10 December, 2019

Blog

Economics Of Elections & Electioneering

By Ameer Ali

Dr. Ameer Ali

Conducting elections for the presidency or parliament or provincial councils is a hugely expensive affair. The Chief Financial Officer of Sri Lanka’s Election Commission recently reported that it would cost an estimated 4 billion rupees to conduct any one of these elections, which means the total cost of all three would be an estimated 12 billion rupees. This is the price the nation pays to preserve its majoritarian democracy and it comes from the national budget. Although this itself is a substantial sum given the parlous state of the country’s finances, and diverts precious resource from flowing into other productive sectors, it is only the direct cost incurred by the Election Commission. In addition to this, there are indirect or hidden costs arising from electioneering and incurred by the contesting parties and candidates to ‘buy votes’. In the absence of any campaign finance regulations the indirect costs are inestimable and may be colossal. It has a pernicious effect on the economy and governance.

From the point of view of the parties and their candidates, money they spend on electioneering is a form of investment incurred with the expectation of greater return, once the contest is won. It is a gamble. However, unlike in a casino where the size of the winnings are known before the bet is placed and winnings are collected immediately after the game, in politics, the size is of the winnings is unknown and is collected over a period of time depending on a number of variables, such as the status the winner would hold in the government after the victory, the ethical, moral and intellectual standards of the holder and the type of friends and supporters he or she had cultivated during the campaign.

These winners are paid salaries when they hold office and enjoy a variety of perks associated with the position they hold. They are also entitled to a pension when they leave position. Yet, how does one explain the enormous wealth they accumulate while in office? Are they made accountable for their accumulation? How many of them at least pay their taxes properly? There is huge a discrepancy between the size of wealth of some parliamentarians when they enter and when they leave. I once happened to meet a candidate who was contesting a parliamentary seat in the Eastern Province. He confided to me that he had sold every asset he possessed except the house he was living in to meet his electioneering expenses, and he asked me to pray for his victory so that he could “serve” his people.  Even without my prayer he won the contest and became a cabinet minister. At the end of his political career after a decade he emerged as one of if not the richest in his district. How did he accumulate all that wealth? Today there are hundreds of politicians who have amassed wealth beyond their natural capabilities simply by using their political power and status. This needs to be controlled.

The problem with this type of acquisition is the pernicious effect it has on the economy and governance of the country. Transparency International ranks countries according to a corruption index ranging from 0 (very corrupt) to 100 (very clean). Between 2002 and 2018 Sri Lanka averaged 31 and in 2019 it has added another seven points to total 38, which means the country has improved a little, but still a long way to go. Out of a total of 180 countries Denmark is the least and Somalia the most corrupt nations. Sri Lanka ranks 89th.  

Electioneering without any control over campaign financing worsens corruption and allows it to originate from the top. If rulers and administrators are honest and clean any corruption detected at the bottom can be eradicated easily. In contrast, when the top is incorrigibly corrupt and dishonest there is no hope for clean governance. Corruption percolates downwards, increases hidden costs and affects the entire polity and economy. If public sector is corrupt private sector will automatically become corrupt, because at several points the two will come into contact and the virus will cross pollinate. Corruption at the top also creates cronyism. They are inseparable twins. An economy that operates in an environment of corruption cannot expect to remain competitive with an open economy and cannot sustain respectable rates of economic growth. 

The economics of electioneering in such an environment without stringent rules and control over campaign donations is perverse. If the situation continues Sri Lankan democracy will be a sham and elections a gamble. Democracy in the hands of kleptocrats eventually turns into kakistocracy.     

Given the current state of electioneering for presidency, JVP appears to be the least resourceful party in terms of finances. There are powerful business and media interests that are prepared to spend for the UNP, SLFP and SLPP whether they contest independently or in coalition. These interests would naturally expect a decent return for their campaign outlay. The three parties will be compelled to bend rules and behave corruptly to enable their donors and financiers to make quick bucks. In doing so the legislators and executors will take their own cut. Voters are already aware of how the economy was looted by the former regime and how corruption was perpetuated under the present regime. In that respect JVP is relatively clean. It has no money to spend on lavish campaigns except meagre donations, if any, from its membership cadre. Hence, it has the least incentive to perpetuate corruption. AKD naturally deserves a chance to clean up corruption and rebuild the economy by fostering national unity to which he has already made a commitment. The country eagerly waits to read its full manifesto.    

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

Latest comments

  • 2
    0

    12 Billion LKR???,

    That is peanuts if our Dalits who make up the most of our inhabitants can get rid of those Neo liberal, Neo Capitalist Robbers and Cheats who have destroyed this post Nanthikadal Nation. and bring someone who can redevelop it while eliminating the new Terrorism the Wahabis unleashed in Easter..

    Specially in comparison to the 11 Billion LKR which Dr Ranil helped his Royal mate to rob from the Central Bank.

    • 2
      0

      Ranil hitherto doctored the master plan to patronize his Royal mates leaving the country with a massive financial hole. I hear he is planning to stand for presidency. A chap gone mad. Throw him out and pave way for Sajith.

  • 1
    0

    Not only elections have a pinch in the economy, expensive cars,( or car permits for ) Mercedes, BMW and Audi for the elected members and their secretaries ( wifes or children) also have impact hugely on our economy.

    Why cannot it be changed to simple “travel expenses” from constituency to parliament and vice a versa, instead of expensive cars, if they are up to the service for the people.

    Many MPs and ministers have had no vehicles, except motorbikes, before entering parliament. But after a full term in the Parliament the MPs and ministers seem to have built massive villas and owned few vehicles for the family, the costs of those will never match up with their legally earned salary.

    Therefore visionary new people should take the steering of the economy. Anticipated presidential candidates , apart from AKD, are not fit to rescue our economy.

  • 1
    0

    “There is huge a discrepancy between the size of wealth of some parliamentarians when they enter and when they leave.”
    Azath Sali is the best example.

  • 0
    0

    Ameer Ali,.
    JVP is the “least corrupt” and therefore it has the least incentives to perpetuate corruption. I have to agree with you on that “relative assessment” b’cos I know some JVP cadres who kept the loot to themselves during 88-89 terror and became “relatively” well-to-do local businessmen. From same taken, on the other extreme, I also know some devoted activists who even don’t have permanent roof on top of the house!

    History has shown that almost all welfare movements, political or otherwise, have been started by extremely dedicated individuals with lofty intentions of sacrifice on behalf of the needy but ending up with worst kinds of corruption and in some cases, as most brutal regimes. This was exactly what happened to all the Marxist revolutions. JVP may be the least corrupt for the time being but, wait till they come to power and see what will happen once the honeymoon is over!

    This is human nature. The harder one has to try to control the system in order to implement lofty goals, the more the corruption will be b’cos human nature is such that there will always be someone to break rules by manipulating the bureaucracy. That is why when leaders like Xi Jinping speak to the nation, the very first item on the agenda becomes eliminating corruption!

    Corruption can’t be eliminated completely; all one can do is to have strong independent legal system to catch those who try to manipulate the system for personal gains. Under Marxist regimes, the opposite is the norm!

  • 0
    0

    This comment was removed by a moderator because it didn’t abide by our Comment policy.For more detail see our Comment policy https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/comments-policy-2

  • 0
    0

    The writer now working on cost cutting of Elections ? Well known that Elections has cost but its needed to Citizens of Sri lankan to see New Path of political and economic development in nation destines of our land. by wish of majority of citizens.
    We have choose Path of Ballots not that path of bullets by recently Muslim terrorist no way to exercise that right to Sovereignty of Democratic that change by will and wish of citizens of Islanders.
    That is Path of majority community has adamantly protected since 1931 of Universal Franchises ? Our People most respected of Right to vote,that safeguarded by citizens.

    Yes, we wanted this soil without that Bloodshed by JVP of 1971 April 5th and 1988/89/90, the LTTE+TNA of terrorist War by Tamil terrorist of Separatism ;and Muslim terrorist of ISIS or other Muslim Political parties are behind political Terrorism in 21/4 Terror attacks. Muslim terrorist wanted converted entire Island for New Islam State in south Asia—Sri lanka.

    That is why wanted immediately Next incoming elections by Citizens mandate Rule of law by govern our nation .
    Well that Muslim having their way of Gun Rule politics that is anti-Establishment advocated by Muslim religion elites. We do not followed that path and Road to Democracy by majority community of Sri Lankan. The Muslim terrorist are promoted by Muslim political religion for Islam STATE in Island.

Leave A Comment

Comments should not exceed 300 words. Embedding external links and writing in capital letters are discouraged. Commenting is automatically shut off on articles after 10 days and approval may take up to 24 hours. Please read our Comments Policy for further details. Your email address will not be published.