18 September, 2020

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If Gotabaya Is Jailed & Mahinda Is Disbarred

By Dayan Jayatilleka

Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka

Henry Kissinger and Oliver Stone, who had very little in common, are both credited with originating the saying “ just because you are paranoid it doesn’t mean they aren’t out to get you” and its variation which goes “even if you are paranoid you can have real enemies”. The same goes for garrulous gasbags. Just because someone is a garrulous gasbag it doesn’t mean they can’t tell the truth or aren’t telling the truth. Minister Rajitha Senaratne is possibly the biggest gasbag in the Yahapalana cabinet, followed at some distance by Sarath Fonseka, Champika Ranawaka and Mangala Samaraweera though not in any particular order. And yet, when Rajitha Senaratne says, as The Island reported as its page one lead story of February 1st (yesterday) that that Gotabaya Rajapaksa will be arrested and jailed after February 10th, I do not dismiss it as pure, if characteristic, garrulity. The report says that he made the statement at a public rally in Matara. I believe Rajitha is telling the truth.

Now in the first place, this makes matters easier for politicians and most importantly, voters. We the citizens know full well, what is to come if the UNP is not defeated or succeeds in forming a coalition with the official SLFP, on/after Feb 10th. Speaking in Vavuniya, the Prime Minister said that Trincomalee port and the oil tank farm will be “developed” with the assistance of a Singapore firm (hopefully not one that Arjuna Mahendran works for), and went on to say that “with Tamil Nadu progressing rapidly, such a development of Trincomalee will directly benefit the North and East, including Vavuniya”.

Meanwhile the TNA election manifesto calls for the implementation of the Oslo agreement which Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe entered into with the Tigers in 2002, pledging “internal self-determination” through “federalism”. This comes after MA Sumanthiran’s Jaffna speech several weeks back in which he explained to a Jaffna audience that the proposed new Constitution goes “beyond federalism”. Now this is the very TNA that the Yahapalana administration has empowered by conferring it the important status of the Opposition in parliament, though it has only 16 seats and the Joint Opposition has over three times as many.

The drafter of the LTTE’s ISGA proposal, Prof Sornaraja, Singapore based brother-in-law of ex-President Kumaratunga’s  ex-advisor on ethnic affairs, addressed a seminar in Jaffna a few weeks back , at which Chief Minister Wigneswaran called for an “international legal framework” for the Tamil Question, and pledged to have this raised at the upcoming March session of the UNHRC in Geneva at which, as the good Chief Minister reminded his audience, the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights is to present his interim progress report on Sri Lanka’s implementation of the 2015 resolution.

Meanwhile Finance Minister Mangala Samaraweera has rolled out a Budget which envisages the lifting of the land reform laws and permitting foreign companies to buy large tracts of land on this small island (there’s no guarantee that the said companies won’t be fronts for LTTE black money flows through Diaspora conduits). The UNP’s Ajith Perera says the new Constitution will be fast-tracked after February 10th.  Prime Minister Wickremesinghe himself says that in accordance with the PRECIFAC recommendations former President Rajapaksa will lose his civic rights not merely for seven years but for the rest of his lifetime. This is echoed by Champika Ranawaka, Rajitha Senaratne and the SLFP’s Mahinda Samarasinghe. Now, Rajitha Senaratne says Gotabaya will be arrested and jailed after February 10th.

Not every day does anyone do us citizens favours for free. These are our lucky day. All these statement do us four favours at least.

Firstly, we all know what we are voting for if we vote for the UNP. Secondly, we now know why the UNP wants to remove Mahinda’s civic rights and jail Gotabaya. The UNP wants to knock out Mahinda and Gotabaya as the next logical step of the process of making the TNA the Opposition, and precisely because it wants to implement the larger program it has just laid out: giving Trincomalee to the Indians and thereby empowering the North and East; implementing a new Constitution which grants power over land to the provinces and is  a remix of the LTTE’s ISGA drafted by Prof Sornaraja; allowing foreign companies, including Tamil Nadu and Diaspora based companies to own vast tracts of land on this island. Mahinda and Gotabaya have to be removed, if Sri Lanka is to be dismantled and sold off.

Thirdly, we know what to do if we disagree with such a future for our country: vote against the UNP in massive numbers on February 10th and as long as Ranil remains the leader. Fourthly, we know what we’ll be voting against if we vote against the UNP.

Mahinda and Gotabaya, in that hierarchic order and chronological sequence, are symbols of national resistance and are powerful obstacles to the UNP’s ‘Grand Sale’ of Sri Lanka. If this unpopular government, the unpopularity of which will be clear on Feb 10th, chooses to make the same mistake as a UNP in crisis did after the August 1953 Hartal, and take a tougher, harder line (appointing Sir John Kotelawela, on the advice, among others, of Prime Minister Wickremesinghe’s father Esmond) rather than taking a step or two back, then the same outcome will prevail as it did then: the social polarization will increase exponentially and the eventual electoral outcome will shift in a more radical nationalist direction.

Given that they are widely perceived as saviours of the nation from the terror of the Tamil Tigers, if Mahinda and/or Gotabaya are subject to victimization and legalized repression it will not be mere social antipathy as in 1955-56, but active anger and hatred that the UNP government stacks up against it as in 1988. Today there is no Ranasinghe Premadasa as PM, candidate and President to save it from the “fire and the fury” of rampant nationalist populism.

If anything swings the choice in favour of Gotabaya as Presidential candidate rather than a more moderate progressive candidate, it will be a spell in jail. If anything radicalizes—politically and ideologically ‘weaponizes’ Sinhala nationalism, and tilts the balance between the progressive populist and radical nationalists in the growing Opposition camp, it will the arrest of Gotabaya. If anything assures a huge swing of Sinhalese of all parties including the urban UNP in his favour at the election of November 2019, it will be a stint of legalized martyrdom. If anything makes the post-UNP regime of 2019-2020 more determinedly Sinhala nationalist, it will be a defensive retaliation for the affront of an attack Mahinda and Gotabaya are symbols of national resistance and are powerful obstacles to this grand sell out of Sri Lanka.

If anything guarantees that the defeated UNP of 2019-2020 faces a “Jacobin” outcome, and signals that the Greens should already get their green cards, it is a move to disenfranchise Mahinda Rajapaksa and jail Gotabaya Rajapaksa. I belong to the generation that saw on Western TV, the South Vietnamese equivalent of Ranil’s UNP, kicked off US helicopters while clinging to their skids during the evacuation of April 30th 1975.

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Latest comments

  • 6
    0

    Finally CID decides to go down the rabbit hole:

    “Former Mt. Lavinia Crimes OIC detained over Lasantha’s murder”

    “It is also learnt that the CID intends to arrest a former IG, DIG, SP and several others on charges of trying to sweep under the carpet all evidence with regard to Lasantha’s killing and trying to pin it on the LTTE.
    Further, the CID is also expected to obtain a statement from a former high ranking government official who is believed to have been the main advisor in this crime.”

    • 4
      0

      Easy Burt……..

      All these arrests and ‘promised’ arrests are all smokescreens.

      If you want to really know who did it, ask nicely at the Medamulana buffet tonight.

      • 0
        0

        Beating around the bush for election shows.

        Didn’t they fire LTTE IGP saying he was blocking the Lasantha’s case progress?

        • 1
          0

          Dear Dayan, it is well known that as long as RW is in power, nothing will happen to Mahinda and as long as Mahinda is in power, nothing will happen to Ranil. So all this talk of yours such as Gota is arrested and Mahinda is debarred will not take place. Did you hear that Gota is in USA making an application to cancel his USA citizenship to contest elections in SL. I am sure by now he would have been contacted by US intelligence agencies. Did you notice that none of the Tamil diaspora have brought war crimes charge against him. Gota is a Zionist agent and he will be given utmost protection where Tamil diaspora can do nothing. Gota is going to win the next Presidential election and he will carry out Zionist agenda in Srilanka including shifting of SL embassy to Jerusalem. As for your statement UNP is trying to sell out Srilanka is biased, as already Mahinda has sold out 20 hectares of Colombo port city to China in a perpetual basis and also has given on a 99 year lease to China, port of Hambantota as well as 170 hectares of Colombo port city. Do you not think that this has brought SL into a land of conflict as India will also demand the same concession. Therefore first blame Mahinda for his action before blaming others. There is a rumour that RAW is behind MS, to ditch RW and form a puppet government after LG elections.

  • 3
    0

    If Gota is jailed and Mara is disbarred nothing will happen. Gota will stay in jail and Mara will cling on to a window in Medamoolana. They are there with the help of a deal with Ranil. Ranil & Maithree are going round the country with these stories. But nothing will happen even if SLFP wins. What he didn’t do during three long years only konde bandapu cheens will believe such bullshit stories.

  • 1
    0

    “If Gotabaya is jailed & Mahinda is disbarred”- What a timely discussion and a great caption;
    Yes Gota must be jailed and Mahinda must be disbarred. Dirty bastards who misused power and authority after defeating LTTE. I will salute them for their successful campaign against LTTE murderers but I will never condone or spare them for looting our national wealth.Many will spit on their graves and it is better to erase their name from our history. One may assume I have made a political statement, if so you are wrong there is another gory dirt politician to add to these two names; that is RW. He too will face the same fate and people will judge this Machiavellian politician also with the same measurement used against MR and GR.

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