27 November, 2020

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Populists Shut Both Major Parties Out Of French Presidency

By Kumar David

Prof. Kumar David

Populists shut both major parties out of French Presidency: Definitive studies of neo-populism needed

As you read these lines the French are voting on the run-off for the Presidency between two neo-populists, the more right wing Marine Le Pen and the upstart centrist Emmanuel Macron. The two parties that dominated French politics since the war, Republican Francois Fillon and outgoing President Francois Hollande’s Socialist Party candidate Benoit Haman did not even reach final; both were eliminated in round one. Fillion, Prime Minister under President Sarkosy from 20007 to 2012, was third in round one with 20% and Haman suffered the indignity of not being placed fourth; he was fifth with a mere 6.5%. As a reminder, Macron and Le Pen polled 24% and 22%, respectively, in the first round. I am not taking a risk in declaring that Macron will win because everyone else is ganging up against Le Pen who is anti-EU, ultra nationalist and too far to the right.

Still, the global neo-populist surge has been stunning – Modi, Dutrete, Brexit and Trump. Its class, mass and socio-economic roots need book length treatment. The underlying factor – the destiny of global capitalism – requires more attention than many admittedly excellent studies have provided so far. Though hardly suitable for newspaper treatment I too have pontificated some half a dozen times in this column. An analogy to the populist mass, borrowed from the natural world, is a murmuring of starlings in northern summer skies. Thousands spin and turn, dart and manoeuvre with amazing agility, as though the whole flock is a single robotically steered organism. Trump’s base is a murmur of dim-witted starlings in partisan sync. After 100 days, when every other section of society including the Republican top brass is pissed off, his zealots continue to expresses 96% support. Analogies to herds and birds is well and good as analogy, but what we need is community and workplace based empirical data, investigation and analysis. A new social process is unfolding via twenty-first century populism.

We also need new analytical tools. Technology and social media have given a new edge to class, state and socio-economic factors. Unfortunately the old left and the old-new-left (sic!) are both out of depth in making any sense of the twenty-first century. ‘Old-left’, or ‘Marxist fossil’, was used for died in the wool Stalinists and for golden oldies who intoned rote-learned formulae: ‘interpenetration of opposites’ (no lewd connotation) or ‘Marx-Engels-Lenin, then add Trotsky or Mao depending on party affiliation’. Exasperated with folks like these Marx in his day declared “I am no Marxist”.

An intellectually shipwrecked breed, a stressed out new-left unable to fathom neo-populism, has surfaced. For it Modi, Trump, Rodrigo Duterte, Le Pen, Nigel Farange, the whole undifferentiated bundle is fascist. Pudding heads know not fascism nor have an inkling of unfolding processes. I am not making this up, believe me I received an e-mail from an Indian “Trotskyite” saying, in all theoretical seriousness; “Modi is a Hitler”. Sure one dislikes Modi’s Hindu extremism but this sort of pseudo-Marxist muddling is a symptom of a skull with much vacuous space between the ears. 

I will make an effort in this essay to deal with a factor underling the upsurge of neo-populism in the last decade. The most widely written about is anti-immigrant anger in host countries aggravated by terrorism, cultural-racial-religious prejudice, decline in income and employment opportunities usually (but sometimes incorrectly) attributed to immigrants, and a desire of communities to live as they have for centuries. This has been extensively discussed and I need say no more here. A second cause and my pet topic is the generalised decline of global capitalism such as the classic falling rate of profit thesis, collapse of manufacturing in the UK and USA, finance capital and speculation, competition from Asia and Mexico and of course the yawning wealth gap. Again I intend to say no more in this essay than these summary sentences.

The third not so often discussed driver of the social imbroglio in the West, and as crucial to understanding the explosion of neo-populism in recent decades as the decline of capitalism per se, is technology and the transformation of the global economy. This is what I am going to take up in the next few paragraphs.

Determinate objective conditions

An occupational hazard of being a Marxist is the urge to look for underlying material changes and technical factors (forces of production) and to analyse international and social factors (relations of production) as drivers of history. “Men make their own history but not as they please, but under existing circumstances already given and transmitted from the past”; you know the quote. The neo-populist surge in the second decade of the twenty-first century, mainly in the West but also in India and the Philippines, surely qualifies as historically significant. Let’s see what technology has done to some folks in the USA.

Rana Foroohar in the Financial Times of 23 April (Silicon Valley Superstars Risk a Populist Backlash) makes a point. The populist revolt is an unconscious reaction to the consequences of the spread of modern technology and it is hitting like a sledgehammer. Let me quote – much edited for length.


“In 1981, economist Sherwin Rosen argued that technological disruptions gave disproportionate power to a few players. He argued that the rise of superstars would be bad for (old industry). A spate of new US research shows that it is not trade or rapacious bankers but technology that is the primary economic driver of the most important political trend of our time — populism”.

“Technological shifts have been dominant in changing labour’s share of the economy. Labour’s share of the pie is at its lowest point in half a century, but (high-tech) is enjoying a superstar effect. Research shows that 10 per cent of companies account for 80 per cent of profits, and the top quintile earns 90 per cent. What is more, those top companies are no longer capital-intensive industrial groups but tech businesses rich in intellectual property. Their platforms have delivered powerful new goods and services to consumers at lower prices, but have not made up for the decline in the workforce share of rewards”.

“What is fascinating is that (technology) has escaped the populist anger that Wall Street or cheap Chinese labour has attracted because its job-disrupting effects are harder to see. Of 6m manufacturing jobs lost in the US between 1999 and 2011, only 10 per cent can be directly traced to Chinese imports — losses concentrated in just a few rust belt communities. The more subtle, dispersed nature of the changes driven by technology makes it a less obvious target for voter rage”.

The moral of the story is clear. The traditional working class in advanced countries is doomed. While America, Scandinavia, New Zealand and a few others fight back with retraining and by extending IT competence and technology to the small business sector, on the whole the shift of economic power to East and South Asia is driven by unstoppable technology promotion and youthful demography*, as much as by lower wages. The story is different country by country – think Japan, Australia and Africa to get a taste of the diversity – hence I see the need for many book length studies. [*For an excellent interactive map of all countries by median age go to: http://world.bymap.org/MedianAge.html]

And in time our working class in Lanka will suffer the same impact. Do you remember the kathuru-muwath karaya trudging down the lane, do you recall our lovable old veralu amme at the school gate? How sad the passage of time. But as the old Moor declared in the 1972 Preface to the French Edition: “There is no royal road to science; only those who do not dread the fatiguing climb of its steep paths can gain its luminous summits”. We must face reality since time can’t be reversed. [Please Edwin Rodrigo; don’t start a song and dance about how the Buddha knew everything before everybody else].

The working class in traditional establishments such as the harbour, industries and the garment girls will be marginalised by technical advancements in the next decade. I am not confident of progress unless ECTA and investment zones with the likes if China bloom. For that extremist nationalism and the Joint Opposition will have to be crushed first. I am also doubtful if an urban railway will ever see the light of day in Colombo, but if it does it will discipline private bus driver maniacs and decimate three-wheeler operators – good riddance. However, I cannot see technology sweeping away the big brigades of Lanka’s working class as it is hard to imagine a mechanical device to pluck the choicest of two leaves and a bud.

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Latest comments

  • 0
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    BUT you can’t have a backbone to make a prediction. I predict Marin but with a smaller margin

  • 5
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    Sir, you say, [Please Edwin Rodrigo; don’t start a song and dance about how the Buddha knew everything before everybody else].

    No, I will not, if you say so. You are my Guru and taught me everything about electricity that I know except for Reactive Power. So how can I disobey you?

  • 4
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    “For it Modi, Trump, Rodrigo Duterte, Le Pen, Nigel Farange, the whole undifferentiated bundle is fascist. Pudding heads know not fascism nor have an inkling of unfolding processes.”

    I wonder which puddin’head hailed Modi’s economic policy not long ago.

    Fascism in the West is qualitatively different from that in the Third World. Third World Fascism cannot survive without support from imperialism.
    Duterte’s agenda is in serious contrast with those of the rest Prof. D’s list.
    I would have offered JRJ pride of place next to Modi in this list. Why has Prof. D forgotten Singapore ans Turkey?

    Much work has been done over the past two decades by the Marxist Leninist left on the phenomenon of fascism under neocolonialism.

  • 1
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    Would the rise of populist parties make the prediction by Karl Marx (that France would be the first country to go Marxist) come true – even though 150 years late? After all, Marxism has proved to be an empty and populist economic theory!

    Nice coincidence for the 200th birthday celebrations of Karl Marx next year! Prof. David can say CHEERS with all the Marxist gutso!

    The grand populist posterior-licker Vasudeva too can join in the celebrations.

    • 0
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      Above the Rest:

      [ Karl Marx (that France would be the first country to go Marxist) come true – even though 150 years late? ]

      To say in an indirect way (instead of reminding buddhism), it is the Asian philosophy.

      Every thing is cyclical or spiralling.

      Many empries came gone. So does Britain or France or Britain America.

      Even after the looting many countries theie survival is temporary.

  • 1
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    Prof:Kumar David.

    Pl:see the lines of SJ/Sekera/Sivasegaram.above.

    An oracle has spoken!
    Its all about isms!

  • 1
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    Sir, I read your article a number of times but I could not make head or tail of what you are trying to say. It might as well have been written in Yiddish as far as I am concerned. Mind you, I am not trying to blame you. It must be surely due to my limited IQ.

    I faced the same problem with Bahiya Sutta, especially the end where Buddha tells Bahiya, “You will neither be here, nor yonder nor between the two (Ubhayantare). Just this is the end of suffering”. The book Clearing the Path by Rev Gnanavira managed to clear up some of the mist but still I do not see it 100% clearly.

    For a start, I hope you will explain to me what you mean by populism. What is the difference between populism and democracy? Isn’t populism democracy or isn’t democracy populism? Or is it something in between (like Ubhatantare in Bahiya Sutta)?

    Most of all, I want to know when all the suffering by Putujjana like us is going to end?

    • 1
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      Best advice to you would be to go and learn English. That can help you gettin the contents of AKD s article. Repeating that you ve been x times can only bring him in danger, since you have been blacklisted as one of the most abusive CT commentators in recent times. We the ones who fought on this platform became all bearing you the like dimwits started adding low levels comments.

      • 1
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        typo, beyond bearing it should be…
        CT please for the maintainance of good discussion, wihtout allowing born racists to add their thoughts, let s always warn the kinda abusers. Thank you.

  • 1
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    Dasaraja Dharma

    The author mentions different forms of government in his article. The problem is to select the one that is best for our country. Here the Dhamma can guide us in our search. What does Buddha say about the way people should be ruled? This is laid out in the Dasaraja Dharma.

    The ‘Ten Royal Virtues’ that a ruler should have:

    1. Dana: generosity.

    2. Sila: morality.

    3. Pariccaga: making sacrifices.

    4. Ajjava: honesty and integrity. Absence of favouritism.

    5. Maddava: A ruler has be firm sometimes. But this should be tempered with kindness and gentleness.

    6. Tapa: Austerity in habits.

    7. Akkodha: Non-hatred (no grudges)

    8. Avihimsa: non-violence to the highest possible extent so long as it does not interfere with the firmness expected from a good ruler.

    9. Khanti: Patience and tolerance.

    10. Avirodha: The ruler should not oppose the will of the people and rule in harmony with his people.

    The Buddha emphasized that the nature of the subjects depends largely on the behavior of their rulers. After Buddhism was introduced to Sri Lanka, in the reign of King Devanampiya Tissa, in the 3rd century B.C, the many Kings did their nest to keep to these rules in fostering good governance.

    (Condensed from WWW Virtual Library – Sri Lanka)

  • 1
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    Darunuwathi, dear child, this is the new look Edwin Rodrigo. Now, my intention is not to make Darunuwathis Marunuwathis, but to make Darunuwathi Dharmawathis. For this I am guided by Buddha’s word, “Nahi Verani… (Hatred cannot overcome Hatred, only compassion can)”.

    • 1
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      We know even high criminals turn out to be so called people s leaders back in home country, so nothing is impossible. But I doubt you the like men being open prison in Bahraine would ever sense it even if you make tangible efforts to seek the respect in the guise of Prof. AKD.
      I am sorry that the intelligent beings such as AKD and even that octagenarian retired diplomat fall in to the laughing stocks of the readership, if their so called GOLAYAs have been abusing the name of them for their survival.
      Engineers in general would not behave the way you have been – all along, they dont want to even open up calling x times about the education they have earned.

      My granny once said, it will not be easy to straighten a dog s tail even if it would have been put in an Unapuruka (straight shealth made out of bamboo).

      Wairayen wairaye nosansindhee – irst article of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights
      සියලූ මනුෂ්‍යයෝ නිදහස්ව උපත ලබා ඇත. ගරුත්වයෙන් හා අයිතිවාසිකම් සමාන වෙති. යුක්ති අයුක්ති පිළිබඳ හැඟීමෙන් හා හෘදය සාක්ෂියෙන් යුත් ඔවුනොවුන්වුන්ට සැළකිය යුත්තේ සහෝදරත්වය පිළිබඳ හැඟීමෙනි.

      we the human beings are born free. So we all deserve to be respected and dignified equally.

      • 1
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        Adaptation

        Hi, Ms. Maralathoni, this is the all new Edwin Rodrigo (brand new 2017 model)here. The reason I have changed is not because I have reformed but because CT put a blanket ban on me. Only the bodywork and color (plumage) has been changed in this model but not the things under the bonnet.

        Now, you will not see me writing about the pleasure parks being sited close to the sewers though I see them every day. This is called adaptation. It is the key to survival.

        You say, “Engineers in general would not behave the way you have been – all along, they don’t want to even open up calling x times about the education they have earned” . You are free to think anything you want but I have to disagree. I am going to use it, not x times, but even y times if I want . What is the use of a degree that you work so hard for (actually I hardly worked for it) if you cannot flout it.

        It is like plumage of male birds. Why do peacocks, cockatoos etc. have such beautiful plumage? It is to attract the opposite sex for mating. The female birds look horrible without any plumage, but the male needs them, for the purpose mentioned above. It is the same with homo-sapiens, the female version is so ugly that they are compelled to spend half their income on cosmetics and perfumes, but with little or no improvement. But we males are helpless. We need those ugly females for the purpose previously mentioned. That is the tragedy.

        • 0
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          ER
          This is sexist.
          In reality, the male-dominated human society has made it necessary for the female to make herself physically attractive to the male. )Much has been written on the subject.)
          BTW, tell me what is attractive about the male body (leave alone body builders).

          • 1
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            Do we have any other option?

  • 1
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    Coconut Plucker

    The mention of Veralu Ammes and Kathuru Muwath in article makes me comment about the modern counterparts of the same. During my last vacation, I wanted the coconuts in my garden to be plucked for safety reasons and I was informed that there are no coconut pluckers any more. However, my son, a resourceful guy who had become more resourceful with his smart phone located come one on something called, Whats app.

    On being contacted the ‘new look’ plucker (Nimal) arrived within 30 minutes, on a Kawasaki motor bike, aided by his GPS equipped Samsung. I was impressed. He had a laser ranger in his hand and directed it towards the bunch. Then he directed the same to the root of the tree and started to use his smart phone. I was completely surprised and asked him what is going on.

    Nimal: The vertical (thirus) height is 10 meters. My charge is 20 Rs per vertical meter plus Rs 10 per nut. The total works out as Rs 300.

    ER: How do you know it is 10 m?

    Nimal: I have this app in my Samsung and it uses trigonometry to calculate the height. You know, Sir, if one knows the hypotenuse and one of the sides, one can work out the other side (height) using Pythagoras’s Theorem.

    ER: You know Maths?

    Nimal: Yes Sir. Got a D in my OL.

    I agreed. The guy climbed the tree and plucked the nuts, I paid Rs 300 + a bonus of two nuts and he rode away happily to the next customer. I am sure next time he will not climb the tree. He will be using a laser gun to do the job.

    • 1
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      i think this man edwin is again up to his old monkey tricks. what is the relevance between the coconuts in his garden and the serious subject that the good Professor is dealing with in his essay? his comments are just old wine in new bottle.

      CT, please allow only relevant comments. readers do not want to waste time reading comments with no relevance. i think other readers agree.

      • 1
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        If a man is born on a tree top, would take long to change. Some find it easier to adapt, while some need more time. This creature is said to be in his early 60ties, but to have not gotten it yet, shows his capacities. Let s give him some more time for the sake of humanity specially- in this noble week where buddhists world wide celebrate the buddha s trilogy which is his birth, enlightenment and attainment to nirwana.

        • 1
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          OK Gnanlingam, Rarityminds now that the introductions are over, and it has been established that I have one chromosome less than both of you, can we all get down from the tree tops and discuss Professor Kumar David’s essay about populism?

          He is my Guru and taught me everything (sorry, yeverything) that I know about Electrical Engineering, except for Reactive Power. And that is not because Reactive Power was a Guru Mushti but it was something that the good Professor himself did not know anything about at that time. But now with experience in politics, where he has been labeled as a great reactionary by people like Vasu, he may know something about it.

          • 2
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            Me too I am not going to correct anyone from this day on.

            I have started to study Buddhism at length. There I have several questions about Mahanwamsa and its write up already in the period of 1 BCE to 7 AD.

            If Sanga community would read WINAYA PITAKAYA, this nation would have been much away from Kuhahakama and Krodhaya as is the case seen in average folks today.

            All these we need to go through our heads inthis noble week Vesak is being celebrated in buddhist part of the world.

            • 0
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              Mahavamsa is just a historical chronicle. It has little to do with Buddhism.

              Buddhism, I prefer to call it The Teachings of Buddha (TOB), is best studied using the Sutra Pitaka. Drop Abhidhamma Pitaka, which in my opinion is useless for the purpose of understanding the essence of Dhamma. But you must remember that TOB is not for scholarly studies, Dhamma discussions and writing comments in CT etc. only. It is for those who are subjectively engaged with the problem of existence. You have to practice it. That is why Dhamma is called Ehi Passika.

              You will find it tough going. Only the highly intelligent can understand it.(Paccatam Veti Tabbo Vinnuhiti). TOB is also only for those who consider existence to be a problem. Most of us do not look at existence as a big problem and take only a cursory horizontal look at it. So, we all miss the deep abyss that is existence and see only its mouth.

              Only a few like Buddha and later on and independently, Western existentialists like Kiekegaard, Sartre, Marcel, Heidegger, Nietzsche have had the courage to take a vertical look and see how deep and perilous it is.

              My Guru, Rev, Gnanavira says, ‘But human kind cannot bear very much reality: Men for the most part, draw back in alarm and dismay from this vertiginous look and seek refuge in distractions’. So, perhaps women have a better chance of success.

              Good luck.

  • 0
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    ER
    Why do you keep going at ‘reactive power’?
    It is a misnomer as no real electric work is delivered in that form.
    Thus the use of the term is confusing. There are good substitutes, but tradition is strong.
    I am sure that there are still many academics who are not clear about it.

    • 1
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      Reactive Power

      Good Question. This is what some of our academics believe – even some academics in other countries too. They say it is just a mathemtical trick.

      Please tell me how deep your knowledge is before i start explaining it.

    • 1
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      Reactive Power -2

      Power Engineers talk about reactive power and deal with Reactive Power on a daily basis. But it is one of those poorly understood topics in electrical engineering. It is found that a good explanation of reactive power is hard to come by even in text books. As my experience has proved, the same is true about engineering education.

      A research paper on reactive power in IEEE, states: “Only the active power has a physical meaning. blah.. blah.. blah…Reactive power is a by-product of the magic of mathematics relating apparent power with active power.” As you can see, this author considers reactive power to be something outside his reality (just as ghosts are in mine) while Apparent Power is something real. In one of his articles a Katubedda Don also made short shrift of reactive power in a similar off handish manner.

      1)What is Reactive Power? I have heard several kinds of answers to this question as given below:

      2) Reactive Power is different from Real Power and is (some sort of) Imaginary Power.

      3) Real Power is VI cos φ and Reactive Power is VI sin φ. This is a nice piece of justification, which seems to be based on equal ‘mathematical’ rights of trigonometric functions. If the cosine function can be given prominence by defining something useful with it, then surely, it would be a violation of the basic mathematical rights of the sine function if it is not given the same prominence. Don’t forget the fact, they seem to say, sine occurs above cosine in the trig tables.

      The Power Triangle: Here is another explanation given by people who don’t understand reactive power. It is one of the sides of the power triangle.

    • 0
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      I know that in vector notation for AC electric power is the scalar product of voltage and current: when the two are 90 degrees out of phase work is zero. When they are in phase it is the product of the two.
      Reactive power is not quite a mathematical trick. It has meaning in a context were people simply multiply voltage by current to calculate (apparent) power. It helps to differentiate between real power and apparent power and to evaluate power factor.
      I hope that that is fairly good understanding for one who did old BScEng Part I Applied Electricity. (We were taught well, although Electricity was not everybody’s favourite dish.)

      My question to you was simply, why are you going on about it?

      • 1
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        Reactive Power -3

        I am going on about it, because of what you have just said. This is what we were fed with too. It is highly misleading. Just bear with me for a few para and you will be really interested in the subject. I know who you are and I am sure you will be.

        Draw a sine wave to represent the voltage. Now take the current 90 degrees out of phase with the voltage. Take instant by instant the values of v & i. The instantaneous power (p)= v X i. This will be positive when v an i have the same sign (both+ or both -) and will be negative when they have opposite signs (one + and the other -).

        When you plot p = v.i on the same graph, you will get a 100 cycle sine wave with average = 0. But the point is that instantaneous power is not zero most of the time going through a zero only 4 time a second and having a varying but non zero at all other times. What does the sign of p represent?

        1) A positive p represents power flowing from generator to load.

        2) A negative p represents power flowing from load to generator.

        Thus, we find these two are playing a secret little game of ping pong. We find a bundle of energy going back and forth 100 times a second between the two. Although the mean is zero, additional copper losses occur and the lines have to take a larger current. That is not all. There are many other ways it affects a power system.

        You are a Mechanical guy. I will give you a nice mechanical example tomorrow.

        • 0
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          Thanks.
          That is a nice explanation. (It does not, however, take industrial experience to present the story that way.)
          I was aware of the copper loss part: you cannot keep passing current through a wire up and down without incurring the wrath of the Second Law of Thermodynamics.

    • 1
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      SJ, Are you the SJ that I met at CR’s place in Dehiwala? If so I can send my articles on the subject to my Guru, who then would forward it to you. It would be too long for T comments and bore others.

      • 0
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        I am.
        While I would like to look your text, I am still unable to figure out why you keep at reactive power in these pages (especially in connection with Prof D).

        • 0
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          Reactive Power -4

          It is a private joke between us. I don’t blame my Guru for not teaching us that. He got a PhD and being a PhD yourself you know how limited it is. Even my daughter has one, thankfully not in engineering but in microbiology and works for one of the biggest pharmaceutical companies in the US. She is a highly recognized expert in her own field, with about 20 years experience after her PhD. I joke with her saying that I lost my respect for PhD’s when she got one. Actually I am proud of her. Very Very proud.

          Coming back to my Guru, he just joined the E Fac staff as a lecturer with no industrial experience. You get that kind of inherent knowledge only with experience, not by theory only. I respect my guru very much. It is not his fault and may be he knows now.

  • 0
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    Esto Perpetua Prof: Kumar David; I can see that you would not condescend to enter into a debate on Powers that are active and reactive!

  • 0
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    Reactive Power -5

    SJ, This is the last of my comments on the subject.

    Reactive power is so real that it is traded like active power in the big energy markets of EU.

    1) The frequency of the system is controlled by the active power balance in the sytem. If Total MW generated < Total MW consumed, system frequency drops. Here, if it drops 49.3 Hz, the first stage of under frequency load shedding (UFLS) operates, cutting off a chunk of consumers. This will remove the unbalance and frequency is restored back to normal.

    2) The voltage of the system is controlled by the reactive power balance of the system. If Total MVAR generated consumed MVAR, system voltage increases. This process caused the country wide blackout that occurred here in 2004.

    (1) and (2) are to a great extent independent of each other.

    If you have anymore questions let us communicate via email.

    • 0
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      Reactive Power-5: Correction

      2) The voltage of the system is controlled by the reactive power balance of the system.

      If Total MVAR generated MVAR consumed, the system voltage increases and if not arrested in time, protections will operate and system collapse occurs. However, this is a rare occurrence. But
      this condition of increasing system voltage caused the country wide blackout that occurred here in 2004.

      • 0
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        Again the inequality symbol did not come up.

        If Total MVAR generated greater than MVAR consumed…..

        Vice versa if it is less.

      • 0
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        Thanks.
        But there are signs of understandable irritation from some quarters.
        Kindly ask AKD or Chris to pass on your e-address and we will take it from there.
        Regards.

        • 0
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          SJ, Don’t worry about these guys. If they do not understand or do not like it, they can skip it. I put the bold heading as sign of ER, for that purpose.

          Just go through what Mallaiyuran has written in his 3 comments. Either you laugh a lot if you understand half or cry if you do not understand anything. Naturally, I cry.

          • 0
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            I think his is similar to that of ours.

            Anyways, the message is not clear since he has been using a langauge that the average would not understand.

            I believe, the steps being taken by current regime in terms of Trade agreements (TAs) with several countries will open doors so that new investments can flow into the country. Those countries that have been in the region have made such agreements with EU and other allies and have been doing well. Vietnam and Malaysia have made them years ago and their economies are improving by today.

            Just to send wrongful thoughts aboutthem can ONLY block everything and the future of the youth being stuck… The kind of TAs are a must if we aim to create new jobs for the youth of the country.

            • 0
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              Bunjappu, thanks. You summarized the whole thing in to half a page. Great! Over to you my Guru.

              This means that the Mallaiyuran is smart. But cannot put his ideas in writing. I tried to give him some free lessons but he got angry.

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                None of us are perfect Mr Rodrigo. You resound to be buddhist, but to see often the hair in the soup and attack them personally, can only make the kind of commentators no good. Let them join with the way they are used. let s just move forward. If not comprehensible just asking to come with clear texts would be more than sufficient. We cant change the others, but we can adjust to them. That way, everyone would remain not being subjected to hurts.

                Now you seem to be wearing an another coat, pretending to be nice. Anyway that can help you to add your thoughts to CT, but your real nature had already been exposed to CT readership if my memory is right. The texts added by you contained various racial contents. Thanks god CT has managed to advise you accordingly. I am sorta calm looking at the way you ve been today.
                ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
                Whatever words we utter should be chosen with care for people will hear them and be influenced by them for good or ill.

                Buddha
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                  bunjappu, don’t blame me alone for the bad words. They (TR group) have not been saints either. They started it by calling me by various names and naturally it escalated in to a full fledged verbal war until the UN stepped in. What I have noticed is that these guys and gals are hunting as a pack. They are not individuals like me but a group paid by somebody. They seem to have a lot of time in their hands and they have a good game plan.

                  I don’t think we have a level playing field here. But if one likes to play, it is one of the least bad grounds out of a lot of bad ones. I also have great respect for Professor David and that is one of the reasons I selected this playground. Anyway, you have to do with what you have. I really don’t care what Mallaiyuran writes. I hardly ever waste my time reading his long winded comments fully. Only a cursory glance.

                  Thanks for your well meant advice.

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                    ER
                    TRs hunting as a pack? You must be joking.
                    They use bad language for fear of losing an argument. Often the chant goes on like a badly scratched gramaphone disk.

                    You may have heard this: If only SWRDB had worldly sense he would have summoned the three Tamil leaders of his time and told them “You three get together and come up with a proposal to solve the problem of your people, and I will implement it”. Within a short time the three will go running to SWRDB and say “Sorry we cannot agree on anything, please do what you think is fit.”

                    They are divided as pro v anti LTTE/TNA/India/MR/Ranil— you name it.
                    The further away they get from this potty little piece of land in the India Ocean, the more garrulous they become.

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          ER
          Now I follow sound advise from someone who knows me but whom I do not know:
          “Watch out for the droppings.”

          But Malla’s is mostly B*** ****. I comment only for amusement.

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    We have come to an Era of that seek Power of Paris Commune by people of France.

    All Republic of French the Ruling governances of capitalist Democracy has fail give solution for Revolutionary of People France without leadership of working Masses in present time.

    No doubt Bonaparte’s will regain like 2015 January 9th in Sri Lankan by right-wing forces in helm of State power led by UNP-Ranil W… MS and CBK in charge in center of Colombo.

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    I am still keep believing that professor Kumar’s example cited for his theory about neo-populist is not about trend but about deviations.

    I would like to see countries’ local and foreign investments for 25 years and an authoritative forecast for another 10-20 year.

    America is has a president, his partners’ partners are trading with China. His daughter business is with China. He is criticized of importing even the nails from China, in the past for his business. How can, then, his long term policies going to be anti-import. Didn’t we see Yahapalanaya telling all sorts of things and taking a U turn traveling on the opposite path? What is guarantee that can’t happen in America? But U seems to highly possible. Other than carrier and Ford no other company so far has announced to bring back is investment. Even Ford and Carrier was very negligible numbers.

    America may be cutting its foreign investments, but what is China, an equally powerful country, is doing? Most of its money is in American Bonds. It is throwing away yuan like nothing all over everywhere. In Lanka it might have already passed about $10 billion and may double that amount with in another three years. The same thing it is doing in Africa, Europe and Middle East. If Sonia was in the seat, it might have bought half of India.

    West is facing a problem in legacy of its economic dominance. East and India is challenging that. But, having accepted that where the number showing they are falling below their traditional growth patterns. Unless India and China surpasses their Income per capita, there is very little chance their growth rate is improving. I would guess that after another 50 years.

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    Didn’t we see the rabbit racing of Japan in 1970 and 80s was beaten back by the tortoise America? In the start of 1980s Peter Jennings read news “still the America the leading in economy”. That time there was fear rabbit winning that race. But Rabbit never won that race. Though the Rabbit now cannot win the race, but its supermarkets, restaurants, railway, offices….. all are overflowing with its technological advancement. The tortoise is still trotting in that. The English language is giving an advantage for tortoise to stay ahead in software. Again, the labor productivity is challenged, but the entrepreneurs aptitude is very high, so that is keeping the inventions high for tortoise. That means even if China take over soon, India going to take long time to catch up with tortoise.

    UK is different case. They voted for Cameron. He is a labor party PM was in conservative batch. He won the Scotland case but lost the Brexit case. In that uncertainty, one can evaluate British’s trend only if Teresa come back to power second time. (Not this election- It is the first). Even if Theresa come back second time, one has to evaluate how much is anti-Middle east reaction and how much is neo-populism out of it. Anti-Middle East issue may not be mixed with actual economic issue as it is combined with religion.

    One has to remember that, right after Bush, all the Western and Japanese’ leaders who worked with Bush lost their bids. The reason was the entire world grew tired of Bush & their countries leaders’ friendship with Bush. That included Japan, Spain, Italy Britain, France (though it was not with Bush- but Sarkozy took over), Australia, Norway….. But we know that was only a one time tired feeling not a trend.

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    Without solving its internal problems Lankawe’s case is very uncertain. They are borrowing more to plaster the pillars, those, soon may fall letting the roof land on the Lakaweyans’ head. Old Son Prince openly told to the SAITAM students went to see him that he would be using their case to regain the power. Passing of 19A and the Central Bank looting to open the new Press are telling Yahapalanaya is not much behind to Old Royals on that. Sri Lankan Airline case, Volkswagen cases are telling that FDI in large scale is not anywhere in the nearby horizon. But that is not a real concern for Ranil. His recent flights to Japan, Vietnam and India before he fling to China is telling that he is out on a power balancing game rather than for FDI trips. As there is no Private FDI is coming, but Chinese Government Investment only coming, Lankawe will be under heavy pressure from India, China, Japan, America and EU for some time. What is this telling is planning for Lankawe economy is not the hand control of Lakaweyans. This chaos situation is a serious threat to Tamils winning their rights back with International help. Because these superpowers are in a power balance game within themselves, they cannot sincerely care Tamils.

    Chinese Investments, ETCA and private FDI are on the same plane and they are not comparable. If Lankawe labor becomes impressive, Indian firms may invest in Lankawe. China may bring its labor with 1 million visas.

    Median age graph is not telling anything, i.e to compare the effectiveness of Japanese labor to Indian labor. Japan’s older generation is well supporting it better than India’s younger generation. Unless we know what the country’s main industry & what is their retirement age, that graph is not helpful.

    I may wait for 5 more years to see whom the world’s new leaders are representing of.

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      Thank you brother Mallaiyuran for making that U turn and bringing the discussion on to the right track. I don’t know why CT allows that kind of digression in to a topic, which few understand, and has no relevance to the author’s essay.

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