17 May, 2022

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Srisena Shift, Maithri-Mahinda Moment? – Recomposing The MS-MR-RW-CBK Equation 

By Dayan Jayatilleka

Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka

Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka

Who was it who narrowed the gap between President Sirisena and ex-President Rajapaksa? Whose efforts were strong and effective enough to override the wishes of the external consortium that backed the peaceful ‘regime change’ of January 8th? Was it the SLFP Establishment, i.e. its top bureaucrats and old warhorses? Was it Basil Rajapaksa? Was it the Buddhist Sangha? Or could it have been the Chinese?

Not really. It was Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, whose political behavior in the short period in which he held office was so polarizing that President Sirisena felt the ground shifting beneath him and was forced to act to re-stabilize the situation.

Of course Ranil Wickremesinghe has done it before. Having won a parliamentary election in 2001, he acted in such an arrogant, anti-national and polarizing manner that an earlier SLFP President, Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga, was pressurized by nationalist backlash and a centre-left patriotic bloc of the JVP and SLFP, to throw him out.

Then it was Chandrika, this time it is Maithri. The latter hasn’t thrown him out but has grudgingly assented to a reunification of the SLFP as well as the broader anti-Ranil forces, and signed off on the return of Mahinda Rajapaksa to the center stage of the SLFP, thereby virtually guaranteeing the defeat of Ranil Wickremesinghe.

Not having learnt a lesson from the disastrous experience of 2001-2003, Ranil, heading an even more vulnerable (minority) government than on the previous occasion, moved far too fast, on far too many fronts and in entirely the wrong direction. His conduct was accompanied on the external front by the outrageously pro-western policy of Minister of External Affairs, Mangala Samaraweera, and paralleled on the Northern front by the TNA’s slick M. A. Sumanthiran and the raucously adventurist Northern Provincial Council of Chief Minister Wigneswaran.

Instead of building consensus and adopting a cautious gradualist approach, as any sensible Conservative would and as befits a minority government, Ranil, his UNP and his TNA allies went for “shock therapy” and the “big bang” with truly evangelical zeal (the pun is intended).

This unholy alliance and its adventurism were cheered on from the sidelines by a chorus of Colombo’s cosmopolitan civil society—a stratum that is so deracinated, so “high on its own supply”, that it cannot feel the rumble or hear the sounds of a huge nationalist-populist mass movement beneath its feet.

One result of Ranil’s ‘good governance’ was downright bad economic governance—the bond scam, stagnation on the economic development front, a downturn of the local currency and a shedding of jobs. The other outcome was a patriotic-nationalist backlash.

The Mahinda revivalist movement sprang from and fed into the confluence of these two currents.

Matters were sharpened by the witch-hunt of SLFPers and former officials, by the newly established police agencies. This came on top of the shift in Sinhala opinion.

Mahinda Rajapaksa himself operated cannily in the narrow political space available to him after he had given the SLFP over to President Sirisena. He stayed off the political grid –leaving that to the Quartet or rather, the Four plus One, of Dinesh, Wimal, Vasu and Udaya, plus Dulles. Meanwhile Mahinda Rajapaksa himself operated in the non-party political space, on the socio-cultural grid: the temple network. This was possible because of the rising tide of Sinhala Buddhist sentiment.

Thus President Sirisena felt the shift in public opinion among those he ruled and had sprung from: the popular masses of the Sinhala heartland. More: he felt the ground shift within his own party, the SLFP.

He is now moving to recover that ground, but to do so he has to share it with its principal occupant, Mahinda Rajapaksa. In so doing has he betrayed the mandate of January 8th? That rather depends on what you think that mandate was, what you think of it—was it good or bad?– and whether or not you think it should have been fulfilled in totality.

I would argue that the progressive aspect of the mandate of January 8th was fulfilled with the passage of the 19th amendment in its final, moderate form—the form the UNP is on the record as defining as inadequate and as a halfway house to complete abolition of the executive Presidential system.

One may ask what of that part of the mandate that was for post-war political reconciliation between North and South? No ethnic reconciliation is possible unless it has the broad support of the Sinhala majority. It cannot proceed under the administration of a leader such as Ranil who is heavily mistrusted by the majority as pandering to minoritarianism. This is one of the lessons of 2001-2003.

Therefore a sustainable political reconciliation between South and north requires as a prerequisite, a political reconciliation between the two tendencies of Sinhala patriotism as exemplified by the two wings of the SLFP: the liberal democratic reformist as represented by President Sirisena and the populist-nationalist as represented by ex-President Mahinda Rajapaksa.

From the viewpoint of systemic stability, it is eminently sensible that President Sirisena prefers ex-President Rajapaksa’s independent mass movement, with its radical populist and nationalist ideology and consciousness, “on the inside pissing out than on the outside pissing in” (as US President Lyndon Johnson so famously put it about an opponent he had chosen to accommodate). Maithripala Sirisena has just channeled a rising nationalist revolution from below, into the safer reservoir of reformist SLFP politics, just as SWRD Bandaranike channeled a social revolution from below, namely the ‘Hartal’ of August 1953, into the safer, calmer waters of left-of-centre parliamentary politics.

Also from a systemic point of view, it is eminently sensible that President Sirisena takes his distance from Prime Minister Wickremesinghe who was pulling too far to the right, in his domestic, ethnic and external policies. This partial de-linking from Ranil and the hesitant re-incorporation of Mahinda Rajapaksa is the only way in which President Sirisena can re-balance the equation and get back to the most vital real estate: the middle ground. By the strategic move of accommodating Mahinda Rajapaksa and reunifying the SLFP instead of losing most of it, President Sirisena has made himself more popular in the country’s heartland; not less so. He has broadened his base.

The Gaullist Presidency of 1978 is eminently suited for the purpose of power balancing; indeed it needs to constantly balance in order to rise above the fray. By his new move, President Sirisena shows that he understands this.

What then of another ex-President Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga? She was an “accidental President” who won massively in 1994 simply because her UNP rival, the dynamic Gamini Dissanaike was blown up by a Tiger suicide bomber and she ran against his widow. She won again in 1999 because she faced Ranil Wickremesinghe rather than Karu Jayasuriya. CBK played a deft hand by nudging Ranil Wickremesinghe out of the presidential candidacy and coaxing Maithripala Sirisena into the fray as common candidate. She failed since, because she lacks concentration and because of her own ideological confusion and political fickleness (reinforced by politically ignorant advisors). She should have kept Ranil on a tight leash, but did not do so. Instead she played Ranil’s game by trying to keep President Sirisena on a tight leash. Instead of balancing off Ranil, she took the most popular political personality in the country—indeed the single most loved person in the country—Mahinda Rajapaksa, head on. Thereby she evaporated her own potential appeal, and by so doing, reduced her own utility to and claims on Maithripala Sirisena. In short she became at least as much a liability as an asset to him among the SLFP rank and file and the Sinhala Buddhist masses.

CBK could have represented the liberal current of the SLFP, while Mahinda represented the populist and Maithripala the centrist, but she chose instead to position herself as the UNP within the SLFP. In the final round she has been seen to be obstructive towards and destructive of SLFP unity while Maithri and Mahinda have been seen to be willing to make compromises and sacrifices for the sake of party unity—and implicitly, the unity of the party’s Sinhala social base.

Maithripala Sirisena represents the Jan 8th movement of reform from above, while Mahinda is buoyed by the Feb 18th movement (from Nugegoda to Matara) of populist-nationalism from below. Notwithstanding its bristling contradictions, the Maithri-Mahinda détente has caused these two movements and ‘moments’ to intersect.

Ranil has been beaten twice by center-left SLFP candidates: CBK in 1999 and Mahinda in 2005. Put differently, every time Ranil faced center-left SLFP personalities he lost, and whenever the UNP fielded him against such personalities, the UNP lost and the SLFP won. He is unlikely to be third time lucky. Ranil fought Mahinda once in 2005 and lost and avoided him twice in 2010 and 2015. Now he is back in the ring with Mahinda, with no place to hide. The Mahinda of 2015 is not the Mahinda of 2005 who beat Ranil. He has grown to be the leader who beat Velupillai Prabhakaran, reunified the country and went on to modernize the foundation of Sri Lanka’s economy. He is a much bigger figure—a “history making” man–than he was a decade ago.

This time around the Ranil Wickremesinghe administration was and is a minority government in several senses and dimensions. It not only had no majority in parliament, it is perceived as a government by the minorities, for the minorities and of the minorities. Therefore it is bound to be overthrown at this election, which is already shaped up as the successor to the Silent Revolutions of 1956 and 1970. President Sirisena sees this coming. Why else would he shift to a policy of rapprochement with Mahinda Rajapaksa and his mass movement? President Sirisena has been very prudent, indeed quite canny, to step nimbly out of the way, and position himself on the safe side of a social tectonic shift and an electoral tsunami that is less than six weeks away. As in 1956 that tectonic shift will overthrow a rootless cosmopolitan social elite and its entire project.

In anticipation may I add that the Mahinda camp and the national movement that undergirds it are far from unmindful of the possible external repercussions of the impending people’s victory and the long, defensive struggles in the global trenches that lie ahead against encirclement and ‘soft interventionism’ by hypocritical “human rights imperialism”.

I recall with no little amusement the definitive relegation of Mahinda Rajapaksa to a ‘marginal cult figure of Sinhala ultra-nationalism’—at best a third force, behind the UNP and the official, moderate SLFP. These pseudo-intellectuals and commentators forgot the single most important factor in politics: the masses of people; the vast multitude. The masses and their sentiments have carried Mahinda back to the center stage of politics. What a comeback it has been, in just six months!

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Latest comments

  • 18
    20

    Wellcome back DR. DJ. we missed you.

    • 19
      17

      He is happy because BBS is coming in operation. Mosques will be destroyed.Gota taking over White van company. Basil can start 15% business. Sarath Fonseka go out. Chief justice Shirani go to jail. Released lands will be taken again by Sinhala military. China come back. US go out.

    • 11
      12

      Welcome indeed!

      The best reading of the current political situation (and that of the last 30-40 years) we have seen for a long time.

      Just one addition to your list of the western ass-lickers Ranil and Mangala. The hidden danger of “Ajith P” Perera. Knowingly or unknowingly he is using the American nomenclature even Ranil has desisted from!

      These ass-lickers will need to be sent to the dustbin of histroy with other excitable no hopers “balu nattas” -Ranjan Ramanayaka- and the “Thamba Hora” Sujeeva Senasinghe.

      They had their 100 days in the sun and can now bury Ranil for the 30th and last time and disappear!

      • 0
        0

        Fat hopes Slayer. Ranil will be king on the 18th of August. You, yoru MR, Dayan and now horisena can all go in to deep slumber. Ranil will reign for the next 20 years and will bury your ashes too during that period. If you doubt me, just call sumane… and you will have confirmation.

        As for Dayan the asse kisser, he will have to keep doing that for a long time before he can think of another diplomatic posting. His hatred of Ranil has brought his downfall. Ranil has survived and will be there on a long haul

  • 22
    10

    Counting eggs before they hatch I see………

    • 22
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      This man s nature has been that from the day one. He is a spent source, but some media men and institution hire this bugger giving him a place. I think if Kelaniya Mervin should be marginalized, DJ the most malicious person in lime light deserve the same treatment. i hate this guy cant count him as an educated person at all. Dogs sit with dogs, but the days of ticks are not so long.

    • 10
      5

      The eggs laid by the snakes may hatch yet! Hope something will happen to smash them before they hatch. It can be even a power failure that will paralyse the incubators! I pray MS will pull out of the UPFA and with those who
      choose to follow him, make a reborn SLFP. This is the power failure that is required now,

      Sometimes prayers are answered, if fervent enough!

      Dr.Rajasingham Narendran

      • 6
        0

        We can only live in hope !

        • 5
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          Yes, Dev. If not , most of us would have dropped dead through utter despair by now!

          Dr.RN

          • 1
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            Rajasingham,

            Mere hope is not going to get us anywhere!

            Those who relentlessly supported, praised, cheer-leaded and sang hosannas need to come clean and expose the cunning ways of the perpetrators – until that happens, you guys remain complicit in all of MR’s criminal activities and dishonesty. This applies to all you guys who hero-worshipped and protected the MR regime just because the going was good for the handful of you, but now see yourself desperate at the prospect of MR coming back to life!

            You guys have the most vital responsibility to come clean and so expose the one-time Maharajah before the country in its naiveté returns to the dark-ages.

            Just empty words and distractions will not help the hope materialize! Nor will such rhetoric absolve you of past sins of utter greed!

            • 0
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              Kumar R.

              Please my darling, don’t spoil the soup. We have a bigger agenda to elect Mahinda. Why are you going into unwanted territories. You must seriously go through anger management. Because of your petty mindedness you are making so many enemies.

              It may be that your transformative process is not helping you. Please see your medical consultant. I can accompany you.

              You are important for me than Mahinda. I don’t mind sacrificing my campaign work for Mahinda to bring you back to normalcy.

        • 2
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          Dev

          “We can only live in hope !”

          Keep hope alive – Rev. Jesse Jackson

  • 19
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    The bankrupt idiot is talking cock as usual !

  • 19
    5

    This Dayan is a proper MR worshipper who would say anything to get him into power. Its obvious MS-RW partnership is the best for developing this country and this guy is talking jack? MS gave into MR’s pressure otherwise MS’s slfp would come 3rd place with about 20% of the total vote. So he is kind of using MR to get him more votes but if it backfires then MS is finished.

    • 10
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      Danuska

      Never in the history Ranil had done any good to this country – other than allowing his Royal friends to rob the country and turning a blind eye – this time he went one step further by openly changing the COPE report on bond scandal which is clearly pointing finger at him – Ranil is a brain less bloodily idiot – what he could have done was to immediately sack CB Gov. and punish all including him

      This bunch of unpatriotic idiots (Ranil/Mangi/ Ravi….)would sell the country for peanuts and ruin all the good work done by previous gov.

  • 10
    1

    Surprises will galore on early morning hours of 18th August 2015. That is the time scheduled for the pot to biol. Till then ENJOY.

  • 14
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    Dr.Dyan

    It is sickening Sinhala politics and politicians. You can’t get blood out of a Turnip. Leave the Tamils alone to look after themselves.

    • 5
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      Mr Sellam, when will all the Tamil speaking people move into North and East so that Tamil speaking people can look after themselves and we Sinhalese can look after ourselves. At present 50+% of Tamil speaking people are occupying our areas.

      Soma

      • 0
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        Soma, we are here because you are a bunch of idoits. If not for the Tamils and other minorities, your economy would collapse. Also, your women would not have proper men.

        • 0
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          ” Also, your women would not have proper men. “
          That’s what you think Selveraj before you go to work. It is a different story during work hours and that’s the reason why economy might collapse.It will not be the same if all of u move out.

  • 17
    5

    Smart Patriot DJ,

    Based on the equation I’ve worked out , after reading your mischievous piece above,
    Sumanadasa Abeygunawardne is far greater than you both intellectually and professionally and like Sarath Fonseka, he has no airs.

    My advice to you go for lessons on nightmare , karma and dharma from Sarath Fonseka.

  • 14
    6

    Dr.Dayan,

    Which seat are you contesting at the next election??
    Or are you waiting for an ambassador job after MR forms the government??

  • 12
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    Hello DJ- Your ambition to become a diplomut is now almost certain and why do you want to engage your yourself in writing any further, which always gets a rousing welcome from the readers of esteem journal CT as you know. You must try to build up your image to accept the position as any country reading the comments by the readers of CT may not issue you a work visa to be an ambassador.

    • 4
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      DJ belongs to the top catogary of Extrement consumers. He would do anything if he just wants to come forward as a diplomat. This man is stinking as no other. I really dont think that motherlanka would ever praise of the kind of idiots. His father would wake up from his grab soon – being unable to see it anymore. How can his wife be with him further is a joke. This man is a the most malicious and jealous bugger for a best example. [Edited out].. very rude when it goes for his own gains. These are not at all good examples for the future generations. History is done for this bugger as a very oppotunist figure of lanka for ever.

  • 12
    5

    As usual Dayan Jayatileke has come out with his pro Mahinda anti minority + anti Ranil/Chandrika/Mangala rhetoric. Probably he is old and outdated and therefore still lives in MR era. President, MS
    Is intelligent, honest and an experienced politician. Does DJ realise that MR and allies have been tamed by giving nomination within the UPFA. This mix now is the last nail on the coffin. On the contrary, UNP is poised to record a great victory and a long rule by the UNP. DJ has to wait in the home for the aged and watch the scenario ahead.

    • 0
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      Hi Aiepl

      There is a saying which says – Though you are donkey do not bray so that other people get to know that you really are a donkey – Better you do not open your mouth or write something that clearly prove that you are a donkey

  • 12
    5

    going to learn a big lesson. The silent majority will vote. RW’s will now sweep the polls. UNP 115 seats assured.

    Low IQ southern uncivilized sinhala polity will be left with their mouths agape when results come out finally by 19th morning.

    You didn’t see people power on Jan 8th. You will see it on Aug 17th. You chaps living outside the island need to chill out. RW will be our next PM. SLFP will be a,very distant second and possibly, Tamil terrorist loving TNA MIGHT be second.

    Dayan, I’ll send a bottle of the kind your dad liked to tipple if I’m wrong.

    VICTORY : RANIL ALL THE WAY .

    • 0
      0

      Tinpotihadi – Keep your fingers crossed as leader of UNP is Ranil and
      not Jayasuriya or Premadasa. As it is, it look like UNP can sweep the polls but Ranil can spoil the chances with his arrogant attitude and know all stand. If UNP wants to win the election , all decisions on nominations and propaganda activities should be done by a committee and not by Ranil alone. If he is going the wrong way, the committee should correct him. UNP should have experienced/educated and most importantly, respected corrupt free candidates as people now know who are the corrupt contestants are.

  • 9
    4

    Ah what a relief to see the shameless PhD fellow slinking back to the scene when there is a whiff of enticement in the air. I hate to piss on his party, but feel that the scene will be a lot different from what this nincompoop predicts, come the close of nominations. Note that the last word we have so far from the president is that he will not support the medamulana hora, while the last word so far from booruwansa is that the shameless ex-president ‘will file nominations next Monday’.

    I wait with bated breath, but will muse about what a tragedy it will be if the political scientist gains ascendancy again.

  • 4
    5

    It is very clear who are celebrating…. Crookes and extreme Sinhala Buddhists!

  • 5
    3

    How can the Diaspora in London force the 5,8 Million Dalits to reconcile with the TNA vellalas, when the Vellalas didn’t want to do it with Rajapaksa for full 5 years?,

    While Rajapaksa bent over back words to accommodate the Vellala Team by having discussions on several rounds. the latter’s agenda was always to roll Rajapksa and get the UNP in to power.

    So that they can do a deal on their terms.

    As Dayan points out, can the Vellalas get what they want from Ranil, Cousin and Mangalan, without the okay from the 5.8 Million who are the majority and who are the people who have to live in the Island ,

    Besides , did Ranil, CBK and Mangalan show any empathy for the great majority, after they sneaked in to Government with the connivance of the Praabakaran Supporter Diaspora and their Western Allies?.

    In fact the Trio had the arrogance to put a stop to all the development projects whih were of major benefit to the the great majority.

    They even stated sacking poor rural youth who were employed in those projects.

    If not for Sirisen’s intervention, several hundred thousand youth from poor rural sector would have been on Samurdhi today.

    Rajapaksa, if he can score will definitely fix the Tamil peoples grievances and make them part of the One Nation.

    That is if the absentee land lords realize that West can not help them by holding the Nation to ransom and doing deals with political parties who have no mass support.

    • 5
      2

      KASmaalam K.A Sumanasekera

      “How can the Diaspora in London force the 5,8 Million Dalits to reconcile with the TNA vellalas, when the Vellalas didn’t want to do it with Rajapaksa for full 5 years?,”

      Reconciliation is about people to people, understanding each other, willing to listen to each others experience, issues, problems, thinking loud together, caring for each other, laugh together, cry on each others shoulder, ultimately making peace with themselves.

      Political crooks don’t make reconciliation stick, they love conflict, they thrive on conflict, its all about crooks making deals with each other behind the back of the people.

      MR the biggest crook never wanted to do it albeit TNA’a best efforts. On the contrary he made use of every opportunity to consolidate his firm on power, profiting from Dalits’, instead of increasing national income he helped his cronies to increase their own gross domestic product.

      Just forget Dayan for minute. As you may not have known this war monger openly supported Thamil Eelam in the past.

      • 0
        1

        Dear Native,

        I live in Vellala Gardens, Probably the only dalit among the Vellalas in those Beach side high Risers.

        I eat Masala Dosai, with Green Chutney, I also eat Spare Parts curry and Red Pittu from my favourite Muslim joint.

        They have more money than me for sure.

        Diaspora live in London, TNA lives in Colombo 7.

        And they say say we don’t have reconciliation, because Vellaslas can’t have a TNA Police and Titles all Govt land in the North.

        Is that reconciliation.?

        How about equal access to all Govt Facilities on equal basis for all Ethnics ?.

        After all we have only 25000 Sq Miles ..Right?.

        And we have the same number of inhabitants like Australia to live in that little patch of land…

        Is it fair to give Politickas like Mervyn Silvas, Ranatungas, Harin Fernandos,and Bththudeens and even your mates to decide and control where these inhabitants , can , live , work and play?.

        Not that the great majority who are the Dalits have that last luxury..

        Think about mate, instead of repeating the bull dust that Gombettas like Mangalan,Harin, and even Whisky Madam spread around…

        • 1
          0

          KAS

          Have you tried GOATa’s delicacy ??

        • 3
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          KASmaalam K.A Sumanasekera

          Let me not go into your rant but give you a few quotes that you chose to ignore all your. Its about greed:

          The ignorant mind, with its infinite afflictions, passions, and evils, is rooted in the three poisons. Greed, anger, and delusion.

          – Bodhidharma

          There is a sufficiency in the world for man’s need but not for man’s greed.

          – Mahatma Gandhi

          Anyway, no drug, not even alcohol, causes the fundamental ills of society. If we’re looking for the source of our troubles, we shouldn’t test people for drugs, we should test them for stupidity, ignorance, greed and love of power.

          – P. J. O’Rourke

          We are in danger of destroying ourselves by our greed and stupidity. We cannot remain looking inwards at ourselves on a small and increasingly polluted and overcrowded planet.

          – Stephen Hawking

          Greed is a bottomless pit which exhausts the person in an endless effort to satisfy the need without ever reaching satisfaction.

          – Erich Fromm

          KASmaalam

          Just ignore those great observations.

  • 6
    4

    Nicely written!
    The power removed from colombo elite must be kept away, I think UNP will also learn to get rid of Ranil after this election.
    Rata perata with Mahinda and Gota!

  • 2
    1

    Dayan, how come you forgot the contributions by Mangala and Rajita!

  • 2
    6

    Perfect article, spot on!

  • 0
    2

    Welcome back Dayan. As usual Dayan does not disappoint.

    What Maithripala Sirisena carried out in the past year seems not so much a betrayal as an experiment. It is clear that MS is a dyed in the wool blue-blooded ‘Sri Lanka’ man. After 40 years in the party what can you expect, nothing less. As a card carrying member of the SLFP he is fulfilling his destiny.

    What’s in a name? Sri Lanka – Freedom – the party that puts Sri Lanka first – and freedom second? Perhaps. Contrast with United (United with what , for what? ) National as in pertaining to the nation? Is that all?

  • 4
    1

    Dear Mr Jayatillake,

    I actually admire you tremendously, you cosied up to MR around November last year with the hopes of getting your job back (from which you were unceremoniously sacked). Then the bomb shell……MR lost, the only face saving thing to do was to continue to ride the broken down wagon and preach the accolades of MR and his pack of rogues.

    Now you see light at the end of the tunnel, there is a chance the king might return to power as PM….now the hopes are that your unwavering loyalty will be rewarded by something much bigger than just a mere ambassador…….perhaps Foreign Minister?

    For the sakes of all Sri Lankans, I can only hope that your hopes and dreams remain just that! Only time will tell, the game is afoot!!

  • 1
    1

    I disagree with the central theme of this article . it assumes MS has a brain . he does not .

    Cheers

    Abhaya

    • 1
      2

      P.hD Abhaya ,

      Here is a good news for you , according to recent media reports , your soul mate cum nutty professor Nalin silva has turned down the National list MP offer from the Mafia king , guess what could be the reason ? apparently ,Mafia king getting aligned with MY3 is the reason , how sweet is that ? not bad for a 18 month P.hD qualified nut case ! perhaps you could help him by joining hands with him now P.hD Abhaya , what do you reckon mate ?
      [Edited out]

      • 0
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        Gon lal

        Nalin silva has gone senile , dont worry it will happen to you too .

        Cheers

        Abhaya

        • 0
          0

          Thanks Abhaya .

    • 0
      0

      During my two weeks trip to Lanka. I happened to go to the houses whehre mentallly retarded people are kept. THere I did not go to ask about the intelligence of the todayss politicians, since, I knew that they cant give me a good answer. So do I feel, when I read your comments to CT from that day on. For me or any one with a little brain would see it right that most abusive president of the nation -MR was defeated by majority folks. Among them minorities were more was an another story. – ANYWAYS; all of them are srilankens. We should be very ashhamed to see guys of your kind ( so called graduates of Pera) still see it this narrowmindedly.

  • 1
    1

    “…signed off on the return of Mahinda Rajapaksa to the center stage of the SLFP, thereby virtually guaranteeing the defeat of Ranil Wickremesinghe.”

    This is the point I stopped reading. UNP/Ranil coalition with parties representing minorities will have majority and will form govt. But letting MR back into parliament means the risk of him getting back into power someday is still there.

  • 2
    1

    If ducks lined up, I think you have got your wish- this time maybe high commissioner to USA, given the heavy lifting you did. You wouldn’t prefer to go to the East, Russia or China?

    Do not take the voters for granted.

  • 1
    6

    Hey guys, get real will ya? The prestigious and authoritative ECONOMIST (London) has already concluded that Mahinda is almost certain to win.

    http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21657428-general-election-called-and-ex-president-plots-his-comeback-rajapaksa-redux

    THE ECONOMIST July 11, 2015

    Sri Lankan politics
    Rajapaksa redux

    A general election is called and an ex-president plots his comeback
    Jul 11th 2015 | COLOMBO | From the print edition
    Timekeeper
    Rajapaksa, rejected, returns

    GIVE credit to Mahinda Rajapaksa, a former president of Sri Lanka (pictured), for his fighting spirit. In early January voters unexpectedly and narrowly denied him a third successive term in office. An opposition alliance of Tamil, Muslim and disaffected Sinhalese had tired of his authoritarian rule and the presence of several of his brothers in government. Despite steady economic growth, voters disliked inflation, rising debt and blatant corruption. His overly powerful presidency also appeared to threaten democracy.

    Rather than accept the end of his political career, however, Mr Rajapaksa has since been plotting his return. After his defeat he gave up both the presidency and his leadership of the Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP), the dominant party of the ruling coalition. His successor in both posts was Maithripala Sirisena, a former colleague. Luckily for Mr Rajapaksa, the new president has shown little authority or resolve.

    Mr Sirisena has been slow at delivering on promises made during the presidential election, a problem shared by his ally, Ranil Wickremesinghe, who became prime minister of a minority government. They have faced strong opposition from Mr Rajapaksa, whose loyalists launched no-confidence motions and prevented parliament from agreeing even to routine financial measures, such as a proposal in April to extend government borrowing.

    Thus cornered, the new government has achieved little. It did push through a constitutional amendment reintroducing a two-term limit for the presidency, which Mr Rajapaksa had scrapped in 2010. It also removed some of the president’s powers. But it failed to move ahead on promises to overhaul the voting system, shrink government or deliver a right-to-information bill. Worryingly, on July 2nd Mr Sirisena re-established a press council that can wield wide-ranging and punitive powers against journalists, a move that editors condemned as threatening.

    In the meantime, Mr Rajapaksa has been rallying supporters, especially in the south of the country. He remains popular among the majority Sinhala Buddhists, notably for his record in leading a victory over Tamil Tiger rebels in 2009, putting an end to civil war. Fans have crowded to his home every day since he left office. He has toured temples, offering flowers to deities and delivering speeches to cheering crowds. In effect he has been campaigning ever since his defeat.

    The fact that Mr Rajapaksa’s political fortunes have brightened, however, hardly explains a baffling decision announced on July 3rd by the United People’s Freedom Alliance (UPFA), now headed by his successor and rival, Mr Sirisena. The president had earlier dissolved parliament and called parliamentary elections for August 17th. The UPFA, of which the SLFP is part, said it would field none other than Mr Rajapaksa as its prime ministerial candidate. And, through gritted teeth presumably, Mr Sirisena said he would offer “blessings and advice” to Mr Rajapaksa in the election.

    All this smacks of betrayal to those who united behind Mr Sirisena precisely in order to keep Mr Rajapaksa as far as possible from government. The decision came after weeks of negotiations between the two men in which Mr Sirisena evidently lost out. Critics accused him of political skulduggery and claimed that, despite his protestations of being “apolitical”, he cares mostly about the interests of his party, the SLFP. It is likely to do fairly well in elections with Mr Rajapaksa at the front, who is expected to whip up a sense of nationalistic triumph over his war record.

    Voters will get their say. To keep Mr Rajapaksa at arm’s length they could instead back the interim prime minister, Mr Wickremesinghe, and his United National Party. However, he has difficulties of his own, notably questions over the behaviour of a friend, the central bank governor, who faces allegations of impropriety in office. It is unlikely that Mr Rajapaksa will be swept aside in the forthcoming polls. A fragmented result, with nobody getting a comfortable majority, is quite possible. If so, much would rest on politicians’ skills at horse-trading and building coalitions of small parties. It is worth remembering that Mr Rajapaksa, with his fighting spirit, has a record of being especially good at that.

    From the print edition: Asia

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      All others get real why you have been fallen on his lap.

      Brining the bugger back to field can only lead Crime doers of the country further. You belong to the bunch of those crime doers and abusers to everyone s eye as of this moment. We wonder whether you at all represent the educated of the nation ?

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      DJ
      Economist is Prestigious! Authoritative? How many times have they gone wrong. Trying to strut about with an imagined sheen long worn out if not lost.

      The devil quoteth the scriptures, with no takers

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    “This unholy alliance and its adventurism were cheered on from the sidelines by a chorus of Colombo’s cosmopolitan civil society—a stratum that is so deracinated, so “high on its own supply”, that it cannot feel the rumble or hear the sounds of a huge nationalist-populist mass movement beneath its feet”

    This rump has not the capacity to comprehend what DJ is writing about.

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    Congratulation – Dr DJ – nice article

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      Rabok

      “Congratulation – Dr DJ – nice article”

      Please note there are studies which warn against praising kids:

      When you praise kids for their ability, it makes them focus on looking good—not on learning

      When you praise kids for their intelligence, they learn to view their failures as evidence of stupidity

      Young children thrive on praise, but even they do better when you emphasize effort over ability

      http://www.parentingscience.com/praise-and-intelligence.html

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        Dear NV

        I do not see him as a kid or his arguments as rubbish – therefore I do not mind praising him – Look at the comments of majority of the Guys – Are they offering any counter arguments to prove that Dr DJ’s arguments are wrong – if you talk to simple people of this country and allow them to read DJ’s articles in Sinhale they will certainly appreciate them for sure because they have better political sense than majority of the suppose to be educated commentators of this blog – Sorry to say Dr DJ feels the pulse of this country – surely the selfish Colombo folks do not feel the countries pulse – they feel Ranil’s pulse – as egoistic Ranil is obviously blind to the realities of this country – his pulse is completely out of phase with the pulse of majority of the voters of this country – MR is so popular because he is in tune with the pulse of the majority of this country –

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          Rabok

          ” Are they offering any counter arguments to prove that Dr DJ’s arguments are wrong “

          You can only counter an argument if there is one in the first place.

          If his racist rants are arguments it says lot about you than him.

          This man since the early 1980s has taken many postures from a leftist to Thamil Eelamite, to a Minister who did nothing to stop IPKF atrocities to self confessed war monger to supporter of most despicable dictators to war crime denier to a shameless b***s carrier, an intellectually dishonest parochial racist.

          Even MR described him as an NGO employee, an insult for which Dayan did not protest.

          What is his argument again?

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    Ranil committed Harakiri by defending the bond scam at any cost, there by destroying the foundation of good governance.

    His management of the Treasury was equally bad, with a budget that increased the Budget Deficit significantly. He failed to understand the strategy to make Colombo a tourist hub, dramatically affecting the viability of all the Hotels under construction. These are enough grounds to focus on the creation of a SLFP led UPFA government, with remnants of the dream of ‘Yahapalanya’.

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    Karadara Dias is day dreaming of an Ambassadorship to sex massage land of Siam .

    USA will never allow MR to win again. The silent majority will also speak out against family bandyism and utter pillage. They did so in 1977 and this time the quiet wave will become a Tsunami.

    Sirisena will leave UFPA, and support the UNP AFTER 13TH JULY.MR will be hoisted by his own petard.

    Don’t panic brother Gamini and other civil society leaders.

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    He will eat [Edited out]

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    I wonder from where he got his Ph.D . Sure he must have bribed to get that

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    DJ is a past diplomat who swings with those whom he thinks he can gain position. He is a man for all seasons and a user a man without any principals and an opportunist His education is of no use as he is a manupulator who has lost credibility. Donot waste your time listening to him

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