27 April, 2018

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Second SLFP Schism: A Survival Strategy

By Dayan Jayatilleka –

Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka

The biggest loser in Sri Lankan politics simply has to be Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga. The daughter of two Prime Ministers and a former two-term President, she was on top of the world when she succeeded in ousting her arch rival Mahinda Rajapaksa in January 2015. And look where she and Mahinda are now.

Mahinda is the head of a formation which not only has the largest number of seats in the opposition but more importantly, beat both the UNP and the SLFP to emerge the island’s largest political entity at its electoral debut under a new symbol. His formation even did better than SWRD Bandaranaike’s SLFP/MEP did in 1956, which was the second, not the first, election it faced!

By contrast, not only did Chandrika fail to prevent the SLFP-UPFA from soliciting and accepting Mahinda’s leadership at the parliamentary election campaign of August 2015, she also failed to prevent the majority of SLFP MPs from staying with Mahinda and rejecting her brainchild, the so-called national Unity government in the aftermath of that parliamentary election.

Now she has scored a hat-trick of political failure. She has failed to prevent a second split in the SLFP, this time in the minority faction that had remained in government; a split that has carried the overwhelming number of seniors in the party’s Central Committee into Opposition, turning their face against CBK’s line. She has failed to convince even her nominee President Sirisena who had rebutted her line of argument about January 2015. What an utterly dismal performance for the heiress of the Bandaranaike political real estate and fortune!      

It is entirely appropriate that the television news carried an item (hitherto un-contradicted) that on the very day the SLFP rebels met President Sirisena, obtained his consent and broke away from the government, ex-President Kumaratunga was seen cruising in to Temple Trees where Prime Minister Wickremesinghe was holding a series of meetings. Whether or not the news report was accurate, the daughter is winding up, de facto, with the UNP, from which her father broke away and entered History.

Worse still she is an unsuccessful prop of a UNP under a rightwing neoliberal leadership, while she was earlier a bitter opponent of the UNP under President Premadasa, a populist who was the closest to the line of SWRD’s SLFP ever to emerge within the UNP—and a man with whom Chandrika’s charismatic and progressive husband, Vijaya Kumaratunga (the Barack Obama that Sri Lanka never had), had a political dialogue and an equation! So Chandrika rejected the UNP when it was under progressive, patriotic leadership but embraced it when it came under the most rightwing, pro-imperialist leadership ever! It is as if SWRD Bandaranaike supported a coalition government with Sir John Kotelawela’s UNP, instead of overthrowing it!

The SLFP Sixteen have just saved the party from the fatal electoral consequences of Chandrika’s line. She is hardly the slinky femme fatale of Hollywood movies, but she was proving to be a femme fatale for the SLFP, to be sure—so vertical was its fall in electoral performance, following, and in consequence of, her policy of alignment with Ranil’s UNP.    

Susil Premajayanth, SB Dissanaike, Dayasiri Jayasekara, Thilanga Sumathipala, Lakshman Yapa Abeywardena et al, must be congratulated on their backbone and their intelligence in offering to rescue their party from the fate of the Titanic.

Any doubt that the ship is sinking was dispelled when the senior-most UNP parliamentarian, John Amaratunga, said on TV news (Wednesday April 11th evening) that “apata thiyenney thava avurudu ekahamaarai ney? Janathaava monavagey theenduvak deiyda kiyala kiyanna be ney?”  Which in translation means: “we have only one and a half years more. After all we cannot say what the judgment of the people will be”. Coming from John Amaratunga this is tantamount to a senior doctor who is a close relative of the patient announcing that the latter has only one and a half years to live!

Further indications of the inevitable fate of this government came from a moderate ideologue of the SLFP, Reginald Cooray, Governor of the Northern Province, who urged that an early parliamentary election is the only way out of the mounting political crisis. That this looking like the only way out of the governmental gridlock is evidenced by the fact that the JVP’s Lal Kantha also urged an early Parliamentary election.

The SLFP will survive not despite the most recent split but because of it. If the Sixteen rebels had not stood their ground and the SLFP had remained as it was, superficially united but also within the unity government, the whole SLFP would have drowned in the coming electoral tsunami. In order to survive, the SLFP had to choose between three options:

1. Remain united as a party and remain united with the UNP within the ‘Unity’ Government, while the UNP itself remains united under Ranil’s leadership. (The CBK line). If the UNP had dumped Ranil, this may have proved less than fatal to the SLFP, but it didn’t, so if this line were adhered to the SLFP would predictably be extinct in pretty short order.

2. Remain united as a party but quit the relationship with the Ranil-led UNP. This still remains an option but the Central Committee must meet to debate this to a finish.

3. The SLFP splits once again, with a faction remaining in Government together with Ranil’s UNP, and another hitting the ejector button and landing up in the Opposition. This is the option that has been taken, though Option 2 remains a possibility.

In nature, when a tree is in danger a dying, a sapling is planted elsewhere to ensure continuity. The sapling must be planted in fertile soil. The same is true of civilizations. If they are dying, perhaps due to changes in the ecology, a survival strategy is for a group to set off, perhaps by ship, and establish a new community in a new place. Someday, humanity may have to do that on another planet. 

The SLFP is dying in the coalition with Ranil and his UNP. It tried to replace him in order to remain for a greater length of time with a greater margin of safety, but failed. A responsible and heroic group of dissidents have done the right thing. They should be congratulated for having done so. I sincerely wish them luck.

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Latest comments

  • 16
    8

    The parasite at it again with another one like the “D’Day” crap that turned to to be the “Hay Day” for Ranil not only beating the NCM but confirming that he is the undisputed leader in parliament.

    • 2
      1

      Syria war is about to begin. Thero cannot write about NCM. He misunderstood everything of it. He should give shot on Syria. Let’s see if he can do that, at least. Let him predict if Putin will win and wipe out Trump? Syra is too close to Western European countries to afford to lose. It was mishandled by Secretary Kerry and he let Thero’s Brother Putin to get into Syria. Britain wants at least scratch the face of Putin to poison his country’s refugees.

      • 2
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        Verey interesting segue to Syria. Yes UK wants to retaliate for the alleged poison attack by Putin. DJ is a Putin fan. But reality is Russia has already pulled out all its military ships from Tartus. They KNOW and so do the Chinese, that they have NOTHING in their military arsenals that can counter or match US superior technology. The mad Pee Tape p***sy groper narcissistic madman in the US is at least unpredictable unlike Obama who was weak and also ruined Libya. Trump will unleash more than a token strike unlike last year. Russians will back away from attacks on Syrian military targets and NOT respond. The target markers will advice Russia in advance. Putin will collude with the Mad man with a tiny dick to AVOID Russian troops. If it FAILS then we will see chaos

        Why? Because Putin can NEVER match US military superiority. US has an arsenal that is 100 times superior to what the Gook Chinks or the Slavs can hurl at them EXCEPT a nuclear war. They have inferior aircraft, inferior anti missile defense systems and inferior special forces and definitely inferior tanks. They are superior in Artillery systems in case they want to invade Ukraine but in a high-tech attack like this Trump the Madman is RIGHT. New, Smart missiles will hit them and barbeque those Shia Assad muslims who kill fellow muslims. Have you noticed how more muslims kill muslims but no one wants to talk about that?

        • 0
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          This isa Limited NATO-Russia face off. Russia escaped, earlier, with Crimea, Ukraine, Malaysian Plane and Directly involving in Syria too. Not one out of the three leaders said it is over. May be something will be tomorrow too. It is said Russia was given information & Syria Removed strategical instruments within Russian Camp area.

          Some are very complex issues. It is not very clear why Russia is meddling in Britain. After all UK got out of EU, not out of NATO. . Gorbachev warned earlier that American Russian relationship would go like this and he blamed both Trump and Putin for it.

          Russian relation appears going to be like diplomatic, economic or some other soft modes, rather not real hard mode military action. Russia feels West’s anger on its actions on Britain.

          This is good lesson for Lanakwe. Anything happen in South China sea against Japan or Philippines will be reflected in Lankawe in the future.

    • 8
      5

      I cant believe this world.

      For what purpose would anyone with a degree level education go to support Rajapakseh return ?

      My 10 year old grand son asked me ” SEEYE WHY LANKENS ARE AFTER RAJAPAKSHE EVEN AFTER HE IS ALLED TO HAVE DONE LOT MORE HIGHER CRIMES”.

      My answer to my grand child was: My child, politics is a struggle in this country between two party-sympathisers. Most of them would not see it right, but the existence and strengthening the party. But they have the audacity to drop down higher public statements.
      If Mr Sirisena as EXECUTIVE president in the coutry today, would have been genuine to the voters of 6.2 Millions, today those men that claim to be the real opposition would not have been that powerful.
      Most of them are alleged criminals for not just simple crimes but higher crimes.

      Then my grand son at once questioned: WHY PEOPLE BEHAVE SO STUPID BY SUPPORTING THE WRONG MEN ?

      My answer to my GS was: People s MIND sets have been twisted by UNTRUTHS – media mafia governed in the country protect Rajapakshes from the day 1.

      Then my GS, thanked me and said loudly, WE SHOULD BETTER HAVE BEEN BORN TO A PLACE WHERE FAIRNESS WOULD BE RESECTED.

      WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THE RESPONSE of MY GRAND CHILD WHO IS NOT EVEN 10 YEAR TO DATE ?

      • 7
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        1)Go easy with fairy-tale bed time stories and teach your grandson one of the fundamental principles of law – Everybody is presumed innocent until proved guilty.

        2)Also teach the grandson about Democracy – Majority rules, and if majority of the people wants the wrong man, then thats what they get.

      • 0
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        SIR, Your grandson shows more than sufficient intelligence to be the president of this country.

    • 4
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      “Second SLFP Schism: A Survival Strategy”

      Man, Dayan

      To hell with the SLFP ……… No “Survival Strategy” I’ve ever encountered/seen in my entire life is as good as yours!

      Gotta hand it to you for your dogged perseverance …………

      It’s a pity that you have no other talent that you can focus your doggedness ………. perhaps you would have had a better chance of success.

      Anyway hope Mahinda makes it ………… catch you in Paris, buddy ……………

    • 0
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      Undisputed champion among other crooks in Parliament, certainly not among the general public.

  • 5
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    CBK is the one who said in chelvanayagam lecture that Sinhala buddhist predominence should be destroyed. What else to be lost by Sinhala buddhists. Even anglican British had given far more than that given by Kalusuddha, converted sinhala buddhists govts gave. Right now, CBK is promoting her children, particularly her son, to be introduce dinto SL politics because he si not doing well. I heard Eventhe daughter might follow. Ranil is simply simply needs to score a win as the president by hook or crook. NO what you are sayins wrong. both UNP and SLFP think their parties are important than anything else. That means Ranil is correct, CBK is correct. MAhinda Rajapakse from SLPP prefer SLFP because that gives an already established voter base and can continue SWRD to gain advantage. I prefer If gotabhaya Rajapakse can reorganize SLFP with the help of Maithripala sirisena and allow some very new blood into the parliament. Because, Other rajapaskes are waiting to gain advantage via Gotabaya Rajapakse. Because, when people do not have choice they have to viote the same old, same old who have huge closets full of garbage. I don’t know whether CPA or the embassy already have bought Basil to appear inthe presidential elelctions. Srilankan politicians are playing their personal needs, NGOs and Evangelists are waiting to get the next president for thedm because LTTE failed, Tamils look confused. Read how Ground views analyse the on coming Political sceans. Some where IS aid, CPA is getting even Face books data of Srilanka. there are manhy such NGOS including those civil society or open society guys.

  • 1
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    Oh this is simply saying address the one group of PArliamentarians concerns and those are important.that is what SLFP says, UNP says and SLPP now says.

  • 7
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    Both SLFP and UNP are dead.

    • 4
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      Yes bring in the Pohotuwa

  • 6
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    Winners and losers: DJ says Mahinda is the head of a formation which can beat both the UNP and the SLFP.
    With the modern way of winning elections, where you can win if you win and also win if you lose, Mahinda is certainly capable of doing what DJ has mentioned. Using this theory of Mahinda, that he won 4 times even after losing, nothing would be impossible. Just think, without even putting his signature to the NCM and then losing it badly, he claims that he won 4 times. Our minds boggle at how many times he could have won if he was brave enough put his signature, instead of sitting on the fence.

    To the rice eating cows and the grass eating humans who support him, this type of thinking would be a matter for great rejoice. To us, who do not want Mahinda to come back in this eon, it is a matter for great rejoice too. So, it is an ideal win-win situation because everyone would be able to go home and sleep.

    • 3
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      Edwin Rodrigo.

      Even if you too today have sensed it, DJ would not.

      DJ s malice and devious nature would only be made useful, if only Rajapakshe would return.

      Just ask him please for what purpose he wants Rajapakshe to march back ?

      Just ask him how many wealth Rajapkshe has gathered on the name of others by going the ordination, that nobody is allowed to keep acres beyond 50 ?

      Peacock House that Mr Liyanage who is the ambassdor to UAE or somewhere, is one good example to consider that Rajapkshe bought that property on their name.
      I know this particular Liyanage through my familiy.
      And there are over 50 or more issues of this nature Edwin, if I may say so.

      We are glad you now see it in the big picture. THere we hat off to you.
      All we want is to punish anyone who made high crimes regardless of what party they belong to.
      If South Korea can chargetheir PM or President going through investigations, why not lanka ?
      It is reported there had been no FIRST WIVES that is proved to have run all unethical businesses on the name of her husband, but MRS Rajapakshe has done it.. there re prima facie evidence collected against her.
      All these will come to surface one day in near future. Truth will never be buried forever. That is twhat we learnt in the high school. right. ?
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DH8rK63hKCM&t=1302s
      Please check this truth video if you want to see the real picture, being unbiased to any parties.

  • 2
    2

    Mahinda Rajapske has lot of EGO. I think Maithripala Srisiena is facing better his so-called defeats Becuse he knows what he doing I suppose. Mahinda Rajapakse when he was the PResident he was disillusioned. His only focus was escaping the ICC and looting the country for the dynasty.

  • 5
    1

    there is no point in talking about the slfp
    sirisena has taken it to the grave
    if ranil steps down aftter a year it could end up as unp -slpp battle in 2020 other wise if basil is not in jail it will be slpp all the way

  • 2
    1

    Let us talk about the SLFP. Thero’s beloved New King is the last one in the LG election. The LG election order was TNPF-EPDP, JVP, ACMC, Slap Party, TNA,SLMC,UNP & SLFP the last one in the election. It is New King’s idea firing Ranil. He didn’t know the constitution and lost there too. Then it was his NCM, Old Royals adopted; he lost on that too. After these three mountainous losses, he should go home. Forget about Chandrika. So far she never has said she wants a comeback. She knows she can’t. Law doesn’t allow that. So, she left her $18B in UK banks safely. But Old King tried everything but couldn’t.

    Chandrika didn’t want anybody authorized officially to go to opposition. But Old King did that to secretly gain support of the MPs. That is the dirty trick he learned from his time with Old Royals. If Chandrika and Ponny were there, Yahapalanaya would have been cleaned instead of it becomes like the Chitanta Government, a Kleptocratic government. Now, New King has closed the parliament like a dictator.

    Because the May Day was shut down by New King, the Unions are leaving SLFP. If Thero is real Cuban Communist, he should talk about May Day and Union leaving SLFP, not Chandrika.

  • 6
    1

    Gamarala is doing unthinkable strange things. He did an undemocratic thing by proroguing and shutting down the parliament, before going to the conference of commonwealth heads. He is acting against the commonwealth principles by acting this way. It’s hight time to impeach him and chase him out for his undomercatic actions. He is putting a good face to the world but behind the secene acting like a dictator by doing anti democratic things against a democratically elected government. Commonwealth heads should check him and give him stern warning for this bad action of him. The SL diasporas in UK, should treat him the way the did MR for this terrible action and taking the country to the gutters.

  • 0
    0

    This comment was removed by a moderator because it didn’t abide by our Comment policy.For more detail see our Comment policy https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/comments-policy-2/

  • 7
    3

    Haal Sira just suspended Parliament until May. NOT EVEN MR did that.
    So what is the game plan? SLFP As we know it is dead. Duminda is a clown who does not command respect and Sirisena has now got the UNP against him politically. This man cannot win the Presidency. Only RW can WIN for the UNP in 2019. With Tamil and Muslim votes plus 35% UNP base RW will become our next President. Sirisena will be known as a kaalakanni muusala man with no charisma but the man who bravely put a face to the amazing reforms and freedom of speech we now experience. He took a big risk because CBK sensed the mood of the nation. CBK knows the ground reality now but has to stick to her aristocratic class and her kind by backing RW. Their’s is the ONLY path to make a less racist less violent Sri Lanka.

    Gota is a paranoid man. SF is a vindictive man. Sri Lanka is in for a troubled period ignoring astrology. US will never let RW fall and neither will India. US and India used a lot of money to buy votes in the NCM.

  • 5
    5

    does mahinda pay you a stipend per article you write
    or is it a monthly payment

  • 10
    3

    Dayan,
    3 articles within 24 hours! You must have gone crazy- but we are not. Just one article from you over a period of one month in Colombo Telegraph and the Island is one too many! We are sick of these silly interpretations and your unconditional allegiance to Mahinda and Gota.

    Grasshopper

  • 2
    2

    Yes for sure the SLFP needs a survival strategy. SLPP also needs a survival strategy otherwise it will face a similar death to the DUNF. Discount the recent local government elections which was only a flash in the pan. The Sinhale-Buddhist votes will be split. The only winner will be the UNP.

  • 5
    1

    dear failed academic and political analysit MR has lost to BR wait and see

    • 5
      2

      Mahinda cannot become president. Mahinda’s dream to make Namal becoming President is also blocked because Gotapaya overtook Mahinda within SLPP. Gotapaya used Mahinda to split SLFP using Mahinda and this SLPP is a group of a failed thugs and criminals along with the dead left. The recent Local govt results clearly shows that Mahinda or Mahinda’s real enemy Gotapaya winning the election. Even Gotapaya comes to power, he will definitely put Mahinda or Namal under arrest because Gotapaya knows that as long as Mahinda is there it is a threat to him. He know’s will do anything for his son Namal. How come a man alleged with war crimes freely move between USA and Sri Lanka and India when Mahinda cannot go to USA? This is because Gotapaya & Dayan are possibly act in the orders of CIA.

  • 3
    6

    It is very unfortunate that LTTE SUICIDE attacks killed so many innocents, very good learned politicians and even Head of the States and not Chandrika Bandaranaike.

    Had she been killed, Sri Lanka politics could have much better and the country is fortunate and in more progressive path as so called Yahapalanaya, the brain child of Choura Ragini halted the progress made by previous government in all fronts specifically development and economic front whilst conducting a war against most dreaded terrorist outfit of LTTE.

    • 3
      2

      Nimal Tissass Wijetungass

      What is your point if you have one?

  • 7
    1

    DayaN you are stooge with a capital S. Have some self respect and do not praise a thief and murderer.

  • 1
    2

    Bandas divided the Sinhalese and worked for India and Indian Colonial Parasites.

    JRJ was a quarter Indian.

    Time Mahinda and Ranil got together and lead the Sinhalese and the country to prosperity.

  • 2
    2

    Dayan Jayatilleka attributed the defeat of NCM on TNA (the treacherous Tamils).
    Here he is attributing the two MR losses in 2015 to CBK. It was the people Dayan!
    Dayan’s gods are MR-family. Who are the angelic heros? Dayan ~ “………Susil Premajayanth, SB Dissanaike, Dayasiri Jayasekara, Thilanga Sumathipala, Lakshman Yapa Abeywardena et al, must be congratulated on their backbone and their intelligence………..”.
    Dayan is working on his own survival. Give up your duplicity Dayan!
    .
    Dayan chinthanaya ~ “………a survival strategy is for a group to set off, perhaps by ship, and establish a new community in a new place……………..”.
    This started a while back. The destinations? US, UK, Europe, Australia with Dubai as a stopover.

  • 1
    3

    We know how Ranil canvassed the countries in the west to stop aid to Sri Lanka when he was in opposition. Yes true the parliament support Ranil though the grassroots are of different opinion. We will see the soon in a parliamentary election who is carrying the confidence of the masses. It is mockery of parliamentary system when Sambanthan was appointed leader of opposition and JVP as leader of the house. The proxy LTTE supporter has never used this platform to bring about peace in the country. We all know how divisive they are of their conduct including JVP who is supporting the government indirectly. Dayan has presented his views as a gentleman but should have called a spade a spade.

  • 0
    0

    Native Veddah,

    If you cannot understand my point of view, which was so clear, I cannot help you

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