18 October, 2021

Blog

The Ranil Curse, Mahindāgamanaya 3 & Gota 2019

By Dayan Jayatilleka

Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka

“There is great disorder under heaven. The situation is excellent!” —Mao Zedong

No Sri Lankan leader was willing to give India a footprint in Trincomalee harbor. No Sri Lankan leader for millennia was willing to give India a strategic base (in this case a dual use airport) in the island’s deep South, the Ruhuna. Ranil Wickremesinghe has done both. This on top of his protection of Prabhakaran from an LRRP hit on Dec 20th 2001 and his appeasement of the separatist Tamil Tigers during which Lakshman Kadirgamar was killed. Add to this the giant bond scam. All this makes Ranil one of the worst ever figures—the biggest knaves– in this island’s long history, and certainly the biggest knave in my lifetime. Leave alone the allegations of aiding and abetting crookedness, his treachery alone should make him a reviled figure throughout the generations to come. In short, he should be cursed by History.

Mercifully for this island, there are three people who can stop him in his treacherous tracks. One is President Maithripala Sirisena. He is best positioned to intervene at this moment. The others who are more include to do so, are not yet in power, are two heroes from the Ruhuna, one who is now on the march yet again ( as in 2005), and the other who is on the horizon. These heroes can, singly or together, liberate us from the Ranil curse. They are, in the first place Mahinda Rajapaksa and in the second, Gotabaya.

The road seems clear for a Mahinda Rajapaksa comeback. How so? The Supreme Court judgment suddenly shifted politics on its axis. The mere fact that the Presidential election is next year (2019) brings the prospect of the end of the Yahapalana model and policy regime closer.

The most recent Supreme Court ruling is not the end of the road for President Sirisena and perhaps not even for the Yahapalana experiment, but most certainly for the 2015-2017 Yahapalana model.

Either the present Yahapalana model ends after February 10th or the entire Yahapalana experiment and the Sirisena Presidency can end at the end of next year.

If President Sirisena wants to run for re-election he has to drop Ranil and Chandrika after February 10th and reposition himself in new centrist alliance with either (I) a reconfigured UNP, the SLFP and the JO, or (II) with the SLFP-SLPP/J and elements of the UNP.

If it is Scenario I, Mahinda Rajapaksa has to be accorded his rightful place as the Leader of the Opposition on Feb 11th and publicly pledged the Prime Ministership next year.

If it is Scenario II, Mahinda Rajapaksa has to be made Prime Minister after February 10th

The road map draws itself clearly for the Mahinda-led JO/Pohottuwa:

Step 1. Win the Local Government elections or clearly dominate the Opposition space as the main anti-UNP force. Establish an alignment with the SLFP or not.

Step 2. Win the Provincial Council elections later this year or clearly dominate the Opposition space as the main anti-UNP force. Establish an alignment with the SLFP or not.

Step 3. Push in and outside of Parliament for the dissolution as per the 19th amendment when the four years are over, i.e. in August 2019, before the Presidential election.

Step 4. Amend the 19th amendment bringing it into line with international norms by retaining the two-term limit but establishing a bar only to a previous President contesting for a third consecutive term.   

Step 5a. Endgame: Launch Mahinda as the Presidential candidate in November 2019.

Step 5b. Endgame: If Step 4 and Step 5a are not possible, launch ‘Operation Gota 2019’, with Mahinda as the main motor force and Prime Minister-designate with all the powers of the existing 19A.

The Establishment has to decide on whether it was a soft landing or a hard landing. As they say, we can do this the easy way or we can do this the hard way. The soft option or the hard option. There are two easy ways. One is a Sirisena-Mahinda Rajapaksa equation. The other is a Mahinda Rajapaksa restoration via the revision of 19A.

Then there is the hard way. Gota 2019: GR Next Year. It’s that close.

So it’s all good, except that the Left is failing to fulfil its full potential. It can learn from experiences as diverse as Nepal and Britain. If the JVP and FSP can present a united front under a collective leadership, incorporating student, worker and peasant organizations, Lankan politics would have a strong Left Opposition and government-in-waiting. This is an indispensable positive factor in any scenario whatsoever.

We have commenced Yahapalana Year 4. The third anniversary of Yahapalanaya is also the third anniversary of the defeat of the Rajapaksa regime. Both anniversaries coincide happily with the imminence of an island-wide election, the first since 2015. The Yahapalana government is also well past its halfway mark. The occasion therefore permits a reflection on Mahinda’s defeat, the record of Yahapalanaya and the prospects ahead, especially in the light of the upcoming election.

Mahinda Rajapaksa was defeated in January 2015 for pretty much the same reason that Winston Churchill lost in 1945 and De Gaulle felt constrained to step down in 1946 and again in the early 1950s. Both Churchill and de Gaulle made comebacks, as did Indira Gandhi, and Mahinda is doing so too (albeit in Muhammad Ali or ‘Rocky II’ style).

2018 is not 2015. Time has not worked in favor of the government.  It is difficult to imagine that the electorate will reward the bond scam and a low growth economy with an electoral victory for the UNP.

At this election Mahinda’s victorious opponent of 2015, the Yahapalana bloc of January 2015 is split in three: UNP, SLFP, and JVP. The UNP is being attacked or criticized from all three sources, and is therefore, politically isolated. The JVP’s pronounced anti-UNP, anti-Ranil pivot is the best evidence of how far down the UNP has plummeted in popularity from January 2015 when the JVP was a de facto ally.

The most damning indictment of the Yahapalana story so far, did not come from the Joint Opposition or ultranationalist pressure groups, but from within the Government. Here too, it was not from the SLFP or a nationalist dissident within the UNP ( such as Wijayadasa Rajapakshe) but from the heir to the finest traditions of UNP liberal-conservatism, namely the great grandson of DS Senanayake, Hon. Vasantha Senanayake, State Minister for Foreign Affairs.

He was seen on TV news delivering the address at the FR Senanayake commemorative meeting, at which he dropped a bombshell saying that it seemed to him that “Sri Lanka’s foreign policy was being decided externally”. Senanayake went on to say that while Lord Naseby and Ian Paisley had courageously defended Sri Lanka in the British parliament, they were sniped at by influential elements in the Sri Lankan Foreign Ministry. He ended his speech saying that he does not know how long he would be able to retain his present post.

DS Senanayake’s great grandson’s whistle-blowing was preceded a few months ago by JR Jayewardene grandson Pradip’s denunciatory interviews in which he said that under its present leadership the UNP had abandoned the core values of his grandfather’s party, beginning with the strong role of the state in the economy.

Whatever the result of the upcoming local election, anything short of an unambiguous victory for the UNP; any significant downswing in the government’s popularity—which is almost certain to be the outcome– will inevitably slow down and probably put a stop to the dangerous UNP ‘reform’ packages that are on the runway: implementation of the Geneva 2015 resolution on accountability; a new Constitution which is beyond the unitary state and ‘beyond federalism’ too (according to MA Sumanthiran); the sellout of Trincomalee and Mattala to India; the unleashing of free market forces throughout the economy and social sectors including higher education; and the rollback of progressive legislation on land and labor.

The results of the upcoming election will show just how close or far Mahinda Rajapaksa is from being the Prime Minister in 2020. Of course that could be sooner if there is an electoral seismic shock leading to a drastic re-composition of forces in Parliament after the local authorities’ election or the Provincial Council elections due later this year.

Certainly the Rajapaksa comeback project has a contradiction within it, but that is smaller than the contradiction that the UNP-CBK bloc faces. Mahinda Rajapaksa cannot run for President and therefore he faces a dilemma. Does he help push through a Constitutional reform that abolishes the executive Presidency?

That option is problematic because the hostility generated between the UNP and the JO/Pohottuwa is so intense that any collusion which shifts power from the SLFP’s President Sirisena to UNP leader and PM Ranil Wickremesinghe even temporarily, is going to be a hard sell among anti-UNP voters, though most Opposition activists would be captivated by the prospect of placing Mahinda within striking distance of the country’s leadership in 2020 by any constitutional means necessary. If the abolition of the executive Presidency is deemed by the Supreme Court to require a referendum, it is unlikely that the JO-SLPP and the UNP will find it comfortable to campaign on the same side, and for the JO to call for a YES vote for a UNP proposal against an SLFP incumbent. As Brexit showed, all it takes for the defeat of a proposition at a referendum, even if the proposition had bipartisan mainstream support, is an economically disaffected citizenry and some mavericks determinedly campaigning for a protest vote.

Mahinda has the option of pushing for a revision of the 19th amendment so as to restrict the restriction to two consecutive terms, as in Russia. He can do this if he musters support after winning the August 2020 parliamentary election and becoming the PM. But here too the problem is that the Presidential election is schedule to be held before– in November 2019– not after, the parliamentary election. So that looks like a dead end– which leaves either the removal of the executive presidency or the eventual naming of a successor as presidential candidate. That is, unless public pressure forces the dissolution of Parliament after the four year mark as permitted by the 19th amendment, making it August 2019, not 2020. In that scenario, Mahinda can revise the 19th amendment, lifting the ban on his Presidential candidacy.

The dilemma is far greater for the UNP. If it tries to abolish the executive Presidency, it opens up the prospect of a Ranil versus Mahinda fight for the country’s leadership in 2020.  Not even the JVP’s promise of fielding Anura Kumara Dissanayake as Presidential candidate is going to significantly improve Ranil’s chances against a resurgent MR, a largely reunited SLFP or an SLPP-SLFP united front, and against the backdrop of a shrinking economy. Even in the best of circumstances, never once has Ranil beaten Mahinda, or anyone else for that matter, in a race for the leadership of the country.

This leaves the UNP with three, or two and half options. One is of recycling the 2015 formula and supporting President Sirisena. If President Sirisena has Ranil as his Prime Ministerial ‘running mate’, he will surely lose in 2020, though he stands a chance if he has Mahinda, Gotabaya or Chamal, or the UNP’s Sajith Premadasa, as Prime Ministerial candidate.

The UNP’s second option is running Ranil as presidential candidate against Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Dinesh Gunawardena or Chamal Rajapaksa. The third and final option for the UNP is running a non-Ranil candidate e.g. Sajith. Sajith will indubitably stand a better chance than Ranil, but he has chosen not to be the conspicuous patriotic-populist dissident within the UNP that his father was, and therefore it is unlikely that he or any UNP candidate will be able to survive the anti-government pendulum swing of 2020.

The UNP has, as we have just outlined, hardly any viable options in 2020, even if manages to perform adequately at the upcoming local elections. Conversely, unlike the UNP, the SLFP has several options in 2020, however badly it may fare at the upcoming local authorities’ election. The SLFP can opt for (I) a Sirisena-Rajapaksa ticket or (II) a Gotabaya, Dinesh or Chamal candidacy or (III) abolish the presidency and rally round Mahinda as the Prime Ministerial candidate.

The IMF has just called for ‘structural and state reform’ by Sri Lanka. The Indian Army chief declares that India must “not allow” Sri Lanka and other neighbors to “drift towards China”. The UNP’s plans to Indianize the Trincomalee-Mannar-Mattala triangle.

In a striking counterpoint, addressing from LA via Skype an electoral town-hall meeting with a Pohottuwa billboard as backdrop, Gotabaya Rajapaksa declared that “the present government is taking its development cues from the IMF, World Bank and a West in crisis and decline, but Sri Lanka should follow instead the developmental experience of Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam, Indonesia, South Korea, Japan and above all, China.” He offers a vision of an alternative (East) Asian modernity.

The Yahapalana strategists can comfort themselves with the tale that a solid phalanx of the combined minorities can beat a Gotabhaya presidential candidacy. The huge flaw in that calculation is that it assumes that the UNP’s base vote remains intact and overlooks the enormous swing of UNP votes, especially Sinhala Buddhist UNP votes, that a Gotabhaya candidacy can secure, which, together with the reunified SLFP vote, can more than offset the projected loss of the minorities.   

The hegemonic moment of the neoliberal globalist project of January 2015 has long evaporated, the hegemonic model sought to be erected has been blocked. The strategic counter offensive by the nationalist-populist forces has begun and will crest in 2020.

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Latest comments

  • 15
    11

    Started the Gota crap again.This guy is hell bend to promote the white van driver as the next president Sri lanka.I feel really sorry for this man.

    • 9
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      [Edited out]

      Dayan and Rajiva, two people who always write one-sided tomes in support of the Rajapakses and against Ranil …….are unable to handle the one-sided tomes Shaymon writes in support of Ranil and the UNP! Isn’t that ironic! what’s good for the goose is good for the gander ………. Just pinch yourselves ….these are fully grown Lankan adults ………..is there any hope for Lanka? ……….Just take a step back, discard your emotions and think; if your are capable of rational-thought!

      Anyone who wants to talk about Rajapakses’ “economic policy” first go to Hambantota and look around. …..Is this what a 21st-century adult does with high interest loans? Now any of you buggers before even attempt to start defending this crap ………just answer which Einstein would get planes to take off from Katunayake and land in Mattala after 5 minutes ……. Who was the mastermind of such brilliance? Harold Laski and the alt-left? Oh Boy!

      Even Idi Amin had more intelligence …….he had a sense of humour and knew exactly what he was doing ………unlike the Lankans he didn’t take his own crap seriously …….knew what crap he had to do to stay in power…….

      • 8
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        The problem is, Dayan and Rajiva have no useful talents that can benefit the country; zilch …….so they can only impress/dazzle the “National-Dress Gang” ………others are too sophisticated and see through their bull……..

        Ranil knows the worth of these two clowns…………Ranil is from the same Lankan social-strata …….it takes one to know one……….. Ranil is a little better than these two buffoons – at least by hook or crook he has become the prime minister once or twice.

        It’s my country I fear for…..our worst enemies are ourselves …..more than any outsider……. outsiders only have to give us enough rope …….one side or the other will do the job themselves…. done it for the last 70 years………

        • 0
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          There is nothing called “by hook or by crook” dear Nimal.

          There is only one way, and that is the right way.

          This “hook or by crook” method is the root cause of all the evils that now plague us.

          • 3
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            J&F,

            I will always speak-up for the unfairly maligned party ………. especially by humbugs like Dayan, Rajiva et al who were in bed with the Rajapakse crooks and don’t have a moral leg to stand on…………..

            Ranil is just the lightning rod for all the criticism ….easy prey because he is an imbecile who doesn’t even have the smarts to realize that and has zero talent to defend himself …….just contrast him with any of the thick-skinned Rajapakse crooks……………..but Ranil did not create all the problems in the country as every crook is accusing………nothing is ever perfect but he and Sirisena is guiding the country in the right direction ………..Was any of this public scrutiny possible during Rajapakse’s time? ………..Ranil’s only fault is the stupid Bond Scam cover-up……….. but the last government covered up murders/serial-killings ……….I hope you can make the distinction.

            Just do a simple thought-experiment ……………….. imagine that Ranil falls dead tomorrow ………….will anything change?

            There’s your answer ………….and you are one of the very few who is clever and unbiased enough to comprehend ……….

            Our problems are greater than one monumentally unlikable guy …………. but very few Lankan adults will ever realize that………..

    • 3
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      I see this article by DJ as a possible scenario (however damning), given the utter chaos that has reigned within the present government.

      The only way out for the present government to survive is for its leader and deputy leader to step down. Together, they have ensured that the UNP heads once again into the wilderness.

    • 3
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      Wouldn’t you like GR to follow UNP policies? White vans was one of them. How can you forget 1988-89?

      • 2
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        Taraki

        Dayan the public racist was a prominent b***s carrier to Premadasa only from mid or late 1989. He is not morally responsible for any of white van operations during that period however he was a minister in EPRLF run North East provincial government during which EPRLF military commander Premachandra was running his own Mandayan group which was more or less equivalent to the green tigers of the South.

        BTW are you aiming your question “Wouldn’t you like GR to follow UNP policies? White vans was one of them. How can you forget 1988-89?” at the public racist Dayan?

      • 1
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        Don’t worry- Ranil will be NIL after the elections.
        And Maithree may develop the will to rule.

    • 3
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      Now I understand why Mahinda lost his power. It is Dayan who advised Mahinda to go against India. Until that time Mahinda was almost a devotee of India. We all know how India helped Mahinda & Gota to defeat LTTE. IF India did not help to Mahinda & Gota, today the country is divided into and Dayan won’t be able to talk about Trincomalee. We all know how many days Mahinda & Gota travelled to India and even the UN rep Nambiar was in Colombo to oversee the final defeat of the LTTE. The day they listened to Dayan, India withdrew it support to Mahinda & Gota. That resulted Mahinda out of power. Now he wants to Gota to follow his advise against India. This gives a clear massage to India and India has all the evidence about what happened at the end of the war including white flag surrender. This is enough to India put both Mahinda & Gota in an electric chair.

  • 4
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    The public racist

    ““the present government is taking its development cues from the IMF, World Bank and a West in crisis and decline, but Sri Lanka should follow instead the developmental experience of Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam, Indonesia, South Korea, Japan and above all, China.”

    Could you tell us the development story of and narrate political economy of Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam, Indonesia, South Korea, Japan and China.

    If you could please start the story of Japan from Meiji Reform, Vietnam’s U.S.-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA), U.S. – Vietnam Trade and Investment Framework Agreement (TIFA), …Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), ….Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security arrangement between US and Japan, ………………. and take into account US involvement in those Tiger countries and other.

    More than 634 US companies have been trading/manufacturing in China for more than 25 years.
    Whether the former national hangman likes it or not Sri Lanka needs to oblige IMF, World Bank, West and Hindia to expand its export market. The island has not much to offer unlike early developing countries in the East.

    There was a world before 2009 outside Sri Lanka and there will be one for the foreseeable future. Every successive government squandered the resources since 1948. I am glad a new development economist is born incidentally in the USA, who is willing to serve the country once again only if he is invited to.
    Campaign slogan “The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non Hindian, Non Neo Liberal – Non Communist Manifesto”.

    • 6
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      Heroes from the Ruhuna? Another term for Mahinda?
      Really, this piece upset Fidel so much that he refused his dinner. BTW, Fidel is my pet dog.

    • 1
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      NV, he said “developmental experience” not “development advise”. And export what? To India? A country with a infinite Two Rupee labor market? The island country does have much to offer but not in the export market, I hope your Economist qualified in the Hallowed Halls of some Ivy League Degree Mill in the US of A gets it.

      • 2
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        wannihami

        [he said “developmental experience” not “development advise”.]

        Who is talking about development advise? My humble advice to you, its not worth losing sleep over Dayan’s rant.

        “And export what? To India?”

        The way things are you may one day start exporting your women folks to Sultanate of New Delhi as you do now in Middle East Medieval Kingdoms and invite Chinese/East European women to attract Men tourists from India.

        “A country with a infinite Two Rupee labor market?”

        Google CEO Sundar Pichai, one of the best exports from India, earned US$199.7 million (2016) and was net worth US$1.2 billion(2017). Another export from Toilet Nadu Pepsi CEO Indra Nooyi received $29.8 million in 2016.

        However all these jobs cannot match crooked professional politicians/bureaucrats of this island. They have far superior brain and organised network of criminal fraternity by which they earn more income in this island than working abroad.

        “The island country does have much to offer but not in the export market”

        Thanks for your smart ass patriotism. However we need to see the evidence. What has this island to offer? I suppose more export of women folks to middle east, sub contract rendition work for USA (this country has a surplus highly experienced sadistic torturers), money launderers (the drug Mafia cartel needs them), highly trained sub contract hitmen, hangman, ……………….

        ” I hope your Economist qualified in the Hallowed Halls of some Ivy League Degree Mill in the US of A gets it.”

        I never heard of them.
        Tell us all your (Lankeys) achievements since 1948?

      • 4
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        Wannihami,

        The only flourishing business/trade in Sri Lanka is slave trade, exporting women (90% Sinhalese) to Mid-East for a monthly salary of less than U$ 200, as house maids and cleaners. The Sinhalese women are known as the best toilet cleaners in the Mid-East. The Arabs have employed them in Airports, Hospitals, schools and Malls to clean toilets used by multi-nationals from the entire world.

        The way India and specially Tamil Nadu is developing (with IT technology and manufacturing industries) and turning into an economic boom, I am sure very soon India/Tamil Nadu will start recruiting Sinhala women as House maids and cleaners and pay a better salary than the Arabs. Don’t you think it is better for your women to work as cleaners in Buddha’s land for a better wage than in Arab land?

    • 5
      1

      Native Vedda: Sri lanka doe snot have a proper leader. Mahinda Rajapakse and Ranil are all the same. Ranil did not and can not prove it. Ranil the leader for emptying banks, Bankrupting Sri lankan airlines and many more not discussed. Yahapalanaya was corrupt and could not catch doe snot mean did not happen. Besides, Sajin Vass was fined only Rs 1000 I heard.
      Ranil is still fooling the Sri lankan voters. The major problem with the Central banks as well as state banks, employee provident funds are those are run indirectly by politicians. the manager of the EPF who ran away was a USed CAR Dealership accountant from Australia I heard. Only some know how many times PEOPLES bank went bankrupt because of politicians.
      world bank says sri lanka is not doing well financially. Sri lankan economists say the same thing. MOODY’s Rating Agency classified Asian countries. Only Sri lanka has a negative rating. Yet, IMF says, Sri lanka is doing financially fine. Ranil wants to get advice from IMF to Restructure the Central Bank. How do you restructure a Bank infested with Rats. Every body Knows that Arjum Mahendran over powered Central Bank Monitery depart and RAVI THE LIAR (He is still still outside, and not in jail, that is the SL law enforcement) overpowered Statebanks. Under whose authority are banks ?

    • 3
      1

      I wrote the comment but I was out of topic. Native Vedda talks about the history. right now, even the USA is against Trade globalization and they did not sign and moved away from the Transpacific trade agreement. the problem is Ranil doe snot know what to do and get IMF instructions. I think Mahinda Rajapakse did not do the same so, he had problems with the IMF. IMf is in Sri lanka to support some other businesses.
      See how MAngala Samaraweera s the finance minister the Land act or what ever and is selling to American companies. those companeis will set up business complexes and sell those packages to Sri lankan businesses. they use our own (lands and businesses ) to earn money. IF we export they will tax that too. So, talk some thing CURRENT.

  • 8
    4

    “Who killed Lakshman Kadirgamar?
    Posted on September 1, 2015 by mffcoexist
    With the revelation of information that a fake LTTE had been maintained by Army intelligence to carry out certain political assassinations and the assassinations had been carried out with instructions from those who were in power at the time Ajitha Kadirgamar, the daughter of distinguished foreign minister Lakshman Kadirgamar and other family members, say a methodical investigation should be carried out regarding Mr. Kadirgamar’s assassination. The information regarding the fake LTTE was revealed while investigations on the disappearance of Cartoonist Prageeth Eknaligoda were being carried out.

    Mr. Lakshman Kadirgamar was killed when a sniper shot at him while he was at the swimming pool of his residence at Bullers Road in Colombo on 12th August, 2005.”
    “Mr. Kadirgamar’s daughter, Ajita Kadirgamar, in an interview with ‘Ceylon Today’, has said though belated the family was now planning to urge the new government to launch a comprehensive probe into her father’s killing that took place a decade ago. She said despite the passage of a decade, perceptions in several quarters remain nebulous about the manner in which her father was killed.

    After Mr. Kadirgamar’s assasination previous regime had acquired their ancestral lands in Jaffna when all the legal ownership documentation was available. The land that once belonged to our family has been converted into a Presidential Palace”, said Ms. Ajita Kadirgamar.”

    • 4
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      If the govt killed Kadirgamar then Chandrika should take responsibility as she was the President. Since she is also part of Yahapalana the present govt should also take responsibility. Oh no not the Tamil Tigers they won’t do such things!!!!

      • 2
        1

        Percy the dated pathetic

        “If the govt killed Kadirgamar then Chandrika should take responsibility as she was the President.”

        FYI
        Dr Mahinda Rajapaksa (LLD, PhD X 3) was the prime minister of this island from
        6 April 2004 to 19 November 2005 and president from 19 November 2005 to 9 January 2015.
        Lakshman Kadirgamar was assassinated in a high security zone on 12 August 2005. Dr Gotabhaya was already in Sri Lanka working for his brother Dr Mahinda (LLD, PhD X 3) on his presidential election campaign for which Basil/Tiran aliance paid something like Rs 185 Million to VP the psychopath and he was duly elected president of this island.

        • 1
          1

          Stupid Tamil Vedda
          Who was the President when Kadirgamar was killed in Aug 2005? You have dug up some dates which confirms that.It was Chandrika. How much did Ranil and Premadasa give Prabakaran apart from arms supplied to the Tigers to kill our own soldiers? Please answer that.

          • 2
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            Percy the dated pathetic

            “How much did Ranil and Premadasa give Prabakaran apart from arms supplied to the Tigers to kill our own soldiers? Please answer that.”

            I should think very little compared to what Clan & Tiran gave your favorite son of the land who won two elections and a war single-handedly for Dr Mahinda (LLD + PhDx3), Dr Gotbhaya (DSc), Basil (10, 20, 30%). …. During the 30 years of VP the psychopath made many in the South very rich. Are you one of those nouveau riche?

            PS
            Nouveau riche – people who have recently acquired wealth, typically those perceived as ostentatious or lacking in good taste

            • 1
              1

              Stupid native Vedda
              You don’t have to explain nouveau riche to me. It is like a an enslaved peasant trying to teach table manners to the lord of the Manor! I suppose you know what a manor is, if not will tell you after the toilet break.
              Prabakaran decimated the front ranks of the UNP viz Premadasa(I raise my hat to Prabakaran for that) and other undesirables such as Gamini ,Lalith et al. You may ask why not Ranil. Simple answer because Ranil was running shit scared of Praba and would not only have given half of SRI Lanka to him but also the whole bloody thing if Praba decided to have a fireworks show near 5 th Lane.So when the elections came around Ranil was supporting Praba. Mahinda the political genius then sent Praba some money to organise a boycott of the polls. What a stroke of genius you may say Vedda through gritted teeth of yours showing severe dental malnutrition. Every act of kindness needs to be reciprocated well and truly. That is what Mahinda did.when he came into power and took on Praba head on. Now watch out your lachrymose glands are working lachrymose for a rustic overtime,but what lachrymose for an unsophiticated rustic. You may now run to the toilet.

  • 1
    0

    New King won the election without a party. But he cannot win any elections as now he in SLFP. But old Knows he can win few election only if he is back in SLFP. But he doesn’t have any party. So the game rule is, New can only win elections ignoring SLFP, making friendship with Ranil and minorities. Old can win election only if he gets back to SLFP. Slap is only a party in the election commissioner’s book. Sinhalese are no doubt Modayas. But there is no truth in proposing that the Slap party will be winning an election without any leaders or heros. Suppose that leaderless party win any serious election, GLP will be the next SWRD.

    Thero and Old King know Slap can possibly register victory in more Local sites. That is no reflection of Main Election. In the major towns, it will be UNP. But in the minor Locals, when the two main parties fight with each other, Slap will be able to grab something. So they are planning to show this as major victory and seduce New King to surrender them SLFP.

    Ranil cannot win EP election. Further, he is looking for to revenge on Tamils for his loss in 2005. To remove Tamils from influencing the elections, he is ready to abolish EP. If the 19A stays there, New King cannot go beyond after 2025. So he offered to New to let him be in the office until 2025 but, after 2020, with limited powers. For anybody like New, who are with only limited abilities and one came to office only with 100 days limitation, which is a windfall opportunity. But New’s reluctance to accept that deal may be due to his fear that Old have the power to become PM. If that happen, then he may have white vanned New on the first opportunity. That has to be prevented somehow, in New’s thoughts. Any Idea?

  • 2
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    once again he is living in cloud cuckoo land and suffering from the same rajapaksa syndrome in the hope of getting a job as he has been too long in the wilderness
    [edited out]

  • 4
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    DJ is a very biased and dishonest Political analyst. HE never thinks about the country even though he talks about Chinese communist struggle and Fidel Castro. I think JVP (AKD) understands Sri lanka’s problems as systems defects and not as issues. JVP should be voted into at least to be the opposition. JVP talks about the system and not issues. All other SLFP, UNP and their Remnents of SLPP whose pawn is G.L. Peiris do not have people to do it. I listened to AKD’s TV interview I was impressed.

  • 6
    2

    I was LMAO after reading half of this article (felt not worth wasting my time in reading the rest). How can a person stoop to such a low level in promoting his master who kicked this fellows arse after receiving help? The biggest knaves are the two so called ‘Heros’ from Ruhuna. They are not only daylight robbers but also murderers. The white van Gota is already cursed by the people. Amend the 19th amendment and make MR the president again, LOL! It is better to go and beg on the streets (if you are so bankrupt) rather than promoting the dangerous thieves and killers in order to secure a job.

  • 3
    2

    [edited out]r Dayan Jayatillake quotes Mao Zedong ~ “There is great disorder under heaven. The situation is excellent”
    [edited out]
    Mao cared for the oppressed and fought hard for working class. Heard anything about this ‘working class’? They produce the wealth off which the ruling class live. Working class slave in the MidEast.

  • 0
    2

    All these ignorant so called patriots should remember that whether it is white or green van it was who worked against the win over LTTE are the victims of these vans, No law abiding citizens have to fear for the so called vans.

    • 2
      1

      kasun ~ “…….No law abiding citizens have to fear for the so-called vans”
      Which laws did Prageeth break?

      • 1
        0

        Who told you he was killed by the Rajapaksha Regime?

  • 1
    1

    Dr.Jayalath ,enough of your lectures ,of which part if Lanka is given to whom and by whom ,reality is we no longer even own the land of few perches we stand in with a deed .every inches is owned by the countries we are indebted to.
    At least I am sure you have some past influence in Switzerland ,and am sure you also have some amount of it with important people who are still holding large chunks of our money there ? Can’t you at least convince the important people to psy at least part of our debts of 9.5 trillion rupees ,they robbed from ?

  • 1
    0

    We the people are all mentally exhausted with this continued artifice.. Just get to the main issue .How do you propose ,no matter who ,but who ,will pay back the 9.5 Trillion rupees debt we owing the world ,! ? Can you provide a break down how we first of all ended up with that amount ? Do your suggestion have a guaranteed way to pay back this ? And how do

    they propose to do it?and how long?. Don’t expect to rob thamby and pay kurupu ,or tax whole sake the poor people .if you can not answer this it. Detail ,Dr start reading the series of Greek myths ,its bedtime

  • 0
    0

    Abeyance has become very consistent with the government out as well as that is in when it comes to the large chunk of Gold that was robbed by the Ltte from the poor Tamil people ,.where is it !? Why is not even the Tamil leaders trying to recover it, please stop playing with the people or be prepared for the worse.

    Stop conning the people and solve our livelihood.,Beg or steel ,but don’t borrow anymore . we are not paying our taxes ,go fly a kite.

    Tell your jokers when you meet in secret ,the green, blues and purple. To be prepared to face millions on their door steps ,if they don’t solve the common man’s problems.

  • 3
    1

    Before nominations Dayan must tell us why GR left the Army while the war was on. Why killings of several journalists were not investigated.Why MR stole funds sent to rehabilitate the children of the Tsunami dead to feed Shiranthi Namal and them. Ekneligoda and Lasantha’s wife and children are still looking for their husband/father. They will look for the dear lost father for millions of years to come in samsara cursing Rajapakse’s their children the progeny and who justify the killings like Dayan for millions of years.If Buddhism is true retribution cannot be avoided.

    • 1
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      Upali,

      GR left the army because he had completed the honorable 20 year service to the military and the country. Most of all it was the futile methods used to wage war which made GR disheartened and leave the country for good. If he was an opportunist like SF (who had used illegal methods to pass awards and ranked himself up) he would have stayed in the army while enjoying his perks as seasoned high ranking army officer.

      If Buddhism is true then the retribution must first come down of Ranil let anyone else for his Batalanda fame. 60,000 people went missing including prominent journalist like Richard Zoysa who was miles ahead to the like of Lasantha and Eknaligoda. Aren’t their parents and loved ones are waiting for these people? Are they like “pol kudu” so people like you can throw it out?

      • 1
        1

        Shenai,
        Retribution is no respector of persons. As Buddha preached like the cart following the bull karma will follow the culprits for Sarasanka Kalpalakshayak. The question is not whether its MR, GR or Ranil its whether who killed Richard Lasantha and Ekneligoda. I am sorry that by condoning dastardly killings you have got the cart to follow you.

        • 0
          2

          Upali,

          The people who have done bad things will carry the burden for the eternity. But for the country it makes no sense at all. Country don’t need a saint but a capable leader who can guide his people to prosperity.

          We had such a leader even though he had some short comings. But our people just kicked him out for something even worse. That is the real problem.

          • 0
            1

            Shenali

            “We had such a leader even though he had some short comings.”

            Please stop tickling us.

      • 1
        1

        Shenal,
        This is deception. GR left the Army after 8 years of service scared to go to the front after paying the army you call it buy back. Its not 20 years as you say.If it is 20 as you say he should have been a general or probably an inefficient coward who was not considered for promotion. He left as a Lt. Colonel.

        • 1
          1

          Singhe,

          AFAIK Gota joined the army back in 1971. He left the army in 1991 if I am correct. Do the math and see how it adds up. Moreover, don’t assume that just because people got ranked up quickly during the war time; it was the norm before. I think you will also be surprised the Sarath Fonseka was also a Lt. Colonel during the same time. Even Mr. Kobbakaduwa was a Brigedier back in the day. He was posthumously promoted to the next rank (Lt. General) only when he was killed. The real reason for this was the size of the army. Back in the day we had a smaller army numbering no more than 100,000. Therefore, in those times higger ranks were not as widespread as today.

  • 3
    1

    Remind Dayan of his days with Chief Minister Varatharaja Perumal of the Eelam Peoples’ Liberation Party. That is enough to explore this fool and traitor. No wonder he backs White Van Gota. He is now desperate and stressed. Give him a tranquilizer

    • 1
      1

      Somaratne Dehigama

      “That is enough to explore this fool and traitor. No wonder he backs White Van Gota.”

      Are you saying Dayan was trained well in Mandayan group, a dead squad operated by EPRLF is qualified enough to manage Dr Gota (DSc)’s white van fleet? Probably Dr Mahinda (DSc) would sack him for his incompetency.

  • 1
    1

    Let we analyze the vote base of parties in srilanka. 1.mahindas modern slfp -5.7 million. Ceylon workers congress-100000. Unp block votes & the small minority group-3.1 millon votes. Jvp -600000 votes. TNA-600000 , Muslim congress-500,000 votes. Hela urumaya & all other sinhala parties – 200000 votes, Digambaram + rrishardbaduyudeen-300000 votes. Flloating votes – 1.2 million( 9900000 floating has been casted to unp and maitree in 2015 elections) total votes 12.3 million. According to last election mahinda 5.8 million anti mahinda 6.2 million.in next presidential election there will be 1.3 million fresh voters.. If gotabaya is the candidate out of this 1.3 million votes the huge posibility of getting 800000 votes.and there will be a great possibility of getting 500000 floating votes which were casted to maithree last time. So he can easily get 7.1 million votes with out minority support as last election. For his opponent first thing we can say unp does not have any ability to file a unp candidate with their small vote base of 3.1 million agaist modern slfp who hold a huge vote base of 5.8 million. Unp candidate has to come as a common candidate with all other minor parties. With this parties slmc -500000 tna -600000 digambaram – 300000 and hela urumaya and all other sinhala votes of 200000 is sure for unp. Then the total is 4.7 million. That means 86 % of minority support. From the floating votes of sinhalese if the got 400000 and fresh votes of 500000 they can maximum can get 5.6 million or 5.7 million. That means gotabaya can easily win this election with 1.5 million. If jvp is supporting unp is imposible in this election even jvp supports unp Gotabaya will win by 900000 votes. It is a clear picture of srilankan vote base. A party like unp only holding 3.1 million vote base cant win a presidential election.in a case maithree contest he cant get any mahindas sinhala vote but he will break the minority votes in to 2 .then unps situation is very bad than i have mentioned. Can any one have concern with this calculation kindly proof me with data.

  • 1
    1

    I have not read anything so stupid as this article. An absolute load of crap and rubbish with no rationale or an iota of common sense.[edited out]

  • 0
    2

    UNP has created New mechanism of an anarchism in- between Democracy and Terrorism.
    Current UNP is not going on peaceful sail of democracy with nation sovereignty by at all smooth operation in future of political democracy of an Island.
    It is under political classes of UNP’s by bourgeoisie leadership has created New disorder an island that cannot be justiciable by the democratic governance or good governance in coming years..
    This is fact of reality of that political-economic-social operation has been proved during last 36 months of misruling whole system .
    Of cause the name of so-called ” good governances” aim of undermined very foundation of an order of Sri Lankan democracy! By the Ranil Wicks..

    In my view is that 2015 January 8th class relationships and balances forces has remains as it is!
    Only disorder is man made created by UNP support of foreign -power taken into vital interest of regional power and global interest of USA.

    Well, destabilization comes to Island from outside advices and by intelligent agencies.
    The Government run by local puppet regime in power which is manipulated by President, Primer and CBK?
    Ours important slogan or message is ask all foreign power to stay away from Sri lanka.
    We have failed learn its lesson from 2015 January 8th power regime even now?
    We do want democracy to be restore soon, back to the path of development and Democracy of Island of Sri lanka.

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