17 October, 2021

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Government Has Not Done Its Homework On The Fertilizer, Pesticide & Weedicide Ban

By Rohan Samarajiva

Prof. Rohan Samarajiva

The Cabinet Paper banning fertilizer, pesticide, and weedicide imports with immediate effect that was rubber-stamped last week without discussion constitutes a sea change in Sri Lanka’s agriculture policy. Its implications for consumers, for the livelihoods of farmers, and for those who have invested in agriculture and related sectors are vast. It is simply too important a decision to be taken by the President alone.

Despite the 20th Amendment, it is wrong to marginalize Parliament and to ignore state agencies with expertise. Because agriculture is a devolved subject, officials in the Provincial Councils should be consulted even in the absence of elected Council members. Given the expropriatory effects on the private property of those whose investments are affected, the authority of the Courts as the guardians of fundamental rights and as the upholders of equity is likely to be invoked.

No mandate for change

The Cabinet Paper is rather unusual. The entire justification for the proposed actions is anchored on the President’s election manifesto. No references are provided to studies, committee reports, etc.

It is foolhardy to build national policy on the weak foundation of manifesto promises. Each manifesto contains a panoply of promises. Was the vote a considered approval for each of those promises? 

The primary purpose of a manifesto is to convince citizens to vote for the candidate or political party presenting it. The secondary purpose is to gain legitimacy for specific actions.  Manifesto making is political not scientific or systematic.

Those who have been involved in manifesto making will testify to the opacity of the process, wherein what is accepted one day can disappear the next and new clauses and conditions can mysteriously appear even after “finalization.” Contributions can be sought, and consultations conducted, but in the end, decisions are made by a few in proverbial “smoke-filled rooms.” A manifesto is, at most, broadly indicative of orientation and priority-setting. Given the partisan and opaque procedure used to develop a manifesto, errors and impossible promises are unavoidable.

But because the Cabinet Paper lacks any other justification, one must look. Rather than rely solely on the quoted excerpts, I went to the source. The proposed actions are inconsistent with the language of the manifesto.

“In order to guarantee the people’s right to such safe food, the entire Sri Lankan agriculture will be promoted to use organic fertilizers during the next ten years. For this, production of organic fertilizer will be accelerated.

* To resuscitate the farming community, we need to replace the existing fertilizer subsidy scheme with an alternative system. In the new system, the inorganic and organic fertilizer both will be provided free of charge to farmers. They will be promoted to shift gradually into a complete system using entirely carbonic fertilizer.

* A system of assistance will be introduced to convert traditional farming villages into users of only organic fertilizer.”

The language is anchored on food safety. But the ban affects fertilizers and chemicals used for all crops, not just what is consumed by citizens. There is a commitment to provide inorganic fertilizer free. The transition is to take place over a decade. These actions are to be taken in the context of “a new national agricultural policy would be introduced after an in-depth review of the present policies.” This promise is prefaced by a condemnation of “policy that changes from one season to another.”

No national policy based on review of existing policies and experience; no assessment of the experience of other countries; a policy that changes things in one week not a season. And most importantly, the telescoping of a ten-year process into a few months. Sudden, not gradual. Instead of free inorganic fertilizer, a ban. Not limited to traditional villages but across the board. The proposed bans lack a mandate.

Procedurally flawed

A change in a policy with broad impact requires care and caution.

The change may do much good, as the Cabinet Paper claims. Because of the repeated claims that our food is contaminated with “vasa visa,” most consumers would support a change away from chemical fertilizer and pesticides. But they are unlikely to accept higher prices and unavailability. Hotels are unlikely to accept “ugly fruit.” Growers are unlikely to accept drastically reduced yields and/or inability to market their produce at prices that are above costs of production. The net benefit must be demonstrated, not simply asserted.

Growers large and small will be unhappy about being unable to recover the investments they have made in preparations for growing or in crops in the ground by this sudden reversal in policy. This response will also be shared by other participants in the sector who had entered perfectly legal contracts but are now unable to clear their shipments from the port. It is common sense for the government to give adequate notice of a change in policy or the law so that affected parties can make the necessary adjustments to their business practices minimizing losses.

Policy changes that can do good, can also do harm. It is customary in policy formulation and implementation to look at relevant cases in other countries or in this country. Risk assessment, identification of collateral effects, and careful structuring of rules to avoid negative outcomes can be done by government officials or by external consultants with the required expertise. When the government liberalized the market for international telephony in 2003, we studied prior experiences in countries including Hong Kong (the most liberalized market in Asia) and India (to learn what missteps to avoid). 

The President claims that Sri Lanka will be the first to go all-organic. A cursory Internet search will show that a fellow SAARC country, Bhutan, announced the intention to go all-organic in 2008; and that its experience has been assessed by independent scholars and published in the peer-reviewed and open scientific publication PLOS ONE in 2018  (DOI =10.1371/journal.pone.0199025). The abstract states:

“Organic agriculture (OA) is considered a strategy to make agriculture more sustainable. Bhutan has embraced the ambitious goal of becoming the world’s first 100% organic nation. By analysing recent on-farm data in Bhutan, we found organic crop yields on average to be 24% lower than conventional yields. Based on these yield gaps, we assess the effects of the 100% organic conversion policy by employing an economy-wide computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with detailed representation of Bhutan’s agricultural sector incorporating agroecological zones, crop nutrients, and field operations. Despite a low dependency on agrochemicals from the onset of this initiative, we find a considerable reduction in Bhutan’s GDP, substantial welfare losses, particularly for non-agricultural households, and adverse impacts on food security.”

Does this mean that no other country should go all-organic? No. Is this the only study? No. The purpose of looking at the experience of others is to learn from them. It is irresponsible not make the effort to mitigate the negative impacts will fall upon consumers, growers and others in the sector and to design the policy most suited for local conditions.

Even within the country, prior knowledge existed because the fiasco of the previous government’s effort to promote organic farming at the behest of Ven. Athuraliye Rathana, MP.  That ended with much waste of public funds and the shutting down of the implementing agency, SEMA. It would not have been all wasted if the present government made the effort to learn from it.

The government appears to have learned little from the palm oil ban that had to be walked back and modified. It is normal procedure to circulate a Cabinet Paper to all relevant Ministries for their input to and to win concurrence. Walking back and modifying is what happens when this procedure is not followed.

This blanket ban does not affect only food items consumed within Sri Lanka. It affects subjects under multiple Ministries. It can devastate non-food segments such as foliage exports. It is likely to strangle the fast-growing fruit and vegetable export industry which was subject to rigorous enforcement of standards such as Euro GAP that my organization worked on with the Department of Agriculture and the exporters association. The legislature can choose to take actions that result in such collateral effects. But it should at least have considered them. This Cabinet Paper does not.

Actions   

The government should suspend the implementation of the Cabinet Paper and appoint an inter-Ministry committee of experts with the power to co-opt external experts to report back on a practical method of achieving the objectives of ensuring food safety and environmental conservation. Given the complexity of the changes and the collateral effects, it is best that a pilot be conducted. The larger program design should be based on those learnings.

If the government does not act responsibly, the Opposition should demand a select committee, or at least a debate in Parliament. Stakeholders should move the courts. Our food and our livelihoods are too important to be cavalierly toyed with by those learning on the job.

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Latest comments

  • 14
    1

    The after-shocks of 20A are just being felt. Fertilizer, Palm Oil, Port City and Victimisation Committee Recommendations are only the start.
    Heil !!

    • 4
      1

      I wonder what the Mad King will decide to ban next on the advice of Arahat Ratana?
      May I propose a list?
      1.Mobile phones will be banned as cancer- causing.
      2. Pornography will be banned ( again!)
      3. Liquor will be banned (Mathata thitha)
      4. Cigarettes will be banned.
      5. Milk will be banned as it is the calves’ food.
      6. Music will be banned within 500 m of any temple.
      Let’s all go live in Port City !

  • 7
    0

    I was surprised to learn that fruits & vegetables, including bananas, are grown in green houses in barren Iceland, making use of its geo thermal resources, while agriculture is also carefully cultivated in the deserts of South America & Israel. SL has an agriculture based economy, therefore, sudden policy changes in such activity has to be carefully planned. In the current context of banning the use of fertiliser, whether the agrarian research institute & other such bodies were involved in the decision making or if it was an ad hoc decision based on political motivation is the question.

    • 5
      0

      Assuming the decision has been made collectively by those experts on the subject, I believe that vegetables & fruit are often sprayed with chemicals for longer shelf life. If this is true, will the govt. follow up on ensuring the produce in the market are chemical free? As for the kidney failure, suicides & premature deaths caused as a direct result of chemicals used in agriculture, shouldn’t the health services also be involved in educating & managing the illnesses those vulnerable or affected people? Is the banning of fertilizer is enough & an end to all?

    • 0
      3

      I think this decision will most likely move the farming inside polytunnels. So more cost-intensive but better-protected farming to for vegetables etc.

  • 5
    0

    Lots of illogical decisions have been made by Governments since 2005.
    White elephant projects such as Hambantota Harbour has made our country indebted to China-a DRAGON which I have is slowly devouring SL.
    Building an Airport and an International cricket ground in an inaccessible area (where wildlife roam) too were wastage of National Wealth. Development should be islandwide and should have included the North and East of the country.
    Stopping importation of Fertilisers should not have been suddenly.It should have been a gradual process.
    It is going to affect the poor farmers a lot.

  • 4
    0

    6.9 million idiots voted into power idiotoc thug as a President. And voted into power another 200 ofd common criminals. Few exceptions like Harin , Eran, Harsha.
    What else can we expect. We need to wait till there is some miracle happen to get rid of these Criminals, thieves and murderers

    Opposition Leader is a mud. He can never be an alternative. We have chased all the good people from the country. We will be worse than African countries.

  • 2
    0

    China must be giving Motherland millions of tonns of their very own Organic Chinese fertilizer. :'(
    Therefore Citizens must demand to know how this Orgnic Fertilizer was produced.

  • 4
    0

    Organic farming is a small scale affair. It is only an idiot who will think of banning fertilizer and claim on paper the the whole country will convert organic farming. What about the plantations? Does this policy mean the much acclaimed TRI and the RRI are to be side lined. Paddy cultivation cannot survive without chemical fertilizers. The yields will drop and more and more and more acreage will be abandoned by the farmer. Unless the fields are in the dry zone and subject to irrigation much of the rain fed fields in the western province lie fallow already. This is by far the most shocking turn of events. This moron first of all knows nothing and probably thinks the climate change and the ever rising temperature is a joke. In the tropical belt if the temperature rises beyond a certain threshold plants just burn and die and so will humans (Wet Bulb Effect). Every inducement available would have to be used to keep agriculture going. Taking the most successful methods of farming off the table at a time like this is suicidal.

    • 0
      0

      Thiha,
      Unfortunately, our people have very short memories. We can’t remember what the 60’s and 70’s were like. So we are condemned to re-invent the wheel periodically.

  • 5
    0

    This reminds me of Chairman Mao and his little red book. The Chinese were told that every problem can be solved by this little red book. It is like what is happening in Sri Lanka the president says and it shall be done. But what will happen is the officials will pretend that it is working while all hell is breaking lose. China went thru periods of famine so severe that the starving population resorted to cannibalism. The place was a right royal hell hole and still is. The death toll was in the millions. A similar situation is hapening right now in North Korea. The country remains tightly locked down to the outside world while its people starve and are also dying from COVID. These are the consequences of having dictators running countries. A dictator cannot delegate matters to the most competent person rather, he makes all the decisions and no man or women can make wise decisions by them selves especially on topics that are way out of their league. Devastation unfolds. Why are these Sinhalayo so dumb that they don’t see this?

  • 1
    0

    The death toll due to starvation would be much more than the numbers due to Covid-19. with such Cavalier style Military decisions.

    It would be interesting to evaluate the Man to Land ratio in Srilanka after the Maha and Yala seasons.
    What to do? Srilanka is a land like no other no?

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