the sole white-van franchise ………….gonna do better than the Avant Gaurd monopoly ……….Gota is one dude who knows business………………”

  • 6
    1

    Were people misled by the two first words “Sri Lanka ________ ________”? Otherwise, peoples’ choice was- respectively, Hora No1, Hora No 2 and Hora No 3. Also MS and RW can now be happy with blocking judiciary to act independently.

    • 1
      1

      Buddhi Perera
      What an analysis. You made me laugh.

  • 10
    15

    Thank god for Mahinda’s leadership. A leader should protect the interests of its citizens not the citizens of another country. Who are the Tamil Diaspora? Of course former residents of Sri Lanka who either for genuine or concocted reasons have sought refuge in Western countries. Their aspirations do not necessarily reflect those of the people living in Sri Lanka. Besides, they are now citizens of other countries. The govt should establish a register of the Diaspora and deny them entry into SL. No reasons need to be given. This should be done to secure the sovereignty of the state of Sri Lanka.
    Traitor Ranil played the double game and has been found out. He is now a virtual outcast and should be treated as such and should be shunned by all patriotic citizens of SL.

    • 7
      2

      The tamils here think, their diaspora is some kind of a force…the reality is they are a bunch of foreign citizens, just a foreign policy issue…

  • 13
    2

    Even Air Vice Marshal (Retd) Arun Kumaresan, who fought on behalf of the SL state against the LTTE and bought into the war’s characterization by the former regime as a ‘humanitarian war,’ sees the action of SL Defense Attache in London as unacceptable, right here on CT. And many Sinhalese attack him for that, saying he is ‘treasonous.’

    So what has happened is not that moderate Tamil opinion has hardened; rather, a significant majority of Sinhalese society remains incorrigibly wedded to racial thinking, ‘supremacy’ and domination. It is on them that the responsibility for the continuation of the crisis, and any resulting external intervention and its consequences–however painful it may be–rests.

  • 11
    7

    Will we now see the end of Ranil ,that alien creature who has proved to be not only a failure as a politician but also a fraud and an evil character ?A lawyer who pretends to be an economist and a master political strategist ?

  • 15
    5

    All island cumulative results percentage for Pohottuwa is 42.06 per cent. How this can be a “landslide victory” is hard to even imagine

  • 17
    4

    In terms of the number of wards won, yes it is a landslide but the fact is SLPP will not not pass 50% of the total percentage of votes. It is unclear that they would even pass 45%. Voter turnout was lower than Jan 8th 2015 and Aug 17th 2015. The analysis is that many “Yahapalanaya” voters who enthusiastically came out in 2015 did not in 2018. Voters simply stayed at home in 2018 due to the disappointment and sheer lack of direction on part of “Yahapalanaya”. In-contrast MR supporters had all the motiviation go out and essentially cast a rebuttal vote against “Yahapalanaya”. So Dr. DJ, your celebrations are premature. Congrats on sending “Yahapalanaya” a hard message but, you have a long way to go. If this trend continues you can win the general elections in 2020 as a single party but you WILL still lose to a UNP, SLFP and minority party coallition and your chances of winning the 2020 presidential election without Tamil and Musilm support (your pet project “Project Gota”) is very very slim. So Dr. DJ, you should hold on to your horses. Personally I am terrfied of a potential Gota led Sinhala Buddhists dominated Gov. GR is not known for his patience and compassion. He will rule the country with an iron fist. His Sinhala-Buddhists nationalism far, far exceeds MR or BR. Now to RW supporters, thank you RW for screwing up a golden opportunity (again). People, well not people but the green-goblins say I am way too hard on RW. You morons! The UNP lost AGAIN! AGAIN!! Seriously. He is literally canibalizing the UNP, destroying it from the inside out. You RW worshippers need pull your heads out of his anus and smell the fresh air. UNP needs massive reforms.

    • 2
      3

      The verdict is out;
      Better the honest fascist than the dishonest `liberal.’

      • 0
        0

        Sinha Atygalle

        “Better the honest fascist than the dishonest `liberal.’”

        You got something there, beautifully captured the essence
        Did you aim your comment at Ben Hurling?

  • 14
    5

    Dayan the public racist

    Could you define what is exactly a landslide victory.
    If you haven’t got a clue please don’t quote Marx, Webber, ….. Eckart Tolle as we know where to look for it.

    Remember Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna had won mere 44.93% of the total vote caste all over the island and 55.07% didn’t for for Dr Mahinda.

    One more thing, this is not the parliamentary elections nor a presidential one.

    Shyamon Jayasinghe will deal with you later.

    • 0
      1

      But you all said 2005 was a REVOLUTION!
      Soma

  • 13
    1

    Only if they had delivered the promised yahapalanaya, Mahinda was a goner!

    Even the 2015 election would have been won, Unless appaya in the last minute did not do the damage! Sovereignity of the people was robbed by this government

    Country need Economy, jobs, schools, hospitals, housing, roads, trains buses!

    Not gay rights, new constitutions, world bank policies,

    Let us write our own destiny!

  • 13
    4

    So this election win was about the ‘I’ in Dayan Jayatilake? How conceited and insecure people could be!

  • 14
    1

    Medamulana Meeharaka addressing the final election rally of the SLPP held in Homagama said “I will turn this country into a paradise”. When you come back to power by hook or by crook, please appoint your “lowyer” son Namal as Minister of Womens’ Affairs and public racist and war monger DAYAN as Minister of Foreign Affairs. You can also appoint former “Ambassodor” Bandula (BIJAY) Jayasekera and Rajkattapal Abeynayake to run Lake House. Of course, the list goes on and on and remains to be seen!

  • 6
    3

    Hey DJ,
    “Sri Lanka’s long crisis continues”.
    That must be music to your ears. You thrive on chaos. Provided your dream of having Barbarians at the gate, back inside the corridors of power, your future will be secured. Amply backed by LTTE Scumbags, who acts in tandem with King Kong’s political outfit, as demonstrated in the aftermath of that London demo. I got to give it you and your lot DJ, you seized the opportunity masterfully and ran with it. All the way across the finish-line of LG elections. You can now sit back and relax until a plum post lands on your lap in 2020. YOU HAVE A VERY BRIGHT FUTURE. The same cannot be said of mother SL though. She is being gang-raped by unscrupulous political operatives from the north and the south. Not to mention the east and the west. OUR TASK IS TO RESCUE HER. WE WILL. Cheers!

    • 5
      6

      Sri Lanka was driven into crisis by fools like you who go behind UNP and RW. When rajapaksa took over in 2005, SL was in a utter crisis, abject failure. He reversed it.

    • 2
      0

      Ben Hurling

      “She is being gang-raped by unscrupulous political operatives from the north and the south.”

      I agree the country had been gang raped by politicians and terrorists since 1948. However I do not have evidence to suggest C V Wiggy, R Sampandan, Anura Kumara Dissanayaka, R A L H Gunawardana, Shelton Ranarajah, Anil Munasinghe, …………….. have had hand in Bond scam, MIG Deal, Lakvijaya Power Station, …… and all other scams since 1948

  • 3
    1

    Looks like a landside, but is it? 15 million voters were eligible, the increase I understand is about 700k voters more than in 2015. MR secured 58 lakhs in January 2015 and again 42 something lakhs (the loss of votes was due to a computer jilmart obviously) in August 2015. SLPP win is not a surprise. They have secured Mahinda’s vote base again. His popularity is in tact.
    The biggest surprise is Yahapalanaya government’s ability to still maintain, though contested separate, almost half of the votes cast, even after 3 years. SLPP has failed to win Yahapalanaya vote base at least partially. Ranil’s government is despicable to people. Yet they have received an unbelievable amount of votes in total. Something is wrong here. If ECC didn’t play his famous game again, the reason should be the lack of an alternative party as against UNP, SLFP, SLPP, JVP. Old wine in old bottles seem to have secured their bottles and wine. President gave a solo fight. I am sure he is contented with the results. Better than nothing, Mr. President, right? My best wishes to former President whom I loved sometime ago, but he could have done better for all his efforts. Basil has failed to bring in new votes. If Yahapalanaya was confined to less than 20% votes altogether, yep, it could have been a grand win. Half of the people who cast votes have surprisingly supported the treacherous Ranil and his Yahapalanaya government. Seriously, what’s wrong with Sinhalese Buddhists? They could have stayed at home or spoilt their votes, without casting in favour of Yahapalanaya political parties if they didn’t like SLPP. Anyways, I think we are yet to see the big picture, as Yahapalanaya I know is not that generous.

  • 12
    3

    Dayan.,
    Is it true that GO-RA is planning to hire some new Drivers for his White Van Squads after hearing the news of the election victory from far away USA ?

  • 15
    0

    This is the cost of Ravi K and Arjun Mahendran frauds and Ranil’s failure to take effective legal action against criminal MaRa, GoTa, Basil and their cohorts

  • 8
    0

    Looking at SLPP against all other parties collective results, there was not much of change between last presidential election and this LG. Only notable point is MR’s popularity did not fade away during these 3 years due to the weaknesses in Yahapalanaya.

  • 1
    2

    What was predicted for the election in the past few weeks is
    1).New King weakening.
    2).Old King gaining a bargaining power with New King for the SLFP leadership.
    3). UNP holding or improving its might.
    4). Secret Solution seeing the light last time.
    Other than the last one, nothing else predicted has happened. This is another New Populist in action. It is Just a reply of American Presidential Election. The joke is UNP did not come any closer to the ratio (5.2:4.8) that we asked it to show to make a claim that Old Royals lost.
    Thero did not predict this result. He claimed a lot long before the election. It was only his low grade teasing behavior of UNP. He simply threatened UNP not close West, but did not predict anything. Thero was never honest or sincere in his writings to claim that “he said that”. The Corporative movement is existing only in Old SLFP-Sirimavo circle. Palmyra palm fruit may be falling only because crows are perching on them. But there is no correlation that Slap party won Local election because it won Cooperative election. There was nothing to predict that time that UNP would be losing because it was losing that cooperative election. In fact, recently, specifically in the last of his prediction in CT, he was contending for a big disappointment to Old Royals. Slap Party has lost small margin in the percentage from Jan, 2015 election. Further there is no indication that Sinhalese voted for anti-Solution as claimed by Thero and few commentators. Even Sinhalese has a few things to look from a racist government more than just humiliating & Genocide Tamils.

  • 0
    2

    Here, we are not interested in Secret Solution, the mirage Sampanthar Chasing. Nevertheless it is true Old Royals asked in a Local Council election a constitutional question that “What the Sinhala Buddhists wants, an unfiled Lankawe or divided country?” We had advised in these pages that whether UNP like or not, they may have to meet Old Royal on that question in Local election campaign. Not being prepared to that would not make Old Royals to take it away from table. We said that educating the Sinhala Mass on the new constitution, while it counter Old Royals taking up a wrong issue on the Local election, it would help Yahapalanaya if it was sincere in changing constitution in the follow up referendum. Because, as we claimed the secret solution was only time buying technique of Yahapalanaya, not a solution to Tamils problems, Yahapalanaya avoided taking that issue in the election. This is not a General Election. Further Yahapalanaya’s time buying is over. Now it will openly reject to IC any idea of sharing any kind of power with Tamils and it will back off from it the EP election of 2019. That is the end of the promise to Sumanthiran and Sampanthar for a 100 days solution in exchange for Tamils support in Jan, 2015 election.
    The election results supersede over the recent electorates manipulation by Ranil. If that manipulation didn’t take palace UNP & SLFP may not be in the picture at all, by now. Yahapalanaya and the West will have to take the responsibility for the election result. A timely trade sanction in March,2015 would have pushed away Lankawe from keep clawing back into Democratic Dictatorship. OISL publishing the names of the suspects might have limelighted mischievous persons to public to identify them in election. But the West only aimed at power change then started to support one of worst administration in history.

  • 1
    2

    What has happened is UNP lost the command to lead any new political deal with either Old Royal or New Royal. New Royal has no future at all. MPs will be volunteering to come under Slap Party. But what is waiting in the future for New King? Will Old King excuse his little buddy the Judas and give a place in his New Ark, which is starting its maiden voyage after it drifted for years from start by a devastating flood.
    This election is lesson to Colombo diplomats rather than to local leaders, who have many times seen this from 1948. We had placed our notes here on that when West was struggling in two consecutive elections for power change in Lankawe. We asked them not be carried away on dream of changing the 70 years old culture of democratically electing dictators to maintain racial tension. But the diplomats who come and go for every three- four years could not let their eyes to browse on Tamils past 70 years’ experience. Recently Trumps administration was cutting off any help fund to Lankawe. But Congress restored claiming that it had achieved a lot in democratizing the country and that job had to be finished.
    Apparently 19A has not shown any effect in the election. So people would give a mandate for 18A again in the coming General election, which is supposed to be after the EP election. Like the UNP, JVP defection after the 2010 election, a massive UNP and SLFP defection is possible. But Muslim parties cannot do it freely this time, like the Sinhala MPs and up country MPs can do. They can change their party affiliation only after the Slap Party wins in September 2020, if it can. It is going to be long political struggle for these Muslim parties until them.

  • 0
    1

    As the last, Old King may not be willing to accept Ranil’s job. He would like to stay in opposition where he can freely attack Yahapalanaya and Secret Solution. That is the only way will make Yahapalanaya leave the EP and the constitution in intact. He will use this time to study if West has any more idea of bring back the 2014’s economic sanctions. If there is chance for that, he has to patch up with Mr. Modi. China will frown at him, but he not have chance to keep the country rolling but take ETCA on India’s term.

  • 3
    2

    The language/religion-divide has worked again. Dayan is elated!
    Dayan puts it ~ “After the Landslide: The Bigger Picture”
    Tell us what “The Bigger Picture” is Dayan. The suspense is “Psycho” level!

  • 0
    3

    The local government election 2018 February 10th has shown that Maturity of voters that right of protected the Sovereignty has been exercise by People of democratic nation of Indian Ocean an Island. of….Sri lanka.
    New political party has born to be replace SLFP of Old party of that advocated Tamil separatism of political of federalism initiated by CBK and her followers inside Old SLFP. Result shows it was root out by majority voters by replacing SLPP.
    Meanwhile Podu Jana Peruma led by MR has won land slide victory to replace old SLFP was founded in 1951 by SWRD. Indeed Old SLFP has unfinished task since 1994 that longer been carry forwarded by CBK and later by MS leadership was failure.
    The People rejected alliance join hand with UNP ‘s Neo-Liberal proxies of policies nexus to Neo-colonial led by old world globalization founded 1945 by Bretton Wood charter. An Old order of Democracy and Development was out dated . An Obviously it is turning point of modern democracy in Sri lanka.

    An Ours that right for the an Universal franchised has goes to history of 87 years old of that since 1931 during colonial occupation of British rule of 150 years .
    Needless to say that valued democracy norms must to be respect and accepts by all political parties, their classes, ethnic groups and religion faiths that including an evil foreign elements which behind UNP rules of RW, MS and CBK! Since 2015 January 8th!
    What this mandate says ; Changes is an essential. Lost democracy rights and values has to be resort and restart as earliest possible time and date by Fresh Mandate by New General Elections. Democracy is in the process of an evolution will enrich Sovergerity of the people -Power is motive force of created New Global order of Democracy .. Sri Lankans are working towards that by New Mandate.

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    dayapassa this is not a landslide victory. This is the same as the presedential election and even less. Donot have high hopes of MR return. He and his folloewers will never become president of this country. The prsidential powers should remain. Donot dy dream……………fter all you were with EPRLF, Premadasa , MR and not with a goat

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    Most people dislike corruption – especially MEGA corruption – of the rich and the politicians, be they UNP or UPFA or SLFP.

    However, they do not have a real choice to get rid of the corrupt and install honest politicians as almost all who are politicians are corrupt or get sucked into corruption as a way to get anything done.

    So all they CAN do is to cast protest votes – thus perpetuating the corruption tamasha.

    Tamils living in Sri Lanka need to get prudent and work with the Sinhalese if they want to solve the problems of Tamils in Sri Lanka. Trying to pressure Sri Lanka internationally using India, US/UK/EU or the UN will no longer work at the ground level. Pay heed.

    In my opinion Tamils can accomplish more by embracing an identity that superimposes one that is ethno-centric. There are many youngsters in Sri Lanka who prefer to identify as “Sri Lankan” than sinhalese/tamil/muslim etc. We should support them. In these times of increasing nationalism around the world, identifying with the supra-nation than with ethnicity is the way to survive and protect one’s cultural heritage. Pay heed.

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    Dayan:

    You are stretching your luck too far/much. Perhaps, the sinister in you want us to believe the political connotations of what you write. You are grossly wrong mite. The SLPP received only slightly more than 42% of the vote, which is significantly lower than what MR garnered during his tryst with the presidential election . It is true the SLPP triumphed in Sinhalese majority years as did the Tamil parties in the North. After all, MR lost from a very enviable position for his part in ending the war but even that could not stop his biting the bullet.

    There is no way MR can consider himself as presidential material without the help of the Tamils and Muslims. Let us see what happens then. The Tamils are upset with Sirisena and Ranil. The miserable performance by both in failing to fulfill their promises on dealing with corruption and good governance earned the wrath of the Sinhalese.

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      Oh is that how it works? Tamils and Muslims determine the Presidency? Sinhala Buddhists will love your honesty.

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    Well well, even the Racist-Chauvanistic Ethno – Nationalistic – Racist Dayan, as his critics will call him, even Racist Chauvo-EthnoNationalistic Dayan predicted the election result, just like I did. I also not with some satisfaction that the majority of voters support a socialist nationalist point of view, over 50% in fact, which is comforting.

    Hail Dayan! Congratulations to you! The point you made is that the result was so predictable that even a Racist could predict the outcome, I am sure your critics will agree. What has Racism got to do with intelligence? That is what I ask as well.

    The National Question as it is called, has simply gone too far down the road, perhaps a one of our elder statesmen could convince the ITAK and TNA to reconsider and go for a temporary agreement with the Sinhala majority, one that is acceptable to both sides, of course just a small stepping stone to exit. Or we merge with India. Or China.

    We a marketing campaign against seperatism: perhaps a picture of the map of Sri Lanka torn into 2/3rds and the caption : Don’t cut your mother (Lanka) to pieces? How will that resonate?

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      What has Racism got to do with intelligence? “

      You don’t need our help. You can check it out.
      Steps:
      1) Select three countries. (Lankawe, Singapore – another Asian country and a western nation- best is the one you might be living) Get the IQ levels for these countries from our colleague Amare and jot down against the countries names.
      2) On your own create, a racism scale (index) (1 to 10, the guy who get 10 is the highest racist)
      3) Select randomly 10 people of Sinhala Buddhists, 10 Singaporean and 10 Westerners.
      4). Interview them; assign a racist index for each person. Then add them by country to get total cumulative racist index for each country.
      5) Now jot down this each country’s total index against the countries in a separate column in your “Step-I” list.
      6). Divide each country total racism index by the IQ index of each country.

      You will see Lankawe topping in that and Singapore losing on that.

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        what is Singapore? It is not even a country, a well managed shopping mall

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          Sach the stupid, this is what Indians are telling. What is Srilanka? It is not even a country, a badly managed animal pound.

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    Tamil Drama that happened a clear support for Ranil’s UNP. Some how it worrked the other way. I heard, Tamils who suffer under the wigneswaran govt are very happy with the new development and they say this set up is better than the federal. It is well known that some Tamils do not like te Federal setup as theat strenghtne the Vellalah oppression of Other tamils in the form of federal or Orumittha NAdu type govt. It is very clear

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    MR numbers fell to 44% below the 48% he got in 2015 and the MY3 coalition including the JVP went up so in actuality not a true mandate but definitely a wake up call to both RW and MY3
    So this is better than I thought. I haven’t seen figures still.I think what has happened is that a protest vote has been cast and not a mandate.The protest comes over the govt’s inability to bring the corrupt of the Mara regime to book. It is also due to the public wanting immediate economic solutions, which given the massive debt burdens carried over from the previous regime, takes time to solve. There were also 700,000 new voters into the list who are unaware of Mara’s disastrous legacy. Sri Lanka is in real crisis because the people want immediate solutions that a govt cannot give. To add to this, Sirisena’s betrayal has caused confusion. One has to try and fig

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