25 September, 2020

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The Return Of The Big Brother?

By Tisaranee Gunasekara

“We all know that Your Excellency is a legendary statesman with outstanding leadership. You are a great hero for defeating terrorism.”

Air Chief Marshall Xu Qiliang to President Rajapaksa[i]

“President Mahinda Rajapaksa yesterday supported China’s idea of a new Asian security concept….”

Daily Mirror – 22.5.2014

President Mahinda Rajapaksa was receiving the highest Chinese military delegation ever to visit Colombo, the day Narendra Modi’s BJP romped to victory in India. The purposes of this visit was identified by the Vice Chairman of China’s Central Military Commission as enhancing ‘strategic mutual trust’ and elevating ‘relations between the two countries and the armed forces to a new level’[ii].

President Rajapaksa was in Beijing, attending the fourth Conference on Interaction and Confidence Building Measures in Asia the day the BJP officially nominated Narendra Modi as PM. In his speech, Mr. Rajapaksa supported China’s proposal for “the creation of a new Asian structure for security cooperation based on a regional group that included Russia and Iran and excluded the United States”[iii].

Coincidences of not, these events will be watched by the BJP, because they signal the growing Chinese-footstep in a region India considers her own.

Mahinda RajapaksaIn a move which surprised almost everyone, Narendra Modi invited the SAARC leaders to attend his inauguration. Media attention is focused on how Pakistan’s new PM and the omnipotent military will respond to this invitation. But this unprecedented move would have caused some flutter in Beijing as well, this may well be Mr. Modi’s first step in asserting Indian supremacy in the South Asian region.

According to an unnamed ‘senior BJP Leader close to Mr. Modi’, the invitation conveys a simple message: “…. Modi will walk the extra mile for friends…but he will brook no nonsense…. He would not tolerate the kind of arm-twisting Manmohan Singh had to put up with…”[iv] Some Indian analysts agree; “Modi’s message is very clear. He wants to emerge as leader of South Asia first before aiming high at global stage…”[v]

So a Pax India for South Asia, a new modus vivendi under Indian aegis, with India playing the role of the Big Brother. Mr. Modi’s regional policy may well be a continuation of the ‘Either you are my younger brother or you are my enemy’ approach followed with destabilising aplomb by Indira Gandhi. Perceived friends will be protected and rewarded. Perceived enemies will be punished. The line between friend and foe will not be drawn in sand, but etched in stone.

And China will be the decisive factor in shaping Modi-India’s relations with her tiny neighbour across the Palk Straits.

The issue of Lankan Tamils or Tamilnadu fishermen may be used to signal, reward or punish the Rajapaksa administration. But Delhi’s attitude towards Colombo will depend essentially on Colombo’s attitude towards Beijing. And currently, Colombo cannot displease Beijing on any issue, as was clearly demonstrated during Premier DM Jayaratne’s latest faux pas.

China National Offshore Oil Corporation, a state-owned company, has built an oil rig in the disputed-waters of the South China Sea. This has caused several naval collisions between China and Vietnam. During his Vesak-visit to Vietnam, PM Jayaratne reportedly expressed Sri Lanka’s support for Vietnam vis-à-vis the latest scrap[vi].

Beijing took immediate note and was immensely displeased.

A few hours later, the Chinese Ambassador in Colombo issued a statement expressing his government’s concern about Mr. Jayaratne’s remarks[vii]. And Colombo swung into crisis-management mode. External Affairs Ministry made a statement giving the lie to the PM. Back home, Mr. Jayaratne was made to eat his own words, in the presence of the Chinese Ambassador. A senior official of the PM’s office stated that the PM ‘did not utter a single word against China’; his remarks were ‘misrepresented by the Vietnamese media’[viii]. And President Rajapaksa assured the visiting Chinese delegation ‘of Sri Lanka’s support in international and regional matters such as One-China policy and with matters pertaining to the South China Sea’[ix].

That little comedy of errors demonstrated Beijing’s über-sensitivity to Colombo’s stance on regional issues – and Colombo’s über sensitivity to Beijing’s moods. Imagine Lanka’s plight if the Sino-Indian border dispute over Hamachal Pradesh heats up. Thanks to Rajapaksa economics, Colombo cannot afford to be non-aligned between India and China. If Colombo displeases Beijing, Chinese largesse may dry up. India cannot and will not pick the bill. Therefore, like any addict, the Rajapaksas will have to do whatever it takes to keep the supplies coming, including seriously angering Narendra Modi.

Birds of a Feather?

Basil Rajapaksa is right for once. There is many an execrable similarity between his presidential-brother and Narendra Modi.

According to Nilanjan Mukhopadhaya, the author of the widely-acclaimed biography, ‘Narendra Modi – The Man, the Times’ ,“There was one observation routinely made by almost everyone I interviewed while researching for the book – that Modi did not like to listen to any other viewpoints besides his own, that he was authoritarian…. Modi can get extremely vindictive if you write reports that are critical of him”[x]. Ashis Nandy, who interviewed Mr. Modi in 2002, called him a classic ‘authoritarian personality’: “I still remember the cool measured tone in which he elaborated the theory of cosmic conspiracy against India that painted every Muslim as a suspected traitor and potential terrorist”[xi]. The Indian Supreme Court compared his conduct during the horrendous Gujarati riots to Nero’s: “The modern day Neros were looking elsewhere when Best Bakery and innocent children and helpless women were burning, and were probably deliberating how the perpetrators of the crime can be protected”[xii]. According to Wikileaks, a former US Ambassador described Mr. Modi as ‘insular, distrustful and a hoarder of power, someone who rules with a coterie of advisors’[xiii].

Popularity and fascism are not mutually exclusive. Adolf Hitler was loved and trusted almost to the bitter end. In any case, only 31% of Indians voted for Mr. Modi[xiv].

Had Mr. Modi been born a Sinhala-Buddhist he would have become a leading light of the BBS and supported the Rajapaksas. But he is an Indian-Hindu. And like all religious fundamentalists, he has his own ‘Clash of civilisation’ theory, with Buddhism ranked with Christianity and Islam.

Amartya Sen reminds us that “When Akbar was issuing his legal order that ‘no man should be interfered with on account of religion’….. Giordano Bruno was being burnt at the stake in Rome for heresy….”[xv]  Mr. Modi, like the BBS, the Rajapaksas and religious-fundamentalists of every religion, is an ideological legatee of those who burnt Bruno. These are not the best qualifications to become the head of a growing regional power, but, unfortunately, the elevation of the unsuitable is a standard democratic risk. India, with her robust media, independent judiciary and thriving regional power-centres, will survive Mr. Modi, more-or-less intact. But Sri Lanka’s fate may be a darker one.

Premier Modi will have many national promises to keep and many national opponents to beat. Sri Lanka, on her own, is unlikely to figure prominently on his agenda. But Sri Lanka, as a pawn of China and/or Pakistan’s ISI, can find herself in the crosshairs of PM Modi, who came to national-prominence by playing Arjuna during the infamous Ayodhya Rath Yathra.


[ii] ibid

[iii] Daily Mirror – 22.5.2014

[viii] Ibid

[xiv] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_general_election,_2014 – India has the ‘First past the post system’; that is how the BJP was able to win a majority of parliamentary seats.

[xv] The Argumentative Indian

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Latest comments

  • 4
    25

    while agreeing with the general premise of the article (about the international relations and our predicament) I must say the Mahinda Rajapakse is not a Sinhalese Buddhist extremist and certainly it is untrue to state that “There is many an execrable similarity between his presidential-brother and Narendra Modi” in the form and manner that is implied in the article. Mahinda Rajapakse is merely attending to his constituency. The vast majority of Sinhalese Buddhists support and rely on his patronage.

    • 4
      11

      Navin,

      You are right, what can Modi in India or Madans in the US and the UK can do to Sri Lanka when China, the budding super power and Russia, the resurrecting super power get together to stop bullying SL by the West and India?

      Let them not forget what happened in Ukraine and the islands in the South China sea.

      Our armed forces are ready to face any threat from outside: It might become another Vietnam for the aggressors we warn them not to try.

      We will have our Asian solution to Tamil terrorism, and show the world once again how to beat terrorism.

      • 5
        1

        Thiru

        “Our armed forces are ready to face any threat from outside: It might become another Vietnam for the aggressors we warn them not to try”

        According to one retired Hindian navy chief, Hindian air force is capable of dismantling Sri Lankan security installations within 24 hours, many times over. Therefore Hindian forces are not required to step on the shores of this island.

        Unilaterally imposed naval and air blockades are other options, though painful to the people, including travel ban.

        Remember when Hindian forces arrived in 1987 all those brave commanders and their soldiers were hiding behind their women folks and later behind VP’s fat back. The foolish psychopath fought for the preservation and protection of Sinhala/Buddhist sovereignty while the armed forces were freed to kill innocent Sinhalese youth. Now VP is no longer alive to protect Sinhala soldiers they may have to find ways of leaving this island, perhaps on Australian ships to Australia.

        Remember when Indra the female Hitler decided to divide Pakistan even the mighty American couldn’t stop the division.

        China and Russia relatively powerful countries would make statements not condemning Hindia’s actions but requesting Hindians observe International obligations. Both know there is morning after the day before.

        A Vietnam style protracted war is not an option for this little islanders.

        Do you seriously think Russia, China, Pakistan, Iran, Venezuela, … and other friendly nations are willing to risk their relations with Hindia for the sake of MR, Gota, Mahanayakes, ……… ?

        All I know is that China is only 4,500 miles closer us whereas Hindia is 20 miles away from this island.

        I know you are kidding when you wrote

        “what can Modi in India or Madans in the US and the UK can do to Sri Lanka when China, the budding super power and Russia, the resurrecting super power get together to stop bullying SL by the West and India?”

        Please don’t offend the gallantry armed forces whose heroic deeds are well documented. They bravely fought, killed and won their enemies, their own people since 1971.

        You are rest assured Hindians will be defeated in no time. Being Chanakya himself MR will run to Modi shut the door behind him and kiss Modi’s dust filled shoes.

        In case Weerawansa goes on hunger strike please let him. Dayan could build a few paper planes to threaten Hindian air force. Mahanayakes could fight the Hindians with Mahawamsa. There are so many possibilities.

      • 2
        1

        Thiru,

        JRJ also thought and behaved like the way you think. But subsequently had to eat Indian Parippu. MR is no better if he try to play Hambanthota villege tricks with international politics. He will get caught red handed. No more jokes.

        Unlike Modi, MR is neither a Buddhist nor a Sinhala extremist. But he is just another opportunist whose only ambition is to stay in power. Buddhist and Sinhala is MR’s trump card that he plays to achieve his sordid dreams.

        How could you say MR is a Buddhist when he promotes Cocain, Ethenol and Casinos in Sri Lanka. Infact unlike Modi who is a vegetarian, MR is a pure bred meat eater according to Gen.SF.
        According to Gen.SF MR’s one meal consists with five different types of Meat. Just imagine his loyalty to lord Buddha and Sri Lanka. Infct MR is ruining our country, it’s people and it’s wealth.

        If MR try to hoodwink USA, then that’s going to be his grave yard.
        USA along with UK,Canada, West and their UN supporters will choke Sri Lanka economically to go to rest in peace. Therefore Moda MR has to be careful not to play Hambanthota comedy tricks with them.

        Ninety percent (90%) of our exports go to USA and the West. Less than five percent (5%) goes to China and Russia. So do your Math.

        Yes let’s see the outcome of March 26th Modi inaguration, and see where MR stands. Hope MR will have his luck to stay and watch Modi inaguration without much interferenlce and difficulty.

        Let’s hope for the Best and prepare for the worst.

        • 0
          1

          Native Vedda, Lasantha,

          I thought people are smart enough to figure out, from my views before, that I was just playing the agent provocateur:

          You guys swallowed the hook, line and stinker!

          What a pity.

          • 3
            1

            Thiru

            “You guys swallowed the hook, line and stinker!”

            This is what I wrote, you didn’t get it did you?

            I know you are kidding when you wrote

            “what can Modi in India or Madans in the US and the UK can do to Sri Lanka when China, the budding super power and Russia, the resurrecting super power get together to stop bullying SL by the West and India?”

    • 4
      3

      As could be seen on the pic – pictures worth thousand words..
      meeharaka is intoxicated by power. The effect is even worst than taking hard drugs. Once a criminal cannot be a life long criminal, but for me, these kinds of idiots that have gone to ectasy by being people´s leaders – though not having the least capactiy to work for the nation -are real criminals.

  • 5
    5

    This comment was removed by a moderator because it didn’t abide by our Comment policy.For more detail see our Comment policy https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/comments-policy-2/

    • 9
      3

      Elam Kolla’s best effort ! squashed by consistence CT moderator(s)

      still holding the most no of “Dong” votes with a huge margin. Maybe Elam Kolla was given carrot by Elam boys to exhibit MR regime’s stupidity.

      Just a thought. Elam Kolla can enlighten us – provided EK gets past the CTM!

      • 2
        1

        afzal, any lead for next self business burn down?

        • 2
          0

          Ela Change of hearts I voted “Ding” for you.

        • 1
          0

          ela kolla and avatars,

          Did you return to Habaraduwa? A Monk in Habaraduwa gives proper education. Looks like you were able to take Bus 134.

          Ask Jim Softy “Thatha” and Lorenzo “Bappa” to give you candies, and “Mung Kavum’

          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yNSC93mPs4I

    • 5
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      It is extremely difficult for Thana Kolla to abide by CT’s comment policy because his brains, if any, are embedded elsewhere!!

      • 0
        4

        buru mike, are you still suffering from the permanent head damage?

        • 2
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          DONG!

          • 0
            0

            :) it’s too funny !

    • 2
      2

      Ahhh! “ela kola” again.

      Why is he reluctant to use his proper name? Balu Kela Kolla. For readers, the background is that when ela kola was being fathered, the inputting place was too dry. So the canine used saliva to lubricate.

      Why does he not understand that dogs are not allowed to comment on CT? That if they do they such comments will never get published, unless by oversight?

      • 1
        3

        dogs are allowed to comment and the are published too..that’s why your comments are published, navin fool

        • 3
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          Thana Kolla, you appear to have dog mentality and that is why you have a penchant to sniff, sniff, Jayalalitha’s worn undies!!

          • 0
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            buru mike, you are a lowlife rascal and you seem to enjoy [Edited out]

            • 1
              0

              what kind of promotions you got being that apologetic ?

              May be getting to eat more bath dan koda of Rajapakshes (left overs of Rajapakshes).

              Days are numbered, Rajapakshe nemesis is seen at the end of the tunnel. Jaya niyathai for us guys that fight for justice and dignified life. We the srilankens enjoyed good values in democracy.
              For me only defeating Rajapakshe would not relieve me, all the funds that he has abused from the people s funds should be confiscated by the newly elected regime.
              If nothing would work Thailand style millitary coup will do the due.. is more likable… with increase of signs on the ground these days.

            • 1
              0

              ela kolla and avatars,

              Did you return to Habaraduwa? A Monk in Habaraduwa gives proper education. Looks like you were able to take Bus 134. Ask Jim Softy “Thatha” and Lorenzo “Bappa” to give you candies, and “Mung Kavum’

              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yNSC93mPs4I

  • 12
    5

    The TG article provides a view of how the political landscape has changed with N. Modi’s BJP win in Indian election.

    I think N. Modi’s invitation to MR is clear indication that he intend to be engaged with MR. The bickering in TN is not going to change anything.

    MR cannot play his double games with BJP Modi, his days of playing Congress and TN are gone. Actually MR regime would have been happier if TN J. Amma is part of the BJP government so that he can continue his double game.

    N. Modi will be firm with MR, I believe at the end of the day Tamils in NE will benefit more though N Modi. However he will not be deceived by all these Dias Hora Tamil organizations, Mr. Vigneswaran will find that he can get lot of things done through a firm hand in India. It wont be long before CVV visit India.

    MR will find it though pleasing the Chinese and Indians while playing to the local vote base.

    It wont be long before MR wake up from his intoxication and realize that if he is to have another term as President he cannot do it without Tamil, Christian and Muslim Votes. But he lost them all already.

    • 3
      7

      Afzal:

      First of all your comment is full of contradictions. From being a Tamil basher you have now become 33.33333 Sinhalese 33.3333 Muslim ( by name ) 33.3333 Tamil with realisation of current realities. This is what I call RUDE AWAKENING ( or ENLIGHTENMENT)

      • 5
        1

        You are entitled to your opinion.

        what most racists (tamil, muslim or Singhala) cannot comprehend is that there is different set of people who r open minded and multicultural!

        • 1
          4

          Afzal:

          Obviously you excluded from that Club as you belong to the 20 million.

          • 0
            0

            I am not going to throw anymore “Balls” for you to fetch. You will have to find someones to throw balls at you.

            You are in a different league,which is common to most racists elements a sickness which has no cure.

            You can play “ding” “dong” with your comments.

            Ela Kolla is better at least he has some humor.

        • 3
          1

          Afzal

          “what most racists (tamil, muslim or Singhala) cannot comprehend is that there is different set of people who r open minded and multicultural!”

          as long as the others keep their head down and accept Sinhala/Buddhists hegemony, dictatorship,what is given to them, …

  • 4
    1

    So, according to Tisaranee we will have the clash of the aiya Satan and the mali Satan:

    It will be interesting to watch from the ring side!

    • 0
      0

      There wont be any clash I bet.
      Malabari Mara as usual say Yes to India and as well say another Yes at the same time to konde bandapu Cheena. Then he will boast.

      What Tisaranee saying was if Modi is a hardline Hindhutva fellow similar to BBS-Malabari Mara, he would tolerate Mara’s ideology.
      Similar in the sense of extremism but completely opposite.

      Today Jayalalita who most probably will not attend the new PM’s swearing-in ceremony because of Malabari Meeharaka, showed her displeasure. According to NDTV 24X7 & Time Now channels there is different views among BJP members. Nawas Sherif is very much unlikely to attend the ceremony thanks to ever confused Pakistani Military. Pakistan is a big joke. Pakistan do not care or or give a damn about the minority Muslims in the region. In a debate today a some high ranking former Army guys called Modi was butcher referring to Gujarat riots. ISI was also apparently involved in that riots. Pakistan was vehemently denied the accusations against Mara of harassing the minorities at the recently concluded Geneva UNHRC meeting.

      For Pakistan its not the minority Muslims in the region or Islam is important to them. For them its ‘Pakistan’ which is important.

      If Malabari Mara (who has no shame anyway) attends the event he would look like a circus jockey along with his bakala-john Shiranthi.

  • 4
    2

    Tisaranee Gunasekara –

    “Popularity and fascism are not mutually exclusive. Adolf Hitler was loved and trusted almost to the bitter end. In any case, only 31% of Indians voted for Mr. Modi[xiv].”

    “Had Mr. Modi been born a Sinhala-Buddhist he would have become a leading light of the BBS and supported the Rajapaksas. But he is an Indian-Hindu. And like all religious fundamentalists, he has his own ‘Clash of civilisation’ theory, with Buddhism ranked with Christianity and Islam.”

    Hindu Fundamentalist Modi will not be kind to the heretic “Religion” Buddhism, that says there is no-Soul, Anatte, and that says no need for Gods, when there are lots of Gods in Hinduism.

    Furthermore, Hindu Fundamentalist Modi will not be kind to the Paradeshi or Para-Religions, “Religion” , that says there is one Soul, ending up in eternal Hell or Heaven, unlike the rebirth options offered by Hinduism.

    Well, well, this is what a Nobel Prize Winner had to say.

    Steven Weinberg (born May 3, 1933) is an American theoretical physicist and Nobel laureate in Physics for his contributions with Abdus Salam and Sheldon Glashow to the unification of the weak force and electromagnetic interaction between elementary particles.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_Weinberg

    His views on religion were expressed in a speech from 1999 in Washington, D.C.; see also Quotations related to Steven Weinberg at Wikiquote:

    “‘Religion is an insult to human dignity. With or without it you would have good people doing good things and evil people doing evil things. But for good people to do evil things, that takes religion.”[14]

    • 0
      0

      Amarasiri is your surname is having any connection to Ahangama. Why I ask this is because I have a ver good friend called Ahangama and his knowledge about The Hela and other old Lankan language is very similar to yours.r

  • 6
    0

    Modi the Prime Minister of Inida wil be diffrent to Modi the CM of Gujarat.

    Obama as a Presidential candidate ws full of fresh ideas and hope. There was a great expectation from him to deliver as President. But he failed to live up to the expectation because of the system.

  • 5
    8

    LTTE proxy Vaiko demands that the Indian PM Modi withdraw the invitation to the Srilankan President.

    This is the acid test for the PM before he takes on the Chinese to please Ms T.

    Will Modi bend over to Vaiko?.

    Especially on this 23rd death anniversary of the young Indian PM who was cut down in his prime by the biggest Terrorist of the 21st century.

    And the turf where he was blasted is now the biggest LTTE territory outside the Diaspora..

    • 5
      4

      Sumane,

      This can be a message by Modi and his team to Jarapakshas the new Indian side has issues too with Tamilnadu in dealing with Colombo. Briefly, this can mean the Jarapaksha joy of playing the fool with Wiggie – the Veggie will soon come to an end. With Vaiko finding a more influential role in Delhi the Jarapaksha headaches will only increase. The writing on the wall is clear to Colombo – provide the required and delayed justice to Wiggie and you will find a more accommodative South Bloc. If Anbumani Ramdoss gets a Cabinet berth it will further add to the Jarapaksha woes.

      Kettikaran

      • 4
        2

        Kettikaran

        “If Anbumani Ramdoss gets a Cabinet berth it will further add to the Jarapaksha woes. “

        Anbumani Ramdoss will spend his entire period as minister finding ways and means to swindle the state coffer. That is what they do.

        The don’t give a damn about their own people nor Tamils in this land.

    • 5
      3

      KA “Will Modi bend over to Vaiko?. Especially on this 23rd death anniversary of the young Indian PM “

      Indian people have overwhemly voted out the Gandhi dyansty. Modi did not attend the memorial event, instead he tweeted. Thst ahows how much he cares for the Gandhi family. “LTTE kileed Rajiv Gandhi” is not going to cut ice with him. You guys have to dump it.

      • 1
        0

        The Congress Party and Sonia G had a genuine axe to grind against Prabhakaran and the LTTE for killing Rajiv (though it was Rajiv’s mother Indira who armed and trained the LTTE). So a Congress led India went along with the Regime in Colombo for the most part, even providing intelligence information along with the US to track down and sink LTTE ships, which immensely helped Sri Lanka’s military campaign. But Modi? He has no such political baggage and probably despises the feudalistic Gandhis. It’s a whole different ball game and Modi will look at the here and now, of Sri Lanka’s close military and intelligence ties to hated Pakistan and China, of a Pakistani ISI operative at their High Commission in Colombo controlling a terrorist sent to India, of the need to defuse Tamil nationalist sentiments in Tamil Nadu by forcing Sri Lanka to implement 13+. That will be a bare minimum payback.

        • 1
          1

          India-Lanka (Modi-King) politics has to returns to 1970’s before it takes a new shape.
          1).JVP war,
          2). Indian Amy’s help to Control JVP,
          3).BMICH from China,
          3).Bangladesh war,
          4).Pakistani Planes in Lanka,
          5).Katchchativu bribe,
          6).JR calls Mrs Gandhi “A Gosht”……
          At the end India decides to use Tamils problems to deal with the Lankan’s anti-India behavior. Until this, you may remember, India never took upcountry Tamils problems seriously. But that is one way of Lanka showing its anti-India feelings though use upcountry Tamils as pawns.

          Modi has to go through these as for his personal experiences before he settle on a policy about Lanka. These are irreverent for Annai Sonia, because she is neither a leader nor politician. These did not take place during Vajpayee time. So he did not act. The reason was Pakistan receiving direct responses, but they were small. In Lanka, the leaders were very alert of 1987. SLFP Chandrika was not willing to go with China against India like Srima or did JR. China was relatively silent.

          Now the situation is reversed. China is very active. Lanka no longer remembers 1987. King’s politics is only about game playing. He will do the same thing Srima did. He is, first going to cool Modi, and then let China in, more and more. In Sonia’s time, King did not have to cool Sonia like that. Her political incapacity enabled to predicts her moves 100% accurately. Sonia behaved like granted. But he will not be able to ignore Modi like that (the way he trashed Sonia). But eventually Modi will have his lessons learned and set up his policies towards Lanka. The greatest disadvantage for Modi is, Sonia not just did China to creep in, but sat and watched west to build to its own Trump Card too. Now west has a big Card against Lanka. There is no way any Indian leader can here after destroy that card. Mrs. Gandhi (Indira)’s LTTE was proscribed in America mainly for its blessing from Mrs. Gandhi. West and India were divided to that extent that time. Now Modi and America has to settle down on their terms to in international operations. During Sonia’s time, she was against Tamils, but not against west, and she did not have pro or anti West economic or political philosophy. Modi do not have good relationship with America, has a policy of (west bent) economic and political matters, and not anti-Tamil.

          These situations will take time for Tamils to see whether Modi is going to work with west for Tamils problem or like Mrs. Gandhi work against west (his own) solution for Tamils. But, in any case, it is not going to be in dormant state like Vajpayee’s time or it is not going to be a complete destruction of Tamils like Sonia’s time. Further Modi will not be given chance of long time like 1970-1980 (full two decades) to deal with Lanka. He will be forced to settle his stand within 3-4 years.

    • 3
      2

      K.A.
      Well the issue for Modi is whetehr he would want Mahinda to attend at the expense of his own citizens in TN not attending

      • 1
        1

        Rajash,

        It is only 60 Mil in TN, And most of them are LTTEers now thanks to Vaiko and the Brahamin CM is a sort of a captive.

        Still there are over Billion Indians to love or hate Modi.

        And over half of them are under Dollar a day inhabitants ( Indian Stats).

        Modi got in promising them liberation from poverty.

        Srilanka is a good market for them.

        You work out what ‘Modi’s priorities would he unless he wants to be a one term PM.

        I didn’t even think of the strategic importance of our country.

    • 4
      3

      Sumbramniam Swamy says yes invite Mahinda.

      Vaiko says no, but Vaiko lost contesting on Modi ticket.Modi still owes him a favour and may nominate him for the RS House.

      Ammma says she will boycott the ceremony if Mahinda comes.Amma won 37 seats but Modi doesnt need them.

      Mahinda is packing elephants, Sapphire and Tea for the trip, they are all available in Inidia anyway and Modi is not for taking bribes.

      Will Mahinda board the plane ?

      Interesting times aheadh.

      • 3
        1

        Rajash

        “Sumbramniam Swamy says yes invite Mahinda.”

        Swamy says many things to many people. Swamy also does many things many people don’t understand.

        Swamy supported LTTE until Rajiv was bumped off by psychopath VP. Swamy bragged about arranging under water commando training to LTTE cadres in Israel.

        Swamy may change his mind again. Swamy may see the need to destabilise this island once again. Swamy may join hands with the opposition party of Hindia.

        Swamy believes both Tamils of this island and Sinhalese were his people.

        Swamy might oblige if I ask him to take back all his people from this island. Maybe not.

        Like Dayan he has 64 positions. He is not stupid like Dayan.

        • 1
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          NV – I agree with you about Subramaniam Swamy.He is a highly intellect person but it fails between brain and the gap

      • 1
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        I understand that Mahinda has invited CM Vigneswaran as part of his delegation. This is a clever move and the motive is to counter the protest in India. Mahinda throwing the ball in Vaiko’s and Amma’s court to stop there oppostion to his invitation.

        The question is whether CM Wiggie will accept the invitation and if so how will Vaiko and Amma react.

        Will they put the red carpet for Mahinda so that Wiggie can tip toe too?

        • 1
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          NPC CM declines Mahinda’s inviation to join him for Modi’s swearing in ceremony.

          The reason he gives is that it may send a wrong signal to the world that evrythin is hanki dori.

  • 5
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    If Amma/Akka/Puratchi Thalaivi a.k.a. Jay Lolita gives a miss to the
    Modi swearing-in because of the Jarapaksha invite, that then is trouble for the Colombo regime from the word go. Rushing into the Chinese embrace is not a bad thing – sovereignty and all – but India’s
    concerns also should be taken into consideration. Remember, Modi is a guy with a short fuse and we must avoid a Cyprus/Bangladesh fate here.

    What a pickle the Jarapaksa’s have gone into – not wanted in Glasgow and now in Delhi. It is time to change the anjanam-eliya guy.

    Kettikaran

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    Tissaranee today’s newspapers report that MR is going to sign up for a South Asian Security pact with China. Chinese military high-ups are coming to Colombo to plan this. An obvious desperate move by MR.Like to know your interpretation of this move. To me it seems frightening because India will be wild about such a move. This will only make Sri Lanka a new war zone.

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      I share Dr. Vidurapola’s justified fears. The tactless and brainless
      Rajapakses can endanger the future of the entire present and coming generations by making enemies of neighbouring India to get personal Insurance Cover for The Family from the Chinese. China has a plan to surround India for their long range plans and the Rajapakses mindlessly offer them the necessary cooperation. Indian Policy makers will recall Panikkar’s fear of Sri Lankan politicians.

      Backlash

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    So,Jayaratne, the mob-orater, opened his mouth wide and put his foot in it!
    Modi cannot be taken for granted – he may not have tolerance for quasi-dictaters masquerading as democrats.
    MaRa has to be be careful.
    Will Modi weild the ‘big-stick’ in the fishing dispute which has been ongoing for decades?
    As only 31% of Indians voted for him,Modi will need to exercise caution.
    If Modi makes it mandatory to replace all bucket-latrines to waterseal,the horrible practice of dalits carrying human excrements on their heads will be abolished.
    If he liberates the Dalits from the brutalities of the ‘high-castes’ – a goal that Mahatma Ghandi could not achieve,he will be hailed as the the true Liberator of India.

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    Excellent piece.

    It was written before, that after Geneva, China will demand SL sign a security pact with them to protect ” their ” interests.

    Oh! how true the times are ?

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    TG :

    It is a wishful thinking on the part of the Majority of the Sinhalese that there is a China Card but there is none. China knows it, Sri Lanka pretends that they can play the China against India but that is only for local consumption. Sri Lankas sovereignty is limited to Indias National Security which is an inalienable fact and there is no getting away from it. Indias tank Factory is in Avadi which is in Tamil Nadu. The Aeronautics is in Bangalore and India will never allow any threat from Sri Lanka. So let us not pretend.

    1) Coincidences of not, these events will be watched by the BJP, because they signal the growing Chinese-footstep in a region India considers her own.

    *** These were also watched by Congress but the corrupt politicians chose to ignore it for personal benefit with a get rich quick attitude when MR out of desperation was prepared to bribe the Politicians.

    2) Mahinda RajapaksaIn a move which surprised almost everyone, Narendra Modi invited the SAARC leaders to attend his inauguration. Media attention is focused on how Pakistan’s new PM and the omnipotent military will respond to this invitation. But this unprecedented move would have caused some flutter in Beijing as well, this may well be Mr. Modi’s first step in asserting Indian supremacy in the South Asian region.

    *** I am not sure what makes you think that this move would have caused some flutters in Beijing. I certainly don’t think so because any alliance with the SAARC countries would not be a threat to China. To start with it will be an unholy alliance and the threat is not a potent one. For example what can Sri Lanka offer.

    What China is worried about is the close cooperation between India and the USA as they would control the sea route through which Chinas exports pass through.

    3) According to an unnamed ‘senior BJP Leader close to Mr. Modi’, the invitation conveys a simple message: “…. Modi will walk the extra mile for friends…but he will brook no nonsense….

    *** The invitation was a symbolic gesture to counter the label that he is a extreme Hindu Nationalist.

    4) And China will be the decisive factor in shaping Modi-India’s relations with her tiny neighbour across the Palk Straits.

    *** The above doesn’t make any sense. China would only worry if Pakistan makes up with India but that is not going to happen. Bangladesh is too poor and weak to pose any threat and more or less encircled by India. Sri Lanka is a joke.

    5) The issue of Lankan Tamils or Tamilnadu fishermen may be used to signal, reward or punish the Rajapaksa administration.

    *** I agree with the above and there is evidence that India is trying to provoke Sri Lanka by arresting 14 Sri Lankan fishermen for a tit for tat action by Sri Lanka but Sri Lanka is on the defensive.

    6) But Delhi’s attitude towards Colombo will depend essentially on Colombo’s attitude towards Beijing. And currently, Colombo cannot displease Beijing on any issue, as was clearly demonstrated during Premier DM Jayaratne’s latest faux pas.

    *** The above is fallacy.

    7) Basil Rajapaksa is right for once. There is many an execrable similarity between his presidential-brother and Narendra Modi.

    *** The above amounts to Basil Bootlicking and nothing else.

    The reason why Modi is being portrayed as a Decisive leader was because of the vacuum that exited under Manmohan Singh and people were in search of a strong man. But Modi is facing problems from people like Susma Swaraj ( from RSS) and the honeymoon will be over soon and Modi will come down to earth and would want to rule by consensus and not impose his will which will tear the party apart. There are many dissenting voices who wouldn’t miss a chance to stab him in the back like Advani.

    But Sri Lanka, as a pawn of China and/or Pakistan’s ISI, can find herself in the crosshairs of PM Modi, who came to national-prominence.

    Your choice of the word PAWN is correct but not in the context you have used it. The correct analysis is that Sri Lanka has pawned everything to the Loan Shark in the name of development a burden which the Nation has to bear for many generations.

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    Tisaranee, where do you find these Photos? Is he giving you the ‘Glad Eye’?

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      Rationalist,
      Click mahinda rajapakse on Google (image mode ).

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    India cannot be trusted, this was clearly demonstrated at the last voting at UN Human Rights resolution. Generally India thrashes Sri Lanka only during election times, once the elections are done the mood changes. Deep in the heart of the Indians Sri Lankan minority issue is not a major issue as they too have such issues among themselves.

    The mood after the elections is to get economic concessions for Indian companies and has been used very effectively by the Indian government in the past and Modi being an advocate of expanding Indian business abroad will fall in line with this policy. Yes he will put pressure on Sri Lanka only to the extent that Indian businesses get concessions.

    Sri Lanka holding the Presidency of SAARC at present will also be a problem for Modi to put pressure on Sri Lanka as Modi would want strong ties with SAARC countries. This has been clearly demonstrated in the invitation he is extending for his inauguration ceremony.

    Yes China is the only issue that may push Modi to take a strong stand against Sri Lanka. But here too Modi may hold hands with China if they come to some understanding on South Asian counties vs East Asian countries. China may give more concessions to India to manage South Asian countries while India may give more concessions to China to manage the East Asian countries. On the shipping routes both countries may come to a mutually beneficial agreement. If this happens Rajapakse will not have any issue with India.

    Since Jayalalitha is not a part of Modi government, with the move in India to push Congress out of being the opposition leader, Jayalalitha may join regional parties as she has a large number of seats and become a strong player in the official opposition. If this happens then Modi will have to give thought to the minority issues in Sri Lanka as Jayalalitha will continue to make noise.

    Vaiko and Thirumavalavan and even Karunanidhi will have no say and their voices will have no impact. Similarly Subramaniya Swami who does not even a seat and did not contest the election ( he is a spent force) his noise supporting Sri Lanka will only get a third page column in the Indian news papers and a front page article in Sri Lankan papers, other than that there is no following for him. In effect he does not even an effective political party. His party has been folded into BJP.

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      Park’s assessment on Dr.SS is on the dot. From a political hanger-on he has shifted to a Broker-blackmailer – for a fee. He has no voice in
      Tamilnadu. In fact, in many places in the Southern Stte he is likely to get stoned. His stand on the Rajapakses has made him more unpopular in Tamilnadu. His main income these days is being mouth-piece in Delhi for the Rajapakses. He’d love to get a RS seat in Delhi but this too is unlikely. A Cabinet position is still further away. He has limited influence with Modi and the BJP but other voices in T’Nadu like JJ, Vaiko, Anbumani have more clout against the Rajapakses with the new BJP administration.

      Native Veddah – If Anbumani gets into the Cabinet he is unlikely to make the mistakes of Raja, Daya Maran and others in those mega corruption deals that brought Congress to below 60 seats. I would imagine the BJP will have sufficient instruments to keep track of its Ministers getting into serious corruption.

      Kettikaran

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    “We all know that Your Excellency is a legendary statesman with outstanding leadership. You are a great hero for defeating terrorism.”

    – Air Chief Marshall Xu Qiliang to President Rajapaksa.

    Well, zillions of others consider ‘His Excellency’ a ‘Tin Pot Dictator!’

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      Zillions of Sri Lanka’s enemies. Which means Mahinda must be doing something right.

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      what else he should say – to win the stupid Rajapakshe for high interest projects. Chinese in general would not love anyone, but for sure their tactics are to keep gial customers. Stupid men get caught easily.

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    This comment was removed by a moderator because it didn’t abide by our Comment policy.For more detail see our Comment policy https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/comments-policy-2/

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    Rama,
    His Excellency still beat Tamil terrorism ne? While Your Excellency got a big hole on his face near nanthikadal sweety.

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    “But he would not tolerate the kind of arm-twisting Manmohan Singh had to put up with,” ….

    Would-be rulers of entire regions usually invite the sub-rulers of surrounding (perceived) vassal states for coronations. Perhaps this is such a case. But diplomatically and PR-wise it is a good move by Modi. After that invitation, when he reads the riot act, no one can say he did not try to be friendly, to begin with.

    Rajapaksa PROMISED to fully implement 13+, and that promise was made to the PRIME MINISTER of India (not to an individual called Manmohan Singh) AND to the SECRETARY-GENERAL of the world body known as the UN. Modi will ‘whisper in Rajapaksa’s ear’ to simply deliver on that promise or face the consequences. India has that Rajapaksa promise in the pocket as well as the weight of the treaty signed between sovereign India and sovereign Sri Lanka (albeit coerced, but nevertheless signed and ratified by both parliaments). Modi also needs to calm Tamil Nadu lest the Sri Lanka issue leads to separatist tendencies over there. Full implementation of 13+ in Sri Lanka will deflate all the hot air from the Tamil Nadu balloon.

    But having whipped up Sinhala Buddhist feelings, can the Sri Lanka government give in to that demand on devolution lest it foment violent upheavals in the south?

    Meanwhile, the fact that Sri Lanka has such close military and political ties with India’s arch enemies – Pakistan and China – with further economic enmeshment with China to be almost a defacto vassal state will not be viewed favourably by India. What will they do if Rajapaksa will not honour his promise to their PM?

    Will India attempt a covert regime change whilst the west is preparing for a major overt anti-regime offensive after the UNHRC report in March 2015? Alternately, if India, with its 70 million Tamils across the narrow Palk Straits, decides on a Crimea solution (which was supported by Sri Lanka’s Foreign Minister), will the US, UK, EU Trio impose targeted sanctions on Modi and his clique (like they did on Putin and his clique), or will the Trio sit back and say “We told you to mend your ways and now see the consequences”? If there is no support for Sri Lanka from the US, EU, UK Trio, will Pakistan and China go to war with India, with nuclear consequences, to protect the unitary state of Sri Lanka and/or a family regime?

    After five wasted post-war years filled with rhetoric and bombast and false promises one can almost hear the words, “Checkmate”.

    The situation is reminiscent of the dramatic change that happened when vacillating Jimmy Carter (= Manmohan Singh) was replaced by strong armed Ronald Reagan (=Modi) during the Iran Hostage Crises. Upon winning the election Reagan told Iran “There will be no profit in waiting”, and to just release those Americans who had then been held for more than 400 days. Notwithstanding all their bombast and rhetoric, Iran caved in. The hostages were released just minutes after Ronald Reagan was sworn into office.

    Rajapaksa, who could have achieved much for Sri Lanka after the war if he was a genuine man, is with his back to the wall with a big rock in front of him. Being a survivor with a throne to protect for his heir, he will most likely cave in to India on the 13+ and deal with any unrest in the south with a Rathupaswela solution.

    Then will come Geneva in March 2015.

    We are in for interesting times ahead.

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      Well said, Kevin, I hope your prognoses are correct. It is indeed high time the current regime were dragged to their senses. They should in fact go far beyond 13 or 13A and show genuine remorse for the sins of the their reign. Ah well, if wishes were horses, then we beggars will surely ride!

      How I dream of peace, true peace in this much blessed land of Lanka and for its (up until recently) unspoiled people. It is far too wondrous a country to be allowed to be dragged into the dust like is currently happening, despite all the hype about development, super highways and infrastructure. It is scandalous that (bar a vanishingly small minority) politicians since independence have been allowed to take the people for a mammoth ride, screw the country, its institutions of governance and now judiciary… all to enrich themselves. How much mammon does a human need? How much indeed….. it would seem ‘unlimited’ is the answer, as far as these current rogues in power and their goons are concerned!

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    I pre-empt off the cuff’s comment and have cut and pasted his posting from other forums. It’s just repetitive text every where he post regardles of the subject being discussed.

    ” I believe that Sri Lanka is multi ethnic and multi religious with equitable rights to all. Like you, I consider all of Sri Lanka my home and sincerely wish that her citizenry can coexist and prosper together in peace. Sri Lanka’s resources should benefit all her citizens equitably. Any avaricious claims to these resources by any section of that multi-ethnic society would give rise to conflict. This is because the principle of equitable rights is violated by any such claim. Land, Water and Mineral resources are some of them. Of these, Land and Water are Rare and finite resources essential to life and is the most important birth right of ALL of Lanka’s citizenship. Can’t you see that avaricious claims on these rare and finite resources by any group will cause conflict? You can find examples of this all over the world. Equitable rights means giving up on avaricious claims. But instead of giving up avaricious claims you reinforce them. How do you plan to establish peace by encouraging stealing of the birthright from the rest?

    OTC – you may comment on your own comment. off the cuff any comments

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    These losers are now suffering defeat AGAIN when Modi invited MR to the swearing in.

    Tamils will not even get a ministry!!

    Keep weeping and howling the national pastime of Tamils.

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    The best unconditional supporter of Royal Government, the Sonia Congress is gone. Sri Lankan writers, just like many of them blindly supported growing anarchy Lanka governments and ended up with the current Royal Government, they are blindly opposing Modi. They do not like to see the dwindling of the Congress and crescent moon growth of BJP. If somebody thing that Modi came to power because of his anti-Muslim stand, they forgot that Vajpayee won twice.

    Modi is not anti-Muslim as he is portrayed. Every Hindu Indian is a anti- Pakistan person. They just don’t like to tolerate Pakistan. It has very little about the Pakistan’s state religion, Muslim or their state laws of Sharia laws. America’s calculation on that is not right. In the 1983 rights JR openly said that he has to crush Tamils to satisfy Sinhalese majority. Government account is 3000 deaths. Gujarat’s Muslims’ death is about 1000 only. America did not just proscribed LTTE and it forced EU countries to do that. But China, Australia, Russia Cuba, Pakistan et al did not do that. So America’s decision is not that correct always.

    Sonia’s anti-Tamil behaviors are felt in Lanka, India, Malaysia too. There is different from Rajiv’s anti-Tamil and Sonia’s anti-Tamil behaviors. She gave unconditional support for King. But Rajiv had some interest in Lanka that is why he trying to control Tamils and use for it. When she had pressure from inside, she gave $270 million dollars in the hand of brother prince with the name of rehabilitation of war affected. A large sum of this has gone to Bathyutheen’s management. When this was complained to Congress, they openly refused to take any action.

    Mano Ganesan has said that by bringing Modi to Talata Maligawa and giving coffee, Kings Government cannot manipulate Modi. The truth is, to Talata Maligawa they don’t bring people just to give hot hot coffee. But whatever they give at Talata Maligawa, with Modi their usual technique will not work. Either Pakistan has to be out with China or India will stay out. On the Tamils’ matter, still India may not get along with America. But it is not going employ a pure anti-Tamil policy of Sonia’s. Either Modi will stay out of Tamils’ problem like Vajpayee or if Modi takes up that, it will be decisive. King technique of showing the tail to snake and the head to fish with India is over.

    If Vijithamuni has done the same thing to Modi what he did to Rajiv, certainly consequences might have been different.

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    Yes TG, it is time for the planet to get ready for the next set of Axis Powers comprising of China and its so-called string of pearls, Russia, Pakistan and Iran to help usher in Humans Mark 3.0.

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    President Rajapakse is in a big shit hole he himself created.

    While telling India he is Giving 13+, he also created monster BBS Sinhala Buddhist racist Gnanasara, who does not want to give anything in 13th Amendment.

    Now MR is between Monster India and Sinhala Buddhist racist BBS Gnanasara clan who are hell bent against devalution of powers.

    MR also assuared Ban Ki Moon that he will abide by the UNHRC resolutions when met in China.

    Playing China card will create more trouble to Sri Lanka with USA and West and India against it.

    Given all these factors, it is MR who created his own hell hole that makes him find difficult to get out.

    Thank you Tisaranee for another piece of great newsletter.

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      He deserves it. He is the problem here nobody else.

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    The Lankans under Rajapaksa can play the game of the century, pit the Chinese against Indians and benefit tremendously. There will be the occasional danger and I think the Rajapaksa strategists can handle that admirably.

    Meanwhile for the BBS and Shiv Sena should align with each other soon. They are natural born brothers of the same mother India.The Sinhalese should never forget that Lord Buddha was born a Hindu prince and he is even today considered the avatar of Lord Vishnu.

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    Mind boggling. I wonder what Mahinda Chinthanaya says about all these sepculations!!.May be as it stands MR has thrown his “chinthanaya” to the winds and taking a deep breath contemplating as to how or what game he needs to play. He is caught like a meat in a sandwich and Modi is sure to take a great big bite because the moron Jayaratne has made an idiot of himself and China very well knows that he made that statement. It is very likely China and India will together have great bites of the sandwich and give a wee bit of it to North and East to keep young Vig happy. Well the game has already begun let us sit back, relax and watch the fun but it certainly will not be any fun if BBS, JVP and the other jokers put their two cents worth of stuff. Not much of sabdwich to go around.

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    Kevin,

    There was an arrangement between the Ronald Reagan team and the Iranians to hold on to the hostages so that they could blast Jimmy Carter. The very fact the hostages were released no sooner Reagan won is a pointer to this. There was more similar information on this issue. Google and you will find what I am saying is true.

    Hameed

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      Hameed is either speaking in ignorance or trying to mislead. The moment Ronald Reagan was voted in he sent a message to the Ayatollah and that Supreme Council unless each and everyone of the hostages is released immediately and unharmed the entire Govt hierarchy, military installations and facilities suspected to produce weapons-grade uranium will be reduced to pulp. The Islamic Fundamentalists yielded
      in sheer fear. Remember what happened to Gadaffi’s house (and sadly, the little child, later?)

      Backlash

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