16 June, 2019

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The Energy Trap

By Ranil Senanayake

Ranil Senanayake

Ranil Senanayake

In Sri Lanka, Around December 20th 1979, an official communiqué was issued by the Government and displayed in the nation’s newspapers stating,  “No oil means no development, and less oil, less development. It is oil that keeps the wheels of development moving”. This defines with clarity what is to be considered development by the policy makers of that Nation. Here was a fundamental and fateful decision that cast a deadly policy framework for the nation. The energy source that was to drive the national economy would be fossil.  Even today, that same policy framework and its adherents continue. The word development has been replaced with ’ alleviate poverty”, The argument being that economies need to industrialize in order to reduce poverty, industrialization leads to emissions’   or to  ‘put another way ‘a reduction in poverty leads to an increase in emissions’. This is still very much a debated issue, but often it is trotted out dogma. These views, presuppose a vision of development based on fossil fuel consumptive, expensive road transport, even though innumerable scholarly studies have demonstrated the need to rationalize the transport system. The production of electricity is not done through national research and investment in renewable sources, but through the purchasing of heavy fossil fuel consuming systems or through purchase at prevailing world prices.  Electricity provides the power not only for our homes but also for all of industry.  Indeed one indicator of ‘development’ is the per capita consumption of power. However what should be addressed is the source of this power.

The present course of development holds that the most important facet of development is economic growth. Philosophically, it exemplifies the pure industrial and utilitarian view of life. A view that arose with the early European economies, with the acquisition of wealth being a high personal goal this model of ‘acquisitive development’ now defines  our national goals.

The degree to which the nation was enmeshed in ‘acquisitive development’ was seen clearly by actions of  the late President J.R.Jayewardene. He wrote:

“The environment which the State provides today, for building up the character of its citizens, tends not to the establishment of the ideal but to its destruction. The majority of States, including Sri Lanka, stand for “the purely industrial and utilitarian view of life, the cult of power and machinery and national comfort”.

“Public education, financed by the State, equips the young to fit into this same environment. Even religious organizations preach the ideal, but practice the opposite. In the social world, in the professions, in commerce and in politics, we find the struggle to acquire for self as the dominant factor. The society that comprises the State, is a purely acquisitive society: and the sickness we suffer from is the sickness of an acquisitive society.”

Those words demonstrate, with clarity, the existence of evils that can be wrought upon our people by creating this nation into an acquisitive society. Such a social order is, obviously an anti-thesis of the traditional Sri Lankan, Sinhala and Tamil value of non-attachment, and can only result in the destruction of our social order.

President Jayewardene was also clear on the direction that he wished for the nation. He wrote :

“The politician in power can change this framework. He can change our environment and he can control and direct Education. He can, by legislation, make it impossible for citizens to control wealth and possessions. He can, by public education teach the ideal and mould the young citizen to take his place in a society that is not acquisitive”.

Legislation and education will have a common purpose. The former will seek to change man’s nature by removing from his present environment those conditions which wrongly dominate his mind today: the latter will educate him to work in his new environment, by emphasizing those elements in human nature which cause disharmony, and by teaching man to remove them”.

But even as a most powerful politician he still could not achieve control over this malign form of ‘development’.  Only the fateful words of the Government in 1979 stating,  “No oil means no development, and less oil, less development. It is oil that keeps the wheels of development moving”,  continued to govern and carries onto this day, now couched as poverty reduction and economic development.

It is commonsense that, as the demand accelerates and price increases, we move to ever more problematical, and polluting sources such as coal or high sulphur oils. but without a clear policy on our development paradigm, this slide to cheaper fossil sources , could create serious national health questions.  Without a clear long-term strategy, none of the tenuous straws that we are grabbing at will have any value. On the contrary they will just produce more problems.

A nation that is highly dependent on fossil fuel is very much like an addict who is highly dependent on drugs. Both will pay any price for its delivery. The demand is small at first, but grows swiftly, until all available resources are given.  In the end, when there is nothing else left to pawn, even the future of their children will be pawned and finally the children themselves!

The fact that all fossil fuel dependent countries are in deep trouble comes from two sources. One is that the cost of fossil fuel is going to be rising faster than inflation, in fact in those countries hooked on fossil energy for its development, inflation will be will be directly linked to the cost of fossil fuels. The other is that, in a warming world, the call for punitive taxes on the use of fossil fuel will get stronger with each climate crisis. When, together with this, the development policy focuses on acquisitive consumerism, there lies the recipe for ‘the perfect storm’ of debt, suffering and despair, in a resource hungry world.

For all the commitments on paper, the inequality of health, wealth and trade the world over, confirm that the old settings remain unchanged still.  The ethic of ‘He/She who consumes the most is the best’ still rules the world and propels us, blindly, to a frightening future.  To consume resources at such a pace that the future will be forced into further poverty.   To the Rolls Royce rich this may mean moving to being Volkswagen poor, but to the one-meal-a-day rich it will mean no-meals-a-day poor.  Consuming the most means conserving the least.  Given what we know about resources today it may well be time to question the social status afforded to those who consume the most.

The creation of desire,

This perspective of ‘development’, the extension of so-called ‘civilized living’ is not new to us, Farrer writing in 1920 has this to say when visiting Colombo:

“Modern, indeed, is all this, civilized and refined to a notable degree. All the resources of modern culture are thick about you, and you feel that the world was only born yesterday, so far as right thinking people are concerned.

And, up and down in the shade of glare, runs furiously the unresting tide of life. The main street is walled in by high, barrack like structures, fiercely western in the heart of the holy East, and the big hotels upon its frontage extend their uncompromising European facades. Within them there is a perpetual twilight, and meek puss-faced Sinhalese take perpetually the dink orders of prosperous planters and white-whiskered old fat gentlemen in sun hats lined with green. At night these places are visible realization of earthly pleasure to the poor toiling souls from the farthest lonely heights of the mountains and the jungle.”  The process goes on still….

Develop as a nation we must, but cautiously – with the full awareness of the long-term consequences of each processes.  Development must be determined by empowering the fundamental rights of the people and of the future generations. Clean air, clean water, access to food and freedom from intoxication, are some of these fundamental rights.  Any process that claims to be part of a development process must address these, among other social and legal fundamental rights.

The problem has been that the movement of a country with traditional non-consumptive values, into a consumerist society based on fossil energy tends to erode these rights rapidly. Often we are told that this is a necessary prerequisite to become a ‘developed country’, but this need not be so. We need to address that fundamental flaw stated in 1979. We need to wean ourselves away from the hydrocarbon-based economy to a carbohydrate-based economy. Which means moving from a fossil fuel based economy to a renewable energy based economy.

Yes, there are issues such as speculative investors in renewable energy, who take and hold licences for projects that will never be implemented, waiting to make money by  selling their licences.  But greedy speculators should not stop the progress of promoting sustainable energy. The problems of synchronizing clean energy into the national grid, is not impossible . The technology should not be subjugated to politics. Why are we are being pushed into dirty coal, when we know that it will wreck our health and cultural treasures ?

The reality is that global warming will exacerbate global poverty to un-precedented levels. Contributing further to the Carbon Dioxide load of the atmosphere as ‘economic  development’ suggests a very ignorant level of decision-making.  Yes, burning coal to produce electricity it will make a few people rich, but it will render many, many more sick.  It will erode our heritage Creating, dissolving the Aukana Buddha and affecting Sigiriya. Have there  been any acid rain models developed for these monstrosities  ?

Thomas Jefferson, a President of the United States of America, asked: “Can one generation bind another and all others in succession forever? He also answered his question, “I think not. The Creator made the earth for the living, not the dead”.   For us in Sri Lanka, such national concerns do not exist. Only personal profit does. How many generations are to be thrown into debt by energy profligate infrastructure? How many generations will have to suffer the consequences of acid rains and Coal fly ash! It is not only the protection of the environment that is an indispensable responsibility of the government, the protection of public health and the protection of our heritage is also fundamental. A wider discussion on the national problems of using coal for power generation must be initiated ! The CEB does not have a licence to affect the public without disclosure of  known potential health effects.

(to be continued )

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  • 3
    0

    Dr Ranil Senanayake, the grandson of Robert Senanayake and grand nephew of our first premier DSS post independenc,e has a wealth of knowledge which our present day politicians cannot comprehend.

    His impartings of knowledge on analog forestry and sustainable development should be taken seriously.

    The government is bent on band aid solutions whereas Sri Lanka has the means to develop its own traditional methods and not seek Western chemical solutions to agriculture such as GM produce.

    It is well worth to seek his consultancy in matters regarding how the country can sustain itself and not allow destructive foreign practices to blight our agriculture.

  • 1
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    Dear Mr. Senanayake, while appreciating the run of your article, I beg to disagree with the substance. The lofty ideals quoted Re JRJ never saw the light of the day.What happened was exactly the opposite, since 1977.
    By the time he took over certain State Organisations had ventured to work on renewable fuels, they were hampered at one stage by the lack of technology. Brazil had a the facilities of it’s Air Force to help, the US had the Corn growers, the abandoned distilleries and breweries, a highly developed construction sector to proceed with. The corn which was in surplus was sold cheap – re the PL480.

    We on the other hand Mathata Thitha.

    There was no effort by any govt since 1977 to obtain the technology required nor finance the necessary studies. In fact it was in the post 1977 period that those industries started on their downward path and resulted in their closure.

    The fancy thoughts about income distribution remained fancy thoughts nothing more nothing less. He and his successors proceeded to make the rich, richer, the poor, poorer and the middle class with the professionals, the debt ridden class.

    My studies indicate that renewable fuels can easily surpass the projected energy requirement by 2035 and may be ensure the sequestration of carbon dioxide as well.

    Certainly the countries that can benefit are those in the tropics, where the poor of the world live.
    Awaiting your next instalment, eagerly.

  • 0
    0

    Dear Mr. Senanayake, while appreciating the run of your article, I beg to disagree with the substance. The lofty ideals quoted re JRJ ,never saw the light of the day.What happened was exactly the opposite, since 1977.
    By the time he took over certain State Organisations had ventured to work on renewable fuels, they were hampered at one stage by the lack of technology. Brazil had a the facilities of it’s Air Force to help, the US had the Corn growers, the abandoned distilleries and breweries, a highly developed construction sector to proceed with. The corn which was in surplus was sold cheap – re the PL480.
    There was no effort by any govt since 1977 to obtain the technology required nor finance the necessary studies. In fact it was in the post 1977 period that those industries started on their downward path and resulted in their closure.
    The fancy thoughts about income distribution remained fancy thoughts nothing more nothing less. He and his successors proceeded to make the rich, richer, the poor, poorer and the middle class with the professionals, the debt ridden class.
    My studies indicate that renewable fuels can easily surpass the projected energy requirement by 2035 and may be ensure the sequestration of carbon dioxide as well.
    Certainly the countries that can benefit are those in the tropics, where the poor of the world live.
    Awaiting your next instalment, eagerly.

  • 1
    0

    The “December 20th 1979, an official communiqué was issued by the Government” is the official policy of the JR government. So why quote the cheeky nonsense about welfare-sounding views from JR. His “Dharmishta” doctrines were translated into attacks on the legal system and thuggery etc. His free market allowed private energy racketeers to control the Electricity board, free import of automobiles, debilitation of the railway system, privatization of the profit-making public assets and nationalization of loss making private assets, free sale of fertilizer so that our farmers use 10 times the needed amount due to hyped sales push, and so on.

    The vision of a soft-technology society with little impact on the environment will remain a hollow vision if no new technological breakthroughs become available, because traditional farming has failed badly, and will fail even more when the climate warms up. Modern methods harnessing new knowledge in soil ecology, and not the old “Geri-katu and compost” are needed for the 22 million people in Sri Lanka that already increased by several people before I finish this sentence, and the billons of people in the world that have increased by a hundred before I type these word
    s.
    Of course the rich want “organic food” while the poor are denied even their industrialized mass-produced sustenance. Alternative technology and alternative energy as they exist now need another level of technological break-through before they can become effective.

    The public and politicians do not trust science any longer – and prefer to deny global warming, environmental ecology, immunization and the imposition of public standards for even milk. They don’t fund research “unless it is useful to industry”.

    The public think raw milk is better than pasteurized milk – an “industialized product. Ronald Regan’s top assistant pointed out that all this ecology does not matter because on the day of judgment (which was said to be close at hand by Billy Graham !), God will send the sinners to hell and clean up the mess anyway. So just fell the trees and ignore the conservationists who are mostly “commies” anyway.

    The population of the world is still increasing and all of the new people want to create the mammoth energy-guzzling houses of California that they see on TV. They want toilets that throw the best manure (night soil and urine) down the drain. That is modern living and progress.

    We are dealing with politicians, journalists and a vast big public that does not understand simple science or simple facts. When in doubt the Sri lankan public think that all we need to do is to do what the sinhalese kings did during the hay day of the Anuradhapura civilization.

    • 1
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      Kautilya.How true.” free sale of fertilizer so that our farmers use 10 times the needed amount due to hyped sales push, and so on”

      Remember the ascent of Ranasinghe Premadasa to the Presidency. Remember how he rediculed the Chairman of a then well known Company, when he went to offer his congratulations to RP.

      During JRJ’s time only two companies were able to win the Govt’s tender for fertilizer.Were those two companies some way connected to the Presidential Secretariat.

      When the farmer use fertilizer freely, it results is greater income for the importer.

      There was a Sri Lankan Govt owned fertilizer factory with a by product from the Petroleum refinery as raw material.That venture was not sold,instead it was dismantled brick by brick.

      We talk about financial cleanliness of some people.What a joke!!!

  • 1
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    Kautilya

    If we have to revert to the geri katu technology it is because of the our govts have not indicated the willingness to work in that direction.

  • 1
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    Dear Mr.Senanayake.

    Awaiting your second instalment.The problem is not subject or the presentation but quoting JRJ who ruined this country’s economy with his experiments.Peral Thevanayagam writes about your ancestry.During 1988 parliamentary election,a Mr Somaratne who contested, related a story about your Grandfather Late Hon D.S.Senanayake’s advice to his son re associating with some members of his party who experiment. I hope that the story was true if so his advise had come to roost on the Sri Lankans.

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