16 May, 2022

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Birth Of A New World Order

By Kumar David

Prof. Kumar David

Revolting devastation and human suffering in this war is borne by Ukraine but profound changes will come in Russia. The overpowering player in the medium term will be China. Deeply significant will be the long-term alterations of global political-economy. Do I have ballpark notions of the three periods? Well let me stick my thumb in the air and say one, five and ten+ years, respectively. The war, Putin’s blackeye, dogged Ukrainian resistance, sanctions, refugees and the determination of Western capitalism and public opinion are the topics of conversation. The glorious democracy Germany will prosecute those who support Russia in public. The ultra-right-wing Economist of 27 March carries a lurid outburst of hatred and insinuation unsupported by evidence against Putin baked into three pages of venom (“Greyness, greed and grievance”). No attention is paid by intellectually handicapped Western media and “scholarship” to how the world will alter down the road.

Who is gaining the whole world?

Were you to call the deeply religious Christian-Orthodox Vladimir Putin (VP) a reincarnation of Vlad the Impaler, who am I to disagree? There will paradoxically however, be unintended benefits for the Russian economy, people and state. The opprobrium that VP has brought upon himself is the least of my concerns. What has he to show for reducing Mariupol to rubble, five million refugees, exposing his military as incompetent and its toolkit rusted, a 4000-long sanctions list (the harshest ever) and confiscation of Russia’s external assets by new-imperialism? Thousands of civilian deaths, maybe ten to twenty thousand soldiers as well. OK, it’s true that after this clobbering Ukraine will never join NATO, but this VP could have achieved by craft, diplomacy and threat. Six-gun Putin knows nought of the finesse of Sun Tzu and Machiavelli. So here’s my first punch-line: The bitter-sweet truth is that Russia for its economic survival has nowhere to turn but to China (unless sanctions are lifted). That’s point-one in my three-pronged hypothesis. [For a different assessment of Putin’s military objectives visit here and here. Two well-known American publications give a sharply different assessment of Putin’s war objectives.]

My second point is that the reign of the bloodsucking oligarchs, much wider than VP’s yacht sharing, dacha inhabiting buddies, who bled, robbed and corrupted Russia since America (and MIT) rigged its economic system in the Yeltsin years, is finished. The corrupt deals that made Roman Abramovich (Chelsea football club owner) a fortune is just one of many examples. After buying oil company Sibneft from the Russian government in a rigged auction in 1995 for $250m, he sold it back to the government for $13bn in 2005. (He magically materialised at the negotiations a few days ago; VP’s Rasputin?)! The list of bloodsucking oligarchs is long and sickening. The post-Putin era, irrespective of whether VP is kicked out in a palace coup, weakened or brought under supervision, will see transformations of economy, state and polity. Economic-power relationships will go upside down. Will political power be less dictatorial? Too much to hope for?

Russia has no choice; it has no fall back but China. This is a lesson for life even after sanctions are lifted. True only 3% of current Chinese exports are Russia-bound, the US and EU take about 15% each and the “developing” world 55%. This 3% may jump to 10% as sanctions bite and Russia struggles for consumer durables, chips, tech-stuff, luxury brands, Kentucky Fries and Big Macs. As Western investors of all complexion flee, Chinese equivalents can fill the gap. China will however will be wary of risking secondary sanctions for a small market and for a broke customer who will need to buy on tick initially. What the Chinese will eye are natural resources; Russia is the world’s resource-richest ($75 trillion) country, ahead of the US ($45 trillion) and China ($25 trillion). Its resource rankings are as follows timbre (1; its forest area exceeds Brazil’s), coal (2), gas (2), minerals (2), oil (3) and gold (3). Though in land area it is the largest of any country, arable land is only 7.5% of all land due to the harsh climate, hence it comes third behind India (57 % of all land is cultivated) and the US (17% cultivated) in total hectares of cultivated land.

Resource-wise this is El Dorado for the exploding Chinese economic engine seeking global investment opportunities. Young educated manpower and technological sophistication put Russia leagues ahead of basket-cases Africa, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. The best part of the multibillion-dollar Sino-European railway passes through Russia. The needs of broke and broken Russia with quality manpower and potential resource benefits for ambitious China fit like hand and glove. Political-economic logic and its consummation are nevertheless, many pitfalls apart. But the contours of what may be viable within a year or two of the ending of hostilities in Ukraine are visible.

The Ukraine war has snapped shut the Thucydides Trap enmeshing Western neo-imperialism and China with unexpected suddenness. It was always there, always threatening, often taking a bite here and there; the ban on Huawei, charges of intellectual property theft and sanctions on individuals were signs. Upending Russia, isolating it from global financial and trade make it stark that this is China’s future when the Trap is fully sprung. Biden declares “NATO has never been so united”. German Fraus and their little kinder joyfully prepare to freeze for freedom (Really?). The Chinese have so far only been shocked into wakefulness, but who doesn’t see that the big match is yet to come; which Chinaman doesn’t feel in his bones that VP’s rout is a mere dress-rehearsal before politico-economic warfare against the real target? It is a last chance to pushback a China which has been gaining inexorably for three decades in economic clout and global influence. For neo-imperialism it is a final, a life or death encounter. But in a deeper sense it is not Putin, Biden, colourful clowns Britain’s BoJo or Ukrain’s Yellingsky that matter; they are puny catalysts. “All the world’s a stage and all the men and women merely players”. A realignment of the world has become unavoidable – the French Revolution, WW1, WW2 and the fall of the USSR have left so much unfinished clutter. All that I say in this essay I say cold-bloodedly without taking this side or that, as far as possible.

So my medium-term argument: It is in China’s economic and political interest to turn Russia into a resource-rich partner in a new world order even after sanctions are lifted. If you are thinking of a new Cold War you’ve got it wrong. In USSR-times that block plus China accounted for a mere 15% of global output. Today it’s more than 30% and growing; more if you include Vietnam, the five landlocked Central Asian – Stans, the socialist inclined governments of South America and “left” dictatorships Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua. I am selecting countries which will readily do business with a presumptive Sino-Russian alliance. China is already the largest trading partner of over 100 countries, nevertheless it will be wary and play its cards carefully. Midgets (not Vietnam), consume peanuts, are miniscule markets, and mere dollops as economic partners. Russia of course can absorb $200 -300 billion in annual Chinese investment in mining, timbre & land, infrastructure, tech-manufacturing-military, food processing and the service sector.

That was the third, global, last facet of my crystal-ball gazing: The longer-term two decades beyond the present. You may think me as wacky as Nostradamus but no matter, if you read up to this point you may as well persevere for one more para. The presumptive Sino-Russian Alliance espied here and others who cosy up to it, will constitute an assemblage more porous to cross-boundary economic flows and politically more elastic than the defunct Soviet Block of Cold War times. Political plasticity aside it will be porous in trade and investment. I envisage dollar-divested trade and investment, and as the group gains strength spurning neo-imperialist sanctions on each another. A new world has to be built; there’s no other way.

Aside from those named so far, potential collaborators are Iran (world’s largest gas reserves), India, South Africa, Nigeria, North Korea and perhaps at the margin Saudi Arabia (largest oil reserves) and some Gulf States. India, South Africa, the – Stans, North Korea and of course China abstained in the UN vote condemning Russia at the UN. The socialist-left and “left”-dictatorships voted with Russia. India is critical to securing the credibility of this ensemble and the key to that is Beijing. China will have to make boundary concessions to woo India away from QUAD and ease its security concerns. This oh dear is the fly in the ointment. The Chinese are said to be intelligent, but on territorial issues experience is entirely the opposite! Nationalists the world over are universal idiots. Oh, for a reincarnated Samuel Johnson.

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Latest comments

  • 2
    5

    Almost everything we have been told about the so called ‘war’ in Ukraine is a lie by the freemasons in the western media:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TTUZlcgPmgc

    Also the masonic desire to create their NWO (New World Order) will not succeed.
    Instead there will be a Gods Kingdom.
    All freemasons who didnt repent and leave that satanic cult on time, will be serving time in prison or given the death penalty. They will also have all money and physical assets confiscated and given to a new ruling class (this has been verified by Mark Alan King and his real gematria findings).

    • 1
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      “…but this VP could have achieved by craft, diplomacy and threat.”
      *
      Putin did that for 8 long years. Heard of the Minsk Accord?
      Had it gone on for longer even after Mr Zee declared that Ukraine will join NATO and is fully endorsed by the NATO boss and by Joe Bee, it will only be a few years before NATO finds itself with missiles in Ukraine.
      Why could not Zee say at the very outset that the country will not join NATO and persuade NATO to affirm it?
      The choice was between slow death by strangling by encirclement and fighting for life.
      The attack opened everybody’s eye to what NATO will do and will not.
      certainly Zee was in for a big surprise.
      Russia will hold on to predominantly Russian speaking areas at most as long as the confrontation lasts. The longer it lasts the more territory Ukraine will lose. Also the refugee problem of Europe will also be a crime problem, as the neo-fascists will not have sponsors out there.
      *
      “The bitter-sweet truth is that Russia for its economic survival has nowhere to turn but to China (unless sanctions are lifted).”
      India is buying Russian oil and weapons. It did not yield Quad pressure.
      Even the Saudis are not playing ball with the US on oil production.
      It is mostly a global North-South divide on the matter.
      The sanctions have started to bite Europe. the sole beneficiary is the US.
      Think about it.

  • 3
    5

    Kumar: the West (Euro-America) is living in a time warp.
    They have begun to believe their propaganda… they are lost.
    The Rest of the world is moving on.. Dumping the Dollar.. a new world order is in the making but it is not the one envisaged by the Davos group and their post Covid-19, lab made virus and vaccine, New World Order with the UN in tow.

    Have you read “The Return of Marco Polo’s World”?

    • 4
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      Dinuk
      :…..The Rest of the world is moving on.. Dumping the Dollar.. a new world order is in the making ….”
      Surely that came out of Vasudeva N’s mouth?
      I have been reading such hollow things since my childhood, and now I’m a half centurion :) I can firmly say that there will be more people to dump RUB or CNY anytime than the USD even in 2020.
      Just one hypothetical question. Imagine the gates of Russia, China and USA are left wide open for one million migrants to come in, anyone, unconditionally, which country’s gate would you think gets closed in few seconds? ;)

      • 0
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        sorry typo – should be 2022

  • 5
    5

    As Sri Lanka’s political-economic crisis compounds the IMF is presented as a Deus ex machina. The IMF has become the Solution to all our ills, proposed BOTH the opposition and the Minister for Economic Disaster – US citizen Basil Rajapakse who is set to take wing to Washington and of course US puppet Ranil Wickramasinghe..

    The IMF is however no savior of the impoverished common man who is always forced to bare the burden of AUSTERITY MEASURES that should be imposed on corrupt and criminal luxury-living political and business elites who the IMF works with..

    The IMF and Washington Consensus is fundamentally a Structural part of the Global Social and Economic Inequality Pandemic. IMF is hence NOT a Solution to it. Until this is understood and ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS for the crisis are found, and Sri Lanka looks to Asia and the East for development and economic growth this strategic island like Lebanon and Pakistan where the CIA has deep roots will lurch from crisis to crisis..

  • 9
    3

    KD,

    Forget the new world order for the next 30 years at least. The US is going to remain the dominant force during the next few decades because whatever the problems the US has, other powers have even worse problems. The declinists are way too premature in their sweeping predictions, alarmism, or in some cases, gloating.

    People in CT need to focus on 2 things
    1. The protests in Sri Lanka against the Rajapaksa regime, curfews, currency and food crises, etc. This is the most important for Lankans of course.

    2. Mass graves in the areas that Russia has withdrawn from, especially Bucha, and ongoing massacres in Eastern Ukraine.
    Bucha = Srebrenica. Putin = Milosevic. Germany and France can no longer waffle about the true character of Putin and Russia. Neither can China and India.

    Russia under Putin is a terrorist state and there is going to be a massive backlash against those who have been thinking of appeasement or pussyfooting about Russian crimes. The complete defeat of Putin’s armed forces and regime change is now in play. China and India will face even more pressure to distance themselves from Russia. A China-Russia alliance while Putin remains in place will inevitably lead to the decoupling of China from the West.

    • 4
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      Agnos

      Its true that you can’t just wish USA away. USA is going to remain considerable period of time and meddle in world/regional affairs until it realises every country has its own interest in their own respective country. So is Hindia, China, and fading global powers. However neo-imperialism has its own limitations.

      The current conflict in Sri Lanka is a lesson for many other developing countries. Single handed fascist strongmen cannot rule people forever. Today people have challenged Gota and his military machine. His authority as a Sinhala/Buddhist strongman has been challenged and undermined and curfew has been breached. What is next?

      Like others before him, he has not only become a laughing stock but a liability even for his supporters, who put him in the top office in the first place.

      His corrupt supporters among functionaries have taken over the entire state machinery hence there is no guarantee even if people find alternative leadership the country could get rid of Rajapaksa’s and their control over the country. Clan would find ways and means to undermine future alternative government.

      What will the Generals, Brigadiers, Police Chiefs, ….. Legal fraternity, …. do in the future Sri Lanka?

      I am not suggesting Mao/Stalin/Sadam style purge.
      Nimal Fernando has different opinion.

      • 2
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        Agnos

        The last line should read
        Young Nimal has different opinion.

      • 2
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        NV,

        On SL, there has to be methodical identification of corrupt Rajapaksa loyalists in government. Not purging them–along with RW’s reliance on his Royal College buddies — was a major reason for the downfall of the Yahapalanaya government.

        On global issues, while every country has its own interests, there have to be some redlines when it comes to premeditated war crimes and genocide as opposed to collateral damage. Russia may need to be expelled from the UN security council.

        India’s aspiration to become a permanent member of the security council will come to naught if it cannot take a clear stand on Russian war crimes. And the Western capitalists who sought to profit from the low cost of manufacturing in China have to relocate their factories back to the West; Western consumers will have to get used to paying more for goods and services, and entrepreneurs have to settle for decent but not excessive profits. The world doesn’t need so many billionaires.

        • 1
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          Agnos

          “there have to be some redlines when it comes to premeditated war crimes and genocide as opposed to collateral damage.”

          The term “Collateral Damages” is an american invention for neat packaging of all war crimes. I am not a defender of Russia or Hindia. I can give you hundreds of examples of USA’s interventions before 1990.

          However Red lines should have been respected when USA and the “coalition of the willing” (US-led Multi-National Force) first decided to intervene in Iraq in 1990s. Since 1990 we have witnessed unilateral intervention by USA in numerous countries. For example Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, … Panama, Somali, Haiti, Yugoslavia, Yemen, North West Pakistan, …… USA never challenged Israel on its war records against its neighbours.

          If one of the important UN member continues to break international law, norms, …. why not UN expel USA? UN cannot and should not be selective in its approach to members behaving badly or in its admonishment.

          I don’t understand why supporters of Ukraine want to have Russia expelled or punished immediately while most of the regular offenders are allowed to go scot-free.
          If the west is believed to act in good faith then why didn’t they intervene to prevent the slaughter of hundreds of thousands of innocent people.

          • 1
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            Agnos

            Lets see some of the statistics of VETO bearing members:

            Population 2021
            France 67.0 M
            UK 67.5 M
            USA 332.0 M
            Russia 146.0 M

            Total 613.0M

            4 VETO’s are being shared among 613.0 million people
            whereas India which has a population of 1,393.0 M has no VETO.

            GDP in Dollars 2020

            France 2.603 Trillion
            UK 2.708 Trillion
            USA 20.940 Trillion
            Russia 1.483 Trillion

            India 2.623 Trillion

            Why Hindians are not entitle to VETO when 3 of the VETO bearing countries have the same level of GDP?

            Therefore India’s permanent membership to Security council has nothing to do with its non commitment to either side.

            This is my position on UN Security Council.
            I assure you that my observation and conclusion are based on facts and figures seen and studied by me and SJ has nothing to do with it.

            • 1
              1

              NV,

              Nominal GDP alone is not the consideration. Aside from the fact that per capita GDP matters more, whether the country is capable of being a global military power, able to contribute armed forces and weapons for international operations at short notice, whether the country has political stability, etc., matters.

              Personally, I would argue that autocratic countries like China and Russia should be kicked out of UNSC, and a democratic country like India should be given membership eventually. But India has to first raise hundreds of millions out of poverty and be able to adopt a more assertive global position –developing its markets based on internal consumption, and exports without its heavy dependence on Western markets as a center of outsourcing — before it can be a member of the UNSC. That is still a few decades ahead.

          • 2
            1

            NV,

            All your examples are not parallels to Ukraine. Take Iraq. Saddam was a tyrant from the minority Sunni community who kept the majority Shia and others like Kurds oppressed, and there were many from Iraq who collaborated with the West.

            The West is indeed selective in its outrage and gives more weight to what happens within Europe than in the Middle East/Palestine or elsewhere. Part of it is because of resource constraints, and part of it is hypocrisy, even racism. But such hypocrisies cannot be allowed to detract from the need for taking the right and moral course against criminal autocrats like Putin. The way I see it is, suppose I am a member of the jury asked to judge the case of a murder or rape. I have to look at this particular case and make the right decision. That someone else got away with murder or rape in another case is immaterial to this decision.

            • 1
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              Agnos

              “Saddam was a tyrant from the minority Sunni community who kept the majority Shia and others like Kurds oppressed, and there were many from Iraq who collaborated with the West.”

              Even Sadam was collaborating with the west, and started a war against Iran.
              The West, China and Russia sold arms to both Waring parties.

              Sadam, Gaddafi, Asad, …. were/are not saints however they were their respective country’s problem not the problem of USA or the west. Now see the devastation and deaths being continue to be caused by their benevolent interventions. If West is really interested in liberating people from tyrants then of course there are many countries they could intervene.

              North Korea, China (never mind SJ), Russia, Saudi are being ruled by tyrannical regimes, why does not USA bomb the hell out of them? Israel has “Text book Democracy” what it does outside its borders amount to war crimes and crime against humanity. Why do you think the west is keeping deafening silence?

              “But such hypocrisies cannot be allowed to detract from the need for taking the right and moral course against criminal autocrats like Putin. “

              The west has brilliantly sold the idea of why Russia is wrong and why Russia should be punished along with it Hindia, China, …. for maintaining a diplomatically neutral position.

              • 0
                0

                NV,

                I would be a hawk on toppling the autocrats you mention if there were a clear path to a semblance of stability. Unfortunately, certain societies don’t have the level of maturity– at least not in the critical mass needed– to make democracy work well. At the same time, Americans made the mistake of coming up with nuclear weapons and using them on Japan. This eventually boomeranged, limiting what even a global power like the US can do when confronted with madmen owning nuclear weapons. Along with slavery and the genocide of Native Americans, it was one of America’s original sins that haunts the country still, limiting its ability to respond.

                It may help you to understand that the world wasn’t created naturally as a just and fair place. Inequalities, predation and injustices, colonialism, nationalism, fascism, etc., have been a part of parcel of what shaped the world. Making it better and more fair is a long, slow process.

                The West can credibly impose conditions on China and Russia for a number of reasons, including the fact that the West had ill-advisedly opened its markets for trade with these totalitarian countries. India similarly depends on access to Western markets and can face a similar backlash even if it is not autocratic. I will leave it at that.

            • 1
              0

              Agnos

              If you compare the per capita GDP of Hindia and China (PRC) in 1971 both at the same level, each $119. How come America was able to grant/transfer VETO power to PRC at UNSC and not Hindia?

              This involves lot of back room unprincipled dealings by all countries concerned. Forget principled positions, morality, right and wrong. If USA decides those decisions are being carried out by rest of countries.
              Thats all.

              China has been using its VETO as well in order to support all weather friend Pakistan. In 1972 it tried to block the entry of Bangladesh into UN.

              Tragedy all around.
              I suggest let us strip all countries the power to VETO at UNSC.

              • 1
                0

                Agnos

                Sorry SJ may want to strip VETO powers from all four countries except China.

    • 0
      2

      1. The protests in Sri Lanka against the Rajapaksa regime, curfews, currency and food crises, etc. This is the most important for Lankans of course.

      2. Mass graves in the areas that Russia has withdrawn from, especially Bucha, and ongoing massacres in Eastern Ukraine.
      My thinking suggests an ambiguous and policy-less world order and the repeated wars between countries and the unlimited human rights violation within countries is the result of mismanagement of UNSC. Proper way to form a UNSC must consider the 1). war machines owned a country 2.) population of the country and 3). the wealth of the country. 4). and the region where they are Then the SC permanent membership would be given by the actual contribution to International Peace maintenance. That’s like 500,000 soldiers or $1 Billion money or 250,000 soldiers and $500,000 cash. At least about 10 countries have to be selected. If they are forced to make decisions on their money and soldiers, they will honestly strive to maintain peace. Then the final decision will be given marks based on member’s earlier, 4 properties and on the contribution match with their ability to contribute. No Veto. All decisions carrying above 75% marks will have to be implemented. This is how an arms owner or uncooperative member will not affect the decisions.

  • 4
    2

    Simply put,

    NATO is not a threat to the Russian people: it’s a threat to Putin’s megalomania/delusions of grandeur.

    All former Soviet colonies have joined the NATO as a bulwark against their former coloniser’s aggression/imperialistic-ambitions

    A case in point ………. if Ukraine had joined NATO, Putin wouldn’t have dared.

    In the absence of man, the world consists of simple truths.


    Well, in my adolescence I would’ve gone out and gathered and dusted all my thrown out books and written a PhD thesis …….. that was a life time ago: I was so much older then; I’m younger than that now, somehow ……. joined the TikTok generation ……….

    • 2
      0

      nimal fernando

      “I’m younger than that now, somehow ……. joined the TikTok generation ……….”

      Has this got anything to do with your female Chinese acquaintances/friends?
      Stay young.
      We need young ones to kick some asses.

      By the way can you introduce a few Chinese girls, women, or old women to our graying revolutionary Maoists?
      Thank you.

  • 1
    1

    The existing World order was established under US hegemony soon after the Second World War.

    America is the single most powerful country in the world.

    NATO is a powerful military alliance. IMF and World Bank and WTO are powerful economic institutions created under US patronage.

    United Nations and all its arms are dominated by USA.

    EU and ASEAN are powerful economic alliances. So are UK, Japan Australia and Canada.

    After the collapse of Soviet Union AND Warsaw pact, the world has become unipolar and still mit is
    .
    New world order is only a pipe dream.

  • 0
    3

    Re: Russian forces are accused of genocide in Bucha.
    I saw this first.
    – Russia has agreed to almost all of our peace proposals “verbally”, says Ukrainian negotiator.
    – No, we didn’t, says Russia’s spokesman.
    Then I saw this.
    – Mass graves where over 300 people were buried.
    – Dozens of corpses with two of them with their hands tied.
    – Nine people were killed at close range.
    – Some people were shot in the head and had their hands bound, and some bodies showed signs of torture, rape and burning.
    – Two bodies wrapped in plastic, bound with tape and thrown into a ditch.
    – Some were killed with a “bullet in the back of the neck”.
    – The corpses of 57 people were found in a mass grave.
    – One corpse had his hands bound by the white cloth, and appeared to have been shot in the mouth, the agency said.
    Then I saw this.
    – Klitschko called on other nations to immediately end Russian gas imports, saying they were funding the invasion of Ukraine, now in its 39th day.
    – “Not a penny should go to Russia anymore. That’s bloody money used to slaughter people. The gas and oil embargo must come immediately,” the mayor said.
    Hmmmm…

    • 2
      2

      I agree. the description of ‘genocide’ is shocking.
      So, let me ask this clearly, were all these atrocities done by a ‘retrieving army’? Oh, please give me a break. Please read my list in the above comment again. Will a retrieving army have time to do all these crimes, crimes that they never did when they were advancing towards Kiev?
      We are talking about an army that has decided to retrieve without any pressure or intimidation or fear. They didn’t retrieve in anger. They had no resentment with anyone. I heard that in the early days of Russia’s military operation, some Russian soldiers have even surrendered to civilians. That is something unusual. I thought they may have been given strict orders not to harm civilians.
      The description of my list in the above comment is more likely done by dangerous Azov fighters than a regular army. It indeed warrants an investigation.
      I actually wanted to write about the history of Crimea and the peace process. Now I don’t feel like writing about it. Russian forces retrieved from Kiev, but the Russian government never said their military operation is over or they are up for a ceasefire.

      • 1
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        Champa,
        “They didn’t retrieve in anger”
        What were they retrieving? Why were they in a hurry to retrieve? I am so confused.

        • 2
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          old codger
          Russia’s Defense Ministry announced a few days ago that phase I of their military operation in Kiev has come to an end, and therefore, they have decided to withdraw their army from Kiev. The Ukraine government didn’t support Russia’s decision. They destroyed a city bridge to delay the Russian army’s withdrawal from Kiev. The Ukrainian Army even attacked the retrieving Russian Army. (I wonder how many Russian soldiers were killed.) As Russia has officially stopped its offensive in Kiev, the Russian army couldn’t engage in counter or defensive attacks but continued withdrawing. What will happen is, Russia will not withdraw anymore troops until both countries agree to a formal ceasefire in writing. Having said that, I highly doubt a ceasefire in Mariupol or anywhere else as there is no guarantee that Ukraine will honour a ceasefire.

      • 0
        1

        Ohhhhh…… I read my comment only now. There is a typo. Actually same typo in several places.
        It is RETREATING. Not retrieving.
        In both of my comments, the word “retrieve” should be replaced with “RETREAT”.
        …… done by a “retreating” army.
        ……. decided to “retreat”…..
        ……..didn’t “retreat” in anger…..
        …….. forces “retreated” from Kiev….

    • 2
      2

      Champa,
      How come you weren’t so concerned about mass murder when it happens here? Even when the President pardons the murderers?

      • 0
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        old codger
        You have to be specific.

  • 1
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    I saw a banner in Tamil carried by the demonstrators which read “The curse of 74 years of rule ………………” This banner says it all. The rot started not now or a few years ago. DS Senanayake imposed a unitary constitution to guarantee rule by the majority Sinhalese. Within 287 days of independence, he deprived 700,000 Hill country Tamils of their citizenship and stripped them of their franchise the following year. Then he embarked on an ambitious state-aided Sinhala colonization scheme like Gal Oya, Allai-Kantalai in the east under the guise of settling landless peasants. Today the Tamils are a minority in the eastern province (40%) they dominated up to the time of independence.

    Then came SWRD Bandaranaike with his promise to make “Sinhala Only within 24 hours” thus destroying the ethnic peace for good. Though the wrong was righted by way of 13 A the use of Tamil remains largely on paper. In 1972 Mrs Bandaranaike gave Buddhism the “foremost place” laying the foundation for further conflict. She also signed an agreement with India prime Minister Lal Bahadur Shastri to repatriate 525,000 Hill country Tamils back to India. S. J. V. Chelvanayakam, the FP leader said “It is an unprecedented move in international relations for half a million people to be treated as pawns in the game of power politics”. 1/2

  • 1
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    The series of riots in 1956, 1958, 1977, 1979, 1981 and 1983 were aimed at destroying the economic base of Tamils. President Premadasa, President Chandrika and President Rajapaksa fought costly wars against the LTTE and finally defeated them with arms and intelligence from two dozen countries.
    It proved a pyrrhic victory since the reasons for the LTTE to take up arms still remain unresolved.

    It is getting worse every day and the government continues to be afraid of Prabhakaran’s ghost despite 250,000 strong armed forces deployed in the North.

    What the country needs today is a complete break from the past and enact a secular and progressive to unify the people irrespective of their ethnicity, language, or faith. 2/2

  • 2
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    Allegations of genocide against Russia:
    Finally, with great courage and a heavy heart, I decided to look at the pictures of dead bodies in Bucha. The very first thought that came to my mind was, “Are these people really dead?” I don’t know, I am the last person to be an expert in dead bodies, but I felt something unusual there. Then, I looked at people who were near dead bodies. Whaaaaaaat?
    There are dead bodies all over, but nobody was covering their noses. Isn’t that strange?
    According to western media, “Satellite images show bodies lying in Bucha for weeks.” When a person is dead, an unpleasant odor is immediately released and the stench fills up the entire area. Dead bodies with open wounds start smelling immediately. As we are talking about 410 civilians who were said to have been shot dead, the odour emitted from the wounds should have been felt over a large area. There were so many people looking at dead bodies, but no one was covering their noses. Not even volunteers who carried dead bodies! How come?
    Those who visited the “dead bodies in Bucha” proved to us that “dead bodies” are doing well! Cheers to everyone!

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    I gathered this information from the media.
    The Russian army left Bucha on March 30.
    Ukraine took over Bucha, made a victorious speech on April 1. There was no mention about civilian killings.
    Then, after two full days, on April 3, Ukraine suddenly started talking about civilian killings. Photos and videos were published.
    Russia denied allegations on the same day, and immediately requested an urgent UNSC meeting on April 4. Britain blocked it. The UN denied it. Why? Were they waiting for ‘real killings’ to prove allegations against Russia? I knew it was coming.
    Immediately after videos & photos of Bucha killings were published, the world condemned Russia. Strangely, there was no call for an investigation from world leaders. Just the conclusion. There were no autopsies. Strange Again. Descriptions of the scene, such as “bullet in the back of the neck”, and “shot in the mouth” came from onlookers. Photos published earlier didn’t correspond with the descriptions of the manner of death.
    Then, new photos came. The motive is obvious. Too bad, the UN is taking part in it.
    Russia has again requested an independent investigation.
    This is not the first time Ukraine killed their own people to please the West.

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    Russia has withdrawn its troops considerably from the North-West, North and North-East which I see as a genuine gesture to promote peace negotiations.
    However, NATO, particularly the US and Britain are hell bent on doing anything and everything to block any peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia. The latest is, Bucha.
    NATO Chief Jens Stoltenberg says the conflict in Ukraine could last for ‘months, if not, for years’. I agree. I think Russia will take over from Donbass to Transnistria permanently, and I don’t think it will take years. Now, whose fault is it? NATO should take the responsibility.

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      C
      It need not be a gesture for peace promotion. It is a military decision.
      The obstacles for peace are the forces that pushed Mr Zee to talk big about joining NATO and encouraged a policy of oppression of minorities.

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    Kumar
    Russia is hurt by Biden’s sanctions, and Europe too.
    But there is a beneficiary:
    “US increases oil imports from Russia. Pursues own interests at expense of European allies.” (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a86D6D5cq7c)
    *
    The US took its European allies for a ride in both WWI & II with maximum gain for minimum input.
    Very few heads of state of West Europe could see through the US tricks. De Gaulle for one. Merkel, perhaps.

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    Hello, will there be a new informative article about the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
    The US’s Resolution to expel Russia from the UNHRC received only 93 votes in favour, out of total 193. They didn’t get the required number of votes i.e. 2/3 of 193 = 128. That means, Russia will stay in the UNHRC.

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