28 November, 2020

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SLFP Dissent, The Executive Presidency & The Folly Of The ’80s

By Dayan Jayatilleka –

Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka

Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka

If we are to avert a bloodbath in the coming years we must avoid the mistakes of the 1980s, but both the Government and the Opposition are making the same mistakes once again.

If we do not strive for peaceful, democratic regime change by internal electoral means, there will be external attempts at regime change.

If those external attempts succeed, we shall have one or more pro-Western puppet regimes (in Colombo and/or the North and East). This/these will be violently resisted by Southern nationalism.

If these external attempts fail, or succeed only in the North and East, we shall have a far more militaristic, religious fundamentalist regime than we now have. The present intermediate regime will give convulsive birth to a “rough beast” (Yeats).

Thus an internal, electoral change of either regime behaviour or regime composition or the regime itself, is the last best hope of avoiding such scenarios.

The horrors of the 1980s stemmed from gross errors and miscalculations by Government and Opposition. What were these?

There were two main errors on the part of the administration of President Jayewardene.

  • It was felt that with his convincing re-election as president, the artificial extension of the two thirds, actually five sixths, majority in parliament, a booming economy, and support from the USA, Pakistan and Israel, Sri Lanka could ignore, defer, and deflect the ethnic and external relations crisis i.e. the Tamil Question, Tamil Nadu and Delhi.
  • Devolution, which President Jayewardene himself was almost certainly willing to implement from 1984 to 1986, was delayed because the two top security personalities, Minister of National Security Lalith Athulathmudali and the Presidential Advisor on Security, Ravi Jayewardene (the President’s son), both of whom were early converts to the Israeli model, vastly overestimated Sri Lanka’s capacity to hold out in the face of external realities and the intermestic character (international-cum-domestic) of the Tamil issue.

As a result Sri Lanka’s economic miracle went into a tailspin, while the country experienced multiple civil wars, external intervention, bloody anarchy and suppression in North and South.

If President Jayewardene had a project of open-ended continuity or worse, familial succession, the forces of anarchy would have overrun the state. Mercifully he did not, and handed over the “torch burning at both ends” to Prime Minister Premadasa. The System survived, though tragically, President Premadasa did not.

Today the Government is on the cusp of the same errors in relation to the ethnic issue and external relations, with the added problems of a vastly more globalised pan-Tamil nationalist network and consciousness, and external pressures on two rather than one front. Most dangerous is the burden of the two dimensional project of (a) familial dominance of the regime and state  and (b) familial succession. This closes off the safety valves.

What is often and quite conveniently forgotten by politicians and commentators is that all the carnage of the ’80s was made possible by the criminal errors of the Opposition. There was at least one chance when everything could have gone in a different direction. That was the Presidential election of October 1982. What if the SLFP’s centrist deputy leader Maithripala Senanayake, a man with rural appeal, supported by Anura Bandaranaike and the democratic Left, had been the Presidential candidate and successor to Mrs Bandaranaike as Party leader?  Instead, Maithripala Senanayake had been so alienated by Mrs Bandaranaike that the SLFP was badly fissured. She agreed to a weak if decent candidate, Hector Kobbekaduwe, who found when he went to the polling booth, that his vote had been impersonated!  Kobbekaduwe performed limply in his TV addresses while JR’s personality won the day.

Had Maithripala contested, JR may have still won against the backdrop of a growing economy, but it would have been a close fought race and he would not have dared have a referendum instead of a parliamentary election. He did so, because the main opposition was headless and enfeebled. The referendum and the artificial retention/extension of the two thirds majority in parliament resulted in the shutting off of negative feedback loops and safety valves, thus overheating the system. The first, defining explosion came in six months in the form of the anti-Tamil pogrom of Black July 1983. In 2014, we are still living downstream from July 1983 and there would have been no July ’83 if not for December 1982 —the Referendum— and no Referendum if not for the fiasco of October 1982— the Kobbekaduwe candidacy.

Madam Bandaranaike’s reckoning was that it was OK for Kobbekaduwe to fail, so long as she retained control of the real estate, the SLFP— and that she would eventually be re-elected to the country’s leadership. This was never to be. Mass memories of economic deprivation caused her defeat in 1988. Her party was unelectable until Chandrika took over and rebranded it radically.

Today the Opposition is about to make the same mistake. The candidates spoken of — Ranil, CBK, SF, and Karu— will fare as badly against Mahinda as Hector Kobbekaduwe did against JRJ or at best, Mrs Bandaranaike did when losing against Premadasa in 1988. CBK and Fonseka are strong personalities, but so was Mrs Bandaranaike. CBK is as connected with failure to defeat Prabhakaran, Norwegian mediation etc as her mother was with the closed economy. SF is appreciated for his services to the nation and would be cheered on into parliament but is felt to be too rough and ruthless and would not come anywhere close to MR in the popularity contest that is a presidential election.

In October 1982, the Opposition should have picked a candidate who could have secured the maximum possible SLFP vote. In 2015, the Opposition must pick the candidate who can secure the maximum UNP turnout and the maximum possible UNP vote.

If the Opposition rallies around a ‘minoritarian’ candidate, strategy and message (Ranil, Karu, CBK), it will be vulnerable on several counts: (i) a security lockdown of the North in the wake of violence by a resurgent LTTE (a Tonkin Gulf incident or a Reichstag fire scenario) (ii) a Gajan Ponnambalam or Ananthi Sasitharan ‘Tamil candidacy’ or boycott movement (iii) a pan-Sinhala backlash.

An Opposition candidate with a minoritarian profile will not only will he or she lose badly, but worse still, Mahinda Rajapaksa will have no incentive to bid for the centre space and the minority vote, indeed he will have every disincentive to so doing.

On the other hand if the UNP candidate has a patriotic-populist profile, both the President and he will be forced to bid for the minority vote which can compensate for the loss of Sinhala Buddhist votes to the other. Whatever the outcome, it would be easier to engage constructively with the ethnic issue in the aftermath.

If on the contrary, President Rajapaksa were to be convincingly re-elected (even in the run-off) with only the Sinhala vote, then he will not — as the optimists think— be more willing to devolve power, because he will have to think of the effect of any such moves on the electoral future of his son. The only guarantee of post-election progress on the ethnic issue is if he has had to compete for the Sinhala vote with a populist candidate and has therefore had to bid for the votes of the minorities as well.

For better or worse, there is only one UNPer who has fought the Rajapaksas up close and personal since the year 2000 on their home turf, and not acquitted himself badly. That is Sajith Premadasa. The disgraceful incident at Mattala shows that the rest of the UNP just cannot face the conditions of competition — the pace bowling as it were— that Sajith has faced with his wicket intact, at every election for the last decade and a half.  He alone has the measure of the opponent. Karu Jayasuriya also faced the Bandaranaikes in Gampaha and did well but that was over a decade ago, and his electoral performance has declined since.

A Sajith candidacy would be the same tactic that the UNP leadership used so well in 1956 when it fielded the young firebrand and first-timer, R Premadasa, against the giant NM Perera in his home turf of Ruanwella. Premadasa lost by only a few thousand votes. Imagine if it had been a presidential election under proportional representation!

The fissures in the ruling coalition which were evident in parliament during the ‘casino vote’, is a significant new development which must surely be capitalised upon. Despite the personal canvassing by the leadership, over 50-60 coalition members abstained. Sadly it appears as though this dissent is to be squandered by erroneous political assessment and tactics.

In an engaging, scholarly presentation on the National Question at the SJV Chelvanayakam memorial oration, leading lawyer Jayampathy Wickremaratne makes the following observation and implicit suggestion:

“While President Rajapakse is in no mood to abolish the executive presidency, doing so under pressure cannot be ruled out altogether. Already, there is talk of a ‘single-issue’ common opposition candidate, the single issue that could unite the entire opposition and catalyze dissent within the SLFP to turn into revolt being the abolition of the executive presidency. If there is a serious challenge to his position, Rajapakse may well take the wind off the sails of the opposition by abolishing the executive presidency. However if he maintains his current stand, there is every likelihood that abolition would become a rallying point for the opposition and dissidents within the SLFP.”

This is so wrong in so many ways and for so many reasons, that one cannot help but recall the absurd, abortive ‘Constitutional Revolution’ project of President Kumaratunga and the politically pathetic end of her tenure as President.

If there is a single issue Opposition candidate and that single issue is the abolition of the executive Presidency, the same candidate will find that he or she is totally out of touch with mass sentiment.

In the first place, the Sinhala voters are simply not going to countenance the devolution of power to provinces while abolishing the strong centripetal executive presidency and leaving the control of the provinces— especially the restive North— to a weaker centre as represented by parliament. The 13th amendment barely squeaked past the Supreme Court only because the ultimate control exercised by the Executive Presidency was deemed to guarantee that devolution would remain within the parameters of the unitary state as inscribed in the Constitution.

Thus the goal of political reconciliation would be adversely affected. A parliament cannot countervail the potentially centrifugal dangers of a devolved Northern and Eastern Council, proximate to a hostile Tamil Nadu. Abolish the executive Presidency and the entire deal on devolution— the 13th amendment— would have to go with it, like a domino.

Furthermore, the abolition of the Executive Presidency would weaken, not strengthen the struggle for democracy. The military has grown much stronger in relation to civilian institutions during a Thirty Years War. The elected executive Presidency is the only institution strong and legitimate enough to maintain civilian supremacy and prevent Sri Lanka becoming like the Pakistan of old, where the prime Minister was dictated to by the armed forces.

Contrary to Dr Jayampathy Wickremaratne’s prognostication, President Rajapaksa will not abolish the Presidency in order to take the wind out of the sails of either a single issue common candidate or a rebellion in the UPFA ranks which has as its rallying cry the abolition of the Presidency. All he needs to do is to call a referendum on the issue, pitch it as a danger to the Sinhalese in the face of external and irredentist pressures and he will win a crushing victory over the dissidents. He can then go into the Presidential and parliamentary elections with an even stronger hand than he otherwise would.  If this is the slogan that Chandrika’s collection of intellectuals from the ridiculously unsuccessful ‘Sudu Nelum/Package/Solheim/constitutional revolution/PTOMS’ experiments can come up with, they will inadvertently but stupidly hand President Rajapaksa three rather than two election victories, each of which will add to the momentum.

If the important first fissure in the UPFA is mistranslated and badly invested, all President Rajapaksa will do is go for elections, dumping the lot and giving nominations instead to the  younger family loyalists. What options do the dissidents have? They don’t have a party under the banner of which they can contest (the SLMP remains with Hirunika, who remains with whatever degree of disappointment, understandably loyal to the President). Even if they did, they cannot rally the SLFP voters with the issue of the abolition of the executive presidency.

What the pro-Opposition policy intellectuals fail to comprehend is that as Regis Debray observed in his masterly ‘Critique of Political Reason’, economic structures change fairly fast but political structures change far more slowly. His point was that societies which are historically and culturally accustomed to certain patterns, be they monarchies, caudillos (strongmen), or high regional autonomy tend to remain in or fall back into the same grooves under which ever banner, disguise or label. Thus the quasi-anarchic revolutionary Mao became a (Red) Emperor occupying the same Walled City in Beijing as his predecessors for millennia, Fidel is El Jefe Maximo (the Maximum Leader) —essentially a caudillo, De Gaulle and Mitterand were essentially neo-Napoleonic.

So it is with Sri Lanka. It was JR Jayewardene who announced while ascending the Pattirippuwa to be sworn in as the country’s first Executive President, that he was the 168th (or whatever) in an unbroken line of monarchs who ruled this island!

The Presidential system corresponds to a structure rooted in the Sinhala consciousness and that need for a strong centre or strong leader, is heightened at times of external and/or ethnic challenge and pressure. There is no way that any candidacy or SLFP rebellion that makes the issue of the abolition of the Presidency its centrepiece can take off, still less succeed. The Sinhala voter will not fault Mahinda Rajapaksa for not playing Sirisangabo.

Does this mean that no dissent is possible on the issue of the Presidency? Certainly not! Valid, politically intelligent slogans would be the return of the 17th amendment, independent commissions, and term limits—the reform rather than the repeal of the Presidency, reducing its quasi-absolutist powers.

Opposition strategists and ideologues placing their bets on abolishing the Executive Presidency while the Presidential election is less than a year away, is quite as sensible as placing one’s bets in one’s final year at university, on agitation for the abolition of the final exams, instead of studiously preparing to face them!

There is a far more powerful rallying cry that the UPFA dissidents can adopt for the future. That is to tell the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth, to the people. Avoid a head-on targeting of a popular President to whom the people are grateful, and go instead for the phenomenon of family control of the regime, the SLFP, and economic resources; the huge power of an unelected and therefore unaccountable member of the family; expose the structures of ruling clan control and the nexus with crony capitalism; denounce the project of familial succession; decry the misuse of state resources and facilities; expose the cost to the masses of Mihin air etc. This, and not the lead balloon of the abolition of the executive Presidency, could be the vehicle of a successful and necessary future rebellion within the SLFP and UPFA.

*Dayan Jayatilleka is the author of Long War, Cold Peace: Sri Lanka’s North-South Crisis, Revised 2014 Edition with a Foreword by Godfrey Gunatilleke, Vijitha Yapa Publishers.

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Latest comments

  • 11
    2

    Best coalition would be UPFA CBK fraction + SF + UNP. Those silent voices in UPFA today will surely support CBK in defeating current megalomaniac in power. It is reported that over 50 out of current coalitions have been away from parliament at the time pro CASINO bill got passed few days ago proving that no 2/3 mandate supported the bill to get that passed. So with analysts keep questions whether the mandate supported the bill could ever be defined as a ” 2/3or much less “, it is said President of the current authoritarian govt of MR is planning to interview each of them.

    More will join CBK´s fraction, since we all feel that the current regime under MR is a dictatorship by all means.

    • 8
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      It is believed that there are lot more invisible problems within the UPFA. Many stay voiceless. They are made voicless. In the days to come, much to be revealed. Wait and see. Jaya apitai, who ve been fihginting this man to be removed from this the country.

      • 2
        7

        I concur with Dayan with most of his reflections. Single issue or whatever action by the opposition parties will be decided by Ranil and his clique alone.

        I have this gut feeling, Ranil will contest for Presidency with Sajith’s backing. And that’ll push Sobitha, Chandrika and etc as no factors. And MR will be elected as President in the first round for the third time. And that’ll give much desired peace and political stability to Sri Lanka for an unprecedented economic prosperity.

        • 4
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          This is no way.
          You always bring your sorta idiosyncratic ideas, but nobody would agree with them, but those in the bunch. Get well soon, Bando, hope you will see it before you say good bye someday.

          Enough is enough.

        • 1
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          Congrats Jamis Banda, you have excelled creditably to gain the title “RAW” (Rajapass Arse Wipe) and good luck in your endeavours for further advancement!

      • 7
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        “This man” is not going without a fight with the armed forces armed to the teeth on his side; more Mullivaaikkals of blood will flow in the country before peace, democracy and prosperity is ushered in by the international community and India.

        DJ can go on yapping about vomiting his mind out till then and afterwards.

        • 5
          1

          Here we go again , as usual our comedian come Political scientist pick & choose to manipulate the history to fulfill his contracted duties for his chosen master. let’s see what this clown is blabbering about this time ,

          “Today the Opposition is about to make the same mistake. The candidates spoken of — Ranil, CBK, SF, and Karu— will fare as badly against Mahinda as Hector Kobbekaduwe did against JRJ or at best, Mrs Bandaranaike did when losing against Premadasa in 1988. CBK and Fonseka are strong personalities, but so was Mrs Bandaranaike. “

          Apparently DJ has developed a sudden love for the opposition and is extremely worried & concerned about the opposition affairs hence trying his level best to give some good, free advice to the opposition ,DJ wants to portray that his main nightmare is to see another humiliating defeat for f the opposition at the forthcoming PE , so he wants to guide the opposition towards the winning side , according to him there is only one way to avoid another embarrassing defeat , that is nominating sajith as the Presidential candidate , to justify his claim DJ uses many concocted theories and hypothesis ,

          1)If Sajith can compete at Rajapakse fiefdom without resorting to violence
          2)If Sajith can win elections at Rajapakse fiefdom

          Then Sajith can be a serious challenge to MR at the next presidential election , DJ is not stopping there , he wants to compare sajith to CBK and analyze all the plus points which CBK had during her first campaign. as usual he conveniently forgetting all the other obvious real reasons behind CBK’s memorable victory , i.e had R.Premadasa been alive , CBK winning would have been equal to Gen SF’s defeat at the 2010 Presidential elections , in other words , CBK’s victory would have been confined to the numerical values only.
          why on earth this known MR lackey wants to promote the other hidden MR supporter sajith ? sajith is in MR’s camp as Ranil ,has any one seen Sajith directly blaming MR for any thing , Sajith is very much in the same boat as DJ , blaming every Tom , Dick & Harry for every thing but MR ! MR’s idieal wish is Ranil , if not he will settle for karu, Sajith or even SF but definitely not THE CBK/SOBITHA thero COMBO , this low life douche bag is scooping to the lowest level to fulfill his chosen masters desires , I’m sure , by now most of the readers are aware of the real motives behind this selfish character’s writing.

          • 3
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            How come Sajith Challenge MR when his whole family is under MR’s scrutiny. Read the fllowing webs.

            http://www.island.lk/2006/05/18/news25.html

            http://lankanewsweb.net/news/7096-president-rajapaksa-to-arrest-sajith-premadasa

            https://srilankamirror.com/news/14141-entire-premadasa-family-has-called-the-president

            The latest was the fraudulent fake currency printed case.

            Sorry to see UNP is divided on many factions and Sajith cannot win Presidential elections without UNP party support.

            At the moment Pres.Rajapakse’s biggest enemies are JVP, DP(Gen.SF),ven Sobiths Thero and Madam CBK.

            A common opposition candidate with the blessings of UNP,DP,JVP and TNA could win next presidential elections.

            At the moment MR is digging JVP, Gen.SF and Madam CBK files to stop them contesting, but this will only create more problems to MR.

            Only when 18th Amendment is abolished, the opposition could win next Presidential and Parliamentary elections.

            • 4
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              Sajith is representing his father who destroyed UNP though father´s few projects were popular among the poor of the poor in this country. I have nothing against the way he brought small – matches box like houses for teh poor of the poor across the country. But in the same time, his adminsitration took the lives of over 50k towards the end of 80ties. I have families that since then have been living without knowing their sons that just started at the universities have been since then. Some are only sons while some are the eldest for those families to give a life after finishing their degrees. Lanken kind of uni undergrades make every hope after being selected to their universities. I luckily left ht ecountry for Europe, but many of the batch mates failed to do so. I am so lucky to have left the country and escaped myself from all evils that went on record to that time.

              Today, very same people to forget all these at once just because of Sajith is given the same mouth piece by the nature to manipulate the nation, is just pathetic.

              Our people are memory losers, easy manipulative sort by all natures. We have guys on this forums to represent them well.

              Number one – Abhaya the pambaya, Banda (Former leela), Jimsofty
              Number two- born dimwit – Eusensense

              • 4
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                Reality will be CBK AND her new coalition. All right thinking ones would back her this time. One and rely on her 1000000000000000000000000 times than the man in power will be made clear to the nation by Rev. Sobitha thera and SF and UNP soon.
                SF has reiterated that there will be no other option than supporting any common candidate to contest against MR.
                JVP would agree with the same view though they have been in mixed feelings right now. This will be a reality. Nobody could stand on their way.
                If CBK would be elected, she would for sure bring peace back to the nation in today´s context. She will bring the external affairs intact so that no threat would again be unncesssarily excercised against the country. Hers adminsitrations won the hearts and minds of IC and got LTTE banned on all rich soils so that MR regime could end the war. Now the very same leader to return to the field is awaiting. No doubt, she will have to cancell EP within the first half of the year after being elected. That promise would be more than enough to turn this country from current tyranny to a democratic srilanka.

              • 4
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                You are right. If Sajith would be given chances, there will be no change in current politics.

                His rebel like nature being away from centre of UNP politics is a curse to this country. Those who support him are the idiots that cant work with other senior men.

                We the many attack RW, but he is number one honest man in politics in today´s srilanka. His party men accept getting agreed him for lies is a task that would never been able to do … It is his background. All lies spread on him about to have given the country to Ltters are similar to the same mud slinging attacks against CBK. Even are the same as attacks made on SF. Now it is time media men to play the honest role giving a priority to honest views.. so that the people of the country, specially ones that have been caught by MR thuggish biased media institutions, are better informed going through the facts and figures.

              • 1
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                Desperate,
                I am sorry, I just couldn’t understand half the thing you wrote here.

                • 1
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                  sorry, I did ont put that in clear text. I was on the train while posting that.

                  you and the guys that behave being that obsequious for all abuses of MR regime are definitely a curse. More you guys behave being sticky ot them, more people will become brainwashed. That is th reason why I feel you guys are a great threat for the nation.

          • 1
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            When will this [Edited out] dayan ever learn? It is a shame that he calls himself a political scientist. Fictionist.

            • 1
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              No, No, Dayan is no political scientist. He comes from the same school of thought like Dr. Mervin and both of them are batch mates. Surprised!

        • 1
          0

          Thiru

          Let me assure you my friend. No more Tamil blood will be spilt. There will be a few more killings before this regime is brought to its knees . We have turned the corner and this Regime is living in the hope that the Corrupt Congress will be returned and they can go on bribing them to shield them from Justice. But that is not going to happen and they will face their day of reckoning after May 16th .
          If there is going to be any blood spilt it is going to be as a result of Sinklalam on Sinkalam when hunger becomes the order of the day.

    • 3
      0

      Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka

      “If we are to avert a bloodbath in the coming years we must avoid the mistakes of the 1980s, but both the Government and the Opposition are making the same mistakes once again.”

      Yes. Both are looking after their self-interest, and following the para-Sinhala Traditions.

      There is another option. Getting the Paras, the Para-Sinhala, the Para-Tamil and other Para back to their ancestral land, South India nd India.

      After all India is the land of the Buddha and the Hindu Gods. and sacred.

    • 0
      0

      ———————————————–
      The disgraceful incident at Mattala shows that the rest of the UNP just cannot face the conditions of competition — the pace bowling as it were— that Sajith has faced with his wicket intact, at every election for the last decade and a half.
      ———————————————–

      What DJ is blabbering?
      Did UNP politicians failed to meet thuggery with thuggery (pace bowling)?
      Or should UNP show the other cheek when thugs slap them?
      -:)

    • 1
      0

      In the 80’s it was Rajiv Gandhi – MGR Vs JR, now it is going to be Narendra Modi – Jayalalitha Vs Rajapakshe. In the 80’s it was America supporting SL and Russia supporting India, now it is the other way around.

  • 5
    0

    Who is the Doctor treating DJ? The syndromes seem to respond. My only prayer is that DJ continues to take the medication!

    • 3
      0

      Please Dayan, take your prescribed medications and consider writing to the Daily Noise to express your thoughts. My only prayer is that you get well soon.

  • 7
    2

    “Avoid a head-on targeting of a popular President to whom the people are grateful, and go instead for the phenomenon of family control of the regime”

    The groveling never ends with this bugger !

    • 5
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      This bugger gave similar advices (avoid head-on conflicts/accusation with MR) to Tamil leaders like Wigneshwaren and Sumintharan recently … This Jayathilaka guy is getting dumber ..

  • 3
    0

    At present the existence of Executive Presidency and familial rule are intertwined. The two cannot be separated from one another.

    It is equally absurd to think of changing ‘regime behaviour’ at this stage!

    Sengodan. M

  • 2
    7

    Dayan jayatileka has lots of political experience international experience (as he says)and most of all he knows anything and everything about every subject so DAYAN JAYATILEKA should be the common candidate for the next presidential election.

    • 5
      0

      Both, Dr. Dayan and Dr. Mervyn are from the same school of thought. The difference is that Dr. Mervyn has already purchased his plot of land and Dr. Dayan has to follow suit. The sooner the better!

    • 1
      0

      Ha. ha. -:)

    • 4
      0

      Now the situation is like – the barber knife is given to a monkey,

      so, if you elect ” DJ” – most known inconsistent academic (Katussa by all nature)as the leader of the nation, becoming srilanka a hell will even more become a reality.

      • 2
        0

        To show the world that they have ties with international communities, the man is on a tour today.

        Whose funds have been wasted for this kind of trips, taking air crafts only for his pvt use.

        He would say, that he took the airline back, but for what costs… today it is reported that the airline is running with losses that we never though to be the case.
        pEOPLE those who attack CBK should realize all these. At the time, she was in power, srilanken carrier brought billions of income to the country. Today murderous ponnayah.. has done nothing but the wastes only.

        • 1
          0

          Soma,
          I don’t know about Air Lanka billions of dollars to Sri Lanka during Chandrika’s time but I know that Chandrika sold 43% of Air Lanka to Emirate in 1998 for some US$40 million. Even so government kept spending millions on it year after year. Check it out!

          Chandrika had 8 of her 11 years presidency fighting LTTE. She has SF and Janaka in her army. But she had lost all fights to LTTE. By the time she lost the general election to Ranil in 2001, LTTE were not just bombing Colombo city but even ransacked our airport. Army was trapped in the North. Moral of the soldiers were at the lowest. More soldiers had lost lives under her than during the war that finished LTTE. Exports were added with an insurance surcharge. Economy was in tatters.

          Today, SL Rupee is holding steady. Exports have surged. Trade gap narrowed. Foreign reserves rose to 8.0 billion. Tourist arrivals will exceed 1.6 million this year. Tourist earning will exceed two billion dollars. Just go around and count the number of huge buildings being built without talking BS. You may not but ordinary people observe these things.

          • 3
            0

            If CBK´s terms did not work on getting LTTErS banned on rich soils, would have the MR regime ever be able to defeat the LTTE or any other rebels in the island ?

            And the fact and figures as they are open to all and sundry, towards 2004, LTTE political wing became weakest with their leader Balasingham meeting with deadly sick or even dead, and several co leaders being either killed or broken away from teh LTTE and several other factors played a greater role MR govt´s to win the war. It was not MR´s sole magical powers allowed a millitary victory. For good sake, it worked positive for him, killing those LTTE terror leaders,had it worked otherway around, nothing like a victory, but only avalanche of human loses woould have been the result.
            In CBK´s speech made to the audience in Virginia university, she was questioned why her terms failed to crush them mililarily, there she braved shared, that her way was to achieve it through peaceful means without causing civilian casualties to the manner it worked under the guidance of MR. I think every humane people will agree with her there. CBK was the only leader who came with devolution proposals. I have no doubt, many in the country agree with her there but the bunch that are identified as stupid chaunists (that have mixed feelings towards devolution of power – perhaps mixting it up as it could lead for a partitioning of the land) even today would disagree. So long thse masses stay with their own thoughts, nothing will occure with lanken tamil problem.

            • 1
              1

              Sama,
              Of all major countries, only the US had ‘declared’ LTTE a terrorist organisation during Chandrika regime. That was in 1997. But LTTE backers said it’s a ‘declaration’ and not a ban. True enough, LTTE branches continue to operate in the US freely after the said ‘declaration’. Whatever it is, that’s about the only credit Chandrika can claim for banning LTTE.

              Australia had listed LTTE as a terrorist group after the US but they removed LTTE from the terrorist list in 2002 after the peace accord. Australia banned LTTE again after start of the Eelam war 1V. India banned LTTE in 1992 after PM Gandhi had been assassinated. LTTE was banned in the UK in 2001 in the wake of Al Qaeda attack on 9/11. Chandrika is silly if she claims credit for that. Canada banned LTTE in 2006. European Union proscribe the LTTE as a terrorist organisation in MAY 2006. If so, MR should get the credit and not Chandrika.

              Who cares about weaknesses of LTTE political wing, what matters to us is finishing of LTTE war machine that kept blasting human bombs in our buses, trains and public places and organising all other killer attacks on civilians.

              I agree that it wasn’t MR’s magical power that won the war; it was his war cum political strategy that won the war. Remember! Chandrika, had her ‘Sudu Nelum’ and ‘Thawalams’ strategy. She never knew such things gave mixed signals to soldiers and demoralise them. Not just that she couldn’t recognize the right defence secretary and commanders to lead her 8 long years of war. She had wasted so much of life and wealth of Sri Lanka because she lack political acumen, and punctuality.

              As for MR, he was determined to defeat LTTE but our army was in tatters. So, MR’s first job was to appoint a war monger who was about to retire as the army commander. Then MR found the money to triple the size of our forces. Next, he negotiated a deal with India to finish LTTE. Thereafter he arranged to procure all necessary war paraphernalia from China, Russia, Pakistan, Iran and etc on credit. When LTTE closed Mavil Aru, MR was ready for the war. When LTTE started the war, artists were sent to camps to sung nationalistic songs and boost the morale of soldiers. And that’s only a little bit of MR’s doings to win the war.

              MR kept the government going with a small majority in spite of JVP organising strikes and Chandrika loyalists Man-gala, Anura, Sripathy doing their best to topple it and the UNP leadership visualizing Thoppigala as a jungle and Raviya dreaming Pamankada as Alimankada. MR winning the unwinnable war for thirty years in less than three years is itself a miracle. And you’re talking Chandrika’s contribution to win it. You may call us stupid or chauvinists or both but I have exposed the true jingoists with facts many a time earlier.

            • 2
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              Sama

              “If CBK´s terms did not work on getting LTTErS banned on rich soils, would have the MR regime ever be able to defeat the LTTE or any other rebels in the island ?”

              It was in early 2005 the Hindians persuaded Chandrika and her armed forces to go the whole hog and finish off LTTE. As follow up Hindians provided training, intelligence, loans/grants, experts on military strategy who were based in Vanni, political cover, helped to destroy warehouse ships, non lethal arms(?) deception, helicopter, ships, sea petrol, ………. MR had no choice but to join in the Hindian military preparation.

              Hindians even encouraged MR to claim victory as if it was his own.

          • 2
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            Bando@,

            As one who once completed a PhD thesis, you should have the knowledge – to ask yourself, if failed in the past, at least today, why dont they the extremists sense that DEVOLUTION of power can lead to sustatinable peace in the country ?
            If my memory serves right, you should be in your early 70ties now.
            You guys are the seniors of the nation. Why dont you feel that we the majority folks should gurantee the rights of minorities too. That can only be made through devolution of power into regions. Not to the prevailing manner,but to the system arleady fully funcitonal in Germany, Switerzland and several other countries

            • 1
              1

              Soma,
              There are 75 million Tamils live just few miles across the sea in India. Tamil leaders there have struggled for a separate country for over thirty years. It was powerful India’s harsh 16A that keep Them quiet. But many Tamils there are still vocal. Haven’t you heard what Karunanidi said? He said publically that he can sleep well only when Eelam is won. That means Tamils of India have shifted their emphasis to start their project with Eelam in Sri Lanka.

              Read here the fourth point of four point Dudley – Chelva Pact dated March 1965 related to land:
              4) The Land Development Ordinance will be amended to provide that citizens of Ceylon be entitled to the allotment of land under the Ordinance. Mr. Senanayake further agreed that in the granting of land under colonisation schemes the following priorities be observed in the Northern and Eastern provinces:
              (a) Land in the Northern and Eastern provinces should in the first instance be granted to landless persons in the district.
              (b) Secondly, to Tamil-speaking persons resident in the Northern and Eastern provinces.
              (c) Thirdly, to other citizens in Ceylon, preference being given to Tamil residents in the rest of the island.

              Sinhals led by monks opposed it why? They knew that the aim of Dudley – Chelva Pact had been to keep Sinhalas and Muslims out of North and East in 1965. I say, the aim of Tamil leaders today is worse.

              In 1971, there were 20,402 Sinhalas in Jaffna. Though it was under 3% of the district population, Tamils didn’t like it. So, by 1981, they have reduced the Sinhala population to 4,615. However, the Muslim population which was 10,312 in 1971 was increased to 13,357 by 1981. Why? Because Muslim language is also Tamil. From 1987, there are no Sinhalas in Jaffna. In spite of the common language, LTTE gave Muslims too just 72 hour notice to vacate Jaffna in 1990.

              If Sinhalas and Muslims were not chased out of Jaffna, their population in 2011 would have been 30,372 and 24,769. Years after the defeat of LTTE, Sinhala and Muslim population in Jaffna is a mere 746 and 1874. And that is the situation without Dudley – Chelva Pact. Imagine Dudley – Chelva Pact had been implemented in 1965 the situation where very few Sinhalas live in Jaffna would have reached a long ago. If you think devolution would help bring peace, I am sorry, you’re completely out of touch with Tamil mind set. You’ll see why in my future comment.

              • 2
                1

                Banda

                “If you think devolution would help bring peace, I am sorry, you’re completely out of touch with Tamil mind set.”

                If devolution can’t, can a revolution bring peace?

                I think you need to re engineer you thought process.

                Devolution is not just for Tamils, but for the entire country. You are the only person who deny rights to the majority.

                • 0
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                  If devolution of power has brought success in many countries, why not it could work for our country ?
                  Lack of knowledge about devolution of power?
                  Hardly believe, 75 mio indian TN seek their Elam to be made in an small country not even bigger than to german bavaria. Sl TAMILs are not even 4 mio, I guess Malaysia should have even more millions of tamils (did not check it myslef yet though).
                  People ´s attiudes can surely be changed atleast to some extent through awarness programs. In Australia and scandinavian countries, they are taught from the kindergarten on, no races, relgions, skin clour could define the human life. Like you cant live 100% corruption free environements, you will also see no society where peoples would not go against the other, but what matters is the percentages of all these groups. In Germany, skin colour problems are still existing,but restricted to tiny groups. At the time, tsunami hit Lanka and INdonesia, Germans in general donated enormous amouts of funds. They the specialists offered lot from them. I know all these through my friends.

                  Focusing on lanken problems, some say, deleting the zyllubuses of subjects like “history” from school curricula have created a big vaccum in srilanken education. They the authorities have erased the chance schoolars to learn more about other administrative systems and various things about them.

              • 0
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                “In 1971, there were 20,402 Sinhalas in Jaffna. Though it was under 3% of the district population, Tamils didn’t like it. So, by 1981, they have reduced the Sinhala population to 4,615. However, the Muslim population which was 10,312 in 1971 was increased to 13,357 by 1981. Why? Because Muslim language is also Tamil. From 1987, there are no Sinhalas in Jaffna. In spite of the common language, LTTE gave Muslims too just 72 hour notice to vacate Jaffna in 1990. “

                As your figures say:
                1971 – Sinhalese – 20,402
                Tamils – nearly 600, 000 (or much less since muslims also include in this sum)
                To reduce sinhala population by 4 times within a decade could have serveral factors. We can not compare war situation with those in no war situations. It is not at all right to do so. In the same manner, tamils livd in sinhalaese areas reduced to significant numbers from the day ascending war is started.The langauge barriers and the related dillemal problems are plenty in any country, most of the all common in Indian subcontinent than anywhere else. I kknow it by mself, if ones want to work in GENEVA (french speaking part of Switzerland) they prefer you to know that langauge. Then again the areas where Italian langauge is in demand, people have no choice than going to learn the langague. Langauge barrier is a greater problem among major turkish communities in EUorpe.

          • 0
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            “Today, SL Rupee is holding steady. Exports have surged. Trade gap narrowed. Foreign reserves rose to 8.0 billion. Tourist arrivals will exceed 1.6 million this year. Tourist earning will exceed two billion dollars. Just go around and count the number of huge buildings being built without talking BS. You may not but ordinary people observe these thing “

            What right is right be it came from MR or CBK or any other previous regimes.
            But from I myself heard and seen, even saw while travelling across the country during my last trip limited to 10 days, a year ago, Hikkaduwa areas were so empty, so were the other areas. So now you guys to bring this kind over million arrivals of tourists ? hight questionable to me. Turkey and several holiday islands in Europe fill with tourists in summer seasons and they live MAINLY only on tourist industry. So when goin through your statistics, srilanka´s standards should become really high during the last two years, nevertheless econimists to reiterate country´s income levels are not even sufficient to pay off the insterests of the huge loans make me clear, all these statistics bring you are guys have no truth at all.
            From recent years on, I very doubt any kind of figure being brought by ruling party politicians. Unfortuantley, repeated inacuracies make us very unhappy. I respect Dr. Harsha De Silva, regardless of his party politics – he and few in and out of govt bring real figures. They respect them – that shold be highly commendalbe.

          • 0
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            I have guys that work for Airlanka for the last 2.5decades. I really dont think that they are wrong being very disspointed looking at the ground situation for the company to thisday. So Bando, we can clean even all dirty ones, but doing so would help nobody, if we arenot honest enough. Right is right, wrong is wrong. Losses the carrier made sofar are irreparable, in billions, and billions, but sad truth is knowing all these, to continue it to the same manner – without making taking any useful actions to stay doing nothing ???????????.
            And if the Ailine was sold out to the Emirates by previous regime, as MR loudly reiterates (his rhetorics contain no seriousness most of the time – this I heard once the HOTEL complex was passed lately), it should be not easy to get it back. But his regime easily handled that- was even speeder than the impeachment process againgst CJ, Dr. SB. I myslef flew by Emirates very often,also to downunder many a times, we passengers were pleased to see that cooperate flights brought huge income to the island.

      • 0
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        Better to be ruled by a nut than a thug.

  • 3
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    Dayan,

    Wrong yet again. MR is the most suitable candidate to lead Sinhalese to their doom as VP did to the Tamils. Not sure why you would not want to support his assendency particularly since you had no problem with it as you have stated in your previous article.

    The Tamils paid heavily for supporting VP without question – because they felt he was one of them. the Shinalese will have to go thought the same learning curve and pay the price for stupidity thanks to theoreticians like you and Anton.

    The big difference is that Anton said the same Marxist Lennist gibberish again and again but yours changes with every article.

    You should know by now that the Sinhalese are as incapable of learning as the Tamils are. The best option for you is to embrace your own burger Christian heritage and burger off some where…before it is too late.

    The other option is to relaunch your self as Anton Jayatilleke.

  • 3
    0

    His anti Ranil mania has driven him to try every bit of useless writing at his disposal ! Don’t worry Ranil won’t lock you away when he comes to power although a mental asylum seems the ideal place for you.

    Just watch his next load of Garbage it will promote the current JVP leader to be the joint presidential candidate.

    If this bugger lived in Sri Lanka between 1988 and 1992 he will understand why the majority won’t vote for JVP or Premadasa offspring, for another generation at least.

  • 1
    0

    Not Sajith! One dumb guy propsing the dumbest guy in parliament!!

    • 1
      0

      But he is the only candidate according to Dayan who can save the vast majority. Only the Minorities can save the Vast Majority from themselves.

  • 1
    4

    Dayan Jayathilake:

    One issue – common candidate is a big deal for political theoreticians.

    Is it a big deal for the voters most of whom are common folks ?

    Gobi and the gang should have exploded a few bombs. Then we could have seen how TNA would be in Oblivion and who would Tamils vote.

    • 2
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      JimNutty – Gobi is Nande Master (a.k.a.GOATa) in “disguise”. Don’t you get it?

    • 0
      0

      Jim Nutty,
      Where is Fathima Fukushima?

  • 3
    1

    Only CBK has any chance of defeating MR at present. Sajith has a long way to go and he is still locked up or has he locked himself up in Hambantota. CBK will be able to attract much of the majoirity and minorities as well as split the UPFA. If she wins she can dismantle the EP and bring about much needed democratic reforms.

    • 3
      1

      You are right.
      This time, there will be no back and forth. Since Rev great sir of the nation, Sobitha Thero, mediates making further clear, that any common candidate will have to cancell EP within the first half of the year going to be in power. That would be formost demand by Rev. Sir in this regard. I listened to great Hamudurwo, every word he resounds is connected with honesty and timeworthy meaning. I wish him to be the great leader of this lost nation, but many would not support him for their own reasons.
      But CBK is the next choice. I believe she should have learnt from her previous times, how she has to get on with lanken politicians better. All these projects would better be continuing with her assistance than with any others.
      Those commission makers will disagree with her, but people will support her to tackle with them.

  • 0
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    My opinion is, for common candidate, still with CV. I think he will be the best common candidate.

    Before we can look at his merit let us just take a quick look at Sajit. UNP lost, not just because of Ranil, it lost to Chandrika because of Premadasa. UNP failed even to pick up any sympathy votes, because Premadasa. Right after the election TNA and JVP agreed to work with CBK. When Ranil won the parliamentary election, JVP and TNA refused to work with him. The reason is again Premadasa. Large JVP supporters and Left crowd will never, ever going to vote for Sajit, irrelevant of he can come under any umbrella association. Even UNP leadership, which is fed up with Ranil has refused to give him a chance so far. How can he win an election of this nature? He can have gang activity within the South. It is suitable only for down south elections; not for outside.

    Other, the assessment of CBK is not right either. CBK won the election only because of Premedada. That time she was perceived as peace candidate. Sinhalese did not look at her to win the war. She did not lose the election; only she finished her terms. Her party did not lose the election. After CBK, her party candidate, King came to power. Ranil has problems. Ranil played games with Tamils by destroying LTTE by inserting East-North division. Tamils did not like him. Muslims did not like him because of his religion. Sinhalese were not having good opinion about him. So King managed to come. Practically King should have lost the election, but did not because he took the stick from CBK for his relay.

    Though a common candidate with minority profile may have a problem, CV would not have that. Sinhalese one time well accepted Ramanathan. They have to be reminded that CV is again a family business like all other familial of Nayakes and Packsies. His family is well-adjusted between the two communities. For sure he has good attraction for Tamils, Upcountry, and Muslims. A major part of Sinhalese Christians will like to vote for him rather than a Buddhist. (A 30% already here) . Sinhalese should be reminded that CBK and Fonseka are involved in war crime. This has a contingency for expanded OHCHR’s investigation. They must be reminded whatever the candidate they put will not reverse the international inquiry. Only one candidate has potential to reverse is CV. Sinhalese should be explained of IC’s acceptance of CV, including Indian Congress, British Cameron’s Conservatives, Obama…..If the Sinhala leadership promote him, rather than looking for power hungry family business, for sure he will win.

    • 1
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      but CBK less evil than MR.
      She will restore democracy for the second time in the country.
      At the time, my mates were killed by JVP and UNPs, there were no leaders to take the challenge but CBK was there, and her mediation was indispensible in early 90ties. Our people loose their momories immediately they show anything coming on their superficial but not giving the due place to the due person. That led us to disastrous situation as we face it today.

  • 1
    1

    Today James Packer says that word “Casino” should be included in the Contract, or else he will withdraw from the Project.

    If GOSL fails to add Casino in it, JP could file a lawsuit against GOSL for breach of contract and could demand all the expenses and damages he incurred.

    MR is looking ways to punish the 50 odd absentees and those who voted against the draft which could backfire on him.

    Those 60 odd UNPers and the old SLFPer could jump over board if they see MR as a threat to them, and this could lead to a regime change.

    Removing 18th Amendment is crucial before the next Presidential elections.

    Theres 80% chance of MR loosing the next Presidential elections to a common candidate (Preferably CBK) if 18th Amendment is abolished and elections are held on a transparent manner.

    June UNHRC war crime investigations will surely be going to have an effect on next Presidential elections.

    Regime change could come earlier than expected.

  • 4
    1

    What Dayan has chosen to ignore is the public opinion poll results quoted by Dr.Wickremaratne. I am sure popular sentiment across the polpulation, including the Sinhla-Buddhists, yet would be supportive of a decent resolution of the Tamil and now Mulsin issues. The Sinhala-Buddhists and the Sinhalese as a whole are not the monster they are painted to be, by many, including Dayan. The same applies to The Tamils and Muslims too.

    Ananthi Sasithara, candidacy, mooted by Dayan can possibly become a reality. Dayan, expects her to muster a majority ofTamil votes in a Presidential election, assumping the voting pattern in the NPC election will be repeated. It was a symoathy vote and the sympathy has dissipated. The TNA would not also back her candidacy. This another ‘Goni Billa’ Dayan is setting afloat!

    Sajit Premadasa candidacy? Sri Lanka is not Hambantota.

    Dr.Rajasingham Narendran

  • 4
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    This pontificating by Dayan is targeted not to the present regime but to a single person, Mahinda. It will be futile.
    The advice of this ‘NGO rep’ will not be heeded by that Almighty!

    The writing is on the wall. The present regime is doomed. If the choice of the people is to drown with this regime, so be it!

    Sengodan. M

  • 4
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    I am shocked and dismayed to find that DJ is a staunch supporter of the obnoxious executive presidential system that is totally inappropriate for this country. I can only conclude that he is just another crony intellectual in the local political scene. The difference is that he gets paid covertly by the GOSL to act as an ‘independent’ mouthpiece!

  • 0
    0

    To me Dayan Jayatilleke talks sense. In fact the UNP should bring back Rukman Senanayake.

    I am supportive of the Presidential system with restriction on the current executive powers. Look at the following parliament:
    Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa
    Minister of Defence Gotabhaya Rajapaksa
    Minister of Finance Basil Rajapaksa
    Speaker Chamal Rajapaksa
    Others- Namal, Shiranthi, Shashindra,Mervyn, Weerawansa, the same lot.
    What difference will the country enjoy?

  • 0
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    Dear Dr Dayan Jayathilake;

    To me, [ A layman who does know little about Academic’s politics].

    There is no any deference between you and G L peerisk.

    Are you trying to jump the ship ????.

    [ When a ship is sinking, No Rats will stay].

  • 1
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    Mahinda Rajapakse came to Colombo to stay. He will do everything under the sun to stay in power. Distancing from West is part of his strategy while creating Sinhala extremist groups like BBS, Thugs, drug and cocain mafia king pins and Nil Balakaya youth movement etc. to guarantee his position.

    At the moment MR’s greatest enemies are JVP, Gen.SF and CBK. He will use every attempt to silence them.

    Casino bill is the biggest blundar of Rajapakses. Now he not only divided his parliament supporters but now the chances of building the hotel complex is in abeyance.

    There’s absolutely nothing left for MR to promote his image at the moment except humiliation.

    THE BOTTOM LINE IS PEOPLE ARE FED UP OF RAJAPAKSE GOVERNMENT AND ARE LOOKING FOR A CHANGE IN GOVERNMENT.

    Another 1983 like Progrom could bring in foreign intervention. UNHRC investigations will further erode political and economic developments.

    The question is who the ideal common opposition Presidential candidate going to be is the million dollar question, since people have lost faith in all of them.

    Sri Lanka going for Federal governing system is inevitable.

    • 0
      1

      Everyone knows that Federal is an anathema to Sinhala Buddhists. But droopy evangelists like Jayanthaya like to believe, “Sri Lanka going for Federal governing system is inevitable.” That shows evangelists political touch with the mass.

      Chandrika fought with LTTE, 8 of her 11 year rule. Not just SF, Janaka was was also a top commander in her army. So why couldn’t she defeat LTTE? She has deliberately demoralized our forces with ‘sudu nelum’ and peace thawalams’. In the end, she has messed not just her wars but everything except banditry. What more to say if the economy was on minus growth for the first time.

      Only the stupid would expect Chandrika to do what she couldn’t do during her 11 year rule. MR said, he likes Chandrika to contest for she could help him find those in his party keep their legs on both sides of the fence.

      LTTE started their final war or Eelam war 1V on the 26 July 2006. See the dedication and efficiency: MR finished LTTE in less than three years.

      Its nothing but peace and political stability since. Just go around and witness the number of new buildings, roadways, factories and etc and etc coming up throughout Sri Lanka and ask people who they like Chandrika or Mahinda.

  • 1
    0

    With the Christian Sinhalese getting fed up with the foolishness of Balu Bala Sena the chance of President getting a large majority should be questioned! The best action President should take today is to form a National Government for a period of five years. After appointing the National Government he should call for a Presidential election. This would provide a platform for the President to keep his position and also bring about change in the country without hurting any religion or community. But has the President got the GUTS to do such a thing. If he does he will be hailed as the founder of Peaceful Sri Lanka.

    • 0
      0

      Park, That was an original thought which everyone had forgotten. Let us hope Rajapaksa’s astrologers will concur!

  • 2
    0

    Why not bring the TNA into it?

    Without TNA nothing works!

    Tamil legitimate grievances (self determination) must be addressed if SL is to have a future.

    Tamils want Tamil Elam. Stop pretending.

  • 0
    0

    Next one year is going to be very crucial for Mahinda’s government. He has only little time to decide on the path to be followed. On the one hand a storm is gathering abroad, in the UN, in the Western powers and most possibly in India too. He has planned to hold both the Presidential election and the parliamentary elections within an year. His main aim will be to remain in power. There will be no other consideration for him.

    Will he choose the path of reconciliation and thereby peace and prosperity for the country or will he choose to pander to extreme Sinhala Buddhist chauvinism and thereby risk not only his regime but the entire country?

    It will be interesting to closely watch the developments over the next few months. My guess is that he will choose the path of doom.

    Sengodan. M

  • 0
    0

    Just a reminder for Dayan,

    While Preme took on the torch burning on both ends, it you who helped him get blown up. Buy jumping in from the North East provincial Council and advising poor Preme to arm the LTTE while the IPKF was there to finish them up. Poor fellow listened tour advise and “boom” he went, while you survived to deliver further doses of rotten advice for the benefit of the vast majority.

  • 1
    0

    “Thus an internal, electoral change of either regime behaviour or regime composition or the regime itself, is the last best hope of avoiding such scenarios.”

    Dayan, How many permutations-combinations will you try before you know that too many people have died?

    [Yes, how many deaths will it take till he knows
    That too many people have died? Dylan]

    It is now apparent that we are incapable of ruling ourselves by ourselves be it Tamils or Sinhalese. It is way beyond our intellectual and spiritual capacity as we have proved for centuries and are still proving daily. It is also now way beyond doubt that the Sinhalese cannot rule the Tamils, not even the proverbial Suwabhasa generation as many Sinhalese elders promised the Tamils. Things are bad enough why pontificate on top of that?

    The golden rule is “Do unto others what you want others to do to you”. What would you do for the Tamils according to this rule? Could you make that your piece tomorrow please? You could do Muslims the day after perhaps and the native vedhas etc…

  • 1
    0

    crackpot clown living in a fantasy world – dreaming of being the grand vizier someday to the perpetually malcontented premadasa.

  • 1
    0

    Dayan my friend:

    Don’t delude yourself and pretend that somehow in Sri Lanka democracy will work. If you play your cards ( Race ) right you are assured of victory and the people of the North & East are not looking for a solution to their problem from within. It has to come from outside and with outside pressure and the only Country that can make it happen is India and things are moving in the right direction.
    I may sound selfish but I expect BJP to fall short of an overall majority and AIADMK to have the King Maker role. Don’t worry if that happens then even the few decent Sinhalese can breath a sigh of relief.
    As soon as Mr.Modi is confirmed as the likely PM with Jeyalalitha in the driving seat GOSL will get the hint and quickly fall into line and they know failure to comply will be death knell.
    There wont be any Army take over. North & East will become Autonomous under the watchful eye of the big brother and Democracy will thrive in the South and we can all live happily ever after. Keep your spirits up.

  • 0
    0

    The first thing to check is the premise of the article. (1) that there will be external attempts at regime change (2) that this will lead to a blood bath (because Sinhala nationalists will spill blood to oppose it).

    The premises have no substance. What exactly would externals do to promote regime change? provide funding? would that make the new govt illegitimate? If so, the massive usurpation of tax payers money for elections should make the current govt illegitimate as well. But if the claim is that externals will bomb the country or something like that to get regime change that is just imagination running riot.

    The BBS-phenomenon in this country is headed by vice-ridden individuals who are easily manipulated by the security establishment precisely because their “hidden” actions have made them vulnerable. They are more likely to stay onside with who ever has power than attempt a bloodbath.

    The more likely source of a blood bath is when the government fails to get a majority, but does not want to let go of the seats of government. That is a problem that does need discussion.

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