21 October, 2020

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Geneva, India, And American Imperialism – Part ll

By Izeth Hussain

 Izeth Hussain

Izeth Hussain

It should be obvious that the Government has scored a tremendous victory in Geneva. Of course the final vote on the US draft Resolution is yet to come, but I don’t expect any serious reversals. The crucial facts are these: there will be no setting up of a mechanism for international investigations into war crimes and there will be no sanctions against Sri Lanka, both of which had been widely and confidently anticipated. The Tamil diaspora has rejected the draft Resolution, and the TNA has sent its emissaries to Delhi, which can be taken as meaning that the Tamil disappointment with developments in Geneva is comprehensive. So, the blitzkrieg that was to blow Sri Lanka to bits has turned out to be a damp squib.

How was what looks very much like a SL Government triumph achieved? Information about that is not in the public domain. My guess is that there were two factors behind the triumph. One is that India – which as I have argued in earlier articles can be expected to have decisive clout with the US in matters relating to Sri Lanka – got the US to dilute the draft Resolution so that there will be nothing smacking of the punitive against Sri Lanka for another year. The other is the power of the argument – which the Government has taken to emphasizing in recent weeks – that investigations into war crimes will make impossible the spirit of mutual accommodation that is required for progress towards a political solution and ethnic reonciliation, and therefore the investigations will have to be postponed until after the process of ethnic reconciliation takes hold. In this connection I must quote what Archbishop Desmond Tutu said about one of the reasons why the post-apartheid regime did not resort to anything like the Nuremburg trials: “It would also have been counterproductive to devote years to hearing about events that, by their nature, arouse very strong feelings. It would have rocked the boat massively and for too long”. It is beyond my comprehension why the good Archbishop came to support the call for international investigations in the case of Sri Lanka.

However the triumph, if indeed it turns out to be a definitive triumph after the final vote on the US Resolution, is only of a provisional order. In effect Sri Lanka is being put on probation for a year, after which punitive action could follow if SLG fails to take certain measures. Furthermore the range of action required of Sri Lanka has been considerably widened. It now includes action against attacks on the religious minorities, which could possibly become a very big problem by the end of another year. No one can be quite sure what the situation might be by March 2015. We seem to be witnessing the emergence, in addition to the ethnic imbroglio, of yet another one, the Geneva imbroglio. In this situation we must try, just as in the case of the ethnic imbroglio, to get at the fundamentals of the Geneva imbroglio.

I stand by the analysis that I made in my article The Ban Ki-moon Conspiracy in the Island of May 2, 2011. I postulated a benign conspiracy in which the Secretary General Ban Ki-moon was no more than a puppet obeying the orders of his US master, a conspiracy in which the leaders were the US, Britain – since the British poodle follows wherever the American juggernaut goes – and India. That the leader was the US has been shown by the fact that it is the US that is the prime mover of the anti-Sri lanka Resolution at the UNHRC. That Britain has a special role was shown by the antics of Prime Minister Cameron when he was here for the Commonwealth Summit. As for India’s involvement, it seemed far-fetched and irresponsible speculation on my part, but my thesis seemed to receive spectacular substantiation when later India unexpectedly voted for the anti-Sri Lanka Resolution and did so in the following year as well, going against its own explicit policy of never supporting country specific Resolutions.

The purpose of the benign conspiracy was, I argued, two-fold. The US and the West as a whole want to promote a new world order based on democracy with a special focus on human rights, because they genuinely believe that that is the most effective specific for a really satisfactory new world order. Their helping to resolve SL’s Tamil ethnic problem is part of the promotion of a new world order. But I argued also that the promotion of a new world order is not an entirely benign affair because the obverse side of the new world order is the new imperialism. On this I will make some observations further down in this article. The other part of the purpose is to help India solve the Tamil ethnic problem, which for India is far more important than the promotion of a new world order. That is why the questions of investigations into war crimes and sanctions have been relegated to the background: they would spoil the climate for ethnic accommodation and solutions.

I believe that contrary to appearances it is India, not the US, which is the main actor in the drama that is being enacted in Geneva, and that in the last resort the West – though it is not there to serve the purposes of India – will defer to India’s wishes on Sri Lanka. One reason for this is that India has a legitimate, and indeed vital, interest in what happens to the SL Tamils because of the fall-out in Tamil Nadu. Another is that since India is an emerging great power and is already a regional power, we can expect a general recognition that Sri Lanka is India’s turf – on which point I have to make some clarifications.

It is not an invariant law in international relations that the weaker neighbours of a regional power or a great power are recognized as the latter’s turf. All sorts of variables can enter into the equation. China had to contend with the extreme hostility of the entire West and the Soviet Union and therefore could not establish its sphere of influence, claiming that any of its neighbours is its turf. On the other hand the US enunciated the Monroe Doctrine in the nineteenth century whereby it would not interfere in the affairs of Europe while the latter in reciprocity would not interfere in the affairs of Latin America. The result was that the entirety of Latin America became the US’s turf. In the early sixties of the last century the Soviet Union stationed missiles in Cuba and almost ignited a full-scale nuclear war. The resolution of the crisis was through the withdrawal of the missiles from Cuba and the US’s reciprocal withdrawal of its missiles from Turkey, in recognition of the principle that neither must push its power right up to the borders of the other and that each had the right to its turf. At present the US is going against that principle in the Ukraine, in a fit of bellicose idiocy to which the US has too often been prone. In the case of India all the powerful countries of our time want India to be on their side, which means that it is free to establish its turf where it can. There is also the immensely important geographical fact that Sri Lanka is India’s only neighbour to the south, and that it is indefensible against India. I am going into all these details about “turf” because it seems to me of crucial importance to understand that India can wield decisive power for or against Sri Lanka with the West.

I come now to the obverse side of the new world order which is the new imperialism. In my last article I wrote, “On the other hand, the issue of war crimes investigations probably matters little or nothing to India, except as an instrument of pressure. It could matter much more for the US as it could serve the purposes of American imperialism – I will explain this point later”. In an unusually perceptive comment one of my readers has asked why the US has been so much concerned about Sri Lanka. My answer, which I had in mind when I wrote the sentence quoted above, is this: the American Empire has been in serious decline, it can no longer take on any really powerful country in military conflict, and therefore to show that it is still the mightiest world power it picks quarrels with militarily insignificant countries, such as Iraq, and ravages them. It is the thesis argued in a brilliant book by Emmanuel Todd, After Empire, first published in 2002. The US interest in Sri Lanka could have sinister implications. It is certainly a subject requiring in-depth examination.

I feel that our Tamils should do some rethinking about the usefulness of the UNHRC for their purposes. It is quite understandable, indeed inevitable, that they should have recourse in one way or another to the UNHRC, but they shouldn’t have too high expectations about what can be accomplished through it. The most significant fact about the UNHRC is that the decision-makers there are all representatives of Governments. The human rights movement has become, after 1945, a mighty redoubtable revolutionary force, expressing the thrust towards a better life of the peoples of the world. But human rights are for the most part what have to be extorted from unwilling governments by the peoples of the world. Most third world governments are allergic to human rights while the Western ones are lukewarm about them. Consequently, the determinants behind the decisions made at the UNHRC are not human rights but politics and the configurations of power. We have had a striking illustration of that fact in the US draft Resolution.

What should we do about the US Resolution when it is finally presented? It has increased the number of issues on which our Government could be called to account, which entails a diminution of our sovereignty. That could represent a process whereby weak countries such as Sri Lanka are left with hardly any sovereignty worth speaking about, all in the name of a new world order. But the obverse side of that is the new imperialism, and what that could mean was brought home to us by the savage horror visited on Iraq by the imperialist American aggressor. We should therefore reject the Resolution in toto, but we must be able to do that without harming ourselves. I believe that might be possible if we make a real success of 13A and move in an increasingly democratic direction, setting in motion a process of organic growth that could lead to a political solution and ethnic reconciliation. We can then give to the intrusive interfering foreign busybodies the sage advice given by Woody Allen in the film The Front to the members of the Committee investigating un-American activities: “You can all go and **** yourselves”.

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Latest comments

  • 5
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    If there is no international investigation, what would you expect to happen? Definitely, the current Buddhist Sinhala racist regime will continue its agenda of genocide of Tamils, more attack on Muslim mosques and removal of freedom of speech and white van actions against those who oppose the regime. The outcome will be: No law, No justice, No peace.

    • 2
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      ”World order” is that ”sovereign” governments have the say in what they do to their ethnic minorities – ten US and ten India can’t do anything, only the political will of the ”sovereign” govt has the say.
      The world must know
      i.the number of ”commissions/committees” he established till the LTTE was wiped out, irrespective of what happened to the civilians and these ”commissions/committees” were never published
      ii. NPC elections were held just before CHOGM to entice CHOGs and elected body remains powerless
      iii. Divineguma Bill was passed to make NCP meaningless(other provincial councils too but they don’t need the councils for their development.

      Such structural violence for 65yrs is genocidal act, if not genocide.

      • 1
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        A rather silly and hyperbolic article about GoSL “triumph” in Geneva..!
        The point is that if there had been sanctions Jarapassa would have used it to win the next presidential elections, but now the UN resolution puts Mahinda Rajapassa on notice without leaving room for the Sinhala Buddhist jingoists to go to town..
        This is very good strategy on the part of the US and India, put the screws on Jarapassa and let internal processes and Sri Lankan people’s disgust with the Corrupt and Criminal Jarapassa regime which is slowly reaching boiling point , topple the Jarapassa regime, since too much pressure from outside could have the opposite effect..
        Wake up old man!

        • 0
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          A rather silly response from Don Stanly.It provides a different interpretation from mine re developments in Geneva. The two interpretations don’t preclude each other

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      Izeth Hussain –

      “It should be obvious that the Government has scored a tremendous victory in Geneva. Of course the final vote on the US draft Resolution is yet to come, but I don’t expect any serious reversals. The crucial facts are these: there will be no setting up of a mechanism for international investigations into war crimes and there will be no sanctions against Sri Lanka, both of which had been widely and confidently anticipated.”

      Was’t this expected?

      SL is too small to be making too much noise in the word stage, despite all the noise.

      The solution solution needs to be found by negotiation or by confrontation.
      Or Tamil Nadu can entice India for a Cyprus-style solution or Crimea Type solution.

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        Read the Crimean history. Crimea to Russia has never been Sri Lanka to India. Except for that little isle, Kachchituwa where India withdrew its claim for the ownership sometime back, India never had a territorial dispute with Sri Lanka or a claim for Sri Lanka territory. It may well be Amaraya’s hate filled wish against Sri Lanka, but we shall never ever be in a Cyprus like situation. The nearest India got to it ended up with its Prime Minister being blasted to pieces. India knows, next time, Tamils will take not their PM but the entire truculent union with them.

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      Ajith – if there are international investigations, or even serious internal investigations,hatreds will increase. See my quotation from Desmond Tutu. The sensible strategy would be to proceed towards a political solution through the implementation of 13A and full democratisation

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        Totally wrong If there was such a mechanism in 1983, it would have halted all these hatreds in bud. If you leave it now, later it will open more avenues for misadventurists for their continued evils.

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    The Iraq War[nb 1] was an armed conflict in Iraq that consisted of two phases. The first was an invasion of Iraq starting on 20 March 2003 by an invasion force led by the United States.[42][43][44][45] It was followed by a longer phase of fighting,-Wikipedia

    “In an unusually perceptive comment one of my readers has asked why the US has been so much concerned about Sri Lanka. My answer, which I had in mind when I wrote the sentence quoted above, is this: the American Empire has been in serious decline, it can no longer take on any really powerful country in military conflict, and therefore to show that it is still the mightiest world power it picks quarrels with militarily insignificant countries, such as Iraq, and ravages them. It is the thesis argued in a brilliant book by Emmanuel Todd, After Empire, first published in 2002.”

    What kind of question and answers are these? (by quoting a book published in 2002 for a war took place in 2003) Izeth Hussain’s quotes look like good for astrology web site rather than political analysis.

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      Mullaiyuran’s response shows an irrationality that characteristically goes with racism, though it is not a defining characteristic of racism. I cited Emmanuel Todd’s argument that the American Empire in decline can no longer take on a really powerful country, and therefore it picks quarrels with weak ones and bashes them. The book was first published in 2002. If his thesis had validity, it had to apply to not just past events but future ones as well. American aggression against Iraq in 2003 provided a striking illustration of Todd’s thesis. How on earth M finds fault with what I wrote is difficult to understand.His mental faculty tends to go into abeyance when he reads me.

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        Mullaiyuran’s composed response to Izeth Hussain is met with a characteristic and ugly tongue-lashing – not excluding calling M a ‘racist’ – merely for writing Hussain relies on a book written in 2002 on an event that took place a full year thereafter. This pointer seems to have sent Hussain mentally wonky. This ‘racist’ epithet is becoming standard fare to this pugnacious and irrational ex-diplomat who seems unable to accept anyone challenging his “intellectual” and final views on any subject.

        Many would disagree with his narrow view of “the decline” of the American “Empire” The so-called American aggression in Iraq has to be seen in the background of how the venal and familial dictator Saddam Hussein held that country as his fascist fiefdom for decades – destroying majority Shiites, their leaders and their assets. Izeth Hussain appears oblivious to America’s inherent resilience to overcome the massive Housing collapse and the accompanying negative effects on the American economy. The USA came through, the US$ held, GM and US manufacturing regained their prime position and the USA continues to lead the Free and Secular world. If the US economy is in decline those Saudis, Qataris, Kuwaitis, UAE and other Arab billionaires – who made their filthy lucre milking the billions of poor in the developing countries by sending the price of Oil from $3/50 to over US$100 per barrel – would have withdrawn their trillions of US$ investments in Amercan Banks and MNCs. The Chinese Govt continues to rely on the safety of their US$1.2 trillion in US Bonds.

        BTW, why is Hussain, who springs to action whenever he is challenged, silent to my comments on March 13? Does our in-house “Socrates” find himself silenced by irrefutable facts?

        Nettabomman

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          Nettabomman – I seem to have missed your comment of March 13. Or may be I thought it not worthy of notice. I will look into it.
          The reason why I use the term “racist” is this.My articles in the CT have provoked a great many attacks on me, showing extreme irrationality and an extreme murderous hatred. To my recollection, all of them, with one notable exception, have been from persons whose nom de plumes declare a Tamil identity.
          My articles are never merely polemical. They are serious political analysis. There is nothing in them to provoke such extreme hatred. My antagonists don’t know me personally, nor is there professional rivalry for the most part.So why the extreme hatred and the extreme irrationality.In recent exchanges their tone has improved, but the tell-tale extreme irrationality is there all the same.
          I have been trying to understand why a segment of the Tamils – not the majority of them – have such extreme racist hatred towards the Muslims. That is why I keep these exchanges going, which would otherwise be a waste of my time.

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            Izeth Hussain:
            So far, you did not sight one single line that can go with your claim of Tamils are (or even me) opposing you because of your religious believe. So, You are a very irrational racist. . I have to leave you to sing alone your “RACIST MALLIYURAN” song and without wasting more time on that, I have to focus on the justification of the need of an anti-government resolution, rather than the past biennial ones for the GOSL. Your responses show that I am on the correct path.

            Everybody knows that Sri Lanka Muslims are against America. The 2012 resolution was opposed by Minister Hakeem with his full might, only because it was brought by America. Minister Hakeem went to Geneva, in March 2012, with a large team of GOSL diplomats and gave a presentation that the minorities in Sri Lanka are thriving and Muslims are living happily under King Gemeu’s rule. He shamefully took a “U” turn when, by the request of the resolution, Navipillai came to find out the status of the minorities, by giving her a list of Kings’s goons attacks on Muslims.

            Now he is saying that he should join with TNA. (Then why did he damage the TNA’s efforts at Geneva? Because of America.) That is the matter I am trying to point out to you. Your article is forcefully trying to make Tamils not to support the resolution (that was Hakeem’s old position). This is only a biased mentality towards America.

            Minister Hakeem, Minister Fawze and other Muslims are hiding the true mature of the problems of minorities in Sri Lanka and making Pakistan, Malaysia, Bangladesh, Indonesia, middle-east countries to vote against the resolution. The Muslim community is not sending the list that they gave to Navipillai to all these Muslim countries, so that they too can come to know the truth. (In addition they should publish one copy of that in CT, so that we all can see it. (These are matters you should have been advocating to Muslim community in your articles rather than organic growth for Tamils.) Other than you, every CT writer has commented on Jayakumai’s and her daughter arrests as a matter that clearly shows GOSL unwillingness to settle down for a peaceful solution. You are the only one, because of your biased mentality against America, putting forward the organic growth, even though you clearly see on which direction this growth is taking place.

          • 0
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            Mr. Izeth Hussain may be please assured I have neither the time nor inclination to waste on fading and foul-mouthed dim wits – even those who arrogantly impose on others they are “intellectuals” Why I respond to your “gems” is because you have shown yourself an unforgiving and undisguised anti-Tamil bigot – being mendacious is yet another of your traits. Don’t you deny it in the background of your vile and inhumane earlier suggestion to the Govt to starve Tamils.

            Here you say except for one critic all others are Tamils knowing fully well it is not so. In saying only Tamils show hatred towards Muslims you mislead yourself and try to poison Tamil-Muslim ties. Mr. Hussain, the entire country knows it is not with the Tamils the Muslims have their grave problems today. In many instances you try to provoke Muslims against Tamils. It may well be it is men like you who have contributed to the negative feelings by the Sinhalese on the largely peaceful Muslim community. Your earlier unacceptable writings justifying the dawn call for prayers from Mosques and your stand in favour of local Muslim cricket fans cheering against the National Squad and in favour of Pakistan certainly are contributory factors that results in heightened Sinhala wrath. It is good the Muslims with better sense seem to have prevailed on the errant extremists within your lot and stopped this provocation. I find it curious why an English daily offers space for such a controversy-prone and unpopular writer. The same articles in these pages draw so much of readers’ ire – readers being from all communities.

            “My articles are never merely polemical. They are serious political analysis” say you in a fit of self-advertising. I beg to differ, Sir. While I concede some of them are more the exception than the rule by your standards, your known positions against Tamilnadu and India make you an analyst with axes to grind. Your recent fetish in misusing the term “turf” for smaller countries has already drawn many angry detractors.

            Quite contrary to your ingenuous claim, it is in the public domain many Muslim writers here have thanked the Tamil political leadership for having come to the defence of the Muslims while Muslim Ministers and leaders have chosen silence in the interest of their cushy positions. It is your frothing anti-Tamil prejudice that prevents you recognising this reality in the country.

            It matters little to us whether the attacks and innuendos against Tamils and the Tamil nation comes from Muslim fanatics, questionable academics or others. They will be resisted. I am glad many Tamils and others in these threads share my thoughts.

            Allow me to conclude there are other recognised academics and intellectuals writing on the main issues in the country in these pages and they do not draw the toxic response you do. Have you wondered why?

            Nettabomman

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          Nettabomann – I just had another look at your contribution of March 13. I recall that I regarded it as not worthy of notice because it amounts to not much more than your usual outpouring of racist venom.
          /// I pose the following question not to you but to other readers. Most international relations analysts would regard Sri Lanka as within India’s legitimate sphere of influence, or turf. Are all of them bent on rousing anti-Indian hatred? Why assume that that is my secret intention? The explanation is hatred and prejudice.
          I intend to write a full-length article on spheres of influence and turfs.It will not be intended to enlighten Netto and the likes of Netto. They won’t be able to understand a dam thing in it because their minds are blocked by anti-Muslim racist hatred.

      • 1
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        Izeth Hussain, who cannot ague a point, but can only call whoever point out his mistakes on his logic as a racist, is an utter racist.

        The witness for that is this paragraph.
        “My antagonists don’t know me personally, (of cause I do’t know him, so then where is the logic come for to call me a racist, does he knows me?) nor is there professional rivalry (His mind is coming out here-Shame to have that kind of mind) for the most part.So why the extreme hatred and the extreme irrationality.In recent exchanges their tone has improved, but the tell-tale extreme irrationality is there all the same. I have been trying to understand why a segment of the Tamils – not the majority of them – have such extreme racist hatred towards the Muslims. “

        How irrational Izeth Hussain in calling me a racist is that much irrational he is, in showing the quotation of that book. There are thousand books available on everything. You can always find a book to argue your point. If one book is trumpeting some weakness of USA, 10 books are trumpeting its might. That is why its fame is still there. Izeth Hussain like people, still, is throwing stones to its fruits. It has its foot simultaneously all over the world (From North Korea to Iran- Nobody even in one country). 300 million (5%) Americans are still the policing the 6 billion world people. Izeth Hussain, because he hates America, is expecting Tamils too have to hate America and abandon the resolution America is bring to UNHRC. To achieve this, with hope of a brain wash of Tamils, he struggling with his baffling arguments. This is not journalism at all. There is no competition for this funny attempt. This is called pity.
        After the breakup of USSR (or after end of bi-polar leadership), until now, America is being called as world policeman. In research terminology, it is Uni-polar Leadership. The book might have failed to recognize it. Now the things are changing. They saying future is going to be for mufti-polar leadership. This 300 million people not going to control the world for ever. But there are indications still America going to be the greatest among them.

        Izeth Hussain forgetting America’s might that broke down the USSR which had doubled the amount of the arms America had. Now, Izeth Hussain is hugging the dead Saddam Hussein and crying.

        The world leadership, before USSR’s demise, was called bipolar leadership. USSR had (quality is different- not counted here) double the amount of all type arsenal that America had. Having arms is different, but, winning a country is different. Without understanding this, USSR invaded Afghanistan. America used Pakistan and devastated USSR. When USSR returned back to base, Russians have become poorer than third world countries. Without money even to fill up diesel and to put them on sea, Russian warships were bought by Japan and Korea to have exhibitions. Rests were sold for scrap metal. Atomic war heads were dismantled and taken by Afghan’s, Pakistan’s, and Iranian’s half-baked scientist to study the technology. There is no way America can sit and watch this. In 2001, they attacked America and opened the way for America(Just like Japan did in World War II). So America Invaded Afghanistan.

        I did not read the book. But, in 2002, the writer appears to have influenced by the Twin Tower attack. He did not know the America is going to revenge all of the extremist countries for that. Now, other than Syria, America has taken care of all of them. The writer did not had chance to see this. So, apparently he failed on his forecasting. His explanations for his forecast of the demise of America were, before America took care of up to Egypt. America has removed even the Pakistan dictator, Musharraf.
        After a very bad, near to death comma, Russia is coming back. Yet it is not even closer to America. America has 10 Nimitz size aircraft carriers. Nobody in the world has that class carriers. Russia doesn’t have even smaller ones(nothing). China bought one from Ukraine’s junk yard and researching on that. One of these carriers is more than enough to take care of a country. Never in the future Russia can keep up the current economic growth and compete with America on arm race. China still doesn’t have proper fighter plane technology. When Japan and Germany have finished arming them, the order will be like this; America, China, India, Japan, Germany, Russia. (Other than china, all the leaders are going to be American allies)
        Just because Izeth Hussain is setting up, America is not going to take on nuclear warhead countries without having proper shielding technology developed. It will wait until for that. Even on the non-arms wars also, it doesn’t want to take up on any country alone. If it is Russia, it is going to be NATO allies. If it is China, it is going to be Eastern Allies, i.e. Japan, Korea, Philippines, Taiwan, Australia, (almost) India and possibly, in the feature, Vietnam and others too.
        America still has all other American countries to put an EU like union. So the leadership of America will not be questioned for another 100 years. After that, if the technology and civilization change, UN like one organization may keep the control, rather than a “police man” country.

        These are beyond Izeth Hussain’s comprehension.

  • 3
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    Izeth,

    When you say “It should be obvious that the Government has scored a tremendous victory in Geneva.” – would that mean Dayan was far, far off the mark in his last-minute predictions about Geneva, and about GLP as well!

    Actually it is a humongous victory for GLP, given that Dayan who had full confident in 2009 of beating the resolution was almost dead sure it can’t be done this time. Dayan, with all his global experience and the intellectual expertise assessed that the current team as “podiyan’s” compared the team he made up in 2009. Also note that, if your summary is anywhere close to the truth, then GLP must be really applauded because he brought home the bacon despite all that lousy body-language, presentation skills and posture that left Dayan crying in shame for the country he so loves!

    Hey Dayan, any thoughts, apologies to GLP based on Iseth’s summary?

    Dayan, while at it, may be you would care to comment on the new arrest of the mother & daughter — I had expected that you would rush in to spread wisdom within hours, just the way you did after Weliveraya.

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    I highly appreciate the author’s enlightened articles every week. I continue to learn a lot of things on foreign policy and international affairs. May God bless him long life!

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    I highly appreciate author’s enlightened articles every week. I continue to learn a lot of things on foreign policy and international affairs. May God bless him long life!

  • 2
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    “It has increased the number of issues on which our Government could be called to account, which entails a diminution of our sovereignty. That could represent a process whereby weak countries such as Sri Lanka are left with hardly any sovereignty worth speaking about.”

    Today’s arrest of the mother Jeyakumari and her daughter for asking of where about their family member, of whose photo the GOSL is using for false propaganda, states the Tamil can not even open their mouth to say what is happening to them. In that situation who cares about the sovereignty of Royal family?

    When America was tracing the 10 LTTE ships for free for years and giving the coordinates for the Royal Navy, where did the American Imperialism was hiding?

    “Imperialism, as defined by the Dictionary of Human Geography, is an unequal human and territorial relationship, usually in the form of an empire, based on ideas of superiority and practices of dominance, and involving the extension of authority and control of one state or people over another”-Wikipedia. According to Izeth Hussain America is the only country in the world he can remember of having organically grown itself to give equal treatment to the other minorities. Now where this imperial problem is arsing in America?

    Imperialist have captured and ruling the Tamil Eeelam. So by behavior they are the imperialist. Lanka’s king is the emperor. This is how the MS Gamege’s song describing the King -http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yrKq_CSh0jw

    America is not holding any countries it attacked on the human right issues and there is no Long live the king song to Obama. Right after two terms he must go and he will be going happily.

    .

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    Izeth Hussain is right, perhaps, in believing that UN and its UNHRC resolutions are US machinations. It is conceivable also that the new imperialism of US, and what that could mean was brought home by the savage horror visited on Iraq by the imperialist American aggressor.

    The problem Tamils of Sri Lanka is unique. No form of peaceful agitation could solve the problem for Tamils. Armed resistance could not solve it either. In fact the defeat of armed struggle has exasperated plight of Tamil. International intervention is like divine intervention.

    Here is how Izeth Hussain argues:

    – Sri Lanka is India’s turf.

    – Investigations into war crimes will make impossible the spirit of mutual accommodation that is required for progress towards a political solution and ethnic reconciliation, (and therefore the investigations will have to be postponed until after the process of ethnic reconciliation takes hold).

    – It is beyond his comprehension why the good Archbishop came to support the call for international investigations in the case of Sri Lanka.

    -The questions of investigations into war crimes would spoil the climate for ethnic accommodation and solutions.

    Very noble thinking, but not when taking into consideration it is SL who Izeth Hussain is talking about.

    SL has no iota of interest in ethnic accommodation. I wish that Izeth Hussain comes up with some evidence to the contrary, so that Tamils could have some peace of mind.

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      Within the last four years, Prime Minister Singh has repeated three times that if India tells something, Sri Lanka is not listening, so that what can they do for that. Because of this India is going to vote for the American resolutions for the third time. India boycotted the 2013 CHOGM. India could not have the 13A implemented for 25 years. Further, if India tries to talk, Sri Lanka, as a threatening mechanism, borrowing more from china. At this this condition, writing that India is going to do something for Tamils problems can be only for just to soften the UNHRC resolution.
      The article suggesting GOSL has to go to India. Is that necessary to solve Tamils’ problem, GOSL has to go to India? Not Really! It can do itself. Basically what the article suggesting is by going to India, the resolution can be easily beaten back, without solving the problem. This secret idea is coming from 2009 victory at UNHRC, with India’s help. What can be learned here is Dr. Dayan Jeyatilaka has been claiming the 2009’s victory has been achieved by their team. By now he accepts that the current situation is because of not following up on the victory. If you remove Dr.DJ out there and put India there, it is the same talk applies. If the victory was brought by India, now India can do nothing unless Sri Lanka likes to follow up on the victory. Whether it is India or the Dr.DJ brought the victory, GOSL’s path is completely different from these too entities. They thought something, GOSL came out with another. Iseth Hussain suggestions indicate substantial inability to understand the government’s path. He likes to oppose America. That too further drags down his comprehending ability.

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    Interest of the US and the West is mainly Geo-political vis a vis the incursion of Chinese Power and Influence into the Indian Ocean. India is the main regional power and US and the West will have to go with the policies of New Delhi which is a key ally.

    In turn Indian politics is significantly impacted by TN. India is also sensitive to the increasing Chinese influence. So in the end whatever action will be modulated by TN as well as the need to maintain good relations with the regime.

    The resolution therefore is less rigorous and gives the regime some breathing space. This is convenient for the Congress Govt as the decisions taken will be in the hands of the new Govt coming in April. It may well be a hung LS with minority parties and states holding the strings. It also gives the space for the West and UN to launch its independent investigation if the regime fails to act.

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    Mr.Hussan,

    by far a realistic article i have seen from you. you are much in to it when call that ethnic issue should be resolve withing, and not by betraying.

    more the NE pushes the south of Sri lanka more it will become an issue for the tamil living in NE.

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    Saudi imperialism is worse.

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    Izeth,Sad to read your ancient world view.

    Sri Lanka is rapidly becoming India’s piss pot – as you correctly point out. The Sinhalese have no sympathy now from the world and are now known for their heinous crimes against minorities. India does not want to poke them right now – because they support MR the way the Tamils supported VP – because he is their boy. Currently there is no political alternative to MR as there was non for the LTTE. But this is a passing phase.

    As we descend into the piss-pot we will change our views, because the Indian piss-pott is shallower than our own, Power is regionally distributed and it is largely multicultural in many ways.

    Sri Lanka was always civilized by foreigners (if you leave Vijya out). The Indians, Portuguese, Dutch and the British brought in principles of civilization that we are yet to come to terms with – even though we greatly benefited from it.

    How come we had Junius Richards, Solomon Dian’s and Percey’s preceding over us ?

    We are suffering from sovereignty. Your views are aged and like an old woman placing virginity as her key attraction. We are a nation that exports maids to Saudi and live happily by its revenues. Do we arealy need sovereignty ?

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    Mr. Hussain,

    “So, the blitzkrieg that was to blow Sri Lanka to bits has turned out to be a damp squib.”

    Many of us never believed in that media and UNHCR circus in the first place. The US has many issues on its plate. There are many more reasons for the US to take India seriously that you haven’t touched on. Unlike communist China, India has maintained a democracy, however chaotic it may be. Under the Bush administration, the US recognized that despite its previous slant towards Russia, India would be a natural ally in containing an increasingly bellicose China.

    And India’s somewhat more open markets, with more than a billion consumers, are far more important to the West than any so-called “strategic significance” of Sri Lanka. Then there is another fact that is often denied or ignored by many “frog-in-the-well” Sri Lankans: India has been an important pool of human resources for the West.

    The scientific, engineering and management talent pool from India can be seen by anyone who has studied in these fields at major US universities or worked at US companies. From distinguished professors, researchers and entrepreneurs to lawyers and diplomats, the reach and influence of the Indian talent pool in the US is something many Sri Lankans fail to grasp.

    And within India, though there is some more sympathy now for SL Tamils outside TN, it is not an emotive issue as in TN. Even TN had become desensitized to SL Tamil suffering because of some mindless violence by the LTTE, but it became a more emotional issue only after more evidence emerged that the GoSL had indulged in scorched-earth tactics and committed mass atrocities and massive war crimes.

    Both India and the US had become exasperated by the LTTE’s failure to transform during the Ceasefire, and supported the GoSL, despite its atrocities.

    So it is true that the US coordinates its response with India, but your second assertion about the “power of argument” is false.

    Every conflict is different, and the Tamil side in Sri Lanka is in no mood to accept platitudes like “investigations into war crimes will make impossible the spirit of mutual accommodation that is required for progress towards a political solution and ethnic reonciliation, and therefore the investigations will have to be postponed until after the process of ethnic reconciliation takes hold.”

    Why don’t you recognize that reconciliation is impossible without accountability in the first place? At what point does someone decide, and who has the authority to do, that there has been enough killings and a balance has been reached, and it is time to postpone investigations to start reconciling?

    For instance, what would you say if some people asked you, “why not send some snipers to take out the murderous Rajapaksas and their allied gangs in the South and North, and then let us all recite your mantra that any more investigation will impede progress towards reconciliation?”

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    “The other is the power of the argument – which the Government has taken to emphasizing in recent weeks – that investigations into war crimes will make impossible the spirit of mutual accommodation that is required for progress towards a political solution and ethnic reonciliation, and therefore the investigations will have to be postponed until after the process of ethnic reconciliation takes hold.”

    This is not true. It is only a suggestion. Yet the opposite side of it is true.

    First, Tamils should not attempt to stop the GOSL from going ahead and celebrating the March 29th with double the amount of the firework of May 19 of 2009, because the government may be willing to show the mass that they have double the victory this time. Then there will be a real message will be conveyed to America and Britain. We should be happy enough to give UNHRC victory to government. There are some kinds of explanations given by Sumanthiran M.P., to say why the Tamils are better off with this than one they are looking for. But, without paying attention to that, Tamils should concede to GOSL to celebrate March 29th.

    Then on coming back to question of which is first, an attempt to reconciliation or accountability, reconciliation might have been the urgent one for the war affected Northerners. So, in 2009, when president met SG of UN in Colombo, he gave the promise to reconcile with Tamils and go for Accountability. This is described more precisely by Dr.Dhayan Jeyathilaka somewhere else in CT (in that he is mentioning about the government’s promises of the 13+ for some other parties too). His claim is, in 2009, his team build up on this promises and defeated the Canadian resolution and even turn the table around and got praise to GOSL. I think this writer has to read some of that and gain more knowledge. So, following this Geneva session, TNA declared rehabilitation of the refuges and political solution are their priority with government and they were not interested in an International Inquiry. TNA, of cause had majority support of the Eelam Tamils, whose voices are suppressed; Diaspora is a small population compared to back home. But they have more realistic views and free thinking. So, they right away condemned TNA saying there is no truth in government promises, TNA had forgotten the GOSL history from 1948 and pawning the Tamils future for their easy, safe politics at home. Robert Blake who had an upper hand after the war declared that TNA wants political solution, not war crime Investigation and he took with government for political solution and rehabilitation only.

    So the government started its fake negotiation for a political solution.(did the same thing on the rehabilitation too.) After two or three meeting government noticed that the TNA was really attempting to negotiate for a solution. This made TNA look very poor and pity fools to the government. So the government started show lot of run around to make TNA loses the patient and makes it a quit. Further GOSL started inserting wedges between the TNA members as its usual techniques to destroy its opposition. Nothing worked up on that. So the government changed the rule of the game during the play. It wanted TNA to go for PSC and just take what will be given to them there. But Sambanthar did not like to take something that would be given at PSC, but he wanted a negotiated settlement. King went to India to press TNA to abandon the negotiations and receive a solution from PSC. But there were two open promises given to India outstanding at that time, one was during the war by King for a 13+ to PM Manmohan Singh and the other one was right after the war victory, Professor Peiris had issued a joint statement with Indian FM Krishna of resolving of Tamils problems.

    So India this time not ready to fully accept the government position, it wanted a date of when the 13A will be implemented. Kannada Krishna came to Colombo to celebrate the Tamils’s Maattu Pongal with the Sinhalese King. But the stubborn king didn’t easily give up to Indian FM. He just requested TNA to attend the PSC. TNA asked the program of the PSC if it has to attend it. King won’t budge claiming it is a pre-condition. At this time, noticing nothing moving from GOSL side, induce it a little bit to move ahead, Blake was back again in Colombo to get the approval of the GOSL to bring a biennial resolution for GOSL in 2012 March. The Smart king noticing India being little tight this time, he simply cancelled the date he fixed with TNA for negotiation and approved a biennial resolution for Robert Blake.

    Blake thought after two and half years of war, now the GOSL is staring to lend. So, at the start of the 19th sitting of the UNHRC, he sent all voting member countries that GOSL would like to receive technical/ resource support for in exchange for the approval of a biennial resolution. But the GOSL completely denied that and vigorously contested the 2012 march resolution. But India accepted the 2012 resolution as harmless one and voted for it. GOSL lost on both sides. Blake who has been a friend in need and indeed to Gotta during the war had learned his lesson and last year, in American Congress, he declared that the GOSL has cheated America. America started to tighten for implementation of LLRC. Justice Minister Kaheem went to Blake with the false National Action Plan. It too was praised by America and asked GOSL to execute it. Now GOSL has exhausted all techniques of cheating and launched a full scale Word War with America. Very badly disappointed America proposed an Independent Inquiry on its Draft resolution of the 22nd sitting. King and India got together and Sent Subramanian Swami to America to have resolution to give up that clause.

    Though they were success on that but now the call at UNHRC has turned its face toward the Inquiry rather than reconciliation. Now, none of the international countries will be going to return back to reconciliation instead of investigation. During the CHOGM, PM Camron up graded the call to an Independent International Inquiry. But America still not ready for that. It wants a UNHRC High Commissioner’s inquiry first. Whether Tamils have lost on this or not will be determined by time. Izeth Hussain has not portrayed enough diplomatic prudence to predict the outcome of this. Again it is worth to mention Dr. Jeyathilaka here. He is showing concern about any kind of inquiry that is coming over Sri Lanka. We can wait and see if Dr.DJ’s diplomatic expertise is giving him an upper hand on this prediction.

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    Mr Hussein should not be hasty and wait for the final wording of the UNHCR resolution before his triumphalism. I have already apologized to Mr Hussein for my rudeness and I shall not be rude to him again for his pieces are well thought out though I do not agree with him. Some of the premises on which his conclusions are based are contestable.

    The view that American power has ended is stated by some authors. There is no visible evidence of this. There must be other powers which by themselves or collectively could challenge American power. The BRICS states cannot do this even collectively. The overreach of American power during the Bust regime has ended. The economic crisis in the US is ending. American power will recover minor set backs. In any event, to the extent that the US promotes democracy, it has to be listened too. Democracy is something the Chinese on the street wants too as much as his government will not give it to him. The US has ulterior motives for promoting democracy perhaps but most people will stand and cheer when it does this.

    The realist consideration of positions is not the only one that needs to be made. Cosmopolitan considerations are equally important. There is an independent movement for human rights and for ensuring that tyrants get the punishment they deserve. The need for a deterrent against such behaviour is important. The view that Mr Hussein takes ensures guilty tyrants to escape. Sri Lanka needs a catharsis to change the political culture that has been created. Only intervention by some external body like the UNHCR can ensure that a new beginning is made.

    Mr Hussein must have the wisdom to see that every leader in Sri Lanka has only given a repeat performance of blood, chauvinism and extreme corruption. Can he not think of ending this cycle?

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      Kabaragoya = apology accepted with thanks. I have been mistaken in thinking that the notion of the decline of the American Empire has been widely accepted over a long period – since the Gulf war in the early nineties when it was shown that the US no longer had the strength to go it alone. I must write on Emmanuel Todd’s presentation of the case.
      I think you are taking too negative a view of Sri Lanka. We are after all a middle income country and people here are better off than in any other South Asian country. But certainly we have a peculiar genius for mucking up our ethnic relations.
      I think that we have come to depend too much on the outside world. They can help, but ultimately we have to work things out for ourselves. I have a strong conviction that the way forward is through 13A plus a fully functioning democracy.

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    Whenever I find the time I surf the Net and learn of events in Sri Lanka’s endless ethnic problem. I notice Mr. Izeth Hussain is a regular contributor to Colombo Telegraph and find his lively interactions with readers both interesting and amusing. Here he seems to have jumped the gun and declared the Rajapakse Govt as victors at Geneva (“It should be obvious that the Government has scored a tremendous victory in Geneva”) which I believe is not the case. At least not yet. I wish it was.

    My own reading and information from those who engage in in-depth studies of the issue is the current sittings of the UNHRC will not take a final or punitive action on the Rajapakse administration. That is because the Rajapakses are going hell for leather in pleading for more time. Their reasonable argument is they have bought the 30 year old war to an end and need more than the five years in the interim to show definite results to the satisfaction of the Tamil people in Sri Lanka’s North and East. I am told one successful Rajapakse effort was in the recent meeting between the Indian PM and President Rajapakse in Myanmar where the latter had requested India not to take injurious steps (sanctions, travel restrictions) against Sri Lanka. In return he has assured he would fully support the NPC to be functionally successful. The UN machinery also has encouraged him to assist its global effort to feed the millions of hungry in the many Refugee camps in the world. I am told the reported Gift of 50,000 tons of Rice to FAO is related to these talks.As opposed to the State-sponsored propaganda here the UN is not after Sri Lanka. The Geneva meetings attaches far more time and importance to the Syrian, Sudanese and other issues. In encouraging personal attacks on Mrs. Navi Pillai, UNSG Ban Ki Moon and India the Rajapakse regime is only shooting itself in the foot. They will need these powerful sources in the search for a solution to the Lankan crisis.

    Mr. Hussain’s repeated use of the term “Turf” is not in good taste while the more acceptable term “sphere of influence” is available to him. The term Turf usually is associated in referring to the Mafia in the USA and Italy mostly. It has no place in decent discourse. This former senior diplomat for Sri Lanka makes many further mistakes in his article that controversially touches on a variety of sensitive matters. His comments “..In international relations weaker neighbours of a regional power or a great power are recognized as the latter’s turf” is both incorrect and will be unacceptable to other countries. If this were so Ceylon would have suffered the fate of Sikkim during KM Panikkar’s time in the early 1940s. No large country can do what he seems be believes as he state “ which means that it is free to establish its turf where it can”

    As a former Ambassador he will know better the UNO is there to protect smaller countries – a fate that befell many, including this region, in the earlier centuries. I am also glad Mr.Hussain has the courtesy to admit his faults as in the case when he humbly declares “As for India’s involvement, it seemed far-fetched and irresponsible speculation on my part…” We are, after all, human however smart and clever we think we are.

    Legal Lunumiris

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      Legal Lunimiris – thanks for the informed comments in your second para. But must you be so fussy about the use of the term “turf”. It is much in use and besides I was not writing a diplomatic note.Furthermore it is appropriate for suggesting something negative, as a sphere of influence usually implies hegemony, or some kind of unequal relationship.
      You refer to my “many further mistakes”. Pity you didn’t list them. You give some details only about spheres of influence, about which there seems to be much misinformation and misunderstanding in Sri Lanka, as your comments clearly show. I hope to write a separate article on spheres of influence as it is a matter of the greatest importance for Sri Lanka.
      As for admitting my faults, I did no such thing. You have misunderstood the sentence quoted in your last para. The emphasis there was on the word “seemed”

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    “One reason for this is that India has a legitimate, and indeed vital, interest in what happens to the SL Tamils because of the fall-out in Tamil Nadu.”

    Then why is it watering down the resolutions brought by the US?Won’t the fall out be worse in tamilnadu when they perceive that india is working against the srilanka tamils interest and putting a spoke in the wheels?

    “In the case of India all the powerful countries of our time want India to be on their side, which means that it is free to establish its turf where it can.”

    Where are the examples that all powerful countries(US,EU,China i presume)are wooing india?They can mange to resolve their issues without india.For example who cares a fart about what india wants to be done about the syria,crimea problems.I don’t think even manmohan knows.The impression given by india about itself to these powerful countries is that of a dithering idiot run by senile old gentlemen who will start running to the bathroom and stay there when they get stressed out.

    “I believe that might be possible if we make a real success of 13A and move in an increasingly democratic direction, setting in motion a process of organic growth that could lead to a political solution and ethnic reconciliation.”

    That is the key to getting out of the pit that the rajapakshes have dug for themselves,but they are going very slow on it.Not only the 13A is not fully implemented,the LLRC recommendations are also not even half fulfilled.In addition to that they have started on the muslims too.

    As for the US,i am wondering whether their interest is because they feel that srilanka is flirting too much with china.Also maybe they want a naval base in this vital startegic location through which most of the worlds energy supplies go through.As for iraq i feel oild was the reason that US took the opportunity of the sept 11 attacks to invade iraq.

    In our case it is not the oil,but the strategic location through which the oil is passing through that has made the US look at tiny srilanka closely.Our modayas also have given an opportunity scratching around with the tamils as well as now with the muslims.An economy can be brought to a standstill if oil supplies to that economy is disrupted or delayed.To control the worlds oil you need to control the oli reserves as well as the supply of it.Our location enables the latter,not former.

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    “It should be obvious that the Government has SCORED A TREMENDOUS VICTORY in Geneva….I don’t expect any serious reversals… The crucial facts are these: THERE WILL NO NO SETTING UP OF A MECHANISM FOR INTERNATIONAL INVESTIGATIONS INTO WAR CRIMES…..” so rushed to print a fortnight ago our self-proclaimed “Expert in International Affairs” the infallible, ex-diplomat Mr. Izzeth Hussain. The angry man – notorious for his acid tongue – against any one disagreeing with him now stands naked and exposed.

    Nettabomman

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