4 October, 2022

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Ranil-SWOT: A Reappraisal

By Kumar David

Prof. Kumar David

Less than three months ago on 19 June (“Ranil: A SWOT Appraisal”) I offered readers an evaluation of the future that beckons then Prime Minister now President Ranil Wickremesinghe (RW). It is a sign of how quickly events move that I have to repeat the exercise so soon. If you track the Sunday Island, daily Island or other English language papers you will be familiar with what columnists are saying. For my purposes today the Home Page of Colombo Telegraph (CT) is more convenient. With one click you gain access to a large number of titles and with another click reach any of them. Of the 20+ currently on offer here are the 12 most hostile to RW. I have omitted author names because debate about specific opinions is not my purpose; it is the trend that I want you to observe. These 12 pieces see RW as dangerous and a threat to democracy and describe the economic prospects facing his Administration as hopeless. 

Ranil’s policy train-wreck, opposition own-goals, Dullas-GL game-changer

Taking dictatorial steps to control public Sri Lanka

Ranil’s perilous authoritarian alternative

Government’s attempt to redefine political discourse & direction through suppression

Sri Lanka’s PTA: Anti-terrorism law that promotes terrorism

Reliance on repression will worsen current crisis

Wickremesinghe/Rajapaksa – an axis of evil

Use of prevention of terrorism (Temporary Provisions) Act to stab the rule of law

Witch-Hunting Mudalige; Ranil-Rajapaksa repression & opposition’s confusion

Is Lanka heading towards the Myanmar model of governance?

Lanka’s determined non-compliance of UNHRC resolutions; defiance of UN & UNHRC Charters

Ranil & Dinesh Have A Past, Not A Future!

People understandably are very angry about RW’s inordinate use of force to beat up protestors the moment he was sworn in as president. It provoked me to call him ‘Batalanda Ranil’ in my columns. Also see a damning 2015 report by Dharman Wickremaratne in Lankaweb. (Obviously I cannot vouch for it).

Ranil was complicit in the notorious Batalanda torture chamber, furthermore Prime Minister Premadasa had knowledge and permitted the functioning of dozens of torture sites across the country.

The Research Directorate of the Immigration and Refugee Board of Canada in its joint website with the UNHRC reports as follows: “The Batalanda Commission report that was submitted to President Chandrika on 27 March 1997 found the police Counter Subversive Unit (CSU) headed by (Douglas) Peiris “directly responsible” for the torture carried out at the semi-unofficial detention centre at Batalanda Housing Scheme. The report also found that Wickramasinghe knew of the centre’s existence”. 

More recently a hard-hitting piece, titled “President Wickremesinghe’s first step was to inflict violence on protestors” appeared on 23 July in this US website jurist.org/news. It said: “RW made public declarations supporting people’s protest before being appointed Acting President under Rajapaksa and advised officials not to interfere or use force against protestors at ‘GotaGoGama’. Contrary to his words, his action on becoming President speaks volumes about his character. …. As the days progress the people of Lanka and the world wait to see whether he will reign through terror and hinder democracy”.

I have pulled out these three pieces to show why so many people fear that RW may go from bad to worse. The CT titles I listed convey the impression that most correspondents believe that RW is still a threat. However, I think they are not tracking trends. Good heavens I am not asking you to whitewash RW in the democracy department! Victor Ivan has done it for inexplicable reasons (and what’s the socio-economic programme which Ivan says the two of them have cooked up?) Nevertheless, we must evaluate trends as they progress. The reason I am undertaking a follow-up SWOT analysis is because I see a dynamic at work.

SWOT denotes Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. The rest of this essay is how I see RW’s options shaping-up in the coming months. He has been attacked mercilessly by domestic opinion (trade unions, liberals, the left, churches, temples, the media, the diplomatic community in Colombo) as well as global human rights groups and world public opinion. The military option, the Kamal, Army Silva, Sarath Weerasekara, STF, murder-with-impunity and tiger-behind-every-cadjan-fence fairy tales, are dead for now. The Emergency will be allowed to lapse, PTA watered down, Tamil diaspora given some space and the RTI Commission, Transparency and civil society will gain some strength. RW is plastered to the wall and prevented from violating democratic rights. For how long? Maybe for long; he has no way of reincarnating a Batalanda avatar any time soon. Supporters will market this as a virtue, a return of the prodigal to godliness and peddle it as a Strength. The business community will buy it.

Secondly RW’s performance evaluation depends on two more factors; (a) can he sell belt-tightening to the people as unavoidable for say two years and a necessary measure on the road to economic recovery, and (b) how will any alliance he cobbles together perform at an election within a few months. Let’s not speculate beyond that in these fast-changing times. Even aragalaya militants grant that there will be hard times ahead on the economic front, their debate is about where the burden should fall. Only Lanka’s Mad Monetary Theorists (new style MMTs) say ‘switch on the printing press 24/7, flood the pockets of the poor with crisp new notes and let the middle-classes and businesses go fly a kite’. People know inflation, they have suffered at the receiving end for nine months and they can perceive what hyperinflation will do.  Let’s watch the December budget for real indicators.

People are not stupid; they know that even if the Son of God is made president, substantial price inflation will persist. Were Sajith, Anura Kumara or some SLPP-Rajapaksa coot to say “Make me president in place of Ranil; I will bring down prices fast and Lanka will flow with milk and honey” he will be greeted with shrieks of derision. The gist of what I am saying is this: Price inflation and a slow economy will not kill RW if an election were to be conducted within a few months. People know that not much is possible pronto. The IMF and global capitalism prefer Ranil to Sajith, AKD or a Rajapaksa-coot. Western capitalism and India will nudge external economics (debt restructuring and procurement of fuel) in directions that will help RW survive and be re-elected. I am saying that global capitalism wants Ranil and will assist him in subtle and not so subtle ways: this I guess is obvious to most people. 

In SWOT terminology this counts as an Opportunity and if RW plays his cards smartly a Strength. What then in my view is the most significant Weakness facing RW at this time? Without doubt it is that till the dissolution of Parliament he is a slave of pro-government and SLPP Members of Parliament and thence a retainer of the Rajapaksa Clan (Mahinda, Basil and Gotha’s residual killers in Defence Ministry, military and the ex-Tripoli Market unit). Only after Parliament is dissolved can RW, if he has the guts, jettison the SLPP flotsam. Recollections of Rajapaksa linkages will be RW’s biggest electoral bugbear.  

How will RW perform at an election held within a few months? A crucial caution is what will be the stance of Sajith and the SJB? I cannot imagine the SJB’s intelligent heavyweights going to the polls without some type of alliance with the formal UNP – that is without ‘going back home’. The SBJ despite numerate persons like Eran (the clearest minded and most articulate), Harsha and Kabir cannot, by itself, present a credible national alternative, sans an alliance with the grand old party. Furthermore, a Sajith-Ranil union will do less well in urban areas than a Ranil-Sajith alliance; the converse is true in non-urban electorates. The SJB can outperform the UNP only in city areas and districts with a heavy minority (Ceylon Tamil, Muslim and Up-Country) presence, but only if a credible minority candidate splits the vote. 

Far wiser men than I have busted their savings taking bets about elections so I am not going to say anything other than the obvious regarding an election which may be held within months. Obviously the SLPP, all pro-government contraptions, the nine-party circus, the twelve strong GL, Dullas Alahapperuma outfit and the Wimal-Udaya-Vasu comedy would all have been erased in toto in a first-past-the-post contest. In the proportional representation system, the whole lot together may win a dozen or two dozen seats. The electorate will shun anything tainted by Rajapaksa Robbery. Ditto for pissu Sira’s SLFP.

Last month’s Budget is bandage; it plasters over Basil’s preposterous crap. The real McCoy will be the one-year Budget due in December. Government, Central Bank, Treasury and RW’s inner circle will have to line up with the IMF’s stipulations. The IMF $2.9 billion pitch (Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva has approved the Staff Level agreement), not verbatim but conscientiously abbreviated is as follows: 

“Raise revenue to support fiscal consolidation from one of the lowest revenue levels in the world. The programme must make major tax reforms; income tax more aggressive, broaden corporate tax and VAT and reach a primary surplus of 2.3% of GDP by 2024. Introduce cost-recovery based pricing for fuel and electricity to minimize fiscal risks from state-owned enterprises. The IMF welcomes the already announced substantial revenue measures and energy pricing reforms. Mitigate impact of the crisis on the poor and vulnerable by raising social spending, improving the coverage and targeting safety net programmes. Restore price stability through data-driven monetary policy, phasing out monetary fiscal financing and a stronger central bank. Pursue flexible inflation targeting.  A new Central Bank Act is a cornerstone of this. Rebuild foreign reserves through a market-determined and flexible exchange rate. Safeguard financial stability by ensuring a well-capitalised banking system. Reduce corruption, improve fiscal transparency, public finance management and the anti-corruption legal framework”.

This is the liberal-bourgeois, post neo-liberal rationale, and I alerted my regular to most of it during the last three months well before the Central Bank, RW or the Treasury mentioned the inevitability of a dual exchange rate, floating rupee, relaxed currency controls to entice money-market funds and FDI, fiscal reform and above all significant belt-tightening. If Lanka aligns with Western capitalism and the IMF and restores a liberal bourgeois state these changes will flow naturally. As for RW now licking the wounds of his July 23 fiasco, this is a destiny that aligns with his inherited class palate.

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Latest comments

  • 10
    0

    QUAD countries are willing to help Ranil W to run the country as that suits them to have a hold on SL . There main fear is China. West will not support JVP and left leaning parties. They aren’t interested in the issues face by Tamil speaking citizens.
    West should make sure that there is political Stability that is achieved with solutions to the minorities ISSUES.
    Ranil W’s success depends on how well he could tackle the political problems

    • 7
      3

      “Were Sajith, Anura Kumara or some SLPP-Rajapaksa coot to say “Make me president in place of Ranil; I will bring down prices fast and Lanka will flow with milk and honey”……
      Well, we have yet to see the shiploads of oil that Sajith said he was capable of getting from Arab countries.
      “People are not stupid; they know that even if the Son of God is made president, substantial price inflation will persist. “
      They may not be stupid, but few have eve a vague grasp of economics or bankruptcy. Consider the vast numbers who believe the tale that Russia is falling over itself to give us cheap oil on credit.
      I wonder what Sajith’s take is, on Batatalanda? At a time when even Mahindananda can make speeches about corruption, I wouldn’t be surprised if SP had something to say.

      • 5
        1

        OC,
        If AKD had been elected or hand-picked by the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna-dominated Parliament, how would it be today? To my knowledge, AKD is not the owner of “Aladdin’s Magical Lamp”:
–
I don’t think SJB leader will be better than RW. The talk he gives to his galleries is no different from Mahinda Road in my eyes. Both of them cheated the same Sinhala Buddhist followers and licked their feet. This myth that many Sinhala Buddhist monks are child abusers or criminals must be destroyed.
.
Everyone blames Ranil for collaborating with Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna today, until next February 2023, those who repeat the attacks of the current measures one after the other without knowing or studying the constitutional block placed on them must have their own options. Do they have them?
I am not supporting anyone, but in today’s context, what are the other options?
I believe that the basic problem of our society is not understanding the extent of the dangerous situation that the country has fallen into today. A few weeks ago, citizens died as fuel consumers were unable to wait in “serpentine queues” for days. It was somehow settled after Gota was no longer in politics. For me, these are small problems for people today.

        • 6
          1

          Apologies for errors.
          They both deceived the same Sinhala Buddhist followers and licked the monk’s feet to send the message of misleading the nation.
          .
          This myth that many Sinhala Buddhist monks should be placed at the top should be removed from people s belief. Many of them are unfortunately child abusers or criminals – we need to deal with the FACT about monks.
          If any audit is done, more than 70% of the monks will be come out as rascals, child abusers and rapists. Some of them even have a fantasy that is not common to Sri Lankan but not common to other tribal drives. They can be kept alive once they enter the society…. That’s why they are ordained.

          • 4
            0

            Please listen to the link below
            .
            Handun and Ranil have some agreements.
            .
            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hcNHWVLugI8

            • 4
              0

              Dear LM,
              .
              This video is far fetched and mischievous.
              .
              Handunnetti seems merely to have been polite. A mountain out of a molehill. Please listen again, bearing in mind the exaggeration that I have said is there.

              • 3
                0

                SM,
                .
                A legitimate question, why?
                I think their videos have really balanced out over the last few weeks. In fact, most social media platforms are more about spreading “anecdotal” than facts.
                .
                Personally I respect SH after seeing how the COPE committee functioned under his chairmanship. He can be polarizing that way. However, I still question why SH made every effort to hang Mara-Cabral’s “bond trap” on GG govt. It was first introduced as far back as 2008. There is now plenty of evidence to prove it. If AM (Former Governor of Sri Lanka) (Singapore citizen and former Sri Lankan) was the first to be convicted, why is the Singapore government still not responding to this? I know that Singapore is one of the few zero tolerance countries, especially against, crimes and corruption, in the region. This is still a big problem for me.

                Besides, in retrospect, his successor on the COPE Committee, Professor Herath, did the job better. I didn’t like Professor Herath until recently. His impartiality with Dr. Harsha Silva on the “COPE” issues was one of the reasons that changed my opinion of him. I think as a staunch protester against Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna, I thought that not a single man under that criminal movement would ever be normal. Most of them are very corrupt irrespective of their academic positions.

            • 1
              3

              No, LM,
              .
              It is Ranil and old codger who are playing a deep game, and have many agreements. Clever, clever!
              .
              Other readers must know this: leelagemalli and Panini Edirisinhe (aka Sinhala_Man – that’s myself!) have never met, but we write to each other, and yesterday we would have talked on WhatsApp but for the fact that it would have disturbed his entire household. When he came to Lanka some months ago, he brought me many “goodies”, and couriered them to Bandarawela. I brushed my teeth with German toothpaste this morning!
              .
              oc, complains, below, that some commenters have “zero knowledge of economics”. It may not be obvious to all that he means me. Am I to be white-vanned for such ignorance?
              .
              When I don’t know something, I acknowledge it; is that the wrong thing to do? Now, Kumar, who was disappointed that I didn’t drink his single-malt whiskey (I settled for tea) knows a helluva lot!

        • 6
          3

          LM,
          “I believe that the basic problem of our society is not understanding the extent of the dangerous situation that the country has fallen into today.”
          You are absolutely right. Many people, and that includes many of our commenters, have zero knowledge of economics. They say so themselves! Some think that an election will solve everything magically.
          Yes, the country has narrowly escaped from a total disaster. If the Rajapaksas stayed in power, there would have even been looting of supermarkets, as happened in other countries. Those who complain about not having enough petrol should think about the old story of the man who complained about having no shoes, until he met somebody with no feet!

          • 5
            0

            “You are exactly right. Most people and most of our commenters have no knowledge of economics. They say it themselves! Some people think that an election will magically solve everything”
            ****
            If someone would please check the archives before November 2019, I have repeatedly warned that if the dragons return to power it is like “no turning back”. We listen to world news and we are also alert to horrific crimes. That is the reason why I strongly oppose their return. My friends in Colombo (uni lecturers, medical docs, engineers, company directors, teachers, etc) stood up against me that day, my family also did the same, and every time I meet them today, the winner is in front of them. . That is the common identity of our nation (not only my family but people from different walks of life attacked me in Colombo before November 2019). Their levels of stupidity are beyond measure. Although they are academic topics, as Dr. Kovor explained, they will not change

            Our people don’t want to hear. How do you correct them if they don’t listen? They are simply fighting to keep the national flag at half mast and trying their best to hang on to it by suppressing their basic demands.

            • 3
              0

              apologies,
              As Dr. Kovor explained, even if they wear academic titles, they will not change.

          • 3
            0

            Dear oc, (I once venerated you this side idolatry),

            An election will not solve all problems “magically.” Could you please link me to some place where one of the three NPP members (or Eran, or Harsha) says that. There is a chance that he may be able to stump me with that! These politicians are in the habit of saying all sorts of things.
            .
            I remember Handunetti once telling us that ilmenite
            .
            https://www.ft.lk/Columnists/lankas-long-neglected-treasure-rare-earths/4-553132
            .
            and the oil tanks in the Trincomalee area,
            .
            https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/trincomalee-oil-tank-deal-a-result-of-30-years-of-indo-lankan-effort/articleshow/88766921.cms
            .
            and
            .
            https://ceylon.guide/2020/05/05/trincomalee-oil-tank-farm/
            .
            would solve all our problems. Kumar David has immense respect for Handunnetti, but wrote this:
            .
            https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/handunneththi-degenerates-into-chronic-amnesia/
            .
            When examined carefully, you may find that the three articles don’t interact all that closely, but I spotted this claim in the first article:
            .
            A hundred years ago, there were some politicians in Britain who were so astute as to prepare for World War Two even before Hitler burnt the Reichstag:
            .
            https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/true-story-reichstag-fire-and-nazis-rise-power-180962240/
            .
            But then Hirohito may already have become Emperor:
            .
            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hirohito
            .
            True, but that poor man’s main personal interest was in Marine Biology.
            .
            Panini Edirisinhe (483111444V) referred to as “GambadaIskoleMahattaya” by “leelagemalli”

            • 3
              3

              SM,
              I think I mentioned before that India has as much or more Ilmenite than we have. Kerala has processed it since 1946, but is not yet swimming in milk and honey.
              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Travancore_Titanium_Products
              The trouble with those who are inexperienced in governance, like Handunnetti, is that they tend to propose magical solutions which seem plausible to their followers. The thing that matters is performance. That applies to the NPP as well.
              And no, I have no secret agreements with Ranil. It is that our thought processes on economics are very similar. I don’t think there is an alternative to his belt-tightening policies. Even Eran and Harsha are on record about that. Has the NPP an alternative?

            • 2
              2

              Gambada Isokolemahathayo@
              I am of the strong opinion that JVP, NPP, SJB and other good candidates will not be elected to Parliament if elections are held without re-building the society properly.
              You probably don’t know yet the seriousness of the issues today – because you are mostly one-sided, if you love a party, you will do anything and everything to protect them, but being blind – it is not wise all. If you would please look back, how you campaigned for NK those days, revealed us a lot about you. .
              :
              November 2019 and 2020 litmus tests were conducted. Idiots like Rohitha Abe, Wimal Buruwanse, Johnston Balla, Natha Devi are false professors and and and .were re-elected by the stupid voters again… in a civilized country voters would have done anything and everything to corner the alleged high criminals. .

              Btw, are you doubtless that our people will not vote for them again? Now again, dont accuse me of holding ” low opinion” about our voters…. our people etc. I am not like that..

              If an election is called tomorrow- the same criminals would be sent to the parliament. The line between honest and dishonest people in sl society is blured.. that was made by Mahinda BALU chinthanaya all these years.

              • 0
                1

                Dear “leelagemalli”,
                .
                I have my opinion; there can be no certainty about opinions, so why don’t you leave me to rot in Bandarawela?
                .
                You’re in Germany and you have strong opinions, not only about Europe (where I won’t dare teach you about things that you know at first hand), but also about Lanka, where I’m sure that I know far better than you from what I observe and experience at first hand. Your “strong opinions” about Lanka are worth little, although I value your sincerity.
                .
                I did not ever “campaign” for Nagananda. He anointed Dr Ajantha Perera as “his candidate”, and I decided to give her my SECOND preference. I told her that, but I think it became the THIRD. You see, Kumar from Hong Kong did something silly (Yes, even Homer nodded). I got an email on 16/11/2019 morning, from Kumar, suggesting that I should give SECOND Preference to Sajith.
                .
                I think that I acted on that.

  • 3
    1

    This TV broadcast on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation next Thursday,September 15 at 8 pm, AEST ( and opportunities for viewing afterwards on TV and on-line) . Details below.

    https://iview.abc.net.au/show/foreign-correspondent
    Foreign Correspondent – No Surrender: Inside Sri Lanka’s Uprising
    A few months ago, Sri Lankan protestors had a moment of triumph, storming the presidential palace and occupying its grounds. Now a new president is cracking down, putting many in jail. We ask, will the movement surrender?
    For this exploration watch “Foreign Correspondent” on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation’s (ABC) metropolitan stations on Thursday, 15 September , 2022 at 8 pm , AEST, – Australian Eastern Standard Time.
    After broadcast the program can also be accessed via: repeats on ABC TV’s main metropolitan channels and the ABC TV News Channel ; on the ABC Foreign Correspondent website : https://www.abc.net.au/foreign/ and for a limited time after broadcast on ABC -iview.
    NOTE: to use -view you have to register, but this is an easy process. The i-view references are:
    https://iview.abc.net.au/show/foreign-correspondent
    or via the general home page at: https://iview.abc.net.au

  • 11
    0

    nimal fernando

    Are you able to make heads or tails of
    “liberal-bourgeois, post neo-liberal rationale,”

    I am lost.

    • 3
      2

      Native
      “Are you able to make heads or tails of
      “liberal-bourgeois, post neo-liberal rationale,”
      It is the direct opposite of “post-liberal-bourgeois neo-liberal rationale. Are you thick?

      • 2
        0

        old codger

        “Are you thick?”

        A bit.

        What is “post-liberal-bourgeois neo-liberal rationale”?

      • 3
        2

        OC
        Aijaz Ahmed wrote an interesting comment on ‘posted’ theories.
        The prefix literally means following the demise of a phenomenon.
        Interestingly, it has come to stand for anti in postmodernism and in post-Marxist and a few more.
        It has been a fashionable label used by people who understand very little of what they are talking about.

    • 3
      0

      “Are you able to make heads or tails of
      “liberal-bourgeois, post neo-liberal rationale,””

      Native,

      Sure I can …….. I can read between the lines! …….. I’m stumped/baffled why you are so sensitive to anyone criticizing Ranil and try to get back at them in roundabout ways.

      You always stand on the right side of most issues …….. why the exception for Ranil?

      Kumar is too educated, cultured and classy so he’s being circumspect ……… I’m uneducated, uncultured and crude so let me put him out of misery and use words any one can understand.

      Ranil is the most despicable, devious, disgraceful, shameful, scum of the earth, low-life bastard ever born in Lanka. …….. It’s even more disgraceful ……. cause unlike other uneducated pols, he knows exactly what he is doing: he knows better.

      What do you say about him appointing 37 ministers and appointing Nimal Siripala a minister again after he was caught with his pants down robbing? Isn’t that a salient trait of the “liberal-bourgeois?” …… What roundabout methods can ye utilize to defend Ranil’s despicable behaviour?

      You are better than this Native!

      • 2
        1

        continued


        I can understand Old Codger …… months ago I said he has only 2 true loves, R&R ……. unlike foolish Sinhala_Man I know not to come between a man and his love/loves. …….. Just imagine all those idiots who tried to break up Charles and Camilla …… now finally Charles is king and Camilla is queen consort ………. and now finally Ranil is president …….. and OC? ……. President consort? …….. Anyway I’m happy for him. :))

        • 2
          1

          Nimal,
          “Anyway I’m happy for him. :))”
          But Sinhala Man isn’t……

      • 3
        0

        nimal fernando

        Thanks

        “You are better than this Native!”

        I am sure you would know a Devils Advocate when you hear his/her noises.

        “What do you say about him appointing 37 ministers and appointing Nimal Siripala a minister again after he was caught with his pants down robbing?”

        I have already questioned the credibility of most of the ministers. Recently appointed ministers are supposed to get 7 brand new cars each, although most of them were ministers in the previous government and has been issued with cars earlier.

        People are clamouring for the appointment of honest clean persons to appointed ministers. Now it appears almost all of them are either crooks or human rights violators.

        Hope you have no part in these appointments and offer no incentive to entice crooks to support Ranil.

        • 3
          0

          Native, you haven’t missed any , it’s just being diplomatic and not addressing as retards. Instead KD glorifies as neo- liberal rationale. What is rationale, in appointing death row convict Premalal and , mass murderer Pillayan as ministers. Rumor is Duminda and Wajira will be appointed soon. Sunil . W rightly calls it as “govt sponsored terrorism”.

          • 2
            0

            chiv

            What bothers me most is the statements made by Ambassador Chen Xu 2021 and recently a week ago, in which he has claimed Sri Lanka and China are neighbours. I don’t know where he got the idea.

  • 11
    2

    Ranil rented a house three doors down from where The police under the direction of Ranjan Wijeratne had a cell for JVP suspects. This is what former president CBK has said about the Batalanda commission report findings of which she is the most knowlegeable not some foreign entity. She also added Ranil had nothing to do with it. This former president ran her campaign at that time where hurling this accusation at RW was a primary plank. It is she who upon being elected president, appointed the Batalanda commission hoping to bring down RW and lock him up destroying the UNP forever. But contrary to all the bullshit that has been hashed then and now about Batalanda nothing was found while the true culprit Ranjan Wijeratne was already dead. Similarly the so called bond scam where Ranil supposedly became a millionaire along with his mate is another load of rubbish proved twice by the initial investigation, prosecution of the true culprits, and the recovery of the funds and the the forensic audit report which traced the corrupt practices of PTL into the Rajapkshe administration. A humble two bedroom house down fifth lane already bequeethed to his Alma Mater along with a priceless collection of books and artifacts now destroyed was all this mans possesions.

  • 9
    0

    The Easter Sunday bombings from all the investigations and information available was orchestrated by elements of the state intelligence system created, nurtured and loyal to GOTA. This includes the Muslim bombers themselves who were on the payrole of the chief of military intelligence Asath Salley. There was also an Indian intelligence covert operative who wired back warnings of what was about to happen. These warnings arrived of the desk of Nilantha the chief of intelligence to Sirisena. Sirisena at the very least is guilty of obstruction of justice and an acessary to mass murder along with his chief intelligence officer. But this plot is also blamed on RW who was locked out of NSC meetings by Sirisena to prevent information about what was planned reaching the then PMs ears. But once again who gets blamed for all this RW. RW has no other choice but to consolidate power with the tools he has. There are no UNP MPs he can count on. The entire justice system is rigged to favor the Rajapkashes. The few honest investigative officer were chased out hounded and thrown in jail. Yelling about corruption after creating a hopeless system is a waste of time.

    • 2
      1

      Though not an RW fan, I agree with a realistic view. Sounds like he has to cater to views from “Tastys” restraunt and the mustang tent.
      At least he is not sitting on the fence just ambitious for a go.
      Chefs limited: But could Tastys serve dim sum too for acquired tastys.

      Between western preaching and Mao’s teachings, the good, the bad, and the ugly is a film not meant for the faint at heart.

  • 3
    1

    What Ranil is doing exactly opposite what he was saying when he was before his experience is not worth His considerable knowledge make people realize the extent of our own ignorance, His appointment did not alert the world the differences he Face reading of Ranil imaged showed a faded look and dump when his presenting the new appointment Ranil was remote controlled.

  • 2
    2

    SWOT denotes
    Strengths, His placing the ministers

    Weaknesses, He will listen to pohottuwa power and corner him and Pohottuwa will do bussiness

    Opportunities – Get loan from world power and later make tax to repay

    and Threats. Remanding all Aragala People because they will protest against him.

    To succeed in his president the move I predict he will take when near to election is that he label pohottuwa parliamentarian as ignorant minister to get the confidence of the population and try to get the power and then work with pohottuwa again now he has placed new elected as trump back to come back to him. And will get all hand out from the world power and then redeem from the people after his imagination president.

  • 7
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    First, my comment is not directly related to this posting by the learned professor. However, I writing this to express my feelings. What is this Aragalaya? Is Sinhalese an international language for people to know what the hell on earth it implies. Sinhalese language is spoken by around 15-16 million people out of more than 6000 million people on the earth. Out of of this 15-16 million retards, the CT readers are less than 0.5 million. Most of the CT readers are outside of the Sri Lanka, and they don’t know what hell on earth this aragalaya means. Even though I know little bit of Sinhalese language, I didn’t know what it means in English. If CT wish to remain in English, please use proper English words, not seeni sambol words.

    • 5
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      Velu,
      .
      Aragalaya’s meaning
      .
      1) අරගලය
      2) போராட்டம்
      3) Struggle
      4)strijd (in Dutch)
      5) lutter (in French)
      6) Luta ( in Portuguese)
      7) kamp (in Dannish)
      8) Lotta (in Italian)
      9)लड़ाई ( in Hindi)
      10) dificil (in Spanish)

      • 3
        3

        LM, Do all these translations (2 to 10) you have provided for aragalya are in their dictionary? I googled it for in English I didn’t find it there. Would you please show me where in google you found all these translations? Why not CT use struggle instead of aragalaya? My point if others in this planet were to read CT, hell on the earth they will not know what this aragalaya is. The point is my point.

        • 3
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          Velu@
          Answer: Google Translate
          I searched further using “struggle” for more translations.
          .
          Why does the world yet today use the term “Führer” instead of “Leader” in the world literature on WWII?
          The term “struggle” went viral the day it was introduced into a hashtag. It may be their aim to spread it as soon as possible. I have no doubt, it was their intention to give it their own identity. I have no more questions there.

          • 3
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            Dear Velu
            Like yours, my Sinhala is rather poor. I wasn’t born here & I had a real struggle with learning Sinhala (Tamil as well), not helped by it being diglossic. And I didn’t know what “aragalaya” meant, either. But as the whole event gather momentum it was not possible to remain in the dark for very long. I simply asked someone the meaning. Surely you have a connection who could have told you. But the Sinhala word carries so much more with it than does the pallid English translation.

            And why should this eminently “home-grown” (whatever the nay-sayers who insist that it is foreign-funded) upsurge (which started in the countryside, with the farmers protesting the ban on chemical fertilizers) be required to adopt a foreign name when at least ¾ of the people of this land are familiar with the Sinhala word? …/2

            • 3
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              …2/
              And the word has actually caught on internationally! Just look at some of the foreign newspapers. For example:
              “Aragalaya: Sinhalese for ‘struggle’, now synonymous with the movement that led to the fall of the government in Sri Lanka,” by Nirupama Subramanian, Indian Express, 20/7
              See: https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/aragalaya-this-word-means-struggle-sri-lanka-gotabaya-rajapaksa-8039897/

              Title: “‘This is a huge moment’: Sri Lankans vow to continue protests until demands are met”, Guardian 13/7:
              “It was a shortage of fuel and food that first drove Sri Lankans out on to the streets back in April. But it has gradually built into an unprecedented diverse people’s movement, now known as Aragalaya, demanding systemic political and social change for a country that for so long has been fractured down ethnic lines.”
              See: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/13/this-is-a-huge-moment-sri-lankans-vow-to-continue-protests-until-demands-are-met

              The Aragalaya went viral, in every way.
              There’s even a Wikipedia entry about it. Go there if you need an explanation. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Sri_Lankan_protests

              • 3
                1

                …3/
                But apart from that, Velu, can you please spell out what you mean by “proper English words”?
                Have you ever heard of “loan words” / “loanwords”?
                Do you know that English has up to 80% of words from other languages? Around 350 other languages!
                I quote: “Out of the (approx.) 171,476 words in the English language, 80% are borrowed or loaned from other languages… (mostly Latin & French).”

                And again: “English—is one of the most incredible, flavorfully-complex melting pots of linguistic ingredients from other countries that’s been left to simmer for (in some cases) centuries. These linguistic ingredients are called loanwords that have been borrowed and incorporated into English. The loanwords are oftentimes so common now, the foreign flavor has been completely lost on speakers.”

                “There is no such thing as pure English. English is a delectable, slow-cooked language of languages…English has been borrowing words from other languages since its infancy.”

                And I do believe that “aragalaya” is in the process of becoming similarly adopted. It carries so much more with it than the simple “struggle”. /4

                • 4
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                  …4/
                  Velu, it’s quite fascinating to read about loanwords, especially those in English. Wikipedia has huge lists of them. And perhaps you should take a look at Early English, while you’re about it. Beowulf, for example (I had to study that at uni). English has gone a long way since the days of Anglo-Saxon.
                  The English didn’t only pillage countries for their material wealth, see what writer James Nicoll has to say:
                  “English doesn’t borrow from other languages. English follows other languages down dark alleys, knocks them over and goes through their pockets for loose grammar.”

                  I’m afraid I got lost while looking for statistics on loanwords, caught up in absolutely fascinating linguistic history. But the main thing I wish to urge is please accept this small gift to foreign languages, a little loan from OUR side for a change.
                  Oh, and a small request, please, what word should we use when inviting someone in England to have some seeni sambol with their rice?

                • 2
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                  Manel
                  “oftentimes”
                  Now, there’s a cute but nowadays uncommon word.

        • 6
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          V
          Why go they still use the word ‘Hartal’ for lock-in or mass blockade.
          Pity you were not around to protest.

          • 4
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            SJ,
            Also known as a “bandh” in India.

            • 2
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              OC
              Thanks.
              Hartal too was from Urdu/Hindustani.

    • 8
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      Velu – applying your same argument what the hell is seeni Sambol words

    • 3
      3

      “Sinhalese language is spoken by around 15-16 million people out of more than 6000 million people on the earth. Out of of this 15-16 million retards…”
      So says the authority on retards!
      Do not retards speak English?

      • 3
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        You mean appointing a convict as minister is Neo-liberal rationale. Who said anything about Sinhalese or English speaking ?? Regardless, It’s people who knowingly elect murderers, cons, criminals, rapist, underworld . . . . and end up blaming the country /system for their own stupidity. Is there a better word than retard ?? . I guess imbecile, moron, jackass, intellectually / cognitively challenged, stupid, . . . . . . take a pick. If none of the above, then it has to be immoral racist. FYI, 6.8 million voted and 2 years after 6.3 million needs humanitarian assistance.

        • 0
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          KD, any updates from Ukraine. For the benefit of Putin fans, please quote from Russian and Chinese media. From what I hear September seems to be “bad news ” to Putin. Do you think, winter may put an end to his misery ??

          • 3
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            Chiv,
            Here’s the latest from RT. As you can see, not all that different from, say, CNN. Places have different names, and political intentions are re-interpreted, but the news is the same.
            “Ukraine reclaimed a swath of territory in Kharkov Region last week, with Kiev claiming a successful counteroffensive and Russia downplaying its significance, stating instead that it pulled its forces back to “regroup” and strengthen its positions in Donetsk.

            “It’s not only the turning point of the full-scale war…it’s the turning point of the war that started in the spring of 2014,” Stefanishyna said, referring to Kiev’s eight-year effort to suppress the independence of the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics.”

            • 0
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              Heard the same from different sources. Almost 3000 km land was reclaimed , with massive losses to Russian forces . Even the Ukrainians are surprised by the hurried Russian retreat, abandoning heavy armory, equipments and weapons.. Not just Putin’s own party members but Chesnian mercenary allies are now rebelling against his leadership.

  • 2
    1

    Thiha
    If RW is innocent of any wrongdoing he could
    1)Release the full findings of the inquiry into the Easter Bombings of 2019 and report to the world at whose instructions it was carried out.
    2) tell us who are the people who benefited from Bond scam in 2015
    3) start the inquiry into Sugar & Garlic scams
    4) find out on Tsunami Relief Funds we’re utilised
    5)find out who killed the Trinco students? Lasantha W? Other politicians ? Ruggerite? Prisoners of war?
    6) find out the players guilty of the ECONOMIC Ruination

  • 2
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    Ranil’s horoscope must be working well these days. A person without even spending a nickel became the President with Mahinda who couldn’t still face the public because of his corrupt practices and nepotism; helping with his 134 cronies and many of whom ruined the country 3 months ago, now being reappointed as ministers and Deputy Ministers. The poor citizens have no say in the country. If these corrupt people continue even for six months I.M.F or the other donor countries will stop the bits of help
    they have already been promised.

  • 0
    2

    as i commented many times before to ranil a SWOT appraisal is useless without a SHIT appraisal (when will the shit hit the fan) too.He did not listen to me last time and lost his house.

  • 4
    1

    Velu,

    Here are some examples of loan words in English, or, to put it another way, of thefts from rich vocabularies around the world.

    “Safari” came from the Swahili synonym of the Arabic “safar”, meaning “to make a journey.”
    “Zero” also came from an Arabic word, “sifr”.

    Guess where “Ketchup” comes from – Chinese!

    “Karaoke”, of course you know, but “loot”, metropolis”, “boycott”, “pyjama”, “wanderlust”, “pidgin”?

    And where would the English be without “avant-garde”, “ballet”, “cul de sac”, “cuisine”, “déjà vu”, “habit”, “hoi polloi”, “liaison”, “menu”, “money”, “nouveau riche”, “RSVP”, “war”…. etc, etc, “ecetera” (which first appeared in English in the 12th c.).
    Estimates of French loan words in English range from 7,000 to 10,000!

    English speakers like you and me really would be tongue-tied if not for these generous sharings!

    • 4
      3

      Manel
      I remember an academic colleague who returned from Britain with a PhD who still spoke English the way he did before he travelled abroad.
      A colleague of his returned around the same and spoke with a pompous accent (which I was sure was no genuine British accent).
      Students were puzzled by this and asked the former “So-and-so went abroad and speaks with an accent, but how come that you have none?”
      To which the former replied “Perhaps I learned my English here.”
      *
      Some people assume alien identities and try to talk down to others who are happy with theirs.
      Is anyone impressed?

      • 3
        1

        Talking of accents….when I first came to SL I went to Bishop’s College for a term.  On my first day I was shocked to see some girls in class, before the teacher arrived, throwing tomatoes, or something squashy, up to the ceiling & making a terrible mess.

        A few days later, I was seated alone in the playground when 3 (Burgher) girls from my class came up to me and said, “You have a helluva ‘n accent!”

        Quite taken aback, I retorted “YOU’RE the ones with an accent!” 

        To me their sing-songy voices were very strange — but I would never have remarked on them had they not laughed at mine. 

        I wonder if, after all these years, I still have what they thought of as “an accent” or if I have finally blended with the voices of my adopted home.

  • 3
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    Dear Manel, Rajash and others who have got so worked up by comment about the use of aragalya instead of struggle in CT. Manel I appreciate you spending so much time and energy justifying the use of the word aragalaya in CT. I simply raised my concern why not use struggle instead of internationally acclaimed aragalya???. I know where all your comments come from, to put it explicitly “you all mean to say that aragalaya is not inferior to struggle” and it is acceptable to international readers, long live your wish. Rajash for your information seeni is a pure Tamil word as well as sambol. Surprise these words have now become Sinhala origin. I don’t intend to waste my time like the new archeological findings in the NE of Sri Lanka.

    • 3
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      V
      I was only amused by your views, and I am sure others too are considerably so.

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